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#1456939 - 13/03/2018 12:03 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
BIG T Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 24/01/2012
Posts: 1177
Loc: Albany Creek , QLD
cracking set up , especially if it was slow moving. Maybe that's it , they think this system, by then, will have the skates on?

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#1456940 - 13/03/2018 12:06 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Mad Elf #1.5 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 3600
Loc: Mt Hallen QLD
Good looking shower trains moving along just off the coast on Stapy.
Mofels keep the big rains over water, mabe that'll change?

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#1456945 - 13/03/2018 12:19 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
gleno71 Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 09/11/2007
Posts: 1684
Loc: Australia
Yeah was looking at that, i'm at a loss as to why the shower activity is increasing when its the same weather pattern as yesterday, yet we had mainly fine weather yesterday?

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#1456956 - 13/03/2018 13:15 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Mad Elf #1.5 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 3600
Loc: Mt Hallen QLD
Trying real hard to rain atm, few spits here & there. Stapy must be calibrated nicely.

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#1456961 - 13/03/2018 13:34 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: gleno71]
gberg Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 14/08/2015
Posts: 88
Loc: noosaville
Originally Posted By: gleno71
Yeah was looking at that, i'm at a loss as to why the shower activity is increasing when its the same weather pattern as yesterday, yet we had mainly fine weather yesterday?


Bom mentioned in their forecast that a trough was supposed to move west from the coral sea which would enhance showers so that must be the difference Gleno.

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#1456968 - 13/03/2018 13:47 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: gberg]
gleno71 Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 09/11/2007
Posts: 1684
Loc: Australia
Originally Posted By: gberg
Originally Posted By: gleno71
Yeah was looking at that, i'm at a loss as to why the shower activity is increasing when its the same weather pattern as yesterday, yet we had mainly fine weather yesterday?


Bom mentioned in their forecast that a trough was supposed to move west from the coral sea which would enhance showers so that must be the difference Gleno.


Yes I seen that in the QLD forecast however when checking the winds there's no sign of winds clashing from different directions which generally shows where the trough is located

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#1456979 - 13/03/2018 14:21 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
PlumbBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 07/05/2011
Posts: 583
Loc: Ashmore Gold Coast
Awesome reading through this Re: coral sea system, last few days, Great to know what the possible scenarios are and possible effects on the coastal areas, which seem 'not to shabby' in reality. Could have been a lot worse if not 'protected' in-a-sense, to the extent of the upper level trough and relevant sheer cool
Credits to all & thnx smile
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#1456992 - 13/03/2018 16:19 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Chris Stumer Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 28/01/2010
Posts: 1841
Loc: Kingaroy
Wanda was only a weak cyclone when she made landfall but she brought flooding rains to SEQ.

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#1456993 - 13/03/2018 16:26 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: dan]
whethertraveller Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 27/12/2011
Posts: 113
Loc: Northern Gold Coast
Originally Posted By: dan
i got a rely back from redlands council


Hi Dan, thanks for reaching out. The messaging we've put out is to encourage residents to be prepared for the expected heavy rainfall. There are residents in low-lying areas and the island residents are sometimes affected by these storms. Thanks, Emma


Thankyou Dan. So RCC are still thinking there may be heavy rain, that's interesting when BOM aren't forecasting that. I can understand inundation from storm surge or waves on the islands, or in places like Victoria Point Cleveland etc but the rain is puzzling. I don't mind if that doesn't happen, the ground here is already saturated, so with strong winds many of the large trees around here could be affected.

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#1457000 - 13/03/2018 17:08 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Steve O Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/03/2011
Posts: 3323
Loc: Beenleigh, QLD
Someone in the Redland Bay Council oviously didn't really look into the forecast and just caught onto some hype and hey presto.

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#1457004 - 13/03/2018 17:15 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: gleno71]
Steve O Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/03/2011
Posts: 3323
Loc: Beenleigh, QLD
Originally Posted By: gleno71
Originally Posted By: gberg
Originally Posted By: gleno71
Yeah was looking at that, i'm at a loss as to why the shower activity is increasing when its the same weather pattern as yesterday, yet we had mainly fine weather yesterday?


Bom mentioned in their forecast that a trough was supposed to move west from the coral sea which would enhance showers so that must be the difference Gleno.


Yes I seen that in the QLD forecast however when checking the winds there's no sign of winds clashing from different directions which generally shows where the trough is located


What you should look for is the clockwise curvature of the winds sometimes they are not that well defined with a weak trough but generally if a trough is to your west the winds will either be turning from SW to Nw'ly they arnt usually clashing together in the upper levels but on the surface when you have winds clashing together that is convergence associated with surface trough and onshore winds.

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#1457009 - 13/03/2018 17:46 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
retired weather man Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/07/2007
Posts: 4839
Loc: Wynnum
Also puzzled by Redland Council. I lived there during ex Wanda which saw a combined big tide, heavy rain and strong northerly winds which would be expected to produce flooding along the coastline and backed up creeks - with the narrowing of Moreton Bay towards the Redlands, but the result was insignificant at Victoria Point at least which is open to the north.

With this current tropical low there will be even less chance of coastal issues as the winds will be more southerly which will be largely OFFSHORE in Redlands. Woody Point area at Redcliffe would be more in line for coastal issues with this low, than the Redlands.
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#1457013 - 13/03/2018 17:59 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Flowin Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/10/2017
Posts: 601
Loc: Pinjarra Hills, Qld
RWM, councils seem to be more trying to be proactive, ahead on the game, in recent years, especially since the QLD inspector emergency management has done a number of reviews. Google IGEM QLD to see some reviews.
Nonetheless I agree, heavy rain is not a sensible trigger for their advice as no indications yet of this. Wind I would understand as a trigger for SEQ generally, noting your points about Redland specifics, perhaps bay is less chance than more open areas from waves or big seas. Electricity utilities around SEQ may be busy in days ahead.


Edited by Flowin (13/03/2018 18:02)

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#1457029 - 13/03/2018 19:34 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Steve O Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/03/2011
Posts: 3323
Loc: Beenleigh, QLD
It's not just Redland Council saw on the news there is a fair few other areas doing sand bagging so check out your local council website. As for heavy rain and a major event I give that a 2% chance. Not disagreeing its better to be safe than sorry.

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#1457046 - 13/03/2018 20:48 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Flowin Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/10/2017
Posts: 601
Loc: Pinjarra Hills, Qld
Are the days ahead worthy of an event thread?
I would be happy to start one, but what would we call it?
" TC Linda degrading to weaker system, most likely no landfall, but some chance?"

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#1457056 - 13/03/2018 21:08 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
james1977 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2009
Posts: 2851
Loc: collingwood park
Linda no show maybe?
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#1457060 - 13/03/2018 21:22 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Steve O Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/03/2011
Posts: 3323
Loc: Beenleigh, QLD
Yep do it smile
Don't worry seabreeze will edit it if need be.

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#1457063 - 13/03/2018 21:29 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Flowin Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/10/2017
Posts: 601
Loc: Pinjarra Hills, Qld
Event of some description in new thread here:
http://forum.weatherzone.com.au/ubbthrea...g_o#Post1457061
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#1457069 - 13/03/2018 21:40 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Flowin Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/10/2017
Posts: 601
Loc: Pinjarra Hills, Qld
Forecast synopsis in simpler terms.
Somewhere will get weather.
Media will sensationalise.
Somebody will do something stupid.. Related to above but could be something else.
Somebody will do something brave.
Someone after the event will claim they were right.
Interesting to see

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#1457201 - 14/03/2018 20:57 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Ken Kato Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 5607
Looks to gradually get hotter than normal over the coming days (provided ex-Linda's remains don't do some unforecast act) before temps go back down mid next week with another burst of gusty S to SE'lies.

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