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#1470036 - 03/09/2018 18:18 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Showers / Rain areas followed by Scattered Thunderstorms - 3rd to 8th September 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Mad Elf #1.5 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 3581
Loc: Mt Hallen QLD
Doesnt look too promising for our part of the world. Not much steering happening inland near Marburg this afternoon, good looking clouds must have thrown out an anchor. Been watching rainbows most of the arvo.

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#1470040 - 03/09/2018 18:49 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Showers / Rain areas followed by Scattered Thunderstorms - 3rd to 8th September 2018 [Re: Nic_Bri]
Namarrkun Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/11/2012
Posts: 476
Loc: Salisbury
Originally Posted By: Nic_Bri
Just started showering at Archerfield AP
just checked after reading that.....we got 1.5mm in the gauge today for Salisbury. I was working at Morningside today, and the best we got was maybe a minute of lightish drizzle, not even worth getting undercover from.

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#1470047 - 03/09/2018 19:22 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Showers / Rain areas followed by Scattered Thunderstorms - 3rd to 8th September 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Steve O Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/03/2011
Posts: 3297
Loc: Beenleigh, QLD
Seems like the se'lys have kicked in and this change could strengthen during the week leaving us in cooler less humid onshore winds it did look the other day that the coastal trough might deepen but not sure on that now and things become abit more ridgy.

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#1470056 - 03/09/2018 20:41 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Showers / Rain areas followed by Scattered Thunderstorms - 3rd to 8th September 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Seabreeze Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 18/09/2005
Posts: 10470
Loc: South West Rocks, NSW
Some showers brought 13.8mm in the 24hrs to 9am this morning. There was 49mm at Lake Ainsworth and 45mm at Woolgoolga.

There's only been 1.0mm since 9am here. Any showers have done a pretty good job of avoiding the Lower Macleay. Ballina doing well with 64mm there so far today.
_________________________
South West Rocks, NSW Mid North Coast:
December 2018 Rainfall: 3.6mm (December Avg. 118.3mm) // December 2018 Raindays: 3 (December Avg. 12.8 raindays)
Year-to-date Rainfall: 1316.8mm (Yearly Avg. 1490.8mm) // Year-to-date Raindays: 126 (Yearly Avg. 137.6 raindays)

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#1470067 - 04/09/2018 06:33 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Showers / Rain areas followed by Scattered Thunderstorms - 3rd to 8th September 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
DDstorm Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 13/05/2010
Posts: 297
Loc: Tallai, QLD
Well, at least it's wet outside this morning. Get the High a bit further east and drive that blob ashore.
Northern rivers faring better thus far.
_________________________
Just here for the weather

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#1470070 - 04/09/2018 07:09 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Showers / Rain areas followed by Scattered Thunderstorms - 3rd to 8th September 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Lani Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/01/2011
Posts: 1195
Loc: Jimbour, QLD
Iím sorry but I have to have a rant. Itís no wonder our farmers are stressed nearly beyond their endurance. The drought is biting so hard itís devastating, breeding stock dying by the day, unable to source feed and we keep getting predictions of rain, only small amounts but itís there on the charts for a week only to dry up the day of the Ďeventí. It would be better if they just stopped predicting rain altogether because even though we try not to hope you canít help it. The continual disappointments are beyond a joke. And I know all the arguments about the whys and wherefores of predicting weather but 70% of the time over the last 5 years theyíre wrong. They havenít been able to predict reliable rain since the 2011 floods. Sorry but Iím just so frustrated and worried. We need some bloody rain frown
_________________________
Jimbour rain: 2018-392.5, Jan-4, Feb-100, Mar-12, Apr-6, May-9.5, June-21.5, July-2, Aug-8.5, Sept- 17, Oct-202.5, Nov-10.5

2017 - 559
2016 - 563.5
2015 - 702.5
2014 - 418.5

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#1470071 - 04/09/2018 07:12 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Showers / Rain areas followed by Scattered Thunderstorms - 3rd to 8th September 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Ken Kato Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 5553
This was never forecast to be a big rain event though... not even really a rain event as such (mainly showers). The only areas where decent rainfall was forecast was parts of the coast with modest to low totals elsewhere.
The only time when it looked more impressive than it was was on some (but not all) model maps very early on but even then, you could see by the synoptic pattern that it wasnít going to be a big event.
And weíre not even two days into the setup either and some places along the coast have already received the expected totals.


Edited by Ken Kato (04/09/2018 07:20)

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#1470074 - 04/09/2018 07:27 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Showers / Rain areas followed by Scattered Thunderstorms - 3rd to 8th September 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
retired weather man Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/07/2007
Posts: 4831
Loc: Wynnum
Wynnum Nth event to date - zero.
_________________________
Wyn Nth 2018-Jan12.2(158),Feb264.4(146),Mar217.0(126),Apr65.8(96),May46.0(100),Jun39.8(74),Jul19.6(56.1),Aug 23.6(45),Sep33.2(32),Oct150.0(95),Nov36.2(109),Dec8.4(131)YTD916.2(1168).

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#1470076 - 04/09/2018 07:32 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Showers / Rain areas followed by Scattered Thunderstorms - 3rd to 8th September 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Mike Hauber Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 13/07/2007
Posts: 3436
Loc: Buderim
An interesting clear zone on cloud charts running from roughly Sunshine Coast and then towards the ranges in northern NSW. I'm guessing there is a weak surface feature running along the coast which accounts for the eastern band of this clear zone. And cloud to the west I assume is associated with the upper feature. But it seems the normal pattern of sharp edge on the west and poorly defined edge on the east is reversed for the upper level cloud resulting in an unusual band of clear with sharp edges on both sides.

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#1470078 - 04/09/2018 07:47 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Showers / Rain areas followed by Scattered Thunderstorms - 3rd to 8th September 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
tsunami Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 06/12/2010
Posts: 1237
Loc: Wynnum SE Brisbane
Huge rain off the coast and thats where itll stay no doupt
Just a tease
_________________________
Wynnum SE Brisbane

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#1470082 - 04/09/2018 08:05 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Showers / Rain areas followed by Scattered Thunderstorms - 3rd to 8th September 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Mad Elf #1.5 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 3581
Loc: Mt Hallen QLD
Cool overcast 14C morning, no joy here as well, as expected!

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#1470085 - 04/09/2018 08:22 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Showers / Rain areas followed by Scattered Thunderstorms - 3rd to 8th September 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Rod H Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 01/05/2006
Posts: 44
Loc: Maudsland
Mother nature at her best/ worst. Just allowing some decent rain to be seen falling in the ocean where it's really needed---NOT.What a tease!!! I'm afraid the only rain we will see will be where it is now, offshore.
Enjoy the sight.😢😢😢😢😢😢😢

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#1470087 - 04/09/2018 08:28 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Showers / Rain areas followed by Scattered Thunderstorms - 3rd to 8th September 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
tsunami Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 06/12/2010
Posts: 1237
Loc: Wynnum SE Brisbane
Yip and the sun is out now
_________________________
Wynnum SE Brisbane

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#1470088 - 04/09/2018 09:10 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Showers / Rain areas followed by Scattered Thunderstorms - 3rd to 8th September 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Steve O Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/03/2011
Posts: 3297
Loc: Beenleigh, QLD
Yep true the coastal areas usually do best in these setups.

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#1470090 - 04/09/2018 09:18 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Showers / Rain areas followed by Scattered Thunderstorms - 3rd to 8th September 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Lani Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/01/2011
Posts: 1195
Loc: Jimbour, QLD
I did say that only small amounts were predicted though Ken. You don't understand how disheartening it is when you are desperately trying to feed stock and you have a week of forecasts predicting 5mm or 10mm of rain for over 5 days and then on the morning of the rain you wake up to <1mm on the forecast. We may well get rain out of this, maybe some good falls even, it's not the point I'm making. It's the unpredictability of the forecasts days out and then again on the day itself. Unlike the coast, we started with 4-5 days or rain predicted, then we only had 2 days of rain predicted with a possible 15mm out of it in total (so obviously we might be lucky to get 5mm total) and now todays forecast has dropped to nothing with perhaps up to 5mm tomorrow. It might sound like nothing to the city people but that can help keep the ground a little moist and bring up small shoots. Anyone depending on rain will see that forecast today and some may well just sit down and cry as they try not to hope but you can't help it. I have friends spending $120-200 a day to keep their stock alive on the downs and they all work jobs off the farm like the rest of us. These people are spending more than they are making and it's just sad to watch. Imagine spending that kind of money. The predictions are just another nail in their coffins and it's not just this 'event' it's nearly every time they predict any kind of rainfall lately. You can count on your hands the amount of times they've been correct. Sorry if you're offended by my comments Ken, it's not personal, it's just difficult watching so many people struggling and to have their hopes continually dashed makes it that much worse. As I said, I apologise for the rant, but it's just stressful times.
_________________________
Jimbour rain: 2018-392.5, Jan-4, Feb-100, Mar-12, Apr-6, May-9.5, June-21.5, July-2, Aug-8.5, Sept- 17, Oct-202.5, Nov-10.5

2017 - 559
2016 - 563.5
2015 - 702.5
2014 - 418.5

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#1470091 - 04/09/2018 09:27 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Showers / Rain areas followed by Scattered Thunderstorms - 3rd to 8th September 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Mad Elf #1.5 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 3581
Loc: Mt Hallen QLD
Do I see a hint of rotation on that blob east of Moreton or is it my imagination?
Good grief, nothing else to do, gotta find another hobbie and keep carting water.


Edited by Mad Elf #1.5 (04/09/2018 09:32)

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#1470092 - 04/09/2018 09:32 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Showers / Rain areas followed by Scattered Thunderstorms - 3rd to 8th September 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Snapper22lb Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/02/2015
Posts: 314
Loc: Golden Beach
Spiral evaporation!

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#1470095 - 04/09/2018 09:40 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Showers / Rain areas followed by Scattered Thunderstorms - 3rd to 8th September 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Mad Elf #1.5 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 3581
Loc: Mt Hallen QLD
Funny Snapper, Hahaha, ;-)

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#1470096 - 04/09/2018 09:43 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Showers / Rain areas followed by Scattered Thunderstorms - 3rd to 8th September 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
tsunami Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 06/12/2010
Posts: 1237
Loc: Wynnum SE Brisbane
So far for this event 0mm
Prediction for event less than 1mm
Might get sunburnt instead
_________________________
Wynnum SE Brisbane

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#1470097 - 04/09/2018 09:54 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Showers / Rain areas followed by Scattered Thunderstorms - 3rd to 8th September 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
NotsohopefulPete Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 24/12/2008
Posts: 1230
Loc: Toowoomba
Even some of us who are not farmers try to understand the situation many on the land are in. Can only hope some decent rain comes soon against the odds.

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