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#1468814 - 14/08/2018 19:51 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1178
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
I know its early but may as well get this underway considering we had our first fire of significance last weekend near Marlo in the states SE which was at Watch and Act Level and I like to have these threads as a bit of as a way to document the season and look back on.

Here is a photo from this fire today, concern is that it is burning in area's of peat which without heavy rain may cause issues later in the season when things really heat up.



Ref Delwp/FFM Gippsland
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Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

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#1468816 - 14/08/2018 19:58 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1326
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Not good signs at all

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#1468825 - 14/08/2018 20:09 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 2120
Loc: Sale, Central Gippsland, S/E V...
Burning well enough into the wind.

Controlled down wind?

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#1468959 - 16/08/2018 20:58 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1178
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
Still have to see what Spring brings but for this time of year Victoria sits in the worst position for this time of year since 2008 which of course lead to Black Saturday

Quote:
Record-breaking low rainfall in parts of Victoria is forcing the Country Fire Authority (CFA) to bring forward the start of its bushfire season.

The agency has released its bushfire season outlook, and is warning Victorians to prepare for an extreme summer of fires.

For the first time, fire restrictions will be introduced in Gippsland as early as September.

CFA chief officer Steve Warrington said the season looked like it would be the worst in a decade.

"Our primary concern is Gippsland, the north-eastern parts of Victoria as well, the Otways and certainly along the Murray," he said.

"At the moment if we go on the current forecasts, and to some extent it's crystal balling, but the dams are down, the water content in the ground is quite low.

"Large parts of the state have been in a few years of drought now."

Conditions in parts of the state, including East Gippsland, are the worst firefighters have seen since Black Saturday when 173 people died in February 2009.

Fire season to 'start early, finish late'

"For the first time ever we'll introduce restrictions in Gippsland as early as September," he said.

"That will take us right through to potentially April next year, so start early, finish late.

"The conditions for this time of the year are really quite concerning for us, and that's unfortunately already being realised."

Fire authorities are expecting a severe or extreme fire season across much of the country this summer.

Mr Warrington warned that could leave Victoria unable to call on firefighters from interstate for help.

"Our ability to support each other is diminished," he said.

"This year we're planning as if Victorians are predominately going to have to look after ourselves, the support won't necessarily be there as we're used to.

"If it starts early and finishes late, it means fatigue issues for us ‚ÄĒ long campaign, lots of expectation."

Winter bushfires causing concern

About 140 firefighters have been battling a blaze burning at Cape Conran, in the state's east, since Saturday.

It is one of more than a dozen burn-offs that have escaped from private properties this month.

Victoria's Department of Environment Land Water and Planning incident controller Ben Rankin said the conditions were drier and more volatile than normal.

"This is most unusual to have fires run to this extent in winter," he said.

"The fuel and the countryside in East Gippsland at the moment is excessively dry."

Mr Rankin said the ground was drier now than it usually would be in summer.



Rainfall totals are at record lows in part of East Gippsland, and combined with the early fire season landholders are growing concerned.

Josh Puglisi's Cape Conran property is adjacent to the fire.

"We have a dam in our front yard and that was dug probably 12 years ago and it's been full every year," he said.

"This is the first year it's got virtually no water in it.

"We've got fire pumps on our dam, but we've got no water to pump.

"Everyone's talking about how dry it is, everybody from farmers to some old retired couples who live in this area."

The nearby Snowy River Campus School for Student Leadership is tucked away on a grass field surrounded by forest near Marlo.

Principal Robyn Francis said the school's fire equipment had been set up earlier than ever before.

The school has five water tanks for firefighting, a backup generator, and a deluge system to spray water over the school buildings if a fire threatens.

"We usually have it in terms one and four, it's always up in those terms. This is the first time we've set it up in term three," Ms Francis said.


If we don't see much rain in Spring Victoria will be a tinder box in a couple of months time
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Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

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#1468960 - 16/08/2018 21:02 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
petethemoskeet Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 13/08/2003
Posts: 1339
Loc: toowoomba
The whole eastern seaboard will be a tinder box.Could be unprecedented.

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#1469364 - 23/08/2018 12:44 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1178
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
"The Chief Officer has approved the declaration of the Fire Danger Period for District 11 to commence 0100hrs on Monday 10th September"

D11 is East Gippsland - this marks the earliest fire danger period declaration for any reason in state history.
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#1469372 - 23/08/2018 18:26 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7557
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Maffra is D9 Logansi?

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#1469378 - 23/08/2018 19:36 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1178
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria


I would assume 10, wouldn't be surprised if 9 and 10 are planned at the same time, although at this time 11 is the only one I have seen confirmation for - this was a message sent to d11 members
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#1469405 - 24/08/2018 10:44 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7557
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Yep 10. But I heard this morning that Wellington Shire Council might declare restrictions for this area anyhow.

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#1469415 - 24/08/2018 15:56 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 2120
Loc: Sale, Central Gippsland, S/E V...
Heard 10 & 11 to be declared 10th Sept.

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#1469455 - 25/08/2018 12:08 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1178
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
Yep, confirmed today by CFA

This marks the first time any district has been declared earlier than October 1st - which was a record set last year
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Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

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#1470769 - 15/09/2018 11:53 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1178
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
Rapidly developing fire at Bonang in plantation, request for support and as many trucks as possible, 2 forestry fire fighters injured and going to hospital. Fire can be seen on latest bom satellite - meanwhile it might be snowing up there later today.


Edited by logansi (15/09/2018 11:57)
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#1470772 - 15/09/2018 12:05 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1326
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Thatís rediculous logansi lol
And your right later on today it could be snowing
On top of the fire??🤔🤔🤷‍♂️

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#1470778 - 15/09/2018 13:10 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1178
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
Yeah, aircraft being responded now but are coming from Ballarat so 3 hours aways
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Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

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#1470781 - 15/09/2018 13:30 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1178
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
This Watch & Act message is being issued for Bendoc, Bonang, Cabanandra, Dellicknora, Tubbut.

There is a bushfire at Tubbut that is not yet under control.
Firefighters have been unable to stop the fire preading.
Enact your fire plan. The current weather conditions are making the fire difficult to control. Conditions may change and get worse very quickly.
What you should do:
If you leave remember to take your pets, mobile phone and medications.
If travel to the home of family or friends that are away from the warning area.
Keep the roads clear so emergency services can respond.
If you are away from home do not return.
Monitor conditions for changes in the situation.
Current weather conditions may bring down branches and trees
Impacts in your area:
Bushfires can spread quickly and are extremely dangerous.
Trees can fall across roads and cause dangerous driving conditions.
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Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

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#1471850 - 02/10/2018 16:38 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
Dawoodman Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 14/03/2010
Posts: 1245
Loc: Thoopara; Prossie/ Bayswater
The First Grassland Curing Map for the year.

The Mallee seems to have a head start on drying out

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The storms are always beyond the horizon, behind the trees or parting above your head

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#1471896 - 02/10/2018 22:52 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
Spectreman Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 15/09/2018
Posts: 4
Loc: Melbourne
Hi guys.
Newcomer to this forum, very interesting.
I believe this Summer will be kind of bad for fires in various parts of the state.
Looks like parts of Gippsland are drying out quickly too.
Have read in this seasons bushfire hazard Report by CRC that a lot of Gippsland & the Eastern part of Melbourne are the most at risk of fires this summer.
Has certainly been very dry lately alright.

I have had a keen interest in weather events for a long time, and also enjoy monitoring the emergency services, radio & EAS.
Cheers..

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#1471913 - 03/10/2018 07:49 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 2120
Loc: Sale, Central Gippsland, S/E V...
Welcome Spectreman, pls join in smile

Certainly dry with bushfires burning somewhat well and
quite unseasonably given we are just coming out of Winter.

One fire 41km N/W of Dargo has attracted seven response
vehicles, it's being taken seriously!

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#1474788 - 28/10/2018 13:21 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1178
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
Bit of a fire going up at Talbotville in the ranges, aircraft which were doing a training day at Latrobe have been deployed for a bit of real world action.
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Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

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#1474894 - 29/10/2018 20:09 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1178
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
Grass really starting to dry out now with most regions seeing some stage of curing, heat this week likely to result in significant curing this week

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Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

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