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#1463590 - 10/05/2018 21:30 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Kino]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5701
Loc: Dural
Originally Posted By: Kino
Would be snowing in Crookwell now surely.


It must be getting close to it one would think.

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#1463591 - 10/05/2018 21:31 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Homer]
Kino Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 2027
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Originally Posted By: Homer
Originally Posted By: Kino
Would be snowing in Crookwell now surely.


It must be getting close to it one would think.


4c in Goulburn, have to be ~2 or lower there. Hope they get a good dump.

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#1463592 - 10/05/2018 21:41 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Kino]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5701
Loc: Dural
Originally Posted By: Kino
Originally Posted By: Homer
Originally Posted By: Kino
Would be snowing in Crookwell now surely.


It must be getting close to it one would think.


4c in Goulburn, have to be ~2 or lower there. Hope they get a good dump.


Taralga next in line, then, all the high areas along the Goulburn - Bathurst road.

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#1463593 - 10/05/2018 21:44 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Homer]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6778
Originally Posted By: Homer
Originally Posted By: Kino
Originally Posted By: Homer
Originally Posted By: Kino
Would be snowing in Crookwell now surely.


It must be getting close to it one would think.


4c in Goulburn, have to be ~2 or lower there. Hope they get a good dump.


Taralga next in line, then, all the high areas along the Goulburn - Bathurst road.


Then hopefully Bowral! grin
Not that it will happen but I can always live in hope.
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 11
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th
Dec 2nd, 14th
Jan 2nd(2), 8th(2), 9th

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#1463595 - 10/05/2018 22:00 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4096
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
Nice pictures Eddy.

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Crookwell - funny name, sort of contradictory. At 980 metres it would be about 2 degrees cooler than Goulburn Airport (640), about 60km SE. That would be 2 degrees. Marginal for snow, but it might get colder.

There appears to be very little precipitation outside Alpine areas at this stage.

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#1463596 - 10/05/2018 22:02 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6778
Given that the humidity is quite low though, I would say 2 degrees would certainly be producing snow. If it was 100% say, the temp would have to be very close to zero for snow.
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 11
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th
Dec 2nd, 14th
Jan 2nd(2), 8th(2), 9th

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#1463597 - 10/05/2018 22:10 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6778
Snow probability calculator:
http://www.sciencebits.com/SnowProbCalc?calc=yes

Btw it's actually up to 90% now at Goulburn, whoops. I was concentrated on the obs for Moss Vale, so apologies.


Edited by Wave Rider (10/05/2018 22:13)
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 11
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th
Dec 2nd, 14th
Jan 2nd(2), 8th(2), 9th

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#1463598 - 10/05/2018 22:12 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Steve777]
Kino Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 2027
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Originally Posted By: Steve777
Nice pictures Eddy.

-------

Crookwell - funny name, sort of contradictory. At 980 metres it would be about 2 degrees cooler than Goulburn Airport (640), about 60km SE. That would be 2 degrees. Marginal for snow, but it might get colder.

There appears to be very little precipitation outside Alpine areas at this stage.


In this type of setup it could easily be 3 or 4c cooler.

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#1463602 - 10/05/2018 22:42 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
Antarctic Whaler Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 26/03/2018
Posts: 41
Loc: Black Springs NSW; 1,210 m AMS...
Aye, it is indeed snowing in Binda, Crookwell & Grabben Gullen...quite heavily, too! Fella of mine confirmed this over the phone wink Snow is also falling to Pejar Dam—only 784 m AMSL about the lake surface.

I'd wager that Trunkey Creek, Triangle Flat & Hobbys Yards (970-1,040 m AMSL) in Blayney Shire would receive some snowfall down the line, with Mount Macquarie (1,210 m AMSL) perhaps bound to be bombarded with it.

Speaking of snow, guess what I'm receiving... grin smile
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“Below 40 degrees South, there is no law; below 50 degrees South, there is no rescue; below 60 degrees South, there is no hope; below 70 degrees South, there is no God.”

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#1463605 - 10/05/2018 22:48 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
ashestoashes Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 22/10/2017
Posts: 306
Loc: Voyager Point (South West Sydn...
What a wonderful synoptic chart. Although personal just looks like a lot of clothes lines that I expect I will be picking back up, not much else.

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#1463606 - 10/05/2018 22:48 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
Kino Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 2027
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Thought it was - that radar profile looked suss.....Blue Mountains may see some flurries in the next 2 hours as well (currently 2c there).

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#1463612 - 10/05/2018 23:09 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
Jimi Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/03/2004
Posts: 895
Loc: Cammeray
Stat lovers should check out the Tassie forum. Hobart has had more rain in just the last hour than it’s old May daily record. It’s now at about double the old record with more coming.

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#1463614 - 10/05/2018 23:18 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
Dawgggg Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 25/03/2007
Posts: 23673
Loc: Townsville
Surely the Blue Mountains will see a flurry with this line of rain.
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#1463617 - 10/05/2018 23:36 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
isaY Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 01/02/2011
Posts: 100
Loc: ORANGE NSW 900m asl
Snow falling at Orange airport about an hour ago. No sign of it in town yet. Just light rain.

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#1463619 - 10/05/2018 23:41 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
Sidney Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 20/12/2013
Posts: 407
Loc: Macquarie fields ( South west ...
No snow in katoomba but a few pellets of ice in a shower that just passed

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#1463623 - 11/05/2018 00:16 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
isaY Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 01/02/2011
Posts: 100
Loc: ORANGE NSW 900m asl
Raining heavier now. Ice/rain combo on the car windscreen.

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#1463625 - 11/05/2018 01:02 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
isaY Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 01/02/2011
Posts: 100
Loc: ORANGE NSW 900m asl
Snow falling in Orange, just flurries.

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#1463637 - 11/05/2018 06:27 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
DerekHV Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/02/2010
Posts: 1080
Loc: Aberglasslyn (Maitland) NSW
Cold enough, but I don't think it will get as cold as the minimum forecast.
Normally the coldest minimums are about a day or 2 after the cold front passes through.
The event will probably be short-lived here in the Hunter though.

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#1463638 - 11/05/2018 06:32 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
DerekHV Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/02/2010
Posts: 1080
Loc: Aberglasslyn (Maitland) NSW
Interesting phenomenon on the other side of the continent, Perth going for 2 days of 30C in a row.
It will probably even break Sydney's May record.
This is usual as high's dominate in the first half of autumn, and the seasonal lag over there, so autumn record highs are significantly higher than here. (conversely spring record maximums are equally less than the east coast)

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#1463639 - 11/05/2018 06:53 Re: NSW Cold change and low with rain and snow- 11th & 12th May 2018 [Re: Wave Rider]
davidm Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 08/08/2011
Posts: 1555
Loc: Orange, NSW
Morning guys, long time no see!

Light dusting of snow here in Orange, woke up a couple of times in the night to see flakes coming down, but yeah, looks like just not enough of them landed. Just touching 1c now, not sure whether we'll get any more before it starts warming too much.



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