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#1460048 - 01/04/2018 09:43 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
slipperyfish Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 28/11/2011
Posts: 1356
Loc: South Mission Beach QLD
Hasn’t moved much. Still a few hours before it starts to make a significant move.

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#1460053 - 01/04/2018 11:19 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
Procella Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/01/2013
Posts: 93
Loc: Caravonica QLD
There are some great images on the Willis Is loop. Really starting to build
_________________________
Procella - From Latin procella ("storm, hurricane, tempest").

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#1460057 - 01/04/2018 12:18 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
nimbuss1 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/11/2013
Posts: 298
Loc: Kamerunga, Cairns

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#1460059 - 01/04/2018 12:21 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
Inclement Weather Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 07/03/2006
Posts: 5225
Loc: Diamond Valley
Mid-level steering seems to be favouring a westerly movement:



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The original donut hole

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#1460060 - 01/04/2018 12:31 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 12960
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
Flood Watch for coastal catchments between Cairns and Rockhampton
Issued at 12:26 pm EST on Sunday 1 April 2018

Flood Watch Number: 4

River level rises and areas of potentially significant flooding are likely to develop over parts of the Flood Watch area from Monday into Tuesday. Moderate to major flooding is possible.

A tropical low (ex-tropical cyclone Iris) currently in the Coral Sea is expected to approach the coast over the next few days.

Areas of heavy rainfall are likely to develop over parts of the Flood Watch area from late Sunday, particularly south of Townsville to Rockhampton. By Monday, this may extend into the North Tropical coast with heavy rainfall continuing through to at least Wednesday. The location of the heaviest rainfall still remains uncertain and is dependent on the movement of the low.

Any significant rainfall is likely to cause river level rises and widespread minor flooding from Monday. Moderate to major flooding is possible in the areas of heaviest rainfall, particularly in the North Tropical Coast catchments that have had significant rainfall and flooding over the past few weeks.

Catchments that have received recent rainfall are expected to respond quickly and heavy rainfall may also lead to local flooding.

Rivers level rises could cause significant disruption to transport and isolation of communities.

Catchments which may be affected include:

Mulgrave and Russell Rivers
Johnstone River
Tully River
Murray River
Herbert River
Black River
Ross and Bohle Rivers
Haughton River
Burdekin River downstream of Burdekin Falls Dam
Don and Proserpine Rivers
Pioneer River
Connors, Isaac and Styx Rivers and Plane Creek
Mackenzie and Fitzroy Rivers and Shoalwater and Water Park Creeks (Lower Mackenzie)

See www.bom.gov.au/qld/warnings to view the current flood warnings for Queensland.

For more information on the Flood Watch Service: http://www.bom.gov.au/water/floods/floodWarningServices.shtml
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1460061 - 01/04/2018 12:32 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 12960
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
Appears to be moving South on the Willis Is radar.

Pressure dropping pretty quickly there are well:

http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDQ60801/IDQ60801.94299.shtml
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1460063 - 01/04/2018 13:03 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
WANDJINA G'vale Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 22/03/2006
Posts: 2359
Loc: Gordonvale - Qld
Very heavy rain squalls and accompanying winds occurring in Gordonvale as of 5mins ago
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Wandjina - Cloud and rain spirits from Australian Aboriginal dreaming

Daisey Bates - The passing of the aborigines.

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#1460065 - 01/04/2018 13:06 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
Hurricane force Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 31/01/2011
Posts: 4169
Loc: Cairns, Parramatta park.
Same in the city. Massive gust with heavy rainfall
_________________________
MTD: 69.5mm
YTD: 2269.6 mm

May- 69.5mm

2014- 2352.6mm
2015- 2635.1mm
2016- 1495.7mm
2017- 2190.0mm
________________________
"Some people feel the rain, others just get wet”

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#1460066 - 01/04/2018 13:09 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
nimbuss1 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/11/2013
Posts: 298
Loc: Kamerunga, Cairns
Just started here..... woo wee, a bit of wind alright!

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#1460067 - 01/04/2018 13:11 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
cold@28 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/02/2011
Posts: 2419
Loc: Chillagoe
Best on offer out here is wafts of nicely cooling breeze every now and then.

It's only 33 anyway, so not too hot.
45% humidity.

Blue and white sky in the west, interesting grey in the east. And the clouds generally are moving across the sky pretty fast.

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#1460073 - 01/04/2018 13:35 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
rainthisway Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/11/2015
Posts: 805
Loc: Mutarnee.....70km north of Tow...
Hot and sunny with odd cloud for last few days but wind has increased since yesterday. Few showers floating around.
_________________________
Nikko

Mutarnee, Southern Wet Tropics - 70km North of Townsville and 40km south of Ingham.

MTD (Apr 2018]: 10mm (Ave 136mm)
Mar 2018: 679.9mm (avg 329.6mm)
YTD 2018 1787.3mm (Avg 1952.1mm)

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#1460074 - 01/04/2018 13:43 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: nimbuss1]
Crystal Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 30/12/2001
Posts: 1224
Loc: Cairns - Crystal Cascades
Short lived bursts of wind and rain then wild ride from Redlynch shops. Palms down galore in our driveway. Now all back to nearly normal.


Edited by Crystal (01/04/2018 13:45)

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#1460075 - 01/04/2018 13:48 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
Dawgggg Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 25/03/2007
Posts: 23684
Loc: Townsville
BOM even awake in Brisbane?
_________________________
2015/16 Storms
13 Storms 2500km travelled

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#1460076 - 01/04/2018 13:50 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: Dawgggg]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5819
Loc: Dural
Originally Posted By: Dawgggg
BOM even awake in Brisbane?


Still on their lunch break mate.

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#1460077 - 01/04/2018 13:52 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
cold@28 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/02/2011
Posts: 2419
Loc: Chillagoe
Not much blue sky left, just one small patch in the north, become grey very quickly, and now getting another few minutes of nice cool breeze. Gentle breeze, not gusts.

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#1460078 - 01/04/2018 13:58 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
nimbuss1 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/11/2013
Posts: 298
Loc: Kamerunga, Cairns
Bom's 4 day charts are out....
Looks like they got ex TC Iris sitting over the cairns area for the next few days?

http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/4day_col.shtml

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#1460079 - 01/04/2018 14:01 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: @_Yasified_shak]
SMD1125 Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 15/11/2015
Posts: 12
Loc: Cygnet, Tasmania
Clear South trend the last 3hrs on Willis Is RADAR

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#1460080 - 01/04/2018 14:02 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: nimbuss1]
Willraja Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 06/03/2009
Posts: 153
Loc: Jubilee Heights
Originally Posted By: nimbuss1
Bom's 4 day charts are out....
Looks like they got ex TC Iris sitting over the cairns area for the next few days?

http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/4day_col.shtml

And it looks like they have an unlabelled isobar at 990hpa around the centre so a sub-990hpa central pressure. Should put it at a Cat 1 system for that period.
_________________________
Some photos from a few of my travels here

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#1460081 - 01/04/2018 14:04 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: Willraja]
Ken Kato Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 5171
Originally Posted By: Willraja
Originally Posted By: nimbuss1
Bom's 4 day charts are out....
Looks like they got ex TC Iris sitting over the cairns area for the next few days?

http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/4day_col.shtml

And it looks like they have an unlabelled isobar at 990hpa around the centre so a sub-990hpa central pressure. Should put it at a Cat 1 system for that period.


Whether or not a system is a TC is decided by wind speed wrapping more than halfway around its centre - not central pressure.

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#1460082 - 01/04/2018 14:18 Re: QLD Tropical Cyclone Season 2017/2018 [Re: Ken Kato]
Willraja Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 06/03/2009
Posts: 153
Loc: Jubilee Heights
Originally Posted By: Ken Kato
Originally Posted By: Willraja
Originally Posted By: nimbuss1
Bom's 4 day charts are out....
Looks like they got ex TC Iris sitting over the cairns area for the next few days?

http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/4day_col.shtml

And it looks like they have an unlabelled isobar at 990hpa around the centre so a sub-990hpa central pressure. Should put it at a Cat 1 system for that period.


Whether or not a system is a TC is decided by wind speed wrapping more than halfway around its centre - not central pressure.


Yes I understand that, in the absence of other info going off the 4-Day MSLP chart a high 980s low in the Coral Sea can reasonably be expected to be a Cat 1 system, true? Not?
_________________________
Some photos from a few of my travels here

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