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#1468405 - 06/08/2018 17:34 Re: 2018 Australian Snow Season [Re: Steve777]
Steve777 Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4523
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
The models show a bit of a cold outbreak next Sunday 12th, with 850 temps over the central parts of NSW below zero and some moisture about. Meteye shows snow in the Orange area and about the Oberon Plateau, although none East of the Divide. The 7 day forecast mentions the 'possibility' of snow in Orange on Sunday.

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#1468452 - 07/08/2018 12:28 Re: 2018 Australian Snow Season [Re: Steve777]
Kangaroo Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/02/2007
Posts: 125
Loc: Berowra, Sydney
For those who aren't aware, there's a webcam set up in Oberon
c/o Oberon Tourism:

http://oberon.liveweatherviews.com/11.mp4

Nice cover this morning

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#1468465 - 07/08/2018 15:46 Re: 2018 Australian Snow Season [Re: Kangaroo]
Steve777 Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4523
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
Thanks for posting Kangaroo.

Here are some local press reports: Western Advocate Aug 7

Snow is also forecast in parts of the Central Tablelands on Sunday Western Advocate Snow


Edited by Steve777 (07/08/2018 15:51)

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#1468489 - 08/08/2018 07:04 Re: 2018 Australian Snow Season [Re: Steve777]
Kangaroo Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/02/2007
Posts: 125
Loc: Berowra, Sydney
Done 4 ski trips to Perisher so far this season (3 more to come), plus Oberon for 3 snowfalls and planning this Sunday. Can't get enough of the stuff.

Had some really good skiing, but been frustrated by the strong winds and the subsequent closure of lifts and the scouring of the snow creating ice skating rink conditions at times.

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#1468576 - 10/08/2018 11:30 Re: 2018 Australian Snow Season [Re: Steve777]
Steve777 Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4523
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
Snow depths in Alpine areas are tracking pretty much on a par with last year's bumper season, with 179 cm at Spencer's Creek: Snowy Hydro Snow Depths. Looking at the forecast, there's more to come over the next week or so.

The forecast also indicates snow falls for the Central Tablelands overnight tomorrow into Sunday morning, possibly as low as 700 metres. The change is short-lived, with snow again pretty much restricted to West of the Divide.

This Westerly pattern seems good for precipitation and snow at high elevations on the Western side of the Great Dividing range in Southern NSW, although not so good for the rest of the State.

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#1468632 - 10/08/2018 20:51 Re: 2018 Australian Snow Season [Re: Steve777]
snowbooby Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 11/05/2016
Posts: 247
The system you're anticipating left a 1cm dusting on Bluff Knoll overnight thursday.

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#1468641 - 11/08/2018 07:21 Re: 2018 Australian Snow Season [Re: Steve777]
Kangaroo Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/02/2007
Posts: 125
Loc: Berowra, Sydney
Thanks Steve777

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#1468842 - 15/08/2018 07:51 Re: 2018 Australian Snow Season [Re: Steve777]
Eigerwand Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/05/2012
Posts: 343
Looks like another good week of snow for the Snowies with that strong front at the end of the week.
I must say I’ve been quite surprised by the season this year given the warm, dry conditions (some cold minima however) that have been going on for much of NSW north of the Snowies. Glad to see that snowdepth keep building.

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#1468962 - 17/08/2018 02:41 Re: 2018 Australian Snow Season [Re: Steve777]
Stoxxo Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 12/04/2014
Posts: 22
Loc: Central Coast
A bit late but the front that came through on the 7th produced about 5-10cm at Edith in the Oberon area
https://imgur.com/HE45Of6

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#1469509 - 26/08/2018 00:21 Re: 2018 Australian Snow Season [Re: Steve777]
Snowy Hibbo Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/12/2016
Posts: 328
Loc: Matlock, Victoria.
My final long Range snow outlook of the season.
https://longrangesnowcenter.blogspot.com/2018/08/26th-august-australian-long-range.html
A two sided look at the models, a view into the mostly neutral (for the moment) drivers and a brief reflection.

I reckon this season has been better than last year, certainly from skiing Buller and in Victoria.

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#1469522 - 26/08/2018 08:55 Re: 2018 Australian Snow Season [Re: Steve777]
Kino Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 2880
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Your 15/7 outlook said “poor” yet they’ve probably had their best season in decades? 💁🏻‍♂️🤦🏻‍♂️💅🏻

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#1469527 - 26/08/2018 10:16 Re: 2018 Australian Snow Season [Re: Steve777]
KevD Offline
Occasional Visitor

Registered: 23/09/2001
Posts: 5206
Loc: Bellingen NSW 2454
I’d like to say thanks for all the effort you’ve put into generating these forecasts and sharing them with us. Have really appreciated your work. Also skied for the first time this year and loved it 🎿 ⛷

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#1469636 - 28/08/2018 10:49 Re: 2018 Australian Snow Season [Re: Steve777]
Mcbobbings Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 22/06/2018
Posts: 62
I thought I'd share this ABC article on Mt. Buller, it has some lovely pictures of the snow at Buller and describes life on the mountain and is a brief summary of the ski industry in general.

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-08-28/mt-buller-ski-town-snow-photo-essay/10077370

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#1470190 - 05/09/2018 08:09 Re: 2018 Australian Snow Season [Re: Steve777]
Eigerwand Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/05/2012
Posts: 343
So it's looking like we've maybe hit the max snow depth at Spencers Creek for the season and we're on the downslope. Max depth so far was 224.6cm's on Aug 22nd. Despite the hype, this year has actually come in a little lower than last year at 240.9cm.

Now, I recently used the Snowy Hydro data to dispatch with some rather erroneous views expressed in a different thread on here wrt to the historical significance of this years snow season. In doing so I made the point that one of the notable differences we're are seeing as part of the general downtrend at Spencers, is the very significant decline at the lower altitude sites of Deep Creek and Three Mile Dam. I feel Spencers may only be a decade or so away at it's slightly higher altitude before we see an abrupt decline in snow depths.

Amazing how well the decline of the snow depths at the lower altitude sites fits in with the decline in frequency and size of snowfalls in the more marginal snow areas of Australia such as the CT's and NT's in NSW.

I also came across this incredibly helpful graph to get a visual of this sad state of affairs:

http://www.sbs.com.au/interactive/2015/kosciuszko-snow-depth/

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#1470196 - 05/09/2018 09:19 Re: 2018 Australian Snow Season [Re: Steve777]
Blair Trewin Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 13/07/2001
Posts: 3837
Loc: Melbourne, Australia
Indeed - the downward signal is stronger at lower altitudes, and early and late in the season.

A few years ago we unearthed a ~50 year snow record at Bukalong, at 800m elevation northwest of Bombala - the only one of its type we know of at a site outside the alpine area but high enough to get snow in most winters. This showed a more striking downward trend than any of the Snowy Hydro sites. Unfortunately, the data set ends in the early 2000s.

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#1470202 - 05/09/2018 11:51 Re: 2018 Australian Snow Season [Re: Steve777]
Eigerwand Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/05/2012
Posts: 343
😢

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#1474719 - 26/10/2018 11:53 Re: 2018 Australian Snow Season [Re: Steve777]
Steve777 Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4523
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
A final farewell to snow season 2018. There was still 26.5 cm at Spencers Creek the other day. There might still be a bit as November dawns, but I don't think it will last much longer with the forecast warm up next week:

Snowy Hydro Snow Depths

Meanwhile, snow is long gone from lower levels.

It was apparently a great snow season in the Alps, with the depth peaking at 2.25 metres in late August and plenty of snow to the end of the season in early Octber, but it was only slim pickings outside the Alpine areas, with no 'Event' threads this year.

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#1474844 - 29/10/2018 09:27 Re: 2018 Australian Snow Season [Re: Steve777]
snowbooby Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 11/05/2016
Posts: 247
I think that while the polar stratospheric vortex holds together as it seems to be doing this year, there's always the chance of a late significant cold outbreak

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#1476408 - 21/11/2018 22:00 Re: 2018 Australian Snow Season [Re: Steve777]
Eigerwand Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/05/2012
Posts: 343
Absolute gem of a system for the Snowies by the looks of it over the next couple of days 😍

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#1476553 - 22/11/2018 17:31 Re: 2018 Australian Snow Season [Re: Steve777]
Steve777 Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4523
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
Looking at the snow cams under 'Surf & Snow' on Weatherzone, the snow's come back. A further 12-25 cm is expected over the next two days.

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