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#1457222 - 15/03/2018 09:57 Re: Tropical Cyclone Linda (Coral Sea 90P) - March 2018 [Re: ifishcq]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 808
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
Originally Posted By: ifishcq
Originally Posted By: rainthisway
Originally Posted By: Mega
As one of the biggest pessimists here I would normally say by now that that's the season done...but looking ahead on ext GFS and EC, there still does seem to be something trying to brew near PNG. Whether that eventuates to anything, who really knows, but it's worth keeping an eye on.


Well I just found it a bit silly to say the wet seasons over when we still have a deepening monsoon trough north of australia and the rest of march and april left. Thats six weeks of the official season.



Iím happy to call the wet season over.
Letís now focus on what the winter months might bring, perhaps an ECL or 2


There is a deepening monsoon trough...the wet season is not over. As for ECL we dont get them up here so no use to us...only really effect Nsw and seqld.
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1457227 - 15/03/2018 10:38 Re: Tropical Cyclone Linda (Coral Sea 90P) - March 2018 [Re: rainthisway]
Mike Hauber Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 13/07/2007
Posts: 3200
Loc: Buderim
Originally Posted By: rainthisway


There is a deepening monsoon trough...the wet season is not over. As for ECL we dont get them up here so no use to us...only really effect Nsw and seqld.


Depends where you are. April average rainfall in Rockhampton is only 43mm, so its not unreasonable to say that the wet season in Rockhampton is over in my opinion. Areas in the far north of course still have plenty of time for late season tropical activity.

ECLs definitely impact further north than SEQ, but not as frequently. Some of our best ECLs are the ones that start on the central QLD coast and strengthen as they slide south along the coast towards SEQ. A search for 'Townsville' through Harden up's ECL history finds three instances of major ECLs that initially formed near Townsville, and had major impacts SEQ or NSW.

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#1457241 - 15/03/2018 11:57 Re: Tropical Cyclone Linda (Coral Sea 90P) - March 2018 [Re: Dan101]
Tempest Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2001
Posts: 3585
Any one remember TC Beni in 2003, I do recall that converted to an ECL and drifted back north to the Central Qld coast.

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#1457277 - 15/03/2018 15:51 Re: Tropical Cyclone Linda (Coral Sea 90P) - March 2018 [Re: Dan101]
Ken Kato Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 5297
A significant number of apparent ECLís that form near the more northern parts of the QLD coast are hybrids (they have characteristics of both pure ECLís and warm cored tropical systems).


Edited by Ken Kato (15/03/2018 15:53)

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#1457306 - 15/03/2018 20:38 Re: Tropical Cyclone Linda (Coral Sea 90P) - March 2018 [Re: Dan101]
Flowin Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/10/2017
Posts: 507
Loc: Pinjarra Hills, Qld
I would be interested in whether any of the experienced cyclone observers could comment on whether TC Linda may have broken records, (or nearly) for the shortest lived cyclone?

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#1457326 - 15/03/2018 22:01 Re: Tropical Cyclone Linda (Coral Sea 90P) - March 2018 [Re: Mike Hauber]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 808
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
Originally Posted By: Mike Hauber
Originally Posted By: rainthisway


There is a deepening monsoon trough...the wet season is not over. As for ECL we dont get them up here so no use to us...only really effect Nsw and seqld.


Depends where you are. April average rainfall in Rockhampton is only 43mm, so its not unreasonable to say that the wet season in Rockhampton is over in my opinion. Areas in the far north of course still have plenty of time for late season tropical activity.

ECLs definitely impact further north than SEQ, but not as frequently. Some of our best ECLs are the ones that start on the central QLD coast and strengthen as they slide south along the coast towards SEQ. A search for 'Townsville' through Harden up's ECL history finds three instances of major ECLs that initially formed near Townsville, and had major impacts SEQ or NSW.


My point being ECL do not effect us...not.often...as Ken said we get hybrid systems...not actually the same as ECL. Anyway my point is the wet season ia not over...even down rockhampton you can get good wet periods in winter.
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1457386 - 16/03/2018 12:28 Re: Tropical Cyclone Linda (Coral Sea 90P) - March 2018 [Re: Dan101]
Mike Hauber Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 13/07/2007
Posts: 3200
Loc: Buderim
Hybrids are still a low pressure system. And if they occur near Townsville thats part of the east coast.

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#1457405 - 16/03/2018 15:28 Re: Tropical Cyclone Linda (Coral Sea 90P) - March 2018 [Re: Dan101]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 808
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
Yes but the point being ecl in the traditional sense are not warm cored.

Hiwever by your definition TC would be ECL's but we know thats not the case.


Edited by rainthisway (16/03/2018 15:29)
_________________________
Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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