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#1457415 - 16/03/2018 16:24 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: Grant]
Sidney Online   content
Weather Freak

Registered: 20/12/2013
Posts: 615
Loc: Macquarie fields ( South west ...
41c for penrith now for sunday


Edited by Sidney (16/03/2018 16:24)

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#1457417 - 16/03/2018 16:29 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: Grant]
DerekHV Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/02/2010
Posts: 1223
Loc: Aberglasslyn (Maitland) NSW
I think I'd prefer an eternal spring, than too much summer or winter, they both get too tiresome by the end. Shoulder seasons are too short as it is, almost straight from summer to winter and vice versa these days.
Got to our forecast max of 29C, aircon is on again and quite humid today. Going for 40C now on Sunday.

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#1457422 - 16/03/2018 17:12 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: Grant]
Funkyseefunkydo Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/04/2007
Posts: 779
Loc: East Lake Macquarie
BoM forecast for Newcastle has gone crazy for next week. It can only go down from here😐

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#1457424 - 16/03/2018 17:16 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: Grant]
EddyG Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 19/12/2008
Posts: 5243
Loc: Port Stephens NSW
GFS bulls eye has shifted a bit further south again, but the majority of it is over the ocean unfortunately.
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Rainfall
2018 - 1145.9mm
2019 MTD - 6.2mm
2019 YTD - 6.2mm
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#1457428 - 16/03/2018 17:45 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: Grant]
Knot Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/05/2014
Posts: 2588
Loc: Toronto N.S.W
Some sites in Hunter have a an 83 record to beat. Some 98 (Scone). A huge 42.8 from Jerrys Plains in 98. Prob a Hunter max record for March.
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If you can't change something, there is only one option. Adapt!

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#1457433 - 16/03/2018 18:16 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: EddyG]
Funkyseefunkydo Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/04/2007
Posts: 779
Loc: East Lake Macquarie
Originally Posted By: EddyG
GFS bulls eye has shifted a bit further south again, but the majority of it is over the ocean unfortunately.

It has 300+ for seal rocks . No doubt will decrease next run.

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#1457438 - 16/03/2018 18:53 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: Grant]
Stormy3 Online   happy
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/06/2013
Posts: 1883
Loc: Ellalong,10kms SW of Cessnock ...
Where is this high rainfall suppost to come from a coastal trough?
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Click here for Ellalong weathercam,The camera is facing west towards the Wollombi,Putty area,the video live stream will be online longer, if any storms or severe weather.

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#1457439 - 16/03/2018 19:07 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: Funkyseefunkydo]
ashestoashes Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 22/10/2017
Posts: 557
Loc: Voyager Point (South West Sydn...
Actually Ec had 300 mm pronged for around Ellaong last night so not out the realm of possibility.

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#1457443 - 16/03/2018 20:17 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: Grant]
Homer Online   content
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 6109
Loc: Dural
At least when the models are speaking like this, we know there is something in the wind.
A lazy 100 - 150 mm's for anyone would be good, wherever that may fall.

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#1457445 - 16/03/2018 20:49 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: Grant]
EddyG Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 19/12/2008
Posts: 5243
Loc: Port Stephens NSW
Most models are starting to agree on some good rainfall along the coastal plains, but there is a bit of uncertainty where it will fall at this stage.

I think Homer has summed it up.
_________________________
Rainfall
2018 - 1145.9mm
2019 MTD - 6.2mm
2019 YTD - 6.2mm
https://www.instagram.com/eddygroot/

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#1457447 - 16/03/2018 21:12 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: Stormy3]
Funkyseefunkydo Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/04/2007
Posts: 779
Loc: East Lake Macquarie
Originally Posted By: Stormy3
Where is this high rainfall suppost to come from a coastal trough?
check windy.com airgram and how much the 700hpa temp drops and onshore winds up to 200 hPa on Wednesday.

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#1457448 - 16/03/2018 21:15 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: Grant]
Funkyseefunkydo Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/04/2007
Posts: 779
Loc: East Lake Macquarie
Holy sh1t. Now EC has gone crazy. This canít be right!?

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#1457453 - 16/03/2018 21:51 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: Funkyseefunkydo]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4651
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
Originally Posted By: Funkyseefunkydo
Holy sh1t. Now EC has gone crazy. This canít be right!?


Crazy indeed. A 100mm bullseye in the lower Hunter on Wednesday 21st, then more heavy falls in the same area on following days. Maybe Stormy and Gringo get their wish.

Here is the GFS 7 day forecast, which has the bullseye further North, around the Myall Lakes region..



EDIT: Access just shows 'normal' rain, mostly further North.



Edited by Steve777 (16/03/2018 21:57)

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#1457455 - 16/03/2018 21:56 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: GringosRain]
Morham Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2017
Posts: 121
Loc: Penrith, NSW
Originally Posted By: GringosRain
If anyone is interested, there is a good series on gaia TV call missing links narrated by Greg Bradden. First episode of season 1 covers some interesting research on the forbidden topic and our current cycles. We are in a rare overlap of a number of cycles. Anyway, it covers a lot of stuff I already know and believe from previous research, but others might be interested. only 99c for first month. hundreds of videos and series of all sorts.

I am keen to know. Wondering what is in store, heatwise, for god forsaken places like where I live. We have this desert in the middle of Aus, pushing its putrid heat towards the coast.

Why, in recent years, has that heat become stronger than previous years? Penrith has broken its max temp records two years in a row now. Certainly going to break the 1998 March record on Sunday.

I hope this nudged up heat doesn't become the norm here.

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#1457475 - 17/03/2018 06:45 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: Grant]
Knot Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/05/2014
Posts: 2588
Loc: Toronto N.S.W
Yet another warm night. On and on and on.


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If you can't change something, there is only one option. Adapt!

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#1457476 - 17/03/2018 07:10 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: Grant]
Knot Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/05/2014
Posts: 2588
Loc: Toronto N.S.W


I don't think the heat has become stronger. The sun is shining on the same barren landscapes at the same intensity more or less for a long time. The highest temp for Australia, NSW and Sydney still stand from the 1930's and 1960. However the heat is becoming more diffuse by way of increases in a synoptic setup that is coincident with less cloud and brings that inland heat more frequently to the coast where most of us live. Throw in massive urbanisation.
Now what causes an increase in a certain synoptic pattern is the million dollar question that some argue involves a trace gas that has a richochet effect on things that drive local and global air pressure.
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If you can't change something, there is only one option. Adapt!

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#1457481 - 17/03/2018 08:30 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: Grant]
Knot Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/05/2014
Posts: 2588
Loc: Toronto N.S.W
Jeez it's sticky
_________________________
If you can't change something, there is only one option. Adapt!

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#1457482 - 17/03/2018 08:34 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: Morham]
GringosRain Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/06/2007
Posts: 1726
Loc: Quorrobolong NSW
Originally Posted By: Morham
Originally Posted By: GringosRain
If anyone is interested, there is a good series on gaia TV call missing links narrated by Greg Bradden. First episode of season 1 covers some interesting research on the forbidden topic and our current cycles. We are in a rare overlap of a number of cycles. Anyway, it covers a lot of stuff I already know and believe from previous research, but others might be interested. only 99c for first month. hundreds of videos and series of all sorts.

I am keen to know. Wondering what is in store, heatwise, for god forsaken places like where I live. We have this desert in the middle of Aus, pushing its putrid heat towards the coast.

Why, in recent years, has that heat become stronger than previous years? Penrith has broken its max temp records two years in a row now. Certainly going to break the 1998 March record on Sunday.

I hope this nudged up heat doesn't become the norm here.



I had better not say much more here. For 99c, its worth just the first episode for interest sake. Im through the first season now....very interesting overall.

Its cloudy and with some sun breaking through here this morning. Very still and quite pleasant really.

Looks like this rain event might be going to focus on the MNC going by GFS, but it seems EC still likes it further south. Access R just has another garden variety shower event. Whatever happens we needs some run off this time, so we want relatively heavy rain or consistent rain that pushes past 75mm and keeps going to 150mm+ thats when it really starts to get into the creeks and dams. Im not excited at all. I will see what things look like on Monday. Ants are building but not beserk. Fairly low expectations at my end, its the sort of setup that can just dissolve to nothing in one run.

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#1457490 - 17/03/2018 09:19 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: Grant]
Knot Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/05/2014
Posts: 2588
Loc: Toronto N.S.W
Sun thru now. Temp is gonna sky rocket. Nasty weekend.
_________________________
If you can't change something, there is only one option. Adapt!

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#1457493 - 17/03/2018 09:34 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: Grant]
Knot Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/05/2014
Posts: 2588
Loc: Toronto N.S.W
If the temp doesnt get below the 9am min temp and overnight, than at least two sites, Cooranbong and Norah will break records for min temps. Wish talk was of coldest records for a change. Instead of other way round.
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If you can't change something, there is only one option. Adapt!

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