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#1455254 - 01/03/2018 11:54 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - March 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Wezza Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/01/2008
Posts: 770
Loc: North Ward, Townsville. Toll, ...
100% sounds like a great number to me. grin

Seriously though, maybe 75-80?

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#1455255 - 01/03/2018 12:00 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - March 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
ol mate Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/03/2010
Posts: 1232
Loc: Ingham, North Qld
There seems to be a bit of activity off innisfail moving in the direction of the H/B coast - do we think it will make it or will if fizzle out?
_________________________
Ingham - Golden Gumboot holder of the Northern Region - cuz we steal Townsville's Rain!

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#1455256 - 01/03/2018 12:08 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - March 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Simmo FNQ Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 08/08/2012
Posts: 2187
Loc: Mareeba
Wow. What and impressive increase. Looks possible we will find out how much rain over the catchment area is needed to fill her up. Wasn't it at 20% about 36 hours ago? Officially jealous. I hope we get an event like this to fill our dam before the end of the wet.
_________________________
YTD 832.4mm
Daily
Yearly Stats

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#1455258 - 01/03/2018 12:15 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - March 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Wezza Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/01/2008
Posts: 770
Loc: North Ward, Townsville. Toll, ...
Looks like the irrigation companies in town will be busy in the coming months repairing sprinkler systems that haven't been used in a very long time!

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#1455260 - 01/03/2018 12:25 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - March 2018 [Re: rainthisway]
Dawgggg Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 25/03/2007
Posts: 23724
Loc: Townsville
Originally Posted By: rainthisway
Originally Posted By: Dawgggg
Originally Posted By: rainthisway
I think the SWW was premature and not required. This system is not giving the widespread falls as forecast...maybe over tsv but still I dont think the SWW was required.


There has been 300-500mm recorded in 5 days in some parts.

how could that not justify a severe weather warning?

Nellt Bay had 229mm in 6 hours today.


Because thats normal for tropical systems. I always felt SWW should be issued for unusual events but events like this are not rare occurrences in the tropics. With a SWW I always expect something extraordinary to happen but tbh this is just the kinda weather ive come to expect at this time of year up here. If this event happened in SEQLD or other southern areas I believe the SWW is needed but having a SWW for a normal tropical systems seems unneeded imo. I just personally dont class this as severe weather for this location.


Sorry but that makes no sense mate.

of course a SWW was warranted. 800mm in a week? come on...
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2015/16 Storms
13 Storms 2500km travelled

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#1455262 - 01/03/2018 12:38 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - March 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Wezza Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/01/2008
Posts: 770
Loc: North Ward, Townsville. Toll, ...
Just saw another photo on fb, dam level was over 67%.

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#1455264 - 01/03/2018 12:41 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - March 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
slipperyfish Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 28/11/2011
Posts: 1470
Loc: South Mission Beach QLD
About time you lot pulled your weight when it comes to rainfall.😜

Great to see that dam filling. Take some pressure off.

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#1455269 - 01/03/2018 13:14 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - March 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
scott12 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/11/2015
Posts: 1231
Loc: maadi Tully area
Higgins is getting very excited....and putting his faith in the models predictions..


"Posted 1st March 2018. All of Western Queensland need to prepare for a potential Major Record Flood which is forecast to impact the area during the next 5 days. It could rival anything during the past 44 years (since the 1974 flood), it may also be so significant that nothing has ever been experienced like it in this state. Widespread rainfall totals of 200 to 400mm is likely with up to 550mm possible!"

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#1455273 - 01/03/2018 14:05 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - March 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Wezza Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/01/2008
Posts: 770
Loc: North Ward, Townsville. Toll, ...
Saw that. Drama queen.

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#1455277 - 01/03/2018 14:12 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - March 2018 [Re: Dawgggg]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 810
Loc: Watsonville, Atherton Tablelan...
Originally Posted By: Dawgggg
Originally Posted By: rainthisway
Originally Posted By: Dawgggg
Originally Posted By: rainthisway
I think the SWW was premature and not required. This system is not giving the widespread falls as forecast...maybe over tsv but still I dont think the SWW was required.


There has been 300-500mm recorded in 5 days in some parts.

how could that not justify a severe weather warning?

Nellt Bay had 229mm in 6 hours today.


Because thats normal for tropical systems. I always felt SWW should be issued for unusual events but events like this are not rare occurrences in the tropics. With a SWW I always expect something extraordinary to happen but tbh this is just the kinda weather ive come to expect at this time of year up here. If this event happened in SEQLD or other southern areas I believe the SWW is needed but having a SWW for a normal tropical systems seems unneeded imo. I just personally dont class this as severe weather for this location.


Sorry but that makes no sense mate.

of course a SWW was warranted. 800mm in a week? come on...


Id already retracted my view on this as incorrect due to the flooding results etc.
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Nikko

Somewhere over the rainbow

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#1455278 - 01/03/2018 14:16 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - March 2018 [Re: scott12]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 810
Loc: Watsonville, Atherton Tablelan...
Originally Posted By: scott12
Higgins is getting very excited....and putting his faith in the models predictions..


"Posted 1st March 2018. All of Western Queensland need to prepare for a potential Major Record Flood which is forecast to impact the area during the next 5 days. It could rival anything during the past 44 years (since the 1974 flood), it may also be so significant that nothing has ever been experienced like it in this state. Widespread rainfall totals of 200 to 400mm is likely with up to 550mm possible!"


Lol and people got annoyed at my previous views on the SWW. This guys is a complete moron. Im sure western qld will see something significant but like this state has never seen before is dramatic lol

The truth is this system will eventually head i to the gulf, intensify to a TC, cross the CYP and be a coast hugger....and yes I am joking. Altgough access does have a similar system o its long eange but doubt its our low.

According to TCC dam is 70%


Edited by rainthisway (01/03/2018 14:24)
_________________________
Nikko

Somewhere over the rainbow

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#1455281 - 01/03/2018 14:32 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - March 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Wezza Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/01/2008
Posts: 770
Loc: North Ward, Townsville. Toll, ...
If someone had of told me at the start of the week that the dam would be 70% by Thursday, I would've laughed in their face.

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#1455282 - 01/03/2018 14:32 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - March 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 13366
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
RR dam now passed 70%. Astonishing!
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1455283 - 01/03/2018 14:33 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - March 2018 [Re: Wezza]
scott12 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/11/2015
Posts: 1231
Loc: maadi Tully area
Originally Posted By: Wezza
Saw that. Drama queen.


lol..he sure likes to make headlines doesnt he..!

Where do you guys find the dam levels..?

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#1455284 - 01/03/2018 14:34 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - March 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Red Watch Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 14/03/2010
Posts: 535
Loc: Cranbrook, Townsville
The rain over the Ross catchment is fading away lets hope there is enough water inflow to take it to 100%.

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#1455290 - 01/03/2018 15:37 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - March 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 13366
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
Some photos I took at the dam this morning:







_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1455295 - 01/03/2018 16:09 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - March 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
CuNimJim Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 21/12/2005
Posts: 476
Loc: Whitfield, Cairns
Amazing guys! Hope it keeps coming. Next week looking very interesting for us all.

Rough water level vs % full for Ross River Dam based on data supplied over the past view days. Note the curve is not linear due to the increasing surface area as the level rises. Inflow looking good for another 12 hours although will taper as the low moves west.

WaterRL %full
32.0 12.7
32.5 14.5
33.0 17.0
33.5 20.4
34.0 24.5
34.5 29.4
35.0 35.1
35.5 41.6
36.0 48.9
36.5 57.0
37.0 65.9
37.5 75.6
38.0 86.1
38.5 97.4
39.0 109.4


Edited by CuNimJim (01/03/2018 16:09)
_________________________
2017 - 1,809mm
2018 - 3,151mm
MTD: - 265.0mm (Mar)
YTD: - 1,442mm

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#1455300 - 01/03/2018 16:42 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - March 2018 [Re: Simmo FNQ]
DVE Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 28/02/2018
Posts: 2
Originally Posted By: Simmo FNQ
Wow. What and impressive increase. Looks possible we will find out how much rain over the catchment area is needed to fill her up. Wasn't it at 20% about 36 hours ago? Officially jealous. I hope we get an event like this to fill our dam before the end of the wet.


I see a few people have been discussing this, and we should be able to work it out from the data that TCC give. They list the catchment area as 750sqkm, and 100% full as 233,187ML. Now 1 cubic metre is 1000L, So, with some unit conversion:
rainfall to fill dam from 0% to 100% = 233,187ML/750sqkm = 310mm average across the catchment.

This of course assumes the ground is properly saturated to begin with so we get runoff. We know it was saturated before this event, courtesy of last week’s rain, since the level did start rising last week. I don’t know how much it takes to get it saturated.

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#1455304 - 01/03/2018 17:05 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - March 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
CuNimJim Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 21/12/2005
Posts: 476
Loc: Whitfield, Cairns
http://www.bom.gov.au/fwo/IDQ65393/IDQ65393.532020.plt.shtml

So the water level is at RL 37.47 @ 1529 on 01 .03.18.

According to my calcs in above post that means the dam is now at approx 75%!

Looking at the plotted data the rate of inflow is decreasing as the rainfall eases.

Wouldn't expect to see this go much above 80%...until next week if we see another event at which time it wouldn't take much to see the gates opened.
_________________________
2017 - 1,809mm
2018 - 3,151mm
MTD: - 265.0mm (Mar)
YTD: - 1,442mm

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#1455307 - 01/03/2018 17:31 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - March 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
tsunami Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 06/12/2010
Posts: 1373
Loc: Wynnum SE Brisbane
Wow last year i hot shot down in flames mentioning 1 good rain event would fill the dam.....to be told it would take well over 2 meters of rain.
As not knowing i excepted that
Pleased uou guys finally got a full up
They might stop building the staduim now the dams almost full..bahhhaaa
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Wynnum SE Brisbane

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