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#1457668 - 18/03/2018 01:16 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
betsuin Online   content
Weather Freak

Registered: 07/04/2010
Posts: 703
Loc: Magill, Adelaide
Cycling home just now a bit before midnight and spotted 2 flashes in the general North East area - no sound. I was passing out of Broadview into the Vale Park area.

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#1457670 - 18/03/2018 02:25 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
betsuin Online   content
Weather Freak

Registered: 07/04/2010
Posts: 703
Loc: Magill, Adelaide
Yippee! It's raining - almost like I can not remember %-p


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#1457943 - 19/03/2018 20:07 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
willitrainagain Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 13/12/2011
Posts: 569
Loc: Mt Barker S.A.
Is buckland pk on the blink again?

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#1457957 - 19/03/2018 21:27 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
willitrainagain Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 13/12/2011
Posts: 569
Loc: Mt Barker S.A.
Raining here now

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#1458004 - 20/03/2018 10:20 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
Bolt Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 26/01/2005
Posts: 372
Loc: Whyalla South Australia
Thoughts on Cyclone Marcus and if it will have much affect on South Aus down the track?

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#1458025 - 20/03/2018 11:39 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17585
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
zero effect. It moves well out into the Indian ocean before heading sth.

Atm models are indicating for us the possibility of a little convective activity east of the ranges on Thurs/Fri with a trough from the NE, and then a front/cut off low possibly for the weekend.
Models still unpredictable on possible rainfall amounts. I wouldnt expect more than 5mm at this stage.

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#1458028 - 20/03/2018 12:05 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: teckert]
Bolt Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 26/01/2005
Posts: 372
Loc: Whyalla South Australia
Originally Posted By: teckert
zero effect. It moves well out into the Indian ocean before heading sth.

Atm models are indicating for us the possibility of a little convective activity east of the ranges on Thurs/Fri with a trough from the NE, and then a front/cut off low possibly for the weekend.
Models still unpredictable on possible rainfall amounts. I wouldnt expect more than 5mm at this stage.

Cheers teckert.

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#1458210 - 21/03/2018 10:25 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: teckert]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17585
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
Originally Posted By: teckert


Atm models are indicating for us the possibility of a little convective activity east of the ranges on Thurs/Fri with a trough from the NE


Looking very promising now. Already seeing storm activity in the NE of the state, the trough should deepen and quickly move SW later today.
Could see showers/storms already approaching Riverland overnight and early tomorrow, before convective activity builds on the ranges and especially east of during the day.
Def a chance we could see some activity develop more over the metro area.

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#1458262 - 21/03/2018 13:56 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
HillsStorm Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 16/03/2018
Posts: 27
Itchy fingers, time to join forum.
Hello, my name is Wong, I live in Adelaide Hill. I follow forum long time but wife said join, I did. Love the knowledge in here, makes me think why is it better than a meteor forecasters, they wrong many time. Anyway, look forward to a storm for me tomorrow, Chow!

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#1458348 - 22/03/2018 07:26 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
HillsStorm Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 16/03/2018
Posts: 27
No storm for you flat people today, but us hill people may get one or two later. You get rain in a few days, ok.

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#1458387 - 22/03/2018 11:47 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: HillsStorm]
Turnip5 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 29/01/2009
Posts: 130
Loc: Semaphore
Welcome Hillstorm, tis a bit quiet around here. I don't comment much but read. I look forward to your comments

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#1458389 - 22/03/2018 12:04 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Turnip5]
parklife Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 27/02/2013
Posts: 97
Loc: Hazelwood Park
Originally Posted By: Turnip5
Welcome Hillstorm, tis a bit quiet around here. I don't comment much but read. I look forward to your comments


Ditto, welcome Hillstorm. I am looking forward to some rain Sunday.

It is quiet, but still waters run deep.

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#1458405 - 22/03/2018 13:56 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
Bergasms Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/08/2010
Posts: 356
Loc: South Plympton, Adelaide, Aus
SE getting some flashes, the ants in the CBD are moving eggs to higher ground and generally running about like crazy
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#1458443 - 22/03/2018 20:45 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
Helen Offline
Moderator

Registered: 07/11/2001
Posts: 9656
Loc: Mid North, SA
Nice little storm 100km to my NE, but we're up high enough here to see some nice flashes pulsing out of the cloud. Been eons since we've seen anything photo worthy though. Now, if we could just have some rain. smile
_________________________
2017 YTD - 67.8mm Yearly Average - 403mm
Jan - 32.8mm (10mm) / Feb - 35.0mm (10mm) / Mar - - (15mm) / Apr - - (31mm)
May - - (46mm) / June - - (51mm) / July - - (59mm) / Aug - - (54mm)
Sept - - (48mm) / Oct - - (38mm) / Nov - - (23mm) / Dec - - (18mm)
Total 2016 - 637.2mm



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#1458543 - 23/03/2018 12:58 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
PeteM Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 02/05/2012
Posts: 73
Loc: Redwood Park SA
Some nice convection starting to happen rapidly north of Gawler!

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#1458544 - 23/03/2018 13:26 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
HillsStorm Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 16/03/2018
Posts: 27
Nice converging winds on ranges now, we get convection here shortly. Don't see nothing for flats, just hills.

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#1458550 - 23/03/2018 14:33 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17585
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
EC got this right again today. They ended up being spot on yesterday with location. Calls the convective stuff much better than GFS and other models.

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#1458615 - 23/03/2018 20:50 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
rstewart84 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/01/2007
Posts: 2083
Loc: Kalangadoo,South Australia
Well wave two of the thunderstorms pretty didnít much happen as it all went out to sea off of port Mac fingers crossed Saturday and Sunday will be the main events as itís been a while since we had some decent storms bar the one a few days ago


Edited by rstewart84 (23/03/2018 20:50)

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#1458718 - 24/03/2018 13:03 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
Seira Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/08/2003
Posts: 7550
Loc: Adelaide Hills
Looks like there could be a rather steep fall in the 850-mb temperature in the next day or so [10+ deg C] smile .

Source: GFS.


Edited by Seira (24/03/2018 13:10)
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#1458790 - 24/03/2018 17:38 Re: South Australian and Adelaide day to day forecasting [Re: Thunderstruck]
Markus Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/12/2010
Posts: 2198
Loc: Clare, SA
What a long and boring summer it has been in the desert date. Thank god for that rain at the beginning of December because everything we've had since has evaporated within 24 hours of falling.

Anomaly maps will be interesting once this month is over.
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http://markdawsonphoto.wordpress.com/

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