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#1457525 - 17/03/2018 11:50 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Marcus (92S) - Arafura Sea March 2018 [Re: Mick10]
Hagrid Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 13/02/2013
Posts: 252
Loc: Crediton Qld
So how come they don't go to hourly updates?

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#1457526 - 17/03/2018 11:52 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Marcus (92S) - Arafura Sea March 2018 [Re: Hagrid]
pintscc Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 01/02/2011
Posts: 28
They have just announced the switch to hourly updates.

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#1457527 - 17/03/2018 11:55 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Marcus (92S) - Arafura Sea March 2018 [Re: Mick10]
darwindix Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/03/2016
Posts: 72
Loc: Jingili Darwin
986.0hPa Nearly a cat 2.

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#1457528 - 17/03/2018 11:57 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Marcus (92S) - Arafura Sea March 2018 [Re: Mick10]
marakai Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/01/2006
Posts: 1827
Loc: Maryfarms NQ
Look's like its just east of the Air Port, bit late for hourly updates.

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#1457533 - 17/03/2018 12:19 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Marcus (92S) - Arafura Sea March 2018 [Re: Mick10]
Hagrid Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 13/02/2013
Posts: 252
Loc: Crediton Qld
982.9 Hp at the air port.

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#1457534 - 17/03/2018 12:27 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Marcus (92S) - Arafura Sea March 2018 [Re: Mick10]
yep Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/07/2013
Posts: 395
Loc: Hobart
What was the most recent cyclone that was more intense than this one for the Darwin area ( in terms of wind speeds now underway ) ?

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#1457535 - 17/03/2018 12:32 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Marcus (92S) - Arafura Sea March 2018 [Re: Rossby]
Rossby Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 03/02/2018
Posts: 71
Originally Posted By: Rossby
Quote:
Tropical Cyclone Marcus has intensified over the Van Diemen Gulf during the last few hours and is now a Category 2 strength tropical cyclone. The cyclone is expected pass close to Darwin today, before moving into the Timor Sea later this evening. During Sunday, Tropical Cyclone Marcus is expected to approach the north Kimberley as a Category 2 strength cyclone.



Sure did and built a eyewall to. Take no notice of the intensity
on the micro's.The presentation says it all.


Progression over the hours from a small wrspped core to a eyewall. waiting on the next micro's will be interesting.























Eye filled in quite quickly when the core went over land.
Should refire up rapidly when llcc gets back over water.


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#1457536 - 17/03/2018 13:13 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Marcus (92S) - Arafura Sea March 2018 [Re: Mick10]
Inclement Weather Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 07/03/2006
Posts: 5225
Loc: Diamond Valley
Strange, I know it's only a cat 2 cyclone and Territorians are famous for their resilience, but I just went through all the TV stations, including the weather channel and nothing, zilch, nada on the passage of Marcus through Darwin. It may be different on local Darwin TV, but if this were to have hit any of the regional centres of Queensland - especially Brisbane - there would have been wall to wall live coverage. Hmm, I hope you don't feel neglected by the rest of the country Darwin and its surrounds, but keep safe all the same.
_________________________
The original donut hole

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#1457537 - 17/03/2018 13:14 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Marcus (92S) - Arafura Sea March 2018 [Re: Inclement Weather]
pintscc Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 01/02/2011
Posts: 28
I agree, the lack of coverage is somewhat bemusing. Mainstream news websites showing very little, or nothing at all!

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#1457538 - 17/03/2018 13:15 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Marcus (92S) - Arafura Sea March 2018 [Re: Mick10]
desieboy Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 31/12/2002
Posts: 3488
Loc: Broome


A bit of technical info from BOM .

TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - NORTHERN REGION
Issued by DARWIN TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 0157 UTC 17/03/2018

Name: Tropical Cyclone Marcus


The upper level ridge lies just to the south of TC Marcus. Water vapour imagery
shows good outflow to the NW sector, weaker outflow to the S sector but
constrained outflow to the E. CIMSS vertical wind shear at 17/00Z was easterly
at 19 knots.

The latest position is made with good confidence based on Berrimah radar and is
located jnear Darwin Harbour.

The system is expected to adopt a SW track past Darwin and towards the Timor Sea
over the next 12 to 24
hours as a mid latitude trough moves east across the Great Australian Bight and
pushes the mid level ridge over southern Australia further north, creating a
stronger easterly steering.

Tropical Cyclone Marcus may weaken briefly to below category 2 as it interacts
with the Darwin coastline. Once the tropical low moves into the Timor Sea during
tonight, development is likely to continue at a standard rate or faster,
reaching category 2 prior to corssing the NE Kimbery coast on Sunday. Steering
will remain easterly long term due to a strong mid level ridge to the south,
taking the system into the Indian Ocean where it will continue to intensify
strongly over open waters to a Severe Tropical Cyclone.
_________________________
Climate is what we expect, weather is what we get.
- Mark Twain

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#1457539 - 17/03/2018 13:30 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Marcus (92S) - Arafura Sea March 2018 [Re: Inclement Weather]
tropicbreeze Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 14/01/2011
Posts: 139
Loc: Noonamah
Originally Posted By: Inclement Weather
Strange, I know it's only a cat 2 cyclone and Territorians are famous for their resilience, but I just went through all the TV stations, including the weather channel and nothing, zilch, nada on the passage of Marcus through Darwin. It may be different on local Darwin TV, but if this were to have hit any of the regional centres of Queensland - especially Brisbane - there would have been wall to wall live coverage. Hmm, I hope you don't feel neglected by the rest of the country Darwin and its surrounds, but keep safe all the same.

That's not unusual. In previous years I've seen, after 3 cyclones in the north west, the first Queensland cyclone announced as the first for the Australian season. Also had people tell me that we don't get cyclones here, they only occur in Queensland. But these are people (including the media) who have little awareness of Australia beyond the Brisbane/Sydney/Melbourne Axis. There's always going to be those around.

Darwin Harbour it's still gusting to 130 kph but pressure is edging up to 987 hPa. Wind gusts have noticeably weakened at my place and pressure is edging up to 995 hPa. Rain is becoming more steady. Trees are down all over the place, across roads and powerlines. I finally lost power but on generator power now. The phone's down as well. Haven't been out to check for damage, too comfortable and dry inside.

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#1457544 - 17/03/2018 13:59 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Marcus (92S) - Arafura Sea March 2018 [Re: Mick10]
Rossby Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 03/02/2018
Posts: 71
Model ramps the tc up again in the JBG then a 2nd landfall over the NW then ots to become the strongest cyclone in the shem this season.





pushing @160kts.

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#1457545 - 17/03/2018 14:05 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Marcus (92S) - Arafura Sea March 2018 [Re: Mick10]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4040
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
It's odd that a tropical cyclone scores what seems to be a direct or near direct hit on Darwin and it hardly features in the media.

It is getting a run on the ABC. There's a comprehensive report on their website: ABC News Cyclone Marcus

I think ABC News TV is hastily upgrading their coverage. They're stumbling through it now. They reported that the 'eye' passed over Darwin.


Edited by Steve777 (17/03/2018 14:07)
Edit Reason: Tidy up

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#1457548 - 17/03/2018 14:47 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Marcus (92S) - Arafura Sea March 2018 [Re: Steve777]
Pooraka Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 24/02/2006
Posts: 129
Loc: Pooraka, Adelaide, South Austr...
Originally Posted By: Steve777
It's odd that a tropical cyclone scores what seems to be a direct or near direct hit on Darwin and it hardly features in the media.

It is getting a run on the ABC. There's a comprehensive report on their website: ABC News Cyclone Marcus

I think ABC News TV is hastily upgrading their coverage. They're stumbling through it now. They reported that the 'eye' passed over Darwin.


Not surprising, my dad was telling me that during Cyclone Tracy, it took forever for the news to get out that Darwin had been hit. People were trying to call relatives in Darwin to wish them merry christmas and couldn't get through and didn't have a clue why. It was Christmas day and it was 1974 though. You'd think in this day and age the news would spread a bit quicker.

Stay safe up there, I'm sure they 'll be right though cool


Edited by Pooraka (17/03/2018 14:48)

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#1457552 - 17/03/2018 15:03 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Marcus (92S) - Arafura Sea March 2018 [Re: Mick10]
bbowen Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/03/2011
Posts: 143
Pooraka I believe the issue may be not that the news isn't spreading quick enough more that the southern states/cities aren't affected by it so don't care.

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#1457553 - 17/03/2018 15:11 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Marcus (92S) - Arafura Sea March 2018 [Re: Mick10]
Popeye Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 7851
Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
I think its OK. We dont want the rest of the country to know how spectacular, wild and beautiful the NT and WA is. The less coverage the better. Even Nitso on OCC was doing A LIVE FEED report on youtube and he crossed to say 'we have um.... 22 people watching live' haha.
_________________________
Popeye's 2015/16 Broome Wet Season Images

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#1457554 - 17/03/2018 15:21 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Marcus (92S) - Arafura Sea March 2018 [Re: Mick10]
Rossby Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 03/02/2018
Posts: 71
Not much left of the core and some dry air about in the JBG.
Has some work to do again. But should be interesting watching
the TC get it self together over water.Presentation just before
the first landfall was similar to a typhoon or cat1 sshs 64kt
but the tc filled in quickly on radar.











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#1457555 - 17/03/2018 15:47 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Marcus (92S) - Arafura Sea March 2018 [Re: Mick10]
Popeye Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 7851
Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
I dont think it will take much to spin Marcus's wheel back up again. Looking to re enter water in the JBGulf soon. Now lets see how strong it can get before making landfall again and where? We have a bloke on an isolated camp 20 kms North of Kalumburu in our Broome Weather Group who is going to document it how ever he can. Be good to see what it does in that area. CAT 2? maybe CAT 3.
_________________________
Popeye's 2015/16 Broome Wet Season Images

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#1457559 - 17/03/2018 16:08 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Marcus (92S) - Arafura Sea March 2018 [Re: Mick10]
desieboy Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 31/12/2002
Posts: 3488
Loc: Broome

Joseph Bonaparte Gulf is a good place for any TC to regain some structure and circulation .

Marcus just got to push that dry air away and stop it from wrapping into its circulation.
_________________________
Climate is what we expect, weather is what we get.
- Mark Twain

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#1457562 - 17/03/2018 16:26 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Marcus (92S) - Arafura Sea March 2018 [Re: Mick10]
Rossby Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 03/02/2018
Posts: 71
Just stab atm thinking next port of call could be just nth of elise island or there about Locals like you guys likely nail it down better.


Edited by Rossby (17/03/2018 16:26)

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