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#1454398 - 24/02/2018 19:32 NSW/ACT Widespread rain event- 25th and 26th Feb 2018
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6932
Hi everyone, I thought this was worth a thread.

Here are some rainfall totals forecasted by BoM:
Code:
             Sunday  Monday   Total
Wollongong- 25-45mm, 10-20mm  35-65mm
Sydney-     20-40mm, 15-25mm  35-65mm
Newcastle-  20-40mm, 15-30mm  35-70mm
Canberra-   15-25mm, 2-6mm    17-31mm
Bathurst-   25-45mm, 3-8mm    28-53mm



Edited by Wave Rider (24/02/2018 19:34)
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#1454401 - 24/02/2018 19:37 Re: NSW/ACT Widespread rain event- 25th and 26th Feb 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
ashestoashes Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 22/10/2017
Posts: 407
Loc: Voyager Point (South West Sydn...
Probable squall line to bring widespread rain tonight itself. grin

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#1454402 - 24/02/2018 19:41 Re: NSW/ACT Widespread rain event- 25th and 26th Feb 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6932
Yeah I noticed that, it seems to be riding the SWly change.
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#1454404 - 24/02/2018 19:47 Re: NSW/ACT Widespread rain event- 25th and 26th Feb 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5929
Loc: Dural


Edited by Homer (24/02/2018 19:47)

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#1454408 - 24/02/2018 20:01 Re: NSW/ACT Widespread rain event- 25th and 26th Feb 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
Knot Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/05/2014
Posts: 2560
Loc: Toronto N.S.W
First 'event' in around a month. Bout time. Let's hope it comes off. Squall line looks interesting.
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#1454413 - 24/02/2018 20:15 Re: NSW/ACT Widespread rain event- 25th and 26th Feb 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
Petar @ Sdny Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/03/2007
Posts: 570
Loc: South West Sydney
It's also riding along a strong southerly change. Hoping for the rain. We need it.

Cheers for setting up this event thread, Waver Rider.
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#1454416 - 24/02/2018 20:27 Re: NSW/ACT Widespread rain event- 25th and 26th Feb 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
Knot Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/05/2014
Posts: 2560
Loc: Toronto N.S.W
Let's get comfy in here and watch some weather play out.
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#1454442 - 24/02/2018 23:39 Re: NSW/ACT Widespread rain event- 25th and 26th Feb 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4320
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
Well, I see the new forecast has upgraded the coming wet spell to 'event' status. Hope it comes off. The gardens here need it. As do the farmers.

I had a short, sharp shower here about 3:00PM but the later cells missed me. Chatswood picked up 1.0 mm, probably in about 3 minutes.

We'll see what happens. It was 27 on the car thermometer when I got home about an hour ago.


Edited by Steve777 (24/02/2018 23:42)

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#1454444 - 24/02/2018 23:55 Re: NSW/ACT Widespread rain event- 25th and 26th Feb 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
DVC Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 14/11/2011
Posts: 342
Loc: Goulburn NSW
belting down again here, constant heavy and flashes ... I'm mentally calculating my tank fill ...


Edited by DVC (24/02/2018 23:55)
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#1454445 - 24/02/2018 23:57 Re: NSW/ACT Widespread rain event- 25th and 26th Feb 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
ashestoashes Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 22/10/2017
Posts: 407
Loc: Voyager Point (South West Sydn...
The dewpoints are quite supportive of rain; Penrith is sitting at 22 degrees and OH at 19.8 degrees.

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#1454446 - 24/02/2018 23:59 Re: NSW/ACT Widespread rain event- 25th and 26th Feb 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
Sidney Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 20/12/2013
Posts: 460
Loc: Macquarie fields ( South west ...
I'm just hoping we'd get some explosive development once the change gets closer with those DP's.

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#1454447 - 24/02/2018 23:59 Re: NSW/ACT Widespread rain event- 25th and 26th Feb 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
DVC Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 14/11/2011
Posts: 342
Loc: Goulburn NSW
BoM forecast upgrades have been issued around 11pm = up to potentially 70mm tomorrow!!!!


Edited by DVC (25/02/2018 00:00)
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#1454448 - 25/02/2018 00:02 Re: NSW/ACT Widespread rain event- 25th and 26th Feb 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
Marts Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/01/2006
Posts: 2208
Loc: Mona Vale, northern beaches , ...
I don't think we will see anything like the BoM is saying.
In fact check the sat pic and radar, look's dry but I seriously hope I'm wrong.

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#1454449 - 25/02/2018 00:03 Re: NSW/ACT Widespread rain event- 25th and 26th Feb 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
ashestoashes Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 22/10/2017
Posts: 407
Loc: Voyager Point (South West Sydn...
I wonder what the precipitable water for value for Sydney would be currently.

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#1454458 - 25/02/2018 06:26 Re: NSW/ACT Widespread rain event- 25th and 26th Feb 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
Rainbow Spirit Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 10/11/2010
Posts: 581
Loc: Green Valley, just west of Liv...
Unless something develops soon, I just can't see anything close to the rainfall totals that the BoM have predicted. I sincerely hope I'm wrong.

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#1454459 - 25/02/2018 06:31 Re: NSW/ACT Widespread rain event- 25th and 26th Feb 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
dknever Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 21/11/2016
Posts: 54
Loc: Liverpool, NSW
Nice breeze just came through

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#1454461 - 25/02/2018 07:19 Re: NSW/ACT Widespread rain event- 25th and 26th Feb 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
Knot Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/05/2014
Posts: 2560
Loc: Toronto N.S.W
Change seems to have gotten lost just nth of Sydney. Ran out of puff I guess. Very uncomfortable night up this way. High broken cloud.
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#1454466 - 25/02/2018 08:15 Re: NSW/ACT Widespread rain event- 25th and 26th Feb 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
mkeene(pingtang) Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 03/09/2011
Posts: 532
Loc: Nowra,NSW
Finally some decent weather to report in this neck of the woods.

Moderate rain for the last couple of hours verging on heavy at times. Rain rates pushing a steady 20mm/hr as well. Also the occasional thunder as well, makes it a lovely morning to sleep in. Definitely much welcomed, been very dry since last March.

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#1454467 - 25/02/2018 08:33 Re: NSW/ACT Widespread rain event- 25th and 26th Feb 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
Knot Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/05/2014
Posts: 2560
Loc: Toronto N.S.W
Slight breeze from south has arrived. Very light. Lots of sun now. Still very warm for this time of morning
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If you can't change something, there is only one option. Adapt!

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#1454472 - 25/02/2018 08:41 Re: NSW/ACT Widespread rain event- 25th and 26th Feb 2018 [Re: Rainbow Spirit]
GringosRain Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/06/2007
Posts: 1606
Loc: Quorrobolong NSW
Originally Posted By: Rainbow Spirit
Unless something develops soon, I just can't see anything close to the rainfall totals that the BoM have predicted. I sincerely hope I'm wrong.


Its just going to develop right over the central east....so its not like you are going to see a huge cloud mass coming down from the tropics or something.

Checkout the 950 v 500 level winds to see the advancing upper trough. Its slow moving and collides nicely with a pretty good onshore feed.

Certainly the Hunter should get a good drink tonight I think, but it should be a nice wet day right up the east from the Illawarra.

Finally!!

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