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#1460086 - 01/04/2018 14:29 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
Ken Kato Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 5239
I honestly don't know sorry Willraja, I haven't been following it too closely today due to being busy except for looking at a few model products. I was just commenting on how it can be hard to tell if a marginal system's a TC or not just by looking at an MSLP chart.

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#1460089 - 01/04/2018 14:45 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: Dawgggg]
WANDJINA G'vale Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 22/03/2006
Posts: 2366
Loc: Gordonvale - Qld
Originally Posted By: Dawgggg
BOM even awake in Brisbane?
p

😂
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#1460090 - 01/04/2018 14:45 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
cold@28 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/02/2011
Posts: 2435
Loc: Chillagoe
Just starting to sprinkle, trying to become rain.

First rain in days. Hopefully more to come.

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#1460097 - 01/04/2018 15:15 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
Dawgggg Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 25/03/2007
Posts: 23688
Loc: Townsville
apparantly still subtropical
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#1460098 - 01/04/2018 15:17 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
nimbuss1 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/11/2013
Posts: 298
Loc: Kamerunga, Cairns
Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea
Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Sunday 1 April 2018
for the period until midnight EST Wednesday 4 April 2018.
Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region:
None.
Potential Cyclones:

At 2:00pm EST Sunday, ex-tropical cyclone Iris was located near latitude 15.5 degrees south, longitude 149.3 degrees east, about 410 km east-northeast of Cairns. The low is currently moving south-southwest at about 5 km/h.
The system is likely to remain slow moving for much of today before adopting a more southwesterly track and moving closer to the tropical or central Queensland coast on Monday and Tuesday.
The system is expected to remain a subtropical low today and tomorrow, however the environment becomes more favourable on Tuesday.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:
Monday:Low
Tuesday:Moderate
Wednesday:Moderate

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#1460101 - 01/04/2018 15:41 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: Homer]
Cybermouse Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 27/03/2010
Posts: 285
Loc: Brinsmead, Cairns
Originally Posted By: Homer
Originally Posted By: Dawgggg
BOM even awake in Brisbane?


Still on their lunch break mate.


I'm a bit surprised BoM hasnt put out a track map yet it even though its still subtropical. Perhaps its a bit too early or they've found a great pub for lunch. grin
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#1460105 - 01/04/2018 15:59 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
nimbuss1 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/11/2013
Posts: 298
Loc: Kamerunga, Cairns
Updated Marine Wind Warning Summary for Queensland
Issued at 3:52 pm EST on Sunday 1 April 2018
for the period until midnight EST Monday 2 April 2018.
Wind Warnings for Sunday 1 April
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Cooktown Coast, Cairns Coast, Townsville Coast, Mackay Coast and Capricornia Coast

Wind Warnings for Monday 2 April
Gale Warning for the following area:
Townsville Coast

Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Cooktown Coast, Cairns Coast, Mackay Coast and Capricornia Coast

The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 4:45 am EST Monday.

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#1460107 - 01/04/2018 16:07 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
snowmad Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 20/06/2005
Posts: 917
Loc: Bowen
Severe Weather warning will be issued later today and I reckon looking at the development and environment will have good chance of being renamed system on Monday with Cyclone watch/warnings

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#1460108 - 01/04/2018 16:18 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 12967
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
Yup, BOM mentions that a SWW will be issued in their weather update video:

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#1460112 - 01/04/2018 16:25 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
Brett Guy Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/10/2010
Posts: 5091
Loc: Bently Park, Cairns
Loving each new model run that comes out. It's like they are trying to out do the craziness of the last one. We may be watching this thing in the same place in a weeks time after it's done another loop de loop. Crazy stuff

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#1460113 - 01/04/2018 16:25 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: Ken Kato]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 808
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
Originally Posted By: Ken Kato
Originally Posted By: Willraja
Originally Posted By: nimbuss1
Bom's 4 day charts are out....
Looks like they got ex TC Iris sitting over the cairns area for the next few days?

http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/4day_col.shtml

And it looks like they have an unlabelled isobar at 990hpa around the centre so a sub-990hpa central pressure. Should put it at a Cat 1 system for that period.


Whether or not a system is a TC is decided by wind speed wrapping more than halfway around its centre - not central pressure.


Is it fair to say that usually the lower the pressure the faster the winds or is that incorrect.
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Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
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#1460115 - 01/04/2018 16:29 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
Ken Kato Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 5239
Yep usually (but not always) Nikko.


Edited by Ken Kato (01/04/2018 16:30)

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#1460116 - 01/04/2018 16:30 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
Ken Kato Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 5239
Indeed Brett, hence my comment the other day...

Originally Posted By: Ken Kato
This system could eventually go down as one of the most unpredictable and longest lived ones in the Coral Sea in years (much of it as an ex-TC) if it followed the "staying out to sea" scenarios. But if it crossed early, its lifespan will be shorter.

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#1460117 - 01/04/2018 16:32 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 12967
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
New thread has been opened for ex-Iris.

Please continue relevant discussion in that thread.
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#1460121 - 01/04/2018 16:47 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: Ken Kato]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 808
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
Originally Posted By: Ken Kato
Yep usually (but not always) Nikko.


I was always under that impression due to the fact lower pressure has air rushing in to it from higher pressure, that the lower the pressure the faster the air is moving into the centre the faster the winds. So that is usually the case but not 100% of the time. Glad that fact has been cleared up with me.
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Nikko

Travelling - Current location= Toomulla

MTD (July 2018]: 0.9mm
JUNE 2018: 0.9mm

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#1460136 - 01/04/2018 17:30 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
JIGGA Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 31/12/2016
Posts: 3
Cairns weather forecast from BOM
Monday- Shower or 2
Tuesday- Showers
Wednesday- Rain at times
Thursday- Showers
hahaha
Can someone explain the differences???

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#1460138 - 01/04/2018 17:37 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: JIGGA]
Mathew Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 11/01/2006
Posts: 6789
Loc: Townsville, Queensland
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/sohemi/sohemiloops/shirgmscol.html

Have a look how big the things is on this link here.

That explain anythings.
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Rs tl 2017/18 Wet Season. > tl 03.72mm
Aug 8/16/17->> 11/23/17 8:00am p 24 h 27.17mm
06/30/18 Dec 3:12pm > Yr 609.0mm / Weekly rain 6.3mm month 6.3mm / 3.6mm

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#1460984 - 05/04/2018 10:19 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: JIGGA]
Willraja Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 06/03/2009
Posts: 153
Loc: Jubilee Heights
Originally Posted By: JIGGA
Cairns weather forecast from BOM
Monday- Shower or 2
Tuesday- Showers
Wednesday- Rain at times
Thursday- Showers
hahaha
Can someone explain the differences???


In a nut shell. Showers are short lived local events. Rain is longer lived and wide spread.

http://www.bom.gov.au/info/wwords/
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#1462994 - 03/05/2018 10:25 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
Dan101 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 03/03/2011
Posts: 312
Loc: Mackay, QLD
Wow, what a season. Did we even have a cyclone season? Lol.

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#1464456 - 28/05/2018 16:33 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: Dan101]
DexterB Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 28/05/2018
Posts: 3
Loc: Kewarra Beach, QLD
Wasn't too blowy where I am, but wet, wet, wet!
Couldn't get into Cairns from the northern beaches on two separate occasions. Much wetter than Cyclone Yasi was.

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