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#1465377 - 10/06/2018 20:18 Multiple frontal systems 10/6 - 18/6 (showers/cold/hail/snow
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1303
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Evening all,

Models have shown this week period of weather for awhile
Now, so I thought Id get this thread up and running 😃

Looks like a sustained period of frontal/trough systems to push
Through over the next 7-8 days!
Progressively gets colder and colder by next weekend,
With max temps pretty low from Friday/ Sunday period.
Plenty of showers possible hail and alpine snow, with potentially
Lower level snow by the weekend!

Hopefully as the systems get stronger by weeks end,
They can deliver some much needed rain to our friends
Out east and north vic 👍

Plenty of weather to talk though over the coming week
So go for it everyone 😃

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#1465379 - 10/06/2018 20:59 Re: Multiple frontal systems 10/6 - 18/6 (showers/cold/hail/snow [Re: doogasnow]
Twister1 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 573
Loc: Chadstone Vic
Great to see most of North Vic get something and most in the 8-15mm mark with higher falls in hills,
After tomorrow nights front, wont see much in the N rest of week NW.

NE looking great for isol 100mm for the week and widespread 20-40mm.

South and Mount Vic also going to have a wet week, SW Vic and NE Vic will do best this week.

Wet, cold windy winterish week with a cold to almost very cold burst Fri-Sunday.

Im going to enjoy the sun tomorrow
_________________________
Bring on the STORMS

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#1465387 - 10/06/2018 22:46 Re: Multiple frontal systems 10/6 - 18/6 (showers/cold/hail/snow [Re: doogasnow]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 6341
Loc: Woodend VIC 579m ASL - where w...
Hopefully Mt William is back on the air on the BOM site this week as always enjoy the obs from there during winter frontal weather.
_________________________
Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and even some snow

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#1465408 - 11/06/2018 12:28 Re: Multiple frontal systems 10/6 - 18/6 (showers/cold/hail/snow [Re: doogasnow]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2612
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Nice sunny as cold front near Adelaide so so wait see if any thunderstorms might development somewhere in West..

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#1465410 - 11/06/2018 13:12 Re: Multiple frontal systems 10/6 - 18/6 (showers/cold/hail/snow [Re: doogasnow]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7365
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Great round up all - will enjoy the sun today, and hope to tally 10mm or so from this thread.

Great start for the snow season!

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#1465416 - 11/06/2018 16:59 Re: Multiple frontal systems 10/6 - 18/6 (showers/cold/hail/snow [Re: doogasnow]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7365
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
The second low pressure system for this thread seems to have enhanced a bit, useful rain for much of Vic (except Gippsland) and very snowy from NW backing to SW over a couple of days smile GFS:


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#1465417 - 11/06/2018 17:11 Re: Multiple frontal systems 10/6 - 18/6 (showers/cold/hail/snow [Re: doogasnow]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7365
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Oops - failed to report a calm sunny 16C day here, baro backed off by 9 to 1015 hPa past 24hr. No sign of the looming change evident here yet in westerly sky, but betting on a short twilight for Vic this evening.

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#1465430 - 11/06/2018 20:36 Re: Multiple frontal systems 10/6 - 18/6 (showers/cold/hail/snow [Re: doogasnow]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2612
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Winter thunderstorms firing up in West at 8.25pm, this second repeat night lighting storms this winter is very unreal...as we had lighting strikes thunderstorm last May 29th 2018..

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#1465448 - 12/06/2018 09:31 Re: Multiple frontal systems 10/6 - 18/6 (showers/cold/hail/snow [Re: doogasnow]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 801
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
3mm to 0900 here. Started about 0500 and finished about 0800. Cloud now breaking with some sun.

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#1465449 - 12/06/2018 09:46 Re: Multiple frontal systems 10/6 - 18/6 (showers/cold/hail/snow [Re: doogasnow]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 2076
Loc: Sale, Central Gippsland, S/E V...
Satellite shows clear sky clearing from the W, prob. reliable enough for outdoor activity re rain, wind OK - 11 to 9 kph between 10am and 1pm.

1.25mm - keeping the lawn green.

http://www.bom.gov.au/places/vic/sale/forecast/detailed/#d2018-06-12

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#1465450 - 12/06/2018 09:47 Re: Multiple frontal systems 10/6 - 18/6 (showers/cold/hail/snow [Re: doogasnow]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7365
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
1.5mm here, all in the early hours. Sun trying to break through and calm out.

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#1465489 - 12/06/2018 18:35 Re: Multiple frontal systems 10/6 - 18/6 (showers/cold/hail/snow [Re: doogasnow]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7365
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Surprised to get a mild 18C here today, opened the doors and windows to warm the house!

Baro had sunk to 1001 hPa during day, bounced up to 1002 so a shower or two might be expected to add to our meagre tally for this event tonight?

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#1465491 - 12/06/2018 18:43 Re: Multiple frontal systems 10/6 - 18/6 (showers/cold/hail/snow [Re: doogasnow]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7365
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
This sequence of events looks more interesting for us in Gippsland if this tight little cut-off (from an earlier/larger cut-off) comes to play per GFS:


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#1465495 - 12/06/2018 19:57 Re: Multiple frontal systems 10/6 - 18/6 (showers/cold/hail/snow [Re: doogasnow]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1303
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Few showers around up here but only a couple
Of mm so far.
Models looking very cold and snowy for fri/sun
Period!!
Bom at this stage saying snow to 700m
On Saturday ❄️❄️

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#1465496 - 12/06/2018 20:13 Re: Multiple frontal systems 10/6 - 18/6 (showers/cold/hail/snow [Re: doogasnow]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 2076
Loc: Sale, Central Gippsland, S/E V...
Saw some 528 cold air on ACCESS dooga' the snow will be well
down at that rate.

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#1465497 - 12/06/2018 20:24 Re: Multiple frontal systems 10/6 - 18/6 (showers/cold/hail/snow [Re: doogasnow]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 6341
Loc: Woodend VIC 579m ASL - where w...
Rain finally stopped with the wind shift this evening. 19.0mm since last night.
_________________________
Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and even some snow

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#1465508 - 13/06/2018 07:37 Re: Multiple frontal systems 10/6 - 18/6 (showers/cold/hail/snow [Re: doogasnow]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 2076
Loc: Sale, Central Gippsland, S/E V...
Glad it will rain somewhere Ruckle, nice to get that report.

Our patch and further East stands to continue the dry spell until Sunday from what I can see.

The nice wet / cold fronts parting and going off to the N & S of us with regularity.

A strong N/W trough or a wet ECL close in would be handy !!

Q. "Is there such a thing as a wet ECL for E Vic any more, they seem scarce these days?"


Edited by samboz (13/06/2018 07:38)

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#1465514 - 13/06/2018 10:09 Re: Multiple frontal systems 10/6 - 18/6 (showers/cold/hail/snow [Re: doogasnow]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7365
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
CMC showing ECL conditions for Gippsland Sun-Monday smile



This thread looks like it might deliver for all areas of Vic by early next week smile

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#1465569 - 13/06/2018 19:03 Re: Multiple frontal systems 10/6 - 18/6 (showers/cold/hail/snow [Re: doogasnow]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7365
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Mild 16C max here today, but occasionally strong NW'ly blasts made for difficult golf conditions...

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#1465600 - 14/06/2018 11:44 Re: Multiple frontal systems 10/6 - 18/6 (showers/cold/hail/snow [Re: doogasnow]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7365
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Sunday night has the hallmarks of being a significant memorable severe winter storm for SE Vic if GFS can be believed!



If it comes to play, its unusual for me, to see a low pressure system drift from the bight SE'ward to below Tassie, travel due east, then head due N all the way to offshore Sydney!

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