Page 2 of 11 < 1 2 3 4 ... 10 11 >
Topic Options
#1456682 - 11/03/2018 19:07 Re: Tropical Cyclone Linda (Coral Sea 90P) - March 2018 [Re: Dan101]
Popeye Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 7851
Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
Phew. Thanks Cyclone Tim. Cause the models have been so accurate this year it's sure to miss then. Haha
_________________________
Popeye's 2015/16 Broome Wet Season Images

Top
#1456683 - 11/03/2018 19:11 Re: Tropical Cyclone Linda (Coral Sea 90P) - March 2018 [Re: Dan101]
Wrasse42 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2013
Posts: 318
Loc: Gladstone, Queensland
Wow to be uncertain of movements beyond 2 days shows the steering mechanics arenít set in concrete, will be interesting next couple of days for sure. Media is going to town with this one lol.

Top
#1456684 - 11/03/2018 19:17 Re: Tropical Cyclone Linda (Coral Sea 90P) - March 2018 [Re: Dan101]
Popeye Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 7851
Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
Just stock up on milk, bread, water and baked beans now just to be safe. Oh and toilet paper.
_________________________
Popeye's 2015/16 Broome Wet Season Images

Top
#1456685 - 11/03/2018 19:23 Re: Tropical Cyclone Linda (Coral Sea 90P) - March 2018 [Re: Popeye]
CycloneTim Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 12/01/2015
Posts: 29
Loc: Mackay
Originally Posted By: Popeye
Phew. Thanks Cyclone Tim. Cause the models have been so accurate this year it's sure to miss then. Haha


all good smile

Top
#1456688 - 11/03/2018 19:46 Re: Tropical Cyclone Linda (Coral Sea 90P) - March 2018 [Re: Ken Kato]
Rossby Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 03/02/2018
Posts: 71
Originally Posted By: Ken Kato
Latest suggestion from the UK ensemble (MOGREPS) has most members currently keeping the Solomon Islands system out to sea while an outlier brings it onto the coast:





link for the above plot.
https://ruc.noaa.gov/tracks/


Its a good idea to look at ens trends.

Top
#1456689 - 11/03/2018 19:52 Re: Tropical Cyclone Linda (Coral Sea 90P) - March 2018 [Re: Popeye]
Steve O Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/03/2011
Posts: 3122
Loc: Beenleigh, QLD
Originally Posted By: Popeye
OMG at latest EC is that a CAT 4 hitting Brisbane. Arghh nooooo. Our news filled with weeks of QLD doom.


Classic Popeye, you should start your own FB weather page.

Top
#1456691 - 11/03/2018 20:01 Re: Tropical Cyclone Linda (Coral Sea 90P) - March 2018 [Re: Dan101]
Popeye Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 7851
Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
Already have. But just like to stir you lot. To let a year pass with no Popeye stirring QLders would be sad. Its just taken this long for something to happen. I guess NZ is the new QLD. They get all yours this year.
_________________________
Popeye's 2015/16 Broome Wet Season Images

Top
#1456692 - 11/03/2018 20:12 Re: Tropical Cyclone Linda (Coral Sea 90P) - March 2018 [Re: Popeye]
Synoptic Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 06/03/2011
Posts: 74
Loc: Cairns
Originally Posted By: Popeye
OMG at latest EC is that a CAT 4 hitting Brisbane. Arghh nooooo. Our news filled with weeks of QLD doom.


And just before the Commonwealth Games too!

Top
#1456697 - 11/03/2018 21:16 Re: Tropical Cyclone Linda (Coral Sea 90P) - March 2018 [Re: Dan101]
Rossby Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 03/02/2018
Posts: 71
That's not a outliner track ken (UKMEY) that is the actual deterministic track.




https://ruc.noaa.gov/hfip/tceps/tceps.php?stm=90P.2018&dtg=2018031100

Top
#1456698 - 11/03/2018 21:22 Re: Tropical Cyclone Linda (Coral Sea 90P) - March 2018 [Re: Rossby]
Ken Kato Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 5129
Originally Posted By: Rossby
That's not a outliner track ken (UKMEY) that is the actual deterministic track.

I know Rossby, but I was referring to it being an outlier in the context of the general tracks/consensus of the perturbed members of the ensemble.

Top
#1456699 - 11/03/2018 21:24 Re: Tropical Cyclone Linda (Coral Sea 90P) - March 2018 [Re: Rossby]
Mathew Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 11/01/2006
Posts: 6786
Loc: Townsville, Queensland
I am thinking it's is a Townsville hit.

We will see who right or not right and way if that play out.


Just an little note there are two Tropical low.

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/sohemi/sohemiloops/shirgmscol.html


Edited by Mathew (11/03/2018 21:26)
_________________________
Rs tl 2017/18 Wet Season.
Aug 8/16/17->> 11/23/17 8:00am p 24 h 27.17mm
12/17/17 Dec 7:52pm GR 0.00mm > 24 past 0.00mm > 0.00mm

Top
#1456700 - 11/03/2018 21:35 Re: Tropical Cyclone Linda (Coral Sea 90P) - March 2018 [Re: Mathew]
Rossby Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 03/02/2018
Posts: 71
Yes the 2nd comes later ec has been showing it on the cyclone
model past few days. GfS also has it.

Top
#1456701 - 11/03/2018 21:57 Re: Tropical Cyclone Linda (Coral Sea 90P) - March 2018 [Re: Rossby]
Mathew Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 11/01/2006
Posts: 6786
Loc: Townsville, Queensland
Yep it's sure have.

Any things is Possible that the main things.


Edited by Mathew (11/03/2018 21:59)
_________________________
Rs tl 2017/18 Wet Season.
Aug 8/16/17->> 11/23/17 8:00am p 24 h 27.17mm
12/17/17 Dec 7:52pm GR 0.00mm > 24 past 0.00mm > 0.00mm

Top
#1456702 - 11/03/2018 22:06 Re: Tropical Cyclone Linda (Coral Sea 90P) - March 2018 [Re: Popeye]
Flowin Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/10/2017
Posts: 434
Loc: Pinjarra Hills, Qld
Originally Posted By: Popeye
I guess NZ is the new QLD. They get all yours this year.


Can't deny that observation, NZ TC magnet working over time this season.

Top
#1456714 - 11/03/2018 23:03 Re: Tropical Cyclone Linda (Coral Sea 90P) - March 2018 [Re: Dan101]
Rossby Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 03/02/2018
Posts: 71

GFS 2 storms same as ec



UKMET

Bare in mind these are sshs 1min scale I'm not expecting any formation of 90P for atleast 48hrs. Good luck with it guys.

back to my 3rd world country

Top
#1456731 - 12/03/2018 09:37 Re: Tropical Cyclone Linda (Coral Sea 90P) - March 2018 [Re: Mathew]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 803
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
Originally Posted By: Mathew
I am thinking it's is a Townsville hit.

We will see who right or not right and way if that play out.


Just an little note there are two Tropical low.

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/sohemi/sohemiloops/shirgmscol.html


Considering theres no model showing that, I highly doubt it will go anywhere near us.


Edited by rainthisway (12/03/2018 09:38)
_________________________
Nikko

Mutarnee, Southern Wet Tropics - 70km North of Townsville and 40km south of Ingham.

MTD (Apr 2018]: 10mm (Ave 136mm)
Mar 2018: 679.9mm (avg 329.6mm)
YTD 2018 1787.3mm (Avg 1952.1mm)

Top
#1456746 - 12/03/2018 11:25 Re: Tropical Cyclone Linda (Coral Sea 90P) - March 2018 [Re: Dan101]
Popeye Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 7851
Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
Wow I was expecting to come in here to see some good discussions. Oh Well there is always 2019. poke
_________________________
Popeye's 2015/16 Broome Wet Season Images

Top
#1456747 - 12/03/2018 11:27 Re: Tropical Cyclone Linda (Coral Sea 90P) - March 2018 [Re: Popeye]
@_Yasified_shak Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/03/2009
Posts: 4129
Loc: El Arish
Originally Posted By: Popeye
Wow I was expecting to come in here to see some good discussions. Oh Well there is always 2019. poke


Um, weren't you moving to the action capital of Australia? Tasmania? evillaugh poke grin
_________________________
Why is it in the era of "Time saving" devices, that people are more "Time poor" than ever?

Humans think they are the fabric of society,when they are merely part of the thread.


Top
#1456751 - 12/03/2018 12:08 Re: Tropical Cyclone Linda (Coral Sea 90P) - March 2018 [Re: Dan101]
Chris Stumer Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 28/01/2010
Posts: 1786
Loc: Kingaroy
All we can do now is wait and see, the track and intensity of the Coral Sea low is still uncertain. The current models are starting to show a shift back towards the west.

Top
#1456753 - 12/03/2018 12:40 Re: Tropical Cyclone Linda (Coral Sea 90P) - March 2018 [Re: Dan101]
Locke Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/12/2007
Posts: 4446
Loc: Brisbane
GFS has started to shift West since yesterday with closest approach point to SE QLD now considerably closer than the 18Z run yesterday.

A similar shift further West again would place the system on the coast.
_________________________
This post and any other post by Locke is NOT an official forecast & should not be used as such. It's just my opinion & may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, refer to Australian Bureau of Meteorology products.

Top
Page 2 of 11 < 1 2 3 4 ... 10 11 >


Who's Online
5 registered (Dawgggg, Foehn Correspondent, ifishcq, davida, Matt Pearce), 312 Guests and 3 Spiders online.
Key: Admin, Global Mod, Mod
Today's Birthdays
Adam H, Deejay58, Power Storm
Forum Stats
29565 Members
32 Forums
23902 Topics
1491086 Posts

Max Online: 2925 @ 02/02/2011 22:23
Satellite Image