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#1484118 - 04/01/2019 22:27 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 952
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
Originally Posted By: logansi
Just paged out

GRASS FIRE JUMPED ROAD 1519 ROSEDALE-LONGFORD RD ROSEDALE


It's certainly moving fast!

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#1484119 - 04/01/2019 22:33 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1386
Loc: Adelaide S.A/Portland Vic
New fire map shows massive NE run,

_________________________
Located in Adelaide or Portland Vic smile

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#1484120 - 04/01/2019 22:35 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 952
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
Fine ash falling very thickly here.

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#1484123 - 04/01/2019 22:39 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1386
Loc: Adelaide S.A/Portland Vic
More pagers

RESPOND TO FULHAM PRISON FOR ASSET PROTECTION
_________________________
Located in Adelaide or Portland Vic smile

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#1484125 - 04/01/2019 22:43 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1386
Loc: Adelaide S.A/Portland Vic
Broken map fixed




Fire size now almost 9000ha, was 1500 around 6pm. Has now run further in the NE direction since the wind change that during the initial SE run this afternoon.


Edited by logansi (04/01/2019 22:51)
_________________________
Located in Adelaide or Portland Vic smile

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#1484127 - 04/01/2019 22:47 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 952
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
Considering need to protect prison implies fire has or is expected to cross river flats and get into fairly densely settled rural areas.

It is a massive increase in fire area.

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#1484133 - 04/01/2019 23:08 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2827
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
West Victoria CFA watch long Thunderstorm line firing up lighting from between Ouyen to Geelong radar at 11.08pm.

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#1484135 - 04/01/2019 23:41 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1386
Loc: Adelaide S.A/Portland Vic
How awesome to be going to be while our night time choppers are still up!

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Located in Adelaide or Portland Vic smile

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#1484166 - 05/01/2019 11:08 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1386
Loc: Adelaide S.A/Portland Vic
Reports this morning that 2 FFMV units and a Dozer will destroyed on the wind change and a number of CFA crews involved in burn overs, sure came through with some force. Also seeing some discussion about possible impact that the storm cell which passed to the south.
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#1484168 - 05/01/2019 11:40 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7897
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Wow Logansi, change wasnt that impressive here at Maffra, must have been hectic out on the fire ground then.

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#1484182 - 05/01/2019 12:44 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1386
Loc: Adelaide S.A/Portland Vic
I wonder if the fire itself made the wind change worse by drawing higher level winds into the fire.

Its really amazing the run it made during the change, based on the map between the initial ignition and the wind change it ran about 5km - about 7 hours in 43c heat with single digit humidity. While after the change between about 730 and 10 it ran almost 8km despite the massive drop in humidity and temperature, really shows the impact wind and the existing heat of the fire has.
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Located in Adelaide or Portland Vic smile

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#1484187 - 05/01/2019 13:07 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
KevD Offline
Occasional Visitor

Registered: 23/09/2001
Posts: 5229
Loc: Bellingen NSW 2454
Just amazing to be honest that any crews were left anywhere near the flank with the change due to come though. I thought wed moved beyond those days. Everything yesterday was pretty much on the mark for what had been forecast, including risk of storms. So why have crews there at that time. We know this stuff.

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#1484218 - 05/01/2019 15:17 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1514
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Yeah I agree with all the above!
Really something else how much that fire
Grew in size once that change pushed through!!

Hopefully they can get it all under control
Before the end of next week

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#1484236 - 05/01/2019 16:41 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1386
Loc: Adelaide S.A/Portland Vic
Couple of overhead photos from yesterday

Top 3 from after the wind change





https://twitter.com/CFASouthEastACO/status/1081407809659367424


Edited by logansi (05/01/2019 16:46)
_________________________
Located in Adelaide or Portland Vic smile

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#1484257 - 05/01/2019 17:57 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7897
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Thanks Logansi. Heard it was very smokey in Bairnsdale plus quite rainy this morning. Hope some rain made it up to your neck of the woods Thunderbob.

Nobody around here has heard how the Rosedale fire got started.

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#1484293 - 05/01/2019 22:44 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 2152
Loc: VIC
Brilliant pics Loganski, thanks !

Watched the fire around 2100hrs last night (Friday 04/01/2019) from the Sth Gipp Highway. Completely black overhead with smoke and burnt veg. matter blocking 100% light. A small envelope of bright blue sky was visible distantly at low altitude to the S/W (approx).

What appeared to be a huge updraft, an inverted "V", was in plain view at the base of an extremely hot part of the fire and could have had some rotation occurring.

At about 7km it was a little hard to be certain.

Thru' binocs watched flames estimated 50 metres+, it was raging hot and burning out the immediate fuel like exploding petrol.
Have said 50m+, could have been double that, hard to tell at distance in poor light without reference points.

The wind was around to the South enough to push the fire front closer to the N/N/E than N/E and luckily gave the Longford area respite.

Fire had died down quite a bit by 2400hrs and was even more reduced by 0600hrs this morning (Sat 05/01/2019).

Kept an eye on the area today, didn't see much in the way of a freshening plume in the air, fire conditions seem to be "behaving" today.

An observation - the fire ignition point was ideally situated to utilise the forecast, $$ damage to the pine plantation must be huge !!



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#1484356 - 06/01/2019 14:20 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1514
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Rosedale fire causing more ongoing issues
With the advice message now upgraded to
Watch and act again! Looks like the south
East side of the fire causing problems!

From my place looking east there is still
Decent plumes of smoke billowing out of
The fire, it looks active.

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#1484372 - 06/01/2019 17:20 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1514
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Fire still burning intense with its own cumulonimbus
Cloud again development in the past 30min

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#1484373 - 06/01/2019 17:20 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1514
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Saturday looking like another potentially bad fire
Day with heat and windy change

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#1484382 - 06/01/2019 18:52 Re: 2018/19 Fire Season Update and Discussion [Re: logansi]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7897
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Yep, smoke heading along our eastern skyline has dramatically increased this afternoon.

Those in Wurruk, Longford, Woodside and Yarram will be hoping this thing has been made safe before it goes back up to 38C on Saturday.

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