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#1460175 - 01/04/2018 21:14 Re: Tropical Cyclone Iris - Coral Sea - April 2018 [Re: Dawgggg]
ifishcq Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 31/01/2018
Posts: 77
Loc: Rockhampton

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#1460176 - 01/04/2018 21:16 Re: Tropical Cyclone Iris - Coral Sea - April 2018 [Re: Dawgggg]
FujiWha Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 14/01/2011
Posts: 154
Loc: Moranbah
Yes, check out the last couple frames...

Boom!

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#1460178 - 01/04/2018 21:19 Re: Tropical Cyclone Iris - Coral Sea - April 2018 [Re: Dawgggg]
marakai Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/01/2006
Posts: 1836
Loc: Maryfarms NQ
Well she will probably bugger off back out to wander around for a bit before heading off the grave yard now then.

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#1460181 - 01/04/2018 21:30 Re: Tropical Cyclone Iris - Coral Sea - April 2018 [Re: Dawgggg]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25272
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
already tracking slowly SE now, cant figure out why.
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Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
March 2018 total - 296mm (194mm)
April 2018 total - 12.4mm (66mm)
2018 Yearly total to date - 794.4mm (1107mm)

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#1460182 - 01/04/2018 21:39 Re: Tropical Cyclone Iris - Coral Sea - April 2018 [Re: Mick10]
scott12 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 10/11/2015
Posts: 984
Loc: maadi Tully area
Originally Posted By: Mick10
already tracking slowly SE now, cant figure out why.


Ask Higgins...I see he has issued a Cyclone track map, available to his subscribers...funny that he knows where its headed when no one else does..

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#1460184 - 01/04/2018 21:44 Re: Tropical Cyclone Iris - Coral Sea - April 2018 [Re: scott12]
mscactus Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/10/2005
Posts: 2240
Loc: Heatley QLD
Exactly what we have come to expect from Higgins.

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#1460185 - 01/04/2018 21:52 Re: Tropical Cyclone Iris - Coral Sea - April 2018 [Re: Dawgggg]
Dan101 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 03/03/2011
Posts: 312
Loc: Mackay, QLD
Currently in a favourable shear environment but if we were to put all of our eggs in one basket, being the 06z GFS run, shear is about to increase again and remain marginal for the foreseeable future.


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#1460186 - 01/04/2018 22:11 Re: Tropical Cyclone Iris - Coral Sea - April 2018 [Re: Dan101]
Mathew Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 11/01/2006
Posts: 6789
Loc: Townsville, Queensland
if it's keep over the Warm waters the big it's is going to get that what I think any way.

It's does not matter what way it's go by that track we will have to keep a very closely watch on it's I mean.

That what I think any way.



Edited by Mathew (01/04/2018 22:28)
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Aug 8/16/17->> 11/23/17 8:00am p 24 h 27.17mm
12/17/17 Dec 7:52pm GR 0.00mm > 24 past 0.00mm > 0.00mm

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#1460187 - 01/04/2018 22:36 Re: Tropical Cyclone Iris - Coral Sea - April 2018 [Re: Dawgggg]
nimbuss1 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/11/2013
Posts: 298
Loc: Kamerunga, Cairns

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#1460188 - 01/04/2018 22:50 Re: Tropical Cyclone Iris - Coral Sea - April 2018 [Re: Dawgggg]
Hagrid Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 13/02/2013
Posts: 258
Loc: Crediton Qld
Slow moving at the moment?

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#1460189 - 01/04/2018 22:58 Re: Tropical Cyclone Iris - Coral Sea - April 2018 [Re: Dawgggg]
White Squall Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 22/01/2011
Posts: 34
Loc: Sarina
JTWC has upgraded for cyclone within 24hrs.

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#1460190 - 01/04/2018 22:59 Re: Tropical Cyclone Iris - Coral Sea - April 2018 [Re: Dawgggg]
nimbuss1 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/11/2013
Posts: 298
Loc: Kamerunga, Cairns

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#1460196 - 01/04/2018 23:42 Re: Tropical Cyclone Iris - Coral Sea - April 2018 [Re: Dawgggg]
Chookie Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/03/2009
Posts: 1945
Loc: Kirwan
Still waiting for the SWWvto be updated hmmmm

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#1460197 - 01/04/2018 23:47 Re: Tropical Cyclone Iris - Coral Sea - April 2018 [Re: Dawgggg]
Dawgggg Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 25/03/2007
Posts: 23684
Loc: Townsville
45 minutes late.

are u kidding me?
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#1460199 - 02/04/2018 00:01 Re: Tropical Cyclone Iris - Coral Sea - April 2018 [Re: Dawgggg]
White Squall Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 22/01/2011
Posts: 34
Loc: Sarina
BOM has released there 11pm update 1hour late. Still going for Tuesday for a moderate chance of cyclone status.

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#1460205 - 02/04/2018 06:18 Re: Tropical Cyclone Iris - Coral Sea - April 2018 [Re: Dawgggg]
breezy04 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 29/01/2014
Posts: 457
Loc: whitsundays
Tropical Cyclone Outlook for The Coral Sea
IDQ10810

Updated Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea
Issued at 6:10 am EST on Monday 2 April 2018
for the period until midnight EST Wednesday 4 April 2018.

Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region:
None.

Potential Cyclones:

At 4:00am EST Monday, the centre of ex-tropical cyclone Iris was located near latitude 16.7 degrees south, longitude 149.5 degrees east, about 400 km east of Cairns. The low is currently moving slowly south-southwest.

Ex-tropical cyclone Iris is likely to continue moving slowly southwest towards the tropical Queensland coast through most of today. There is some uncertainty beyond this time. Current indications are that the system will remain off of the Queensland coast and become slow moving later today. It is expected to eventually turn east and move away from the coast on Tuesday or Wednesday.

The system has developed further overnight, and conditions are somewhat favourable for development to continue through today and Tuesday. The probability of the system redeveloping into a tropical cyclone is rated as moderate today, increasing to high on Tuesday.

A severe weather warning is current for heavy rainfall and damaging wind gusts about the periphery of the cyclone that may affect the tropical coast from tonight; refer to that product for more information.


Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:
Monday:Moderate
Tuesday:High
Wednesday:Moderate



NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:less than 5%Low:5% to 20%
Moderate:20 to 50%High:Over 50%
The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea west of 160E.
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Unless someone like you cares a whole awful lot, nothing is going to get better. It's not.
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#1460206 - 02/04/2018 06:21 Re: Tropical Cyclone Iris - Coral Sea - April 2018 [Re: Dawgggg]
breezy04 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 29/01/2014
Posts: 457
Loc: whitsundays
Can anyone explain why as of yet we still have no low at least marked on the boms cyclone map ?
_________________________
Unless someone like you cares a whole awful lot, nothing is going to get better. It's not.
Dr. Seuss

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#1460207 - 02/04/2018 06:23 Re: Tropical Cyclone Iris - Coral Sea - April 2018 [Re: Dawgggg]
GrannyK Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 25/10/2011
Posts: 94
Loc: Bushland Beach
Yeah I was wondering the same thing.

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#1460208 - 02/04/2018 06:55 Re: Tropical Cyclone Iris - Coral Sea - April 2018 [Re: Dawgggg]
Weary Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/03/2014
Posts: 1067
Loc: Edge Hill, Cairns
Because that would mean a track map and nobody knows where itís heading?? 😀😀
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#1460209 - 02/04/2018 07:03 Re: Tropical Cyclone Iris - Coral Sea - April 2018 [Re: Dawgggg]
GrannyK Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 25/10/2011
Posts: 94
Loc: Bushland Beach
😀 so true!

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