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#1488478 - 01/02/2019 21:10 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 8071
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
This weekend looks to become problematic for Nth Central Gippsland. Hope Sunday doesnt come with too much wind.

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#1488479 - 01/02/2019 21:15 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: doogasnow]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 8071
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Originally Posted By: doogasnow
Update fire map showing Yallourn fire burning right
Up to major transmission line


Good point. "Luckily" now that Hazelwood was prematurely shut down due the Dans increased coal royalties, that line can be de-energised if it is at risk without major impact.

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#1488498 - 01/02/2019 22:27 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1536
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Cheers p I didnít know they could do that.

Logansi- have u heard any details on the fires
Burning around the place today and what they
Think might happen this weekend?

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#1488504 - 01/02/2019 22:46 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: doogasnow]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1444
Loc: Adelaide S.A/Portland Vic
Originally Posted By: doogasnow
Cheers p I didnít know they could do that.

Logansi- have u heard any details on the fires
Burning around the place today and what they
Think might happen this weekend?


Sunday is going to be an interesting day, fire danger is highest in the west but still Very High around those fires. Going to be a lot of work to contain the 2 new fires which started today near Yallourn North and Grantville, especially with already stretched resources.

My concern is that the Thomson dam fire could develop quite a bit and possibly get fairly close to Rawson. Even without the really strong winds Sunday again brings the risk of pyrocumulus development with could increase the winds above forecast.

Walhalla fire could also move quite a bit to the SE.

Also risk of new starts with storms tomorrow and Sunday.

As mentioned very lucky that fire danger wont be highest in Gippsland. I am however worried that if anything gets going out this way that resources have been sent east such as aircraft. Its one thing to release aircraft to a fire fairly close - its another doing to for a fire on the other side of the state.


Edited by logansi (01/02/2019 22:47)
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#1488507 - 01/02/2019 22:58 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1536
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Yeah resources must be really stretched now as
U say.
If all these fires get up and moving again Tommoz,
Then u would think the whole weekend they will have
To prioritise which fires they Send the heavy
Aircraft to? More assets protection I suppose, fires like
The Yallourn fire which is fairly close to moe and
Yallourn North.

Do u know if there confident on holding the two fires that
Got going today?
U also have the fact of more starts from all
Those strikes Wednesday night

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#1488578 - 02/02/2019 13:03 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2871
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Upto 100mm rain likely for central Victoria to East Victoria by cells next week chance put fires out.

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#1488580 - 02/02/2019 13:57 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 953
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
This Emergency Warning is being issued for Almurta, Bass, Glen Forbes, Grantville.

There is a bushfire at June St, Glen Forbes that is out of control.
The bushfire is travelling in a southerly direction towards Dalyston-Glenn Forbes.
The fire has broken containment lines on the southern edge
This fire is threatening homes and lives.
Conditions have changed unexpectedly and the fire is moving towards Dalyston-Glenn Forbes Road.

You are in danger and need to act immediately to survive.

The safest option is to take shelter indoors immediately. It is too late to leave.

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#1488581 - 02/02/2019 13:58 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 953
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
Radar shows the plume from the Bass fire. Must be going strongly in such a heavily populated area.

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#1488621 - 02/02/2019 18:24 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1536
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Not looking to good Tommoz for fires!
Tfb posted for whole of vic and bumped wind speed
Up a little as well!! Could be a long day, letís hope
They can keep everything at bay!

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#1488630 - 02/02/2019 19:37 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1444
Loc: Adelaide S.A/Portland Vic
This Watch & Act message is for Basalt, Dry Diggings, Elevated Plains, Hepburn, Hepburn Springs, Mount Franklin, Shepherds Flat.

There is a grass and scrub fire at Elevated Plains that is not yet under control in the vicinity of Mannings Road, north of Dry Diggings Track.
This grass and scrub fire is travelling in a south easterly direction.
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#1488633 - 02/02/2019 19:39 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1536
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Thatís not good logansi getting a new start up
In that area! Firies going to have a long
Hard day Tommoz I think

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#1488635 - 02/02/2019 19:49 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
Robbie84 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/01/2007
Posts: 2095
Loc: Kalangadoo,South Australia
Geeze you guys aren't being cut any slack over in Victoria then again the SE of South Australia where i am is the same we have already had 2 sizeable grassies in the last couple of weeks more recently yesterday evening outside of Penola thankfully that was stopped by a watered paddock adding Australia Day grass fire at Lake Bonney

Its only the start of February and i got a feeling mother nature ain't done with us just yet in SA and Vic

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#1488636 - 02/02/2019 19:51 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1444
Loc: Adelaide S.A/Portland Vic
Hepburn fire requesting 4 choppers, won't happen with night approaching, night equipment committed in Gippsland and only 3 choppers available state wide right now.

3 Strike teams also responding. Southern front slowly moving twds Hepburn and northern flank becoming active. Personally I think this fire is a concern, going to be really hard even if fire activity reduces tonight to control it by morning.
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#1488640 - 02/02/2019 20:03 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1536
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Yep logansi, u would think it will be a going fire Tommoz
And thatís what we donít want!
So that means the current fires that probably
Wonít be contained by Tommoz and still
Burning are and could/will cause trouble are:

Tindarra fire
Walhalla fire
Grantville fife
Thomson fire
Possibly Hepburn fire
If these all really get cranking, Iíd be thinking we wonít
Have the resources to keep up?
And that list is without fires that are contained but still
Simmering and could jump out

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#1488641 - 02/02/2019 20:05 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1536
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Tonight will stay warm as well, not sure about wind
But overnight lows are fairly high

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#1488664 - 02/02/2019 20:33 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1444
Loc: Adelaide S.A/Portland Vic
Most recent sitrep, 35 ha going, increased fire activity on the Eastern flank, while the Eastern flank moves it away from Hepburn, it'll push it further into the bush meaning make it harder to contain.
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#1488673 - 02/02/2019 20:53 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 8071
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Thanks Logansi.

Very much hope all in Vic get through tomorrows fire conditions safely.

We are so proud of our CFA v volunteers and dnre staff.

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#1488712 - 03/02/2019 00:00 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1444
Loc: Adelaide S.A/Portland Vic
lot of resources going into the Hepburn fire, around 40 trucks on scene, fire burning in very inaccessible country right the slope down from the plain. Talk of MFB pumper truck team heading up for township protection tomorrow.
_________________________
Located in Adelaide or Portland Vic smile

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#1488718 - 03/02/2019 00:38 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
Dawoodman Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 14/03/2010
Posts: 1271
Loc: Thoopara; Prossie/ Bayswater
yeah the MFB are getting a few runs to fires..... saw a MFB task force at the grantville fire today for what i'm guessing was asset protection
_________________________
The storms are always beyond the horizon, behind the trees or parting above your head

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#1488742 - 03/02/2019 08:18 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1536
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Not a good start to the day, emergency warning
Just been issued for the Hepburn fire

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