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#1476280 - 20/11/2018 23:07 Re: Space Weather and it's effects on Drivng the Climate. [Re: GringosRain]
marakai Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/01/2006
Posts: 1990
Loc: Maryfarms NQ
Originally Posted By: GringosRain
A mathematical method for predicting solar cycle activity has been discovered.
This lecture is really worth watching. The scientist/presenters accent is a little difficult at times, but that should not stop anyone watching the full hour lecture.

In short, the method has been able to accurately predict the historical solar cycles without observational inputs. They have also used the method to predict upcoming cycles and find that we are very close to the next grand solar minima. Starts in 2020 and runs through until about 2055. From what I can see compared to other minima it will be short and intense. From the end of this solar minima we will return to a period of warming as part of another 350-400 year cycle. She also discusses, super grand minma on longer scales.

The peak of this event will be 2028-2032.

This is very interesting and must see viewing for those genuinely interested in solar weather and its affects on our climate.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=2215&v=M_yqIj38UmY


Lisa Upton quotes some of Zharkova's work in her Solar prediction videos as well.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HBUXln7qdoo


Some insight into how the Electric Universe/Plasma cosmology works based on Jupter's Aurora and Birkeland currents.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pitwnMK-RxU

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#1476379 - 21/11/2018 19:09 Re: Space Weather and it's effects on Drivng the Climate. [Re: marakai]
marakai Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/01/2006
Posts: 1990
Loc: Maryfarms NQ
A short version and interpretation of Gringo's Zharkova Video above:
https://youtu.be/SHGbri7gWWw

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#1476422 - 21/11/2018 23:32 Re: Space Weather and it's effects on Drivng the Climate. [Re: marakai]
Seina Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/08/2003
Posts: 7638
Loc: Adelaide Hills
Does anyone know what EOFs are? I understand they are Empirical Orthogonal Functions unless otherwise indicated.

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#1476425 - 21/11/2018 23:57 Re: Space Weather and it's effects on Drivng the Climate. [Re: marakai]
marakai Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/01/2006
Posts: 1990
Loc: Maryfarms NQ
Analysis of data using time and spatial signals to break the data down to its basics along those two vectors.

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#1476564 - 22/11/2018 18:14 Re: Space Weather and it's effects on Drivng the Climate. [Re: marakai]
Seina Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/08/2003
Posts: 7638
Loc: Adelaide Hills
Thank you for clarifying the perspective smile .

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#1477398 - 27/11/2018 23:45 Re: Space Weather and it's effects on Drivng the Climate. [Re: marakai]
marakai Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/01/2006
Posts: 1990
Loc: Maryfarms NQ

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#1478022 - 01/12/2018 16:31 Re: Space Weather and it's effects on Drivng the Climate. [Re: marakai]
Seina Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/08/2003
Posts: 7638
Loc: Adelaide Hills
Originally Posted By: marakai

With the water molecule having an electric dipole moment, it would be understandable for a medium such as ocean water.

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#1478063 - 02/12/2018 00:04 Re: Space Weather and it's effects on Drivng the Climate. [Re: marakai]
marakai Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/01/2006
Posts: 1990
Loc: Maryfarms NQ
It also works with water vapour as well. The Earths magnetic poles exchange energy back and forth with the Suns.


Edited by marakai (02/12/2018 00:06)

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#1478141 - 02/12/2018 15:29 Re: Space Weather and it's effects on Drivng the Climate. [Re: marakai]
Seina Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/08/2003
Posts: 7638
Loc: Adelaide Hills
Water vapour is a phase of the water molecule [H2O]. The experiment linked was for the liquid phase smile .


Edited by Seira (02/12/2018 15:30)

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#1478150 - 02/12/2018 16:35 Re: Space Weather and it's effects on Drivng the Climate. [Re: marakai]
amphetamarine Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/03/2004
Posts: 295
Loc: Cairns
We are travelling through time and space. On our very own spaceship...Earth. Ready made for yas. Look after it.

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#1478773 - 08/12/2018 02:40 Re: Space Weather and it's effects on Drivng the Climate. [Re: marakai]
marakai Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/01/2006
Posts: 1990
Loc: Maryfarms NQ
Solar forcing of ENSO ?

Quote:
Key Points:
• A solar cycle’s fiducial clock does not run from the canonical min or max, instead resetting when old cycle flux is gone.

• Many cycles indicate that ENSO is related to the phase of this clock, through driven changes in the cosmic ray flux.

• Cycle 24 is projected to end in 2020. We anticipate a strong El Ni ̃no in 2019, and a strong La Ni ̃na in 2020. If so, cosmic rays would appear to have greater influ-ence on ENSO than solar irradiance

https://arxiv.org/pdf/1812.02692.pdf

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#1479033 - 09/12/2018 22:36 Re: Space Weather and it's effects on Drivng the Climate. [Re: marakai]
marakai Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/01/2006
Posts: 1990
Loc: Maryfarms NQ
A challenge to just about all we think we know.
THE SUN IS NOT GASEOUS.


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#1479415 - Yesterday at 21:05 Re: Space Weather and it's effects on Drivng the Climate. [Re: marakai]
Seina Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/08/2003
Posts: 7638
Loc: Adelaide Hills
I hope we learn more about the sun...and that...that learning is not conditional.

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