Page 1 of 2 1 2 >
Topic Options
#1469783 - 31/08/2018 09:18 Vic - first spring change for 2018 3-7/9/18
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7384
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
A "warm" northerly day for most Vic regions on the Wednesday, and the chance of "moisture-tinged" air to be advected down from NW WA with it. Thundery change? Some snow melt?

GFS:


Top
#1469797 - 31/08/2018 11:39 Re: Vic - first spring change for 2018 3-7/9/18 [Re: Petros]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2617
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Good Question (Chart keep changing) About snow melt degree as cold uppers still hanging around along southern Australia and no broken early warm spring yet...

Top
#1469963 - 02/09/2018 18:51 Re: Vic - first spring change for 2018 3-7/9/18 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7384
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Admittedly Gippsland-centric, here's GFS's guess at the chance of a storm out our way next Thursday arvo as the front crosses:



...in my opinion, provides us the chance of a rumble or two on the cold front?

Top
#1469969 - 02/09/2018 20:21 Re: Vic - first spring change for 2018 3-7/9/18 [Re: Petros]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1110
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
Hope so! I think the snow melt will start, looks like some warm weather to follow this one too
_________________________
Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

Top
#1470037 - 03/09/2018 18:20 Re: Vic - first spring change for 2018 3-7/9/18 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7384
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
As Logansi reported in the Possible Events thread, rainfall prospects have reduced for this frontal system, ....but nice to see the word "thunder" included in our local BOM forecast for the first time this side of winter smile


Top
#1470130 - 04/09/2018 14:03 Re: Vic - first spring change for 2018 3-7/9/18 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7384
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Dead calm and sunny here after a light frost.

Top
#1470153 - 04/09/2018 18:39 Re: Vic - first spring change for 2018 3-7/9/18 [Re: Petros]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1110
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
Nice upgrade on latest models



Will largely depend on storm development during Thursday
_________________________
Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

Top
#1470194 - 05/09/2018 09:00 Re: Vic - first spring change for 2018 3-7/9/18 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7384
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Reckon so Logansi, looks like a testing commute home from work tomorrow for those heading East out of Melbourne due to storms?:



Get ready for pollen warnings all day tomorrow.

Top
#1470195 - 05/09/2018 09:09 Re: Vic - first spring change for 2018 3-7/9/18 [Re: Petros]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1110
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
15.2 here at Moorabbin at 9am, been a while since we've seen that. Looking forward to tomorrow hoping for that first storm!
_________________________
Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

Top
#1470201 - 05/09/2018 11:51 Re: Vic - first spring change for 2018 3-7/9/18 [Re: Petros]
Dawoodman Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 14/03/2010
Posts: 1234
Loc: Thoopara; Prossie/ Bayswater
I think this will be of interest for some smile






Edited by Dawoodman (05/09/2018 11:53)
_________________________
The storms are always beyond the horizon, behind the trees or parting above your head

Top
#1470220 - 05/09/2018 16:19 Re: Vic - first spring change for 2018 3-7/9/18 [Re: Petros]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1110
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
I like it!


Mildura now up to 31C for next Tuesday, seasons have changed quite suddenly
_________________________
Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

Top
#1470224 - 05/09/2018 16:54 Re: Vic - first spring change for 2018 3-7/9/18 [Re: Petros]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 2080
Loc: Sale, Central Gippsland, S/E V...
Very "Springy" today, everywhere local hit 20C+ with Yarram top at 21.5C.

Chance of a volatile change tomorrow as per above, hoping for some cloud bursts smile

Just see BOM has upped forcast rainfall for Sale, 2mm-15mm, seem to remember it at 2mm-6mm y'day or in past couple of days.

15mm would be handy.


Edited by samboz (05/09/2018 16:56)

Top
#1470252 - 06/09/2018 09:19 Re: Vic - first spring change for 2018 3-7/9/18 [Re: Petros]
Dawoodman Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 14/03/2010
Posts: 1234
Loc: Thoopara; Prossie/ Bayswater
If this blanket of cloud moves on in the next hour and we jump straight into the 19-20 degree weather it should build up nicely before the front arrives. Needs to happen quick though.
_________________________
The storms are always beyond the horizon, behind the trees or parting above your head

Top
#1470253 - 06/09/2018 09:22 Re: Vic - first spring change for 2018 3-7/9/18 [Re: Dawoodman]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1110
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
Looking at the satellite it will clear very soon
_________________________
Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

Top
#1470254 - 06/09/2018 09:22 Re: Vic - first spring change for 2018 3-7/9/18 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7384
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Seems to be a clearer slot W of Geelong DW, might help.

Top
#1470259 - 06/09/2018 10:39 Re: Vic - first spring change for 2018 3-7/9/18 [Re: Petros]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 2080
Loc: Sale, Central Gippsland, S/E V...
Light steady rain in Sale since about 1025hrs, calm otherwise.

Be nice when the B'dale radar gets going again, been out for three days now.

Top
#1470274 - 06/09/2018 13:00 Re: Vic - first spring change for 2018 3-7/9/18 [Re: Petros]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1110
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
First strikes just started up round Charlton - guess we can call it the first cell of the season
_________________________
Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

Top
#1470275 - 06/09/2018 13:13 Re: Vic - first spring change for 2018 3-7/9/18 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7384
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
No rain here, but a very cold calm morning.

Top
#1470277 - 06/09/2018 14:23 Re: Vic - first spring change for 2018 3-7/9/18 [Re: Petros]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2617
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
The upper tough or front looks weak is light showers.

Top
#1470279 - 06/09/2018 14:49 Re: Vic - first spring change for 2018 3-7/9/18 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7384
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Sunny period arrived here an hour ago, temp lifted to 20C quicktime, feels humid enough for a storm although nothing promising yet visible to our W.

Storms have blossomed up over the central parts of the state:


Top
Page 1 of 2 1 2 >


Who's Online
1 registered (Steve O), 320 Guests and 3 Spiders online.
Key: Admin, Global Mod, Mod
Today's Birthdays
aurbina1, Justin Case
Forum Stats
29681 Members
32 Forums
23981 Topics
1501187 Posts

Max Online: 2925 @ 02/02/2011 22:23
Satellite Image