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#1464279 - 24/05/2018 19:45 Re: Cold air mass, Snow arriving approx 24thMay'18 - E.C.L. [Re: samboz]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 2004
Loc: Sale, NthGippsland, S/E VIC
Started the thread with this -




We ended up with this -




Moral to the story - give ACCESS time to settle on a forecast, maybe two days out it is getting much better than four or five.

Cool day forecast for Sale tomorrow, Max 16C, almost calm, might go for a ride on the cycle - Be in Maffra Petros, 9am start grin
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2018 RAINFALL. JAN-53.4MM FEB-14MM MARCH-18MM APRIL-7.5MM MAY-28MM JUN-11MM to 0900 18th

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#1464288 - 25/05/2018 08:50 Re: Cold air mass, Snow arriving approx 24thMay'18 - E.C.L. [Re: samboz]
balmz Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/11/2012
Posts: 713
Loc: Knox, Melbourne, VIC
What a bloody turn around from where we started. poke

Are we all in at least some agreement early next week should be pretty cold!? smile

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#1464298 - 25/05/2018 14:15 Re: Cold air mass, Snow arriving approx 24thMay'18 - E.C.L. [Re: samboz]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2519
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Well said Balmz , i knew we will be under High Pressure until next Tuesday quick cold uppers will come over Victoria.

Tuesday 29th May

Wednesday 30th


The Polar belt seems weak start of winter

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#1464318 - 25/05/2018 18:24 Re: Cold air mass, Snow arriving approx 24thMay'18 - E.C.L. [Re: samboz]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6996
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
An ECL (albiet a bit late) - not out of the questions for this slow arriving event Samboz?




...something for weather-deprived to keep an eye on?

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#1464341 - 26/05/2018 08:12 Re: Cold air mass, Snow arriving approx 24thMay'18 - E.C.L. [Re: samboz]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 2004
Loc: Sale, NthGippsland, S/E VIC
Deprived is pretty right P, doesn't rain, 1.2C @ 0700 E/Sale today. Just into a calmer period, the strong westerlies during the day have been a nuisance.

Models re ECL next week still vary in outcomes, generally some showers about in all of them, any chance of an ECL is late next week.

ECMWF was the best ECL I found - way distant time wise though.

https://www.windy.com/?rain,-37.710,148.326,7,i:pressure,m:cBEakgh
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2018 RAINFALL. JAN-53.4MM FEB-14MM MARCH-18MM APRIL-7.5MM MAY-28MM JUN-11MM to 0900 18th

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#1464357 - 26/05/2018 18:14 Re: Cold air mass, Snow arriving approx 24thMay'18 - E.C.L. [Re: samboz]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6996
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Reports of late and very light frost about the area this morning baro on 1025 hPa. Nice fine day, calm 18C good for golf on dry old Royal Maffra.

[edit] - might be our first full blown frost for the lower areas of Gippsland tomorrow, certainly got that early nip in the air out there now.


Edited by Petros (26/05/2018 18:15)

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#1464359 - 26/05/2018 18:19 Re: Cold air mass, Snow arriving approx 24thMay'18 - E.C.L. [Re: samboz]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6996
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
More on the "late" ECL from GFS:



Whatever transpires, ....its going to be cold later next week in Gippsland Vic.

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#1464390 - 27/05/2018 13:04 Re: Cold air mass, Snow arriving approx 24thMay'18 - E.C.L. [Re: samboz]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6996
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Third fine calm sunny day in a row here.

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#1464411 - 27/05/2018 18:43 Re: Cold air mass, Snow arriving approx 24thMay'18 - E.C.L. [Re: samboz]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6996
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
22C, the second last mild remnants of an Indian summer for parched central Gippsland?


Edited by Petros (27/05/2018 18:44)

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#1464417 - 27/05/2018 20:51 Re: Cold air mass, Snow arriving approx 24thMay'18 - E.C.L. [Re: samboz]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 2004
Loc: Sale, NthGippsland, S/E VIC
Another burst of cold air and cut of ECL later this week, on ACCESS tonight - watch and wait.....lol..... grin

At least we are getting into some regular winter patterns.
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