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#1466321 - 24/06/2018 11:15 Vic - moisture in from the NE followed by a change 27-30/6/18
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7253
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Longer term models have been consistent with the development of an Easterly Dip through Qld/NSW over coming days (its starting now).

This could provide much needed rainfall to the dry area of those states, and on Wednesday night (if GFS proves correct), for the eastern sector of Vic?:



Then a more traditional change from the SW will arrive to sweep it all away by the weekend?

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#1466337 - 24/06/2018 16:45 Re: Vic - moisture in from the NE followed by a change 27-30/6/18 [Re: Petros]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2586
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Thanks for new tread, i am sick of High Pressure Frost go away bring mix showers of W/SW westerly air flow across SE Australia, and Northern Country always frost freezing when stable no winds.






Edited by chasers addict (24/06/2018 16:46)

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#1466355 - 24/06/2018 18:52 Re: Vic - moisture in from the NE followed by a change 27-30/6/18 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7253
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Typical of long term models, GFS has backed off in its prediction of rain extending down into E Vic, still shows rain in the important Qld/NSW regions.

Sit and watch watch transpires eh?

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#1466391 - 25/06/2018 09:20 Re: Vic - moisture in from the NE followed by a change 27-30/6/18 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7253
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Looks again to be a chance to impact Northern regions of Vic again, then to be swept away with late week change:


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#1466392 - 25/06/2018 09:23 Re: Vic - moisture in from the NE followed by a change 27-30/6/18 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7253
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
....further to the above, the outlook hints at a repeat Qld/NSW Easterly dip forming hot on the heals of this present one (in a weeks time).

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#1466412 - 25/06/2018 16:56 Re: Vic - moisture in from the NE followed by a change 27-30/6/18 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7253
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Lastest model runs again back off the southward extend of the Easterly Dip currently in place in QLD/NSW, shows the next SW'ly change to impact Vic later this week will sweep it away from Vic?

Statewide rain back to a typical rapid moving weak cold change.

.....but not so for itthe dips mooted return late next weekend into the week after?


Watch the looming weather closely Alexia!


Edited by Petros (25/06/2018 16:57)

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#1466415 - 25/06/2018 17:16 Re: Vic - moisture in from the NE followed by a change 27-30/6/18 [Re: Petros]
Alexia Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 14/12/2002
Posts: 595
Loc: Corryong
Will do Petros. Have had 4 foggy days today sun came out 1400 hrs. Yesterday was 5.8c today very cold even with the sun 4c at present

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#1466529 - 27/06/2018 10:40 Re: Vic - moisture in from the NE followed by a change 27-30/6/18 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7253
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Good rains in NSW, southerly extent looks unlikely to impact Vic's Nth on todays model run.

Looks like a typical cold front to cross Vic this Friday, most rain in the usual areas exposed to the SW.

Going to be a nice day here after a light frost.

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#1466538 - 27/06/2018 12:04 Re: Vic - moisture in from the NE followed by a change 27-30/6/18 [Re: Petros]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2586
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Yep Petros no rain or showers just ugly overcast up here.

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#1466632 - 28/06/2018 18:00 Re: Vic - moisture in from the NE followed by a change 27-30/6/18 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7253
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Lightly overcast here today, even tried to drizzle occasionally, after a frosty start, never made it to 13C, despite baro falling by 10 to 1020 hPa (usually accompanied by a NW'ly).

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#1466680 - 29/06/2018 19:10 Re: Vic - moisture in from the NE followed by a change 27-30/6/18 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7253
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Light frost am, cloudy mild day 16C. Baro has eased to 1014 hPa. Hoping to hear some drizzle in the early hours tomoz, but not holding my breath.....

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#1466683 - 29/06/2018 21:12 Re: Vic - moisture in from the NE followed by a change 27-30/6/18 [Re: Petros]
Alexia Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 14/12/2002
Posts: 595
Loc: Corryong
Wed Thur we had 10mm rain so 2 much milder days much appreciated

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#1466695 - 30/06/2018 07:26 Re: Vic - moisture in from the NE followed by a change 27-30/6/18 [Re: Petros]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 2060
Loc: Sale, Central Gippsland, S/E V...
Overcast with threat of shower or two in Sale & locally, much warmer with 8.3C @ E/Sale @ 0700.

Probably nothing wet as per forecasts, eg WATL, while others say 70% chance of a shower ??

Wind strengthening during the morn' and N/W to W later this arvo', might not wander to far on the wheels today.



Edited by samboz (30/06/2018 07:30)

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#1466706 - 30/06/2018 11:29 Re: Vic - moisture in from the NE followed by a change 27-30/6/18 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7253
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
A brief shower here around 7am, windy and overcast, nice to be frost free for a change!

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#1466715 - 30/06/2018 16:28 Re: Vic - moisture in from the NE followed by a change 27-30/6/18 [Re: Petros]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 6338
Loc: Woodend VIC 579m ASL - where w...
3.2mm today
_________________________
Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and even some snow

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#1466723 - 30/06/2018 17:41 Re: Vic - moisture in from the NE followed by a change 27-30/6/18 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7253
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Testing conditions at golf here this arvo, wind seemed to back/veer from NW to WSW several times, had squally showers but only tallied 0.25mm rain. A night for the fire, only 11.5C with strong breeze outside atm.

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#1466729 - 30/06/2018 18:40 Re: Vic - moisture in from the NE followed by a change 27-30/6/18 [Re: Petros]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 2060
Loc: Sale, Central Gippsland, S/E V...
Managed 1mm in Sale P.

Fairly steady shower during the arvo',over an hr +.

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