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#1452759 - 14/02/2018 21:36 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Heat & Scattered Thunderstorms - 10th to 17th Feb 2018 [Re: LDRcycles]
Mega Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/02/2003
Posts: 6976
Loc: Maryborough, Wide Bay, QLD
Originally Posted By: LDRcycles
Not a drop here, but the lightning in that storm up north of Gympie is incredible.

I said a while back the Gympie radar is dangerously understating storms, today and yesterday has been particularly bad.


I don't know why but it has gotten a lot worse as of late. I'm not sure at what point the Bureau finally decides to fix it - that is if it can be fixed. I know these things can be extremely technical but this has been going on for months now...you know something is wrong when two crappy low res radars like Gladstone 256k and Marburg are both showing truer echoes than an in range Doppler.

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#1452761 - 14/02/2018 21:47 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Heat & Scattered Thunderstorms - 10th to 17th Feb 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Mega Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/02/2003
Posts: 6976
Loc: Maryborough, Wide Bay, QLD
Definitely weakening now.

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#1452762 - 14/02/2018 21:48 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Heat & Scattered Thunderstorms - 10th to 17th Feb 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Flowin Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/10/2017
Posts: 434
Loc: Pinjarra Hills, Qld
Those situations are good to have.two at key sites, one of the old and one of the new

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#1452763 - 14/02/2018 21:50 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Heat & Scattered Thunderstorms - 10th to 17th Feb 2018 [Re: BIG T]
Kazz63 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/01/2011
Posts: 1463
Loc: Kingaroy
Originally Posted By: BIG T
Kazz , did the peanut van get thru it ok? Itís always a compulsory stop form me when I get up there, hate to think it took a direct hit.

I drove past it but it was pitch black there (no power) so I was concentrating more on the driving than the looking - you know how drivers do bizarre things when conditions are different - well that's how some are driving out there, lol.
I drive past it everyday to get to work so I'll give you a report tomorrow. Hopefully the car yard behind it would have sheltered it somewhat.
Not looking forward to work tomorrow (in the office of an electrician) everyone will want their power lines reconnected , septic pumps repaired straight away and that's on top of all those who suddenly realise they want Air Con installed/repaired/serviced. That's been going on full bore for the past few weeks. The joys of it all, lol!
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#1452766 - 14/02/2018 21:55 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Heat & Scattered Thunderstorms - 10th to 17th Feb 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Mega Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/02/2003
Posts: 6976
Loc: Maryborough, Wide Bay, QLD
As dead as a door nail, some nice rain but barely any lightning left. Incredible how quickly these things die on our doorstep at night.

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#1452771 - 14/02/2018 23:08 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Heat & Scattered Thunderstorms - 10th to 17th Feb 2018 [Re: Mega]
Nature's Fury Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/11/2009
Posts: 2089
Loc: Brisbane Western Suburbs
Tomorrow could be our day in coastal SEQ.

* A weak southerly change stalls over central/southern SEQ and slowly strengthening before gradually washing out during the late afternoon/evening and winds turning E'ly/NE'ly. GFS soundings suggest it pumps plenty of moisture right up into the 800s.
* Winds turn in the atmosphere and general steering looks to be toward the NE.
* An upper cold pool also intrudes into SEQ although mids are still fairly warm. Surface temps range from low 30s along the coast to low 40s inland. I have doubts if we'll reach that the forecast temps along the coast due to the SE'ly and possible cloud cover from the changing air mass?
* CAPE approaching 3000 across SEQ. Huge instability.

I think we'll see storms building along the border ranges or a little inland in the early afternoon and tracking NE toward the coast. At the very least they should come very close. I would think heavy rain and large hail would be the main threats.

My concern is that a cap starts to form later in the afternoon so that could be a problem for storms moving into our area (unless they are already quite powerful), much like in previous days. Another issue is that if the southerly pushes up earlier than anticipated and doesn't stall we could well get rainy rubbish in the morning and that would destroy our storm potential for the day. I wouldn't be surprised if that happened.

Definitely looking very promising tomorrow. I wouldn't be surprised to see BOM put severe in the forecast tomorrow morning.


Edited by Nature's Fury (14/02/2018 23:09)

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#1452775 - 14/02/2018 23:52 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Heat & Scattered Thunderstorms - 10th to 17th Feb 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Mega Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/02/2003
Posts: 6976
Loc: Maryborough, Wide Bay, QLD
Moisture profile is better and the cap is somewhat weaker tomorrow as well. My issue is if you look at the winds from the surface up to about 900mb, there is some sort of boundary heading quickly westward from early in the afternoon. Not sure what that is and what impact it will have (could be the seabreeze & weak coastal change dragging the dryline back inland) but I always worry that those features would also drag the associated instability back inland with them (which would be bad for the coast). Either way, I agree it looks much better down there than today did, and I also think storm activity will kick off earlier than it did today, but not expecting anything here again given the annoyingly strong cap & weak shear.

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#1452778 - 15/02/2018 00:04 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Heat & Scattered Thunderstorms - 10th to 17th Feb 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Mega Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/02/2003
Posts: 6976
Loc: Maryborough, Wide Bay, QLD
From the Bureau's Queensland forecast for tomorrow:

"Some heavy falls are possible in storms about the Wide Bay and central interior."

Not arguing this...just not sure why the SE isn't included as surely it looks better down there than it does up here.

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#1452785 - 15/02/2018 08:05 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Heat & Scattered Thunderstorms - 10th to 17th Feb 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
NotsohopefulPete Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 24/12/2008
Posts: 1178
Loc: Toowoomba
Well, just listened to the duty forecaster om the Toowoomba ABC. The forecaster just confirmed my fears that maybe we may get a storm along the range, even my place, but anywhere west and south of Toowoomba. The only prospect is howling dry SWers' followed by dry cool SEers. No significant rain in sight for weeks. All the rest enjoy your storms.

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#1452787 - 15/02/2018 08:34 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Heat & Scattered Thunderstorms - 10th to 17th Feb 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Bone Dry Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/01/2017
Posts: 95
Loc: Wolvi
Well, hopefully today we'll seem some rain because the last couple of days have been, as the Americans would say, nothing burgers.

Mmmmmmmmmm.........burgers
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#1452789 - 15/02/2018 08:42 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Heat & Scattered Thunderstorms - 10th to 17th Feb 2018 [Re: Mega]
Nature's Fury Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/11/2009
Posts: 2089
Loc: Brisbane Western Suburbs
Originally Posted By: Mega
Moisture profile is better and the cap is somewhat weaker tomorrow as well. My issue is if you look at the winds from the surface up to about 900mb, there is some sort of boundary heading quickly westward from early in the afternoon. Not sure what that is and what impact it will have (could be the seabreeze & weak coastal change dragging the dryline back inland) but I always worry that those features would also drag the associated instability back inland with them (which would be bad for the coast). Either way, I agree it looks much better down there than today did, and I also think storm activity will kick off earlier than it did today, but not expecting anything here again given the annoyingly strong cap & weak shear.


I had a look at GFS and I can see what you mean. That wouldn't be good news for coastal storms at all.

I think there will definitely be some coastal showers/storms in the early afternoon, but the question will be can something significant get going and push up the coast toward Brisbane before the southerly washes out and the dryline pushes inland.

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#1452791 - 15/02/2018 08:45 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Heat & Scattered Thunderstorms - 10th to 17th Feb 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Ken Kato Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 5133
In other news, the average max temp in QLD soared above 40C on two days in a row for the first time since records began with a number of Feb heat records also being broken in the state.

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#1452793 - 15/02/2018 08:55 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Heat & Scattered Thunderstorms - 10th to 17th Feb 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Stormwalker Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 13/11/2013
Posts: 71
Speaking of heat. Itís led to increased demand on the grid.

Energex activated peak smart this week. Dropped compressors down to 50%.
I didnít even notice!!!

I had a look at their peak smart event page, and the majority have occurred mid February.

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#1452795 - 15/02/2018 08:58 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Heat & Scattered Thunderstorms - 10th to 17th Feb 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
NotsohopefulPete Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 24/12/2008
Posts: 1178
Loc: Toowoomba
The frustration of being an illiterate hopeless typist. I just noticed I put a full stop instead of a comma after Toowoomba on my post probably completely changing the intended meaning.

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#1452800 - 15/02/2018 09:33 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Heat & Scattered Thunderstorms - 10th to 17th Feb 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
TWEEDSTORM Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 08/01/2012
Posts: 732
Loc: Tweed Heads NSW
Overcast, murky and horrible down here. Doubt whether any storm action will be seen round here today especially when that breeze picks up.

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#1452805 - 15/02/2018 10:01 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Heat & Scattered Thunderstorms - 10th to 17th Feb 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
gleno71 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 09/11/2007
Posts: 1488
Loc: Australia
I didnt think there a was a Southerly forecasted? I thought that was next week when the southerly arrives?

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#1452806 - 15/02/2018 10:01 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Heat & Scattered Thunderstorms - 10th to 17th Feb 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Mad Elf #1.5 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 3313
Loc: Mt Hallen QLD
Already 35.5C atm.

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#1452811 - 15/02/2018 11:55 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Heat & Scattered Thunderstorms - 10th to 17th Feb 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Stormy3 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/06/2013
Posts: 1670
Loc: Ellalong,10kms SW of Cessnock ...
THERE HEAT IS HOTTER BUT IT IS A DRIER HEAT NO HUMIDITY.THE MORE HMID THE HOTTER IT FEELS.


Queensland weather: Mount Isa road worker says Brisbane can't complain about the heat
By Tim Swanston and Harriet Tatham, Thursday February 15, 2018 - 09:49 EDT
ABC image

Mt Isa traffic controller Chris Petersen said he wasn't even sweating at 42C. - ABC
South-east Queenslanders might be cranking up the air-conditioners for one of the hottest February weeks on record, but Mount Isa road worker Christopher Petersen reckons those people are a "pack of sooks".

Mr Petersen, a traffic controller in the state's north-west, said he felt pretty comfortable this week, despite the severe to extreme heatwave.

It hit 42 degrees Celsius in Mount Isa yesterday and is forecast to hit that mark again today.

"It's great here ... I'm not even sweating, I think you're a pack of sooks if you're whinging about 36," Mr Petersen said.

"When it gets hot it's about 48 ... yeah, that's hot.

"We don't take our jumpers off til it's 36."

Meanwhile in Brisbane, first-year university students Rebecca Swift and Rose Robinson found a patch of shade as Brisbane reached an apparent temperature of 37.5C.

Ms Swift said she took refuge in unexpected places to escape the heat.

"I've been just chilling in the libraries between lectures," she said.



"I've been using my aircon a lot and I feel as though my power bill will be going really high and I don't think that I would want to know the price of it right now."

Ms Robinson said she had likewise been taking advantage of the university's cooler zones.

"It's a bit hard going outside but that's okay, you've got to get to classes somehow," she said.

Heatwave breaks records

The Bureau of Meteorology said southern, central and western Queensland remained in the grip of a severe to extreme heatwave.

For two consecutive days this week, the statewide average maximum temperature soared above 40, which is a record for February.

Maximum and minimum temperatures in southern Queensland remained well above the monthly average, while western areas such as Longreach have had consecutive days of around 45C.

Forecaster Harry Clark said there was no cool change in sight.

"This heatwave has been quite notable for its widespread extent and also its duration, so we've seen really warm temperatures across a very large part of Queensland," he said.

"The good news in the south-east is that we will see temperatures start to reduce from Friday onwards and also the humidity will drop as well.

"So we will still be one or two degrees above average, but it will be much more comfortable than it has been over the last few days."
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Click here for Ellalong live weathercam,The camera is facing west towards the Wollombi,Putty area,the video live stream will be online longer, if any storms or severe weather.

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#1452812 - 15/02/2018 12:02 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Heat & Scattered Thunderstorms - 10th to 17th Feb 2018 [Re: Stormy3]
Nature's Fury Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/11/2009
Posts: 2089
Loc: Brisbane Western Suburbs
Cloud starting to build as the weak southerly establishes itself in central/southern SEQ. That was one of my concerns about storm potential today.

As for Mt Isa being hotter, we get a humid heat. They get a dry heat. The former is more oppressive.

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#1452814 - 15/02/2018 12:48 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Heat & Scattered Thunderstorms - 10th to 17th Feb 2018 [Re: gleno71]
Mega Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/02/2003
Posts: 6976
Loc: Maryborough, Wide Bay, QLD
Originally Posted By: gleno71
I didnt think there a was a Southerly forecasted? I thought that was next week when the southerly arrives?


There was a strong southerly surge that pushed up the NSW coast last night behind a weakening cold front. This is what brought the southerly change through central SEQ this morning, but in a weakened state compared to when it moved through NSW. Still, SE winds gusting to 15+ knots along parts of the exposed coast, and cloud cover generated by the change as NF pointed out...could be another inland show again while the coast misses out.

BTW it's already 34.3C here...a good couple of degrees warmer than the previous few days. Definitely a more dryish type of heat to it today as well...though expect it to get muggy again as the seabreeze pushes in this afternoon.

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