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#1456590 - 11/03/2018 00:27 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Stale fish Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/06/2001
Posts: 2167
Loc: Leslie vale 310m asl
Hi all,
Have been on Holidays on the Gold Coast well it is the Cold Coast this week!
Showers and rain and the odd blue patch with 26 degrees each day.
Hotter and nicer weather at home!
Looking forward to the nice Tassie weather again.
Missed all the storms just coastal showers with a strong SE Wind.

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#1456715 - 11/03/2018 23:20 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
MOUNTAIN h2o Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/03/2012
Posts: 734
Loc: Hobart Lenah Valley Tas 198 as...
Another sunny stinker of 25 c add 3 c out this side of the hill , how the BOM ever thought it was going to be 22 c ? .
Hobart now equal with it's hottest ever March and well past Feb that's just gone.
Next weekend is looking hotter by the day as the forecasts are coming in , absolute crap more sun more heat and bugger all precip.

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#1456736 - 12/03/2018 10:11 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10134
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Damned heat monster won't let go.

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#1456862 - 12/03/2018 22:30 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
MOUNTAIN h2o Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/03/2012
Posts: 734
Loc: Hobart Lenah Valley Tas 198 as...
This weekend 29 degrees Saturday and 28 degrees Sunday , what Autumn ? More like Cairns than Hobart !
Geeez give us a break , has to be the hottest 6 months I have worked in ever . Lucky me working both days and it will another 5 degrees hotter in Glenorchy and another 15 degrees in the tin shed .

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#1457053 - 13/03/2018 20:56 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 2007
Loc: Westbury
Thought it was officially 28 and 25 in Hobart - although likely warmer in the northern suburbs. Probably a case of adapting, as I don't think we are going to suddenly get a lot of below average months anymore.

Recorded 29.9 on Sunday, which was the warmest max temp since it reached 30.0 on the 8th of Feb. Been 25+ 6 of the last 7 days now. Looks like at least one more very warm spell with temps well over 25. Hopefully that'll be the end of it.

Since the end of winter we've had 63 days over 25 including 7 over 30 at home. Interestingly Hobart has recorded 37 days over, but 11 of them have been over 30.

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#1457117 - 14/03/2018 09:39 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10134
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Got you guys covered for over 30 temps smile

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#1457118 - 14/03/2018 09:43 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 2007
Loc: Westbury
Indeed, well and truly. Way more in the last month alone. Not terribly surprising though....

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#1457121 - 14/03/2018 09:51 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
yep Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/07/2013
Posts: 414
Loc: Hobart
I think the record for days over 30c in Hobart in a spring-autumn period is 14 days or something, in the 1990s. I once did the calculations but I have forgotten the exact figure but it was something like that. So according to Snowies figures this spring-autumn period we haven't managed to reach that mark. I wouldn't be surprised though if we have a record number of days over 25c+ already, for the spring-autumn period. 37 seems like a big number to me.

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#1457130 - 14/03/2018 10:40 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 2007
Loc: Westbury
By either metric this summer rates quite highly. Summers of the last decade and those from the late 1880's through to the mid 1890's rank highly using the raw max temps for Hobart. 2 more days over 25 this weekend would rank this summer 6th outright.

At the other end of the spectrum the summer of 69/70 had no days over 30. 3 summers in the 20th century only had 12 days over 25. Most recently in 1964/65. More recently the La Nina summer of 10/11 only had 3 days over 30 and 18 days over 25.

Using FY's,

Total Days equal to 30 or greater
2007/08 14
2012/13 13
1994/95 13
1894/95 13
1886/87 13
2013/14 11
2009/10 11
2002/03 11
1987/88 11
1899/00 11
1897/98 11
1890/91 11
1997/98 10
1990/91 10
1988/89 10
1973/74 10
1966/67 10
1950/51 10
1939/40 10
1896/97 10

Total Days equal to 25 or greater

2015/16 44
1894/95 44
1980/81 42
2012/13 41
2009/10 40
2007/08 37
1919/20 36
1886/87 36
1960/61 35
2011/12 34
1994/95 34
1972/73 34
2013/14 33
2006/07 33
2002/03 33
2000/01 33
1950/51 33
1959/60 32
1899/00 32
1896/97 31
1997/98 30
1988/89 30
1987/88 30
1966/67 30
1927/28 30
1920/21 30
1897/98 30

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#1457132 - 14/03/2018 11:21 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10134
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Indeed no surprise smile

It's expected obviously that we will be warmer than there smile

We have had well above average number of 30+ days since last winter. Seems to be the modern way sadly.

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#1457133 - 14/03/2018 11:34 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: Snowies]
yep Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/07/2013
Posts: 414
Loc: Hobart
Originally Posted By: Snowies
By either metric this summer rates quite highly. Summers of the last decade and those from the late 1880's through to the mid 1890's rank highly using the raw max temps for Hobart. 2 more days over 25 this weekend would rank this summer 6th outright.

At the other end of the spectrum the summer of 69/70 had no days over 30. 3 summers in the 20th century only had 12 days over 25. Most recently in 1964/65. More recently the La Nina summer of 10/11 only had 3 days over 30 and 18 days over 25.

Using FY's,

Total Days equal to 30 or greater
2007/08 14
2012/13 13
1994/95 13
1894/95 13
1886/87 13
2013/14 11
2009/10 11
2002/03 11
1987/88 11
1899/00 11
1897/98 11
1890/91 11
1997/98 10
1990/91 10
1988/89 10
1973/74 10
1966/67 10
1950/51 10
1939/40 10
1896/97 10

Total Days equal to 25 or greater

2015/16 44
1894/95 44
1980/81 42
2012/13 41
2009/10 40
2007/08 37
1919/20 36
1886/87 36
1960/61 35
2011/12 34
1994/95 34
1972/73 34
2013/14 33
2006/07 33
2002/03 33
2000/01 33
1950/51 33
1959/60 32
1899/00 32
1896/97 31
1997/98 30
1988/89 30
1987/88 30
1966/67 30
1927/28 30
1920/21 30
1897/98 30



Interesting stats, are they for September-April?

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#1457145 - 14/03/2018 13:36 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 2007
Loc: Westbury
1 July to 30 June - so captures everything, not that there are many days from Mid April to Mid September over 25.

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#1457151 - 14/03/2018 14:16 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10134
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
We've had a minimum of 47 days for Dec/Jan/Feb exceed 30

Long term average for Summer is about 28

Just as a comparison. - I like your numbers better smile

We all seem to be getting too many "hot" days.

We've had 70 days of 25 or over this Summer as well. Again more than normal.

I think many parts of Oz would be similar in their stories sadly.

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#1457213 - 15/03/2018 08:04 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 2007
Loc: Westbury
Thats a lot of hot days!

3/4 of summer over 25 and more than half over 30. Yes, I like ours better too. Given Bathurst is well above sea level as well, means the conditions generating the weather are very warm, if Bathurst was at sea level the temps would be closer to 40.

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#1457217 - 15/03/2018 08:59 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10134
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Yes and it's definitely hotter in general now than say the 80's. No question it is different.

We are just not getting the cooler breaks that we used to.

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#1457649 - 17/03/2018 22:32 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
MOUNTAIN h2o Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/03/2012
Posts: 734
Loc: Hobart Lenah Valley Tas 198 as...
Another Hobart plus 30 degree day , pheww so over it . Just like today the BOM seem to be under cooking Sunday as well 23 top ? Can't see that happening still over that now as midnight closes in , I think it will be 27 c or so by 9:00 at this rate. Probably another day close to 30 c by lunchtime is more likely .
Next weekend looking mild now as well , but surely not as bad as today .... but I won't rule anything thing out in this current rinse and repeat weather cycle.

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#1457722 - 18/03/2018 12:15 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
yep Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/07/2013
Posts: 414
Loc: Hobart
Not sure about that h2o nice windy pattern with cool surges for the rest of March (?) .. a bit like spring the season we never had.. should draw the temperature average down very nicely by the end of the month.

Hobart 102km/hr this morning highest wind gust for a couple of years I think.

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#1457730 - 18/03/2018 12:54 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
pwa54 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 29/01/2009
Posts: 52
Loc: Kingston, Tasmania
Yes, very windy last night. Some useful rain with the system though.
The roof of Rose Bay High was damaged in late 2016 and I think that was the last really strong wind.
It makes you realise how strong it must have been with the 150km/hr record in 1965.
More gales forecast tonight.

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#1457862 - 19/03/2018 09:19 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10134
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Hey guys-
can you start shoving some of that cooler air a bit further north too please.

I realise its still warm there (for your norms) but I like your warm better than mine grin grin

I do think Yep is spot on, should be mostly general cooling conditions for the next few weeks down there.

Thankfully big heat spikes almost finished here but possibly quite warm(ish) again up here around Easter.

A very warm finish to "Summer" this year.

All of us obviously looking for a general cool down. smile

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#1457863 - 19/03/2018 09:20 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 2007
Loc: Westbury
Had close to 40mm of rain over the weekend, mostly both Fri and Sat nights. Breezy and cool yesterday (top of 16.9) and reasonably windy last night and this morning.

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