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#1463556 - 10/05/2018 19:04 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Homer]
Max744 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/11/2002
Posts: 1590
Loc: Cooks Gap NSW
Originally Posted By: Homer
Originally Posted By: Dawgggg
SWW out


Funny you should mention that.
I was speaking to my sister earlier this afternoon who works for a major energy supplier in Sydney. She said they had been put on "high alert" for tomorrow, and she may be asked to work late into the night tomorrow due to the predicted high winds and possible outages. She was told they were expecting problems, with winds way higher than the BOM's forecast of 35 km/h in this afternoons forecast.
In the SWW, the Metro is not mentioned.
My theory is the BOM are waiting until after tonight's tabloid news bulletins to issue for the Metro. We all know how silly the media can go with warnings like this and cause unnecessary worry and panic.
I wouldn't be surprised if the BOM update to include the metro later tonight or tomorrow.


Don't I know how stupid the media get with these sort of events! You should've tried living in Darwin, we absolutely dreaded having a Cyclone Watch issued! Hahahahaha

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#1463557 - 10/05/2018 19:04 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Dawgggg]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5855
Loc: Dural
Originally Posted By: Dawgggg
I was incredibly surprised about the BOMs forecast dropping the stronger winds.

Almost just as surprised the Metro was not in the SWW as well!

Alot of models tonight bring the system far north enough for damaging winds late tomorrow, so no surprises about what your family member said mate.


I just found it curious that the energy company were on to it but the BOM weren't.

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#1463558 - 10/05/2018 19:08 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
Kino Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 2263
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Typical MO of the BoM sad to say.

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#1463559 - 10/05/2018 19:08 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Max744]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5855
Loc: Dural
Originally Posted By: Max744
Originally Posted By: Homer
Originally Posted By: Dawgggg
SWW out


Funny you should mention that.
I was speaking to my sister earlier this afternoon who works for a major energy supplier in Sydney. She said they had been put on "high alert" for tomorrow, and she may be asked to work late into the night tomorrow due to the predicted high winds and possible outages. She was told they were expecting problems, with winds way higher than the BOM's forecast of 35 km/h in this afternoons forecast.
In the SWW, the Metro is not mentioned.
My theory is the BOM are waiting until after tonight's tabloid news bulletins to issue for the Metro. We all know how silly the media can go with warnings like this and cause unnecessary worry and panic.
I wouldn't be surprised if the BOM update to include the metro later tonight or tomorrow.


Don't I know how stupid the media get with these sort of events! You should've tried living in Darwin, we absolutely dreaded having a Cyclone Watch issued! Hahahahaha


Can you just imagine Channel 9 and 7 tonight and how crazy they would go with a warning of 80-90 km/h winds in a warning? I can see the words "cyclonic" and "mini tornadoes" being used.
It's just "my" theory anyway, and I base that on what my sister told me they have been warned about.

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#1463560 - 10/05/2018 19:14 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5855
Loc: Dural
Anyway.......

I love the imbedded troughs circulating around the developing low for the next two days. Should keep the system "lively".

http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/4day_col.shtml

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#1463561 - 10/05/2018 19:14 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
Dawgggg Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 25/03/2007
Posts: 23686
Loc: Townsville
Its something the BOM would do.

Trust me....in QLD anyway.
_________________________
2015/16 Storms
13 Storms 2500km travelled

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#1463563 - 10/05/2018 19:18 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
Kino Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 2263
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Interestingly the winds are far more savage along the coast (40knot gusts) yet Albion Park mid teens. Temps plummeting though, only 13c now and dropping like Labor House of Repís 😳😳😳

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#1463564 - 10/05/2018 19:22 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
EddyG Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/12/2008
Posts: 4953
Loc: Port Stephens NSW
I don't know what all the fuss is about? still a balmy 21c at near 1930hrs. wink
_________________________
Rainfall
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YTD - 813.5mm
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#1463565 - 10/05/2018 19:22 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Dawgggg]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5855
Loc: Dural
Originally Posted By: Dawgggg
Its something the BOM would do.

Trust me....in QLD anyway.


I have no doubt.

Anyway, it was 24.2 deg's when I got home at 3.30 pm.
It's now a very pleasant 14.7 deg's outside.
I opened all the windows and doors when I got home and let all the warm air in.
I closed them just before I saw the change was about to hit on the Doppler wind.
House is still 21.2. No need for a heater tonight but maybe I'll need to light the fire tomorrow.
smile


Edited by Homer (10/05/2018 19:25)

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#1463571 - 10/05/2018 19:52 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
EddyG Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/12/2008
Posts: 4953
Loc: Port Stephens NSW
After a cool start to the morning thanks to some thick stubborn high cloud it warmed up nicely in the afternoon with brilliant clear skies. But as the sun was starting to go down the sky got a little interesting with some pre-frontal activity. This pic looking towards Nelson Bay, no CGs were spotted but there was plenty of crawlers.
_MG_8219 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr
A nice sunset to end the day.
_MG_8270 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr

But my main focus was still on that developing cell, once offshore I knew it wouldn't be long before it would produce a bolt or two.
_MG_8360 by Eddy Groot, on Flickr

I wanted to stay longer, but with a roast in the oven and beers getting warm in the car, I had to leave.
This cell was fairly racing out to sea too!!
_________________________
Rainfall
MTD - 12.4mm
YTD - 813.5mm
https://www.instagram.com/eddygroot/

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#1463572 - 10/05/2018 19:56 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
Sidney Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 20/12/2013
Posts: 437
Loc: Macquarie fields ( South west ...
Any reports from crookwell? Radar says moisture has arrived around that way. Theoretically should be snowing.

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#1463576 - 10/05/2018 20:03 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5855
Loc: Dural
1.4 deg's in Orange atm. smile

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#1463581 - 10/05/2018 20:30 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6877
I really like that 2nd photo Eddy. Yep Sidney I reckon Crookwell will get some snowy precip. Goulburn only 5.4 so should be about 3 there and 2įC at the highest parts in the area.
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 11
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th
Dec 2nd, 14th
Jan 2nd(2), 8th(2), 9th

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#1463583 - 10/05/2018 20:37 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
kizz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/02/2002
Posts: 1990
Loc: Beacon Hill, Sydney 152m asl
Smell of fan heater being turned on for first time in many months.

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#1463584 - 10/05/2018 20:42 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Homer]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6877
Originally Posted By: Homer
1.4 deg's in Orange atm. smile


I think that could have been a bit of calm cooling rather than the true temp. 8pm was down to 1.1 but back up to 2.2 with slightly stronger wind now. Edit 8:40 up to 3.2. Not much difference but just bringing this up because these slight differences mean a lot when talking about marginal snow conditions.


Edited by Wave Rider (10/05/2018 20:44)
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 11
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th
Dec 2nd, 14th
Jan 2nd(2), 8th(2), 9th

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#1463585 - 10/05/2018 20:49 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
Kino Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 2263
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
The next lot of colder air entering far western edge of radar now - this will have snow for higher peaks for sure. Hopefully itíll push up some action for the coast overnight.

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#1463586 - 10/05/2018 21:02 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6877
Canberra at 4.2įC with rain is pretty impressive. One would expect there to be some snow falling in the hills east of Canberra around 800m.


Edited by Wave Rider (10/05/2018 21:02)
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 11
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th
Dec 2nd, 14th
Jan 2nd(2), 8th(2), 9th

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#1463587 - 10/05/2018 21:05 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
EddyG Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/12/2008
Posts: 4953
Loc: Port Stephens NSW
I was about to mention that WR, one would imagine the hills around the capital would be seeing something?

Finally its getting breezy here. Plenty of lightning way out to sea.
_________________________
Rainfall
MTD - 12.4mm
YTD - 813.5mm
https://www.instagram.com/eddygroot/

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#1463588 - 10/05/2018 21:26 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
Kino Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 2263
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Would be snowing in Crookwell now surely.

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#1463589 - 10/05/2018 21:29 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5855
Loc: Dural
Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
Originally Posted By: Homer
1.4 deg's in Orange atm. smile


I think that could have been a bit of calm cooling rather than the true temp. 8pm was down to 1.1 but back up to 2.2 with slightly stronger wind now. Edit 8:40 up to 3.2. Not much difference but just bringing this up because these slight differences mean a lot when talking about marginal snow conditions.


Yep. Agree.
Just thought it was worth noting how cold temps are atm.

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