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#1463498 - 10/05/2018 11:39 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10132
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Howdy BB - snow a decent chance on the higher ground nearby.

Bathurst sits at about 670 to 700 metres asl in general - Mt Panorama is about 870m at the top. We sit in the bottom of a valley with higher ground surrounding.

Much of the surrounding area is from 800 to 1200m with some even up to 1300 and Mt Canobolas beside Orange about 1360.

Areas above 800m have a decent chance of flakeage at some point overnight. Higher areas will see more.

Orange sits around 860m in town centre but rises towards Canobolas.

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#1463509 - 10/05/2018 13:07 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10132
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Hobart forecast basically rain & snow (above 900) HEAVY at times this afternoon and tonight.

Gunna get wet down there grin

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#1463510 - 10/05/2018 13:17 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
yep Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/07/2013
Posts: 413
Loc: Hobart
Cold windy and wet and there's snow settling on the top of the mountain but everything is cloaked under cloud eliminating the city view. I had a look at the Top daily rain totals for May last night for Hobart as the top-end forecasts for rain totals next 2 days look special.

May- Highest daily totals
47.0...1973
44.2...1956
39.6...1958
37.1...1947
36.8...1960

It is very interesting, plenty of high temperature records, lots of dry weather records in modern times but Hobart has not had a record high rainfall record since 1996 ( February, highest daily total ).
With such warm waters off the east coast especially in the last 20 years it should elevate higher rainfall intensities and records to fall. I guess we have just had less low pressure systems develop off the east coast than the historical average in this recent period. An outlier.


Edited by yep (10/05/2018 13:19)

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#1463514 - 10/05/2018 14:13 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10132
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Yes Hobart needs those east coast low type set ups for the easterly or SE winds.

Been very few for a while now as you obviously know smile

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#1463517 - 10/05/2018 14:35 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: DaveM]
pwa54 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 29/01/2009
Posts: 52
Loc: Kingston, Tasmania
Interesting details on the Hobart May record, Yep. That's the lowest highest monthly total and it could quite easily go by 9am tomorrow. The rain is intermittent at the moment but with some quite heavy spells.

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#1463570 - 10/05/2018 19:40 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Stale fish Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/06/2001
Posts: 2165
Loc: Leslie vale 310m asl
Hi all,
45mm at Leslie Vale since midnight! 8mm till 9am so about 37mm since 9am.

Up at Great Lake Tods Corner we have had frost at first then the snow came in with 1cm of wet snow. The. It melted around 11am and started around 2pm again. Had 5mm and about the same in snow in the funnel.
Had 3 cm of snow at 1115m and 1cm at 1070 at 6pm.
Dumping with snow now and we have had 4cm at 1070m.
Will drive up to new shack site at 1115m and report back.
Will need to clean the snow off the marquee before it calapsis.
Temp 0.0degree


Edited by Stale fish (10/05/2018 19:43)

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#1463577 - 10/05/2018 20:13 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: Stale fish]
pwa54 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 29/01/2009
Posts: 52
Loc: Kingston, Tasmania
It's just exceeded 100mm since 9.00am at Buckland, that's only 50mms short of Buckland's year-to-date total. It apppears there are a few thunderstorms through the lower East Coast and, particularly, the Tasman Peninsula which look to be tracking towards Hobart.

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#1463594 - 10/05/2018 21:51 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 2006
Loc: Westbury
Up to the 3rd wettest May day, but rain starting to contract southwards.

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#1463599 - 10/05/2018 22:19 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: Snowies]
pwa54 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 29/01/2009
Posts: 52
Loc: Kingston, Tasmania
The record has gone for Hobart, 47.4mms by 10.00, and there's plenty more to come by the looks of the radar.

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#1463600 - 10/05/2018 22:36 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Stale fish Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/06/2001
Posts: 2165
Loc: Leslie vale 310m asl
Hi all

Heavy thunderstorms at home with now 85mm since midnight and 77mm since 9am.
14cm of snow up here at 1115m and has slowed up now.
Just about to go for a late night snow board down the 450m of road!

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#1463601 - 10/05/2018 22:37 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
pwa54 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 29/01/2009
Posts: 52
Loc: Kingston, Tasmania
Some quite serious flooding in the city and suburbs, Risdon Road, Morrison Street, several areas near the waterfront. Power outages affecting 1000s of properties south and east of the city and a flight turned back to Melbourne. Hobart has had 20mms in the last 30 minutes.

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#1463604 - 10/05/2018 22:47 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 2006
Loc: Westbury
Seriously pouring. Mount Wellington has had 45mm in 45min since 10pm. Hobart's 74mm is easily the wettest May day on record (more than 30mm in the last hour), if Hobart passes 80mm it'll be the wettest 24hrs since April 1960.

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#1463607 - 10/05/2018 22:55 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Markus Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/12/2010
Posts: 2186
Loc: Clare, SA
Damn, stay safe Hobartians. That convergence line is savage and combined with the massive uplift from the ranges, I'm concerned about rapid flash floods coming down the creeks.
_________________________
My Blogging site.

http://markdawsonphoto.wordpress.com/

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#1463608 - 10/05/2018 22:58 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: Snowies]
pwa54 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 29/01/2009
Posts: 52
Loc: Kingston, Tasmania
There will be some very serious flooding in Hobart and surrounds. The power has just gone out to another 9000 households and there's still plenty of lightning around. I can't recall another lengthy storm like this in Hobart. My very hazy memories of the 1960 floods are of steady consistent rain but no lightning and thunder. This is of tropical intensity.

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#1463609 - 10/05/2018 22:58 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Sam T Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 07/11/2008
Posts: 31
Loc: Hobart or Launceston
Have been seeing videos from friends in Hobart and it looks wild! At least three have their houses leaking and the amount of water running down the streets is pretty bad. I would guess that this will be the fullest that the Hobart rivulet has been for years.

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#1463613 - 10/05/2018 23:14 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
BrightonBreeze Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/07/2016
Posts: 192
Loc: Brighton, Tas 55m ASL
Yeah heaps of videos on social media of flooding Sam T, has eased right off at home, needed the wet and dry vac to get the water out of the south facing window frames a couple times this evening!

Rainfall total for Brighton so far is just under 50mm for the event and a peak gust from the South of 84 km/h, temp staying around 8-9C.

Lots of reports of trees down from the peninsular all the way up to Collinsvale way, Risdon rd near the Brooker was underwater/cut off and so was the Brooker in a couple places, other reports of flooding in Salamanca, Sandy Bay rd and Eastlands.

Will be a hectic tomorrow morning out on the roads once people head off to work and what not.

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#1463615 - 10/05/2018 23:27 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
yep Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/07/2013
Posts: 413
Loc: Hobart
The Hobart Rivulet which runs through the city appears to be overflowing. Just seen a social media post saying 'cars are being washed away' (?)

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#1463616 - 10/05/2018 23:33 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
BrightonBreeze Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/07/2016
Posts: 192
Loc: Brighton, Tas 55m ASL
Just seen the same post Yep, looks like near the hospital on Collins and Campbell streets!! people being told to stay out of the CBD! Very Dangerous situation unfolding in the CBD atm.. frown

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#1463618 - 10/05/2018 23:36 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
wingtipvortex Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/07/2011
Posts: 82
Loc: Tasmania
Intense storm here in Blackmans Bay. Started at 8:30pm, and has just grown into a monstrous beast. Power is well and truly out as far as I can see.
Rain has been relentless since then as well. I havenít seen a storm like this, and for this length since New Years Eve 2009?
_________________________
Kingston. Low Event Watcher!

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#1463620 - 10/05/2018 23:42 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
yep Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/07/2013
Posts: 413
Loc: Hobart
The Mercury has just posted some amazing video on its Facebook page. Very dangerous situation unfolding no doubt about it. Hobart will wake to its worst flood since the famous April 1960 event.

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