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#1456719 - 12/03/2018 06:28 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Steve777]
DerekHV Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/02/2010
Posts: 1202
Loc: Aberglasslyn (Maitland) NSW
Originally Posted By: Steve777
I think that the 30C barrier in May is soft on the East Coast and will be breached in the next few years. By early May, Westerlies are common, cold fronts used to be common but have been weakening if not disappearing, the sea breeze is weak and the Monsoon has gone from the North, so there's plenty of hot air up there ready to be dragged across the continent. Across Sydney, it's reached 28 or 29 multiple times in recent years, 30 is just a matter of time.

Other soft records for Sydney: 35-37 in April and September, 32 in August, maybe 43-45 in November and December.


I'd agree about May,very likely at the very start of the month.
The October record is also "soft", esp since the 2 hottest temps are in the 1st half of the month.
The first week of November has recorded 39-40C, and other places near Sydney similarly have 40C in October.
The November record from 1982 is fairly strong imo, right at the end of an El Nino and drought period, although the December record is definitely soft.
Cool night here, looks like we have gone below 10C for the first time this year.

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#1456720 - 12/03/2018 06:53 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Knot Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/05/2014
Posts: 2560
Loc: Toronto N.S.W
Well its good to have a below av nite thanx to clearer skys and wind direction. Nice.
I hope you wrong about 30 and other temps being breached in certain months Steve.
Surprised Tocal hasnt done a 30 in May Derek.
Agree that Nobbys not so representative of much of Newie these days beyond the sea breeze boundary and water/land heat capacity ie cooler on most summer days than places like Glendale etc and warmer onite in winter.

Now surely no one can blame an avowed and well documented cold frog from having a whinge. I'd be fine if we were headed into a downtick in March temps to even out the above av so far. Instead it is going to be the opposite. Whether it drags the avs close or above record territory remains to be seen.
The synoptic says it all. And it will speak louder.
Help me get thru this Homer he he.

P.s Wonder how WR going. Hasn't posted in awhile


Edited by Knot (12/03/2018 06:55)
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#1456729 - 12/03/2018 09:28 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10140
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
We had a "9" Sunday morning - very pleasant indeed.

About 9 or 10 this morning - MARRANGAROO (near Lithgow) was 5!!!!

Our nights have at least cooled slightly now BUT the heat monster is still hanging about. Despite my hopeful thoughts last week - it looks like we will get into the low 30's this coming weekend - fair dinkum!!!

Currently average max is 27 which is about 2.3 above average.

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#1456735 - 12/03/2018 10:10 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Befour Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/04/2015
Posts: 207
Loc: Kingsford (Sydney)
Already too cold this morning haha. I hate winter.

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#1456737 - 12/03/2018 10:12 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Duane Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 25/11/2005
Posts: 1418
Loc: Lake Albert, Wagga Wagga, NSW.
Not NSW related, but I'm in New Zealand (Auckland) about to be smacked by the edge of a cyclone, so looks like an inside day today!
Duane.

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#1456740 - 12/03/2018 10:46 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Knot Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/05/2014
Posts: 2560
Loc: Toronto N.S.W
Kiwis stealing tropical moisture yet again.
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#1456741 - 12/03/2018 10:47 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Sidney Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 20/12/2013
Posts: 484
Loc: Macquarie fields ( South west ...
Marrangaroo would Definitely be a contender to Goulburn AP during Winter. Wonder if a -10c is possible.

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#1456742 - 12/03/2018 11:00 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Knot Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/05/2014
Posts: 2560
Loc: Toronto N.S.W
@Dave. Area south east of Wentworth around Euston etc currently has a +4 min temp anomaly. Highest in the state.
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#1456744 - 12/03/2018 11:07 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10140
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
For sure Knotty, I don't reckon we'd be the worst, I think we would be similar to a lot of areas for March so far. smile

DUANE - enjoy the damp for a change smile

SIDNEY - yes I think Marrangaroo could be an eye opener this winter. Quite a high little enclosed valley, often looks VERY frosty in winter.

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#1456748 - 12/03/2018 11:48 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Duane Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 25/11/2005
Posts: 1418
Loc: Lake Albert, Wagga Wagga, NSW.
Was just checking the weather at home and looks like summer is still hanging around!

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#1456749 - 12/03/2018 11:57 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Knot Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/05/2014
Posts: 2560
Loc: Toronto N.S.W
A good stretch of the Murray also has the highest max anomalies too. The only cooler anomaly area is the nor east of the state.
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#1456800 - 12/03/2018 17:20 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Kino Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 2689
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Small surface low scooting up thew coast with the weak change. Causing plenty of stratocu with dark bases - hopefully a shower later.

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#1456803 - 12/03/2018 17:39 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Kino]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 6000
Loc: Dural
Originally Posted By: Kino
Small surface low scooting up thew coast with the weak change. Causing plenty of stratocu with dark bases - hopefully a shower later.


Interesting.
Almost a cloudless sky in all directions here atm, yet I noticed the BOM forecast for showers developing this evening.
Visible sat pic show's a different story to my south over the South Coast and Illawarra.
Looking forward to a few showers overnight and tomorrow hopefully.

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#1456804 - 12/03/2018 17:54 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
DerekHV Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/02/2010
Posts: 1202
Loc: Aberglasslyn (Maitland) NSW
9-28C today, just short of the forecast max, but very springlike with this diurnal range, as opposed to the 1st half of March.
@knot, Tocal is a funny place in some ways, it tends to cool off more in the cooler months, but hotter than Maitland overall in summer. (although I also think the new station at Maitland Airport is cooler overall than Maitland Visitors centre, slightly more elevated)


Edited by DerekHV (12/03/2018 17:58)

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#1456806 - 12/03/2018 17:59 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Homer]
Kino Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 2689
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Originally Posted By: Homer
Originally Posted By: Kino
Small surface low scooting up thew coast with the weak change. Causing plenty of stratocu with dark bases - hopefully a shower later.


Interesting.
Almost a cloudless sky in all directions here atm, yet I noticed the BOM forecast for showers developing this evening.
Visible sat pic show's a different story to my south over the South Coast and Illawarra.
Looking forward to a few showers overnight and tomorrow hopefully.



Drizzle now visible over the escarpment and on radar (often below the beam esp towards the Calderwood Valley end of the escarpment). Light spits here too in Gwynneville now.

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#1456811 - 12/03/2018 18:30 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Knot Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/05/2014
Posts: 2560
Loc: Toronto N.S.W
Agree Derek. Spring now. Not autumn


Edited by Knot (12/03/2018 18:34)
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#1456815 - 12/03/2018 18:38 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
mkeene(pingtang) Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 03/09/2011
Posts: 538
Loc: Nowra,NSW
A gloom fest here in all directions, escarpment cloaked in low cloud. 200 meters above sea level would get you in a thick fog. Some mizzle/drizzle as well, enough to wet the roads, but barely enough to register 0.2mm in the gauge.

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#1456820 - 12/03/2018 18:56 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4441
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
Still almost clear here after what was pretty much a photocopy of yesterday. Sunny, warm, afternoon seabreezes, about 27 max. That's been the pattern, around 18-27 every day.

There is some cloud buildup now visible to the South. The satellite pic shows what looks like solid marine layer on the coast South of Sydney. The radar shows light rain on the Illawarra coastal strip - must be the drizzle mKeen referred to.


Edited by Steve777 (12/03/2018 18:59)

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#1456836 - 12/03/2018 20:01 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Kino Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 2689
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Light to moderate rain here now and very humid.

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#1456841 - 12/03/2018 20:30 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Knot Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/05/2014
Posts: 2560
Loc: Toronto N.S.W
March 98 redux for parts of NSW and Vic on weekend. But we aren't in or at the tail end of a very strong El Nino.
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