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#1451145 - 01/02/2018 14:04 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
pabloako Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 30/03/2007
Posts: 1664
Loc: Ocean View, Queensland
Clever bloke really. He comes out with dribble like this, it gets jumped on by the sensationalists and he sells more mobile apps and gets more add revenue. Clever.
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https://www.WeatherForum.com.au

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#1451153 - 01/02/2018 15:05 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
gazza townsville Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/01/2012
Posts: 438
So all the models still in agreement on moving away to the graveyard im up the hospital with my missus and have very limited internet access.
One would hope a southern high pops up and drives it to the coast. Very wishful thinking i assume but one can only hope at least that the patterns change from now onward and give us a chance of a blow and if not that some rain to fill that dam im sick of buying bottles water.

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#1451177 - 01/02/2018 17:34 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: gazza townsville]
ColdFront Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/06/2008
Posts: 19046
Loc: The Beach.
Originally Posted By: gazza townsville
So all the models still in agreement on moving away to the graveyard .


Not much chance of any change in the next 10 days if the majors are right. Ridging right up the east coast throughout.

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#1451178 - 01/02/2018 17:34 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
ColdFront Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/06/2008
Posts: 19046
Loc: The Beach.
On the issue of "that" social media outlet posting up sensationalism, the federal government should legislate to stop ALL social media sites from charging subscription for weather content UNLESS the person providing the information is a qualified meteorologist.
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#1451218 - 01/02/2018 21:57 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: ColdFront]
RC Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/09/2007
Posts: 2601
Loc: near Rockhampton, Qld
Originally Posted By: ColdFront
On the issue of "that" social media outlet posting up sensationalism, the federal government should legislate to stop ALL social media sites from charging subscription for weather content UNLESS the person providing the information is a qualified meteorologist.


Yes, just what we need, more regulation.

How about educating people to be more intelligent in the first place. I guess the last thing many people would want is an intelligent population, over an over educated but immature population.

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#1451221 - 01/02/2018 22:03 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: RC]
ColdFront Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/06/2008
Posts: 19046
Loc: The Beach.
Originally Posted By: RC
Originally Posted By: ColdFront
On the issue of "that" social media outlet posting up sensationalism, the federal government should legislate to stop ALL social media sites from charging subscription for weather content UNLESS the person providing the information is a qualified meteorologist.


Yes, just what we need, more regulation.

How about educating people to be more intelligent in the first place. I guess the last thing many people would want is an intelligent population, over an over educated but immature population.


laugh

When media outlets are quoting some fb clown with profit as his primary agenda ABOVE education then yes, more regulation is definitely needed.

P.S it's always that mob you heap praise on that make massive cuts to education. Funny stuff.
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#1451233 - 01/02/2018 23:20 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: ColdFront]
Flowin Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/10/2017
Posts: 966
Loc: Pinjarra Hills, Qld
Originally Posted By: ColdFront
Originally Posted By: RC
Originally Posted By: ColdFront
On the issue of "that" social media outlet posting up sensationalism, the federal government should legislate to stop ALL social media sites from charging subscription for weather content UNLESS the person providing the information is a qualified meteorologist.


Yes, just what we need, more regulation.

How about educating people to be more intelligent in the first place. I guess the last thing many people would want is an intelligent population, over an over educated but immature population.


laugh

When media outlets are quoting some fb clown with profit as his primary agenda ABOVE education then yes, more regulation is definitely needed.

P.S it's always that mob you heap praise on that make massive cuts to education. Funny stuff.


I read both the above, agree in principle, but pragmatically say no way it will happen. My suggestion is that bring in laws that when they get it wrong they must publish apology and correction. Would sharpen the judgement of the amateurs, those exploiting publicity, and also the professional agencies.
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Models are for estimating and gauges are for knowledge.

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#1451235 - 01/02/2018 23:23 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
Flowin Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/10/2017
Posts: 966
Loc: Pinjarra Hills, Qld
I am waiting for said sensationalist to provide correction and apology. But since I don't use Facebook Twitter and the like I guess I won't know about it if it happens

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#1451252 - 02/02/2018 01:26 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: Flowin]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25465
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
Originally Posted By: Flowin
I am waiting for said sensationalist to provide correction and apology.

the self assessed "Cyclone Watch" was self "cancelled" the following day, based on model data that showed the system would not proceed westwards. Failing to indicate that all models showed a general eastwards movement anyway, after a very slight west wobble.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2019 total - 27.8mm (21.2mm)
July 2019 total - 0.0mm (14.9mm)
2019 Yearly total to date - 2049.9mm (1129mm)

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#1451271 - 02/02/2018 10:19 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: ColdFront]
RC Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/09/2007
Posts: 2601
Loc: near Rockhampton, Qld
Originally Posted By: ColdFront

When media outlets are quoting some fb clown with profit as his primary agenda ABOVE education then yes, more regulation is definitely needed.




No, just no.

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#1451273 - 02/02/2018 10:22 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
FineElsewhere Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 12/02/2009
Posts: 13
Loc: Coorooman c.q.coast
As a long term outsider at weatherzone forums , I find it a little disappointing that this thread has degenerated into a 'crucifixation' (probably deserved) rather than genuine discussion on lows/cyclones in the coral sea.
Example - Rapidly rising MJO
- BOM has a moderate chance of tc forming on Sunday
- JTWC has an interest in a low possibly forming soon...

Yes I know the models show any tc going to the 'graveyard' but it wouldn't be the first time a model was wrong.
Not trying to be over critical - It's just that this forum used to be a goldmine of information and links to what is actually happening saving morons like me trying to find it online.
Thanks for you time

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#1451281 - 02/02/2018 11:34 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: RC]
Brett Guy Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/10/2010
Posts: 5159
Loc: Bently Park, Cairns
Originally Posted By: RC
Originally Posted By: ColdFront

When media outlets are quoting some fb clown with profit as his primary agenda ABOVE education then yes, more regulation is definitely needed.




No, just no.


The heavier regulation should be on the professional media really. If a news station is not capable of doing VERY basic research and finding out its own facts it should pay a heafty price.

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#1451284 - 02/02/2018 11:57 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
bbowen Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/03/2011
Posts: 176
Oi Folks Fine Elsewhere has already mentioned this isn't the place for your political/journalistic integrity discussion. By all means start a new thread and I'm sure everyone will enjoy it, but not here in this thread.
in fact I just created on.

http://forum.weatherzone.com.au/ubbthrea...dia#Post1451286


Edited by bbowen (02/02/2018 12:05)

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#1451315 - 02/02/2018 16:43 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: FineElsewhere]
MangroveJack70 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 01/02/2011
Posts: 229
Originally Posted By: FineElsewhere
As a long term outsider at weatherzone forums , I find it a little disappointing that this thread has degenerated into a 'crucifixation' (probably deserved) rather than genuine discussion on lows/cyclones in the coral sea.
Example - Rapidly rising MJO
- BOM has a moderate chance of tc forming on Sunday
- JTWC has an interest in a low possibly forming soon...

Yes I know the models show any tc going to the 'graveyard' but it wouldn't be the first time a model was wrong.
Not trying to be over critical - It's just that this forum used to be a goldmine of information and links to what is actually happening saving morons like me trying to find it online.
Thanks for you time


Well said. Invest 96P has been on the radar for the last couple of days, and 97P today (new). The Low Pressure Systems which have come from the Gulf has been interesting to watch, given that we've had some good rainfall in Far North Queensland and the remaining of Northern Australia over the past 2 weeks.

In the meantime, TC Cebile has resulted in some great imagery being provided online. Cairns in particular, has seen a considerable shift in DTD temps at the 3pm, 6pm and 9pm timeframes.


Edited by MangroveJack70 (02/02/2018 16:43)

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#1451317 - 02/02/2018 16:44 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: Brett Guy]
MangroveJack70 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 01/02/2011
Posts: 229
Originally Posted By: Brett Guy
Originally Posted By: RC
Originally Posted By: ColdFront

When media outlets are quoting some fb clown with profit as his primary agenda ABOVE education then yes, more regulation is definitely needed.




No, just no.


The heavier regulation should be on the professional media really. If a news station is not capable of doing VERY basic research and finding out its own facts it should pay a heafty price.


Spot on.

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#1451325 - 02/02/2018 17:47 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25465
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
as FEW mentioned, lets get it back on track. Was happy to let the conversation slide for a bit as technically it was about cyclone development and its discussion in the media, sadly some had to go and bring up politics.

Anyway, latest outlook below. The coral sea is not getting a chance so far this season.

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea
Issued at 2:31 pm EST on Friday 2 February 2018
for the period until midnight EST Monday 5 February 2018.

Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region:
None.

Potential Cyclones:

The monsoon trough extends across the northern Coral Sea, and a series of weak and transient lows have been observed along its length in the previous few days.

Atmospheric conditions are becoming less favourable for tropical cyclone development, and the probability of a tropical cyclone developing during the next few days is now considered to be very low.


Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:
Saturday:Very Low
Sunday:Very Low
Monday:Very Low
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2019 total - 27.8mm (21.2mm)
July 2019 total - 0.0mm (14.9mm)
2019 Yearly total to date - 2049.9mm (1129mm)

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#1451447 - 03/02/2018 19:19 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
Mike Hauber Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 13/07/2007
Posts: 3817
Loc: Buderim
I speculated a while back that the back end of the current WWB may provide opportunity for a cyclone heading towards the coast. Ironically there is one forecast to move SW at the end of the GFS run, but starting from so far out it still hits NZ.

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#1451478 - 04/02/2018 00:25 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
ColdFront Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/06/2008
Posts: 19046
Loc: The Beach.
I'm surprised that no-one has made mention of Yasi's 7th anniversary of crossing the coast (Feb 3rd 2011).
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#1451484 - 04/02/2018 04:53 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
Mega Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/02/2003
Posts: 7899
Loc: Maryborough, Wide Bay, QLD
Classic Coral Sea:


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#1451875 - 08/02/2018 01:23 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
nimbuss1 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/11/2013
Posts: 341
Loc: Kamerunga, Cairns
nice little blob hanging out of Cooktown.....
http://www.weatherzone.com.au/satellite/qld

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