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#1461644 - 13/04/2018 14:44 Re: NSW April 7-15 2018, sustained April Heatwave leading to a possibly record month [Re: Knot]
ozthunder Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/09/2001
Posts: 3093
Loc: Mt Warrigal, NSW, Australia
Originally Posted By: Knot
Wonder what people think when they step outside the airport aircon and get told this is halfway thru our Autumn.


Probably not as shocked as the stories you used to hear of Aussie Bogans getting out at Heathrow Airport in their shorts, T shirt and thongs, to find its near 0C and their luggage is all locked.
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#1461649 - 13/04/2018 15:30 Re: NSW April 7-15 2018, sustained April Heatwave leading to a possibly record month [Re: ozthunder]
Knot Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/05/2014
Posts: 2560
Loc: Toronto N.S.W
Originally Posted By: ozthunder







Probably not as shocked as the stories you used to hear of Aussie Bogans getting out at Heathrow Airport in their shorts, T shirt and thongs, to find its near 0C and their luggage is all locked.


Lol. What about this proto bogan
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If you can't change something, there is only one option. Adapt!

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#1461650 - 13/04/2018 15:37 Re: NSW April 7-15 2018, sustained April Heatwave leading to a possibly record month [Re: DerekHV]
Homer Online   content
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5621
Loc: Dural
Ha Knotty. That was the first person I thought of!!!

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#1461653 - 13/04/2018 16:06 Re: NSW April 7-15 2018, sustained April Heatwave leading to a possibly record month [Re: DerekHV]
Knot Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/05/2014
Posts: 2560
Loc: Toronto N.S.W
Yeh same here Homer. Classic.
Looks like Campbelltown hottest in Syd area. 35.2.
I notice that places in Pilbara and Kimberley still getting low 40's and considerably above average at this stage of the month. Seeing it was the source of this current session I think it fair to say that if things line up in same manner with heat drag trough and Tasman high, than it is possible for round 2 again. Might not be as intense, but nothing would be a suprise anymore.
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If you can't change something, there is only one option. Adapt!

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#1461655 - 13/04/2018 16:32 Re: NSW April 7-15 2018, sustained April Heatwave leading to a possibly record month [Re: DerekHV]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4040
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
The smoke haze is back: Potts Point

EDIT: 31 tomorrow across Sydney, with a thunderstorm icon, then is cools down towards average but still warm.


Edited by Steve777 (13/04/2018 16:38)

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#1461656 - 13/04/2018 16:51 Re: NSW April 7-15 2018, sustained April Heatwave leading to a possibly record month [Re: Knot]
CoastalStorm22 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/07/2006
Posts: 2781
Loc: Lane Cove, Sydney, NSW
Originally Posted By: Knot
Yeh same here Homer. Classic.
Looks like Campbelltown hottest in Syd area. 35.2.
I notice that places in Pilbara and Kimberley still getting low 40's and considerably above average at this stage of the month. Seeing it was the source of this current session I think it fair to say that if things line up in same manner with heat drag trough and Tasman high, than it is possible for round 2 again. Might not be as intense, but nothing would be a suprise anymore.


Computer says yes.


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#1461657 - 13/04/2018 17:00 Re: NSW April 7-15 2018, sustained April Heatwave leading to a possibly record month [Re: CoastalStorm22]
Homer Online   content
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5621
Loc: Dural
Originally Posted By: CoastalStorm22
Originally Posted By: Knot
Yeh same here Homer. Classic.
Looks like Campbelltown hottest in Syd area. 35.2.
I notice that places in Pilbara and Kimberley still getting low 40's and considerably above average at this stage of the month. Seeing it was the source of this current session I think it fair to say that if things line up in same manner with heat drag trough and Tasman high, than it is possible for round 2 again. Might not be as intense, but nothing would be a suprise anymore.


Computer says yes.



Oh dear. Not more heat!!!
It would be nice to just get back to normal temps.
In fact, it would be nice to get a system similar to what NZ had this week. Maybe in May.
This extra heat pulse I believe was predicted last week by the models so not much has changed tbh.

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#1461661 - 13/04/2018 17:07 Re: NSW April 7-15 2018, sustained April Heatwave leading to a possibly record month [Re: DerekHV]
Homer Online   content
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5621
Loc: Dural
As happens regularly at this time of year, after a long warm spell, a cooler change is coming this weekend. Much colder for those down south though.
Realistically, there could be more than a foot of snow on the southern alps this weekend, but alas, it will melt pretty quickly with warm ground temps and rising temperatures next week.
Could be some pretty decent snowfall totals though above around 1800 metres.

http://www.bom.gov.au/nsw/forecasts/thredbo.shtml

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#1461662 - 13/04/2018 17:14 Re: NSW April 7-15 2018, sustained April Heatwave leading to a possibly record month [Re: DerekHV]
Homer Online   content
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5621
Loc: Dural
Can see that thunderstorm band on the horizon on the Bathurst cam now.
Be quick peeps. It'll be dark soon.

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#1461663 - 13/04/2018 17:14 Re: NSW April 7-15 2018, sustained April Heatwave leading to a possibly record month [Re: DerekHV]
DerekHV Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/02/2010
Posts: 1057
Loc: Aberglasslyn (Maitland) NSW
Not as hot as forecast in the Hunter today.
No individual daily max records broken from this event, in fact Tocal and Williamtown with long term records have been well short of 1986. Places like Singleton and Scone about 0.5C short of 2016.
Monthly records will be another story though.


Edited by DerekHV (13/04/2018 17:15)

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#1461664 - 13/04/2018 17:17 Re: NSW April 7-15 2018, sustained April Heatwave leading to a possibly record month [Re: DerekHV]
ashestoashes Online   content
Weather Freak

Registered: 22/10/2017
Posts: 260
Loc: Voyager Point (South West Sydn...
Really hoping that that line of Thunderstorms makes it to the Sydney Basin. All of connective energy seems to bepresent well at least in my neck of the woods with the sun out the entire day.

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#1461665 - 13/04/2018 17:19 Re: NSW April 7-15 2018, sustained April Heatwave leading to a possibly record month [Re: DerekHV]
Homer Online   content
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5621
Loc: Dural
SWW out now. The word "blizzards" is mentioned. smile

http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDN21037.shtml

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Severe Weather Warning
for DAMAGING WINDS
For people in Snowy Mountains and parts of Illawarra, South Coast, Southern Tablelands and Australian Capital Territory Forecast Districts.
Issued at 4:59 pm Friday, 13 April 2018.
GUSTY WINDS OVER SOUTHERN RANGES SATURDAY WITH COLD FRONT
Weather Situation: A cold front approaching New South Wales from the west is expected to cross southeastern parts of the state on Saturday during the late afternoon or early evening. Northwesterly winds will strengthen during Saturday ahead of the front, with the strongest winds expected around the time of its passage. Winds will shift westerly in the wake of the front and remain strong through Sunday.
DAMAGING WINDS, averaging 50 to 60 km/h with peak gusts in excess of 90 km/h, are likely for Alpine areas above 1500 metres from early Saturday morning. From mid Saturday afternoon, DAMAGING WINDS may possibly also affect the remainder of the Snowy Mountains district and also parts of the Southern Tablelands, Illawarra and South Coast districts.
DAMAGING WINDS, averaging 80 to 90 km/h with peak gusts in excess of 120 km/h are likely for Alpine areas over 1900 metres from late Friday.
Winds are currently expected to ease later on Sunday.
BLIZZARDS are expected for areas above 1800 metres late Saturday and Sunday morning, and are also possible for areas above 1500 metres. The National Parks Service of NSW recommends that people consider postponing back country travel until conditions improve.
Locations which may be affected include Therdbo, Perisher, Braidwood, Goulburn, Cooma, Bombala and Nimmitabel.
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Move vehicles under cover or away from trees.
* Secure or put away loose items around your house, yard and balcony.
* Keep at least 8 metres away from fallen power lines or objects that may be energised, such as fences.
* Report fallen power lines to either Ausgrid on 131 388, or Endeavour Energy on 131 003 or Essential Energy on 132 080, as shown on your power bill.
* For emergency help in floods and storms, ring your local SES Unit on 132 500.

The next Severe Weather Warning will be issued by 11:00 pm AEST Friday.
Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 218. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.

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#1461668 - 13/04/2018 17:27 Re: NSW April 7-15 2018, sustained April Heatwave leading to a possibly record month [Re: DerekHV]
Knot Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/05/2014
Posts: 2560
Loc: Toronto N.S.W
Bombala already affected. Minus 70 remember lol he he
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If you can't change something, there is only one option. Adapt!

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#1461673 - 13/04/2018 17:33 Re: NSW April 7-15 2018, sustained April Heatwave leading to a possibly record month [Re: DerekHV]
CoastalStorm22 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/07/2006
Posts: 2781
Loc: Lane Cove, Sydney, NSW
Certainly hope they have that Berowra Fire under control before the wind tomorrow, the last thing we need is that jumping into the Ku-ring-gai national park and racing east towards Pittwater.


Edited by CoastalStorm22 (13/04/2018 17:34)

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#1461675 - 13/04/2018 17:38 Re: NSW April 7-15 2018, sustained April Heatwave leading to a possibly record month [Re: DerekHV]
Homer Online   content
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5621
Loc: Dural
Lol Knot. Even though the temp updates have shut down, it still has the -70 as the low temp for the day. He he he. Another one for the record books!!

And yes CS22, I hope you are right re the HR burn off in the Hornsby area. Smoke was clearly visible this afternoon from my joint.

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#1461677 - 13/04/2018 17:50 Re: NSW April 7-15 2018, sustained April Heatwave leading to a possibly record month [Re: DerekHV]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4040
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
Here are some numbers for Sydney, estimated averages for the first 20 days of April including today's max (guessed for Parramatta) and the 7 day forecast:

Sydney OH : 19.3 - 27.4, anomalies +4.0 +4.1 (1981-2010)
Parramatta: 16.4 - 28.7, anomalies +3.6 +4.9 (1967-2017)
Richmond--: 15.7 - 29.7, anomalies +4.1 +5.7 (1993-2017)

Assuming that the last 10 days of April come in 1 below the monthly average (reasonable for a cooling month), we will finish with:

Sydney OH : 17.8 - 25.9, anomalies +2.5 +2.6
Parramatta: 14.9 - 26.8, anomalies +2.1 +3.0
Richmond--: 14.0 - 27.5, anomalies +2.4 +3.5

EDIT: these will all be new records except for Parramatta, which will equal its old minimum record. Richmond's old site had a warmer average minimum in 1989


Edited by Steve777 (13/04/2018 18:00)

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#1461686 - 13/04/2018 19:46 Re: NSW April 7-15 2018, sustained April Heatwave leading to a possibly record month [Re: DerekHV]
ashestoashes Online   content
Weather Freak

Registered: 22/10/2017
Posts: 260
Loc: Voyager Point (South West Sydn...
If no thunderstorm easy records broken for South-western Sydney. With Bankstown AP still at 28.8 and there still is impending cloud cover.

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#1461687 - 13/04/2018 19:50 Re: NSW April 7-15 2018, sustained April Heatwave leading to a possibly record month [Re: DerekHV]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4040
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
There's a Severe Thunderstorm Warning out for a large swath of the State, including the Central Tablelands and Southern Highlands (damaging winds). Advance cells have passed over the Lake Illawarra region a little while ago, bringing a few mm and a drop in temps (only 18.8 at Albion Park).

WR may have to update his signature.


Edited by Steve777 (13/04/2018 19:52)

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#1461691 - 13/04/2018 20:56 Re: NSW April 7-15 2018, sustained April Heatwave leading to a possibly record month [Re: DerekHV]
Marts Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/01/2006
Posts: 2194
Loc: Mona Vale, northern beaches , ...
Good to see showers starting to pop up in the basin now. Even if it's just some showers that would be good as we need it.

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#1461705 - 14/04/2018 01:21 Re: NSW April 7-15 2018, sustained April Heatwave leading to a possibly record month [Re: Steve777]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6717
Originally Posted By: Steve777
There's a Severe Thunderstorm Warning out for a large swath of the State, including the Central Tablelands and Southern Highlands (damaging winds). Advance cells have passed over the Lake Illawarra region a little while ago, bringing a few mm and a drop in temps (only 18.8 at Albion Park).

WR may have to update his signature.

Haven't updated it in a while so there have been storms in between Jan 9th and now but maybe only a couple.

Got some.decent lightning and storms here with hail on the highlands.
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The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 11
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th
Dec 2nd, 14th
Jan 2nd(2), 8th(2), 9th

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