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#1472186 - 06/10/2018 08:30 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
TWEEDSTORM Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 08/01/2012
Posts: 1044
Loc: Tweed Heads NSW
Nothing overly exciting down this way a few rumbles over night which was nice.Looks like more of the cloudy crappy overcast stuff again today

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#1472187 - 06/10/2018 08:47 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Foehn Correspondent Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 01/11/2001
Posts: 675
Loc: Bardon 4065
We had a storm yesterday afternoon with a couple of good rumbles of thunder but very little rain. Overnight 16.5 mm.
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#1472188 - 06/10/2018 08:55 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Steve O Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/03/2011
Posts: 3494
Loc: Beenleigh, QLD
Today has that cloudy look to it and forcast temps don't look like getting upto 25c which is sort of disappointing as there is some instability. GfS has been showing and area of better CAPE south of Gympie for some time. The vertical shear is probably still on the weaker side but profiles are still backing with height. Multi model has abit of interest today and precip looks more SW, think it will be much the same as to what we've already had. So I'm just gonna go put on a limb today and look somewhere west of Brisbane and see what happens virtually.


Edited by Steve O (06/10/2018 08:59)

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#1472190 - 06/10/2018 09:13 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Namarrkun Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/11/2012
Posts: 571
Loc: Salisbury
10.3mm overnight here at Salisbury.

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#1472191 - 06/10/2018 09:14 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Adam Ant Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 28/10/2003
Posts: 1075
Loc: West Toowoomba
27mm overnight for me. This is about my total for the past 4 months so I'm pretty stoked!

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#1472192 - 06/10/2018 09:18 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Ahab Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 31/01/2011
Posts: 251
Loc: Brisbane, Indooroopilly
Solid 19mm here. Please give us the same for tonight.

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#1472194 - 06/10/2018 09:45 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
LightningGus Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/05/2012
Posts: 1253
Loc: Kingaroy QLD 434m ASL
8.4mm and a few rumbles here o'nite. Very humid, overcast morning with light misting rain at times here. Storm or not, I'm hanging out for a proper heavy downpour to really get the ground soaked and the tanks full.
_________________________
2016 Rainfall: 604mm
2017 Rainfall: 715mm
2018 Rainfall: 660mm

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#1472199 - 06/10/2018 10:45 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Wight Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 11/12/2011
Posts: 54
Loc: Montville, QLD
3mm overnight. There are rumbles to the south and it's raining everywhere around me but not here. Frustrating. Need a bit more to fill the tanks.

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#1472202 - 06/10/2018 10:52 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
retired weather man Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 01/07/2007
Posts: 5161
Loc: Wynnum
My tank is bordering on MT and needs 90mm to fill it. 3mm for event to date.

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#1472206 - 06/10/2018 11:11 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Lani Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/01/2011
Posts: 1268
Loc: Jimbour, QLD
We managed 8.5mm late last night. Thank goodness.
_________________________
Jimbour rain: 2019 - 182mm Jan - .5 Feb - 1.5, Mar - 143, Apr - 0, May - 8, June - 29

2018 - 508.2
2017 - 559
2016 - 563.5
2015 - 702.5
2014 - 418.5

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#1472208 - 06/10/2018 11:40 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Colin Maitland Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/09/2009
Posts: 2705
Loc: North Brisbane ( Bracken Ridge...
Rumbles of thunder over Bracken Ridge at 1116. Just did a few odd jobs and the humidity Is pretty high and feels pretty warm although hovering just above 21įC.

I am not concerned over the cloud cover much anymore. Cloudless hot days are the best but I am actually trying to remember the last pure cloudless day with a massive green/ purple and black wall cloud approaching. The days when you would be standing there and you could feel cold air 2-3 feet above the ground feeding into the storm . But over the decades of chasing and observing, the old cloud covered day destroys chances of a good storm have been busted for me. Many times on this forum I have related the storm of 2003. Very thick cloud cover, everyone was laughing at me as regards to storms. We were soaked from the humidity and it was only around 23 -24įC, we were building a 2 storey at Petrie on Pine when we were hit with a gang buster of a storm that picked up builders material and threw it everywhere around 1300. .

Now rainning. Just have to see how it pans out. Beerwah cell is very lightning active. SkewT has a lot of moisture but it wouldnít take much for something to fire.

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#1472209 - 06/10/2018 11:50 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Ken Kato Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 6090
Yep exactly Colin, cloud cover isnít always the be-all and end-all.
Although it can reduce the extent and severity of thunderstorms, it usually has to be pretty thick and last all through the day to prevent all storms from forming. If the atmosphereís unstable enough (especially when high moisture levels increase the instability), all it takes is a few breaks in the cloud or a partial clearance by early afternoon for storms to fire up.
There was one particularly memorable case I still remember to this day like it was yesterday was one very cool (barely reached 20C) day back in around 2013 when thick gloomy overcast conditions lasted all day with drizzle... yet the dynamical forcing from an approaching shortwave caused a huge squall line to sweep across our region with spectacular lightning, thunder and heavy rain.
On the other hand, if instability and moisture isnít enough, persistent thick cloud cover can win the day and prevent storms.
Not sure if thatíll be the case today (I havenít looked at the setup yet) but there already has been a few storms in northern parts this morning.


Edited by Ken Kato (06/10/2018 11:56)

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#1472210 - 06/10/2018 12:33 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
CirrusFibratus Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/09/2015
Posts: 477
Loc: Strathpine, QLD
Agreed about the humidity Colin, just went and tidied the shed and it felt like 30 degrees with the humidity. I was surprised to see the temp at 19 here when I looked.

Let us know your thoughts when you do look deeper into the conditions Ken, keen to hear what you think.
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#1472211 - 06/10/2018 12:36 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Mad Elf #1.5 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 3859
Loc: Mt Hallen QLD
Good heavy shower earlier. Nice looking dark clouds building as well to the NW, more to come I think.

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#1472213 - 06/10/2018 12:54 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Kazz63 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/01/2011
Posts: 1546
Loc: Kingaroy
By the sounds of those black clouds to the south of us, Ellesmere is getting the afternoon's activities started.
I read these pages yesterday & had a good chuckle at the early season naysayers practising their doom & glooms. Pouring rain outside & people on here were saying how nothing would happen, it's all over etc etc.
You only had to look at the radar & see the movement of the rain to see it would be down Brisbane way in the middle of the night.
But again there's this focus here of just looking at Brisbane; because if it doesn't happen in Brisbane, it doesn't exist apparently.Where do you think your weather comes from?

And Ken I hope your post knocks some of the "no sun/ no rain" mentality on the head. Seriously,way too much emphasis is put on that one.

Anyway, it is great to see the moisture in the atmosphere; let's all go back to school days now. Remember the simplistic water in the atmosphere picture? It falls it evaporates & goes up then it falls again???
The atmosphere has missed out on the water ingredient in that picture for a while but now it is slowly but surely entering the atmospheric system again. The slow but steady falls we've had so far are being absorbed into the parched land. And that's important that it's slow enough to be absorbed rather than run off in flash floods etc.
I'm happy for the slow & steady; it's the only way this land is going to recuperate. Keep your storm season on the coast and in Brisbane if that's what you value.Because let's face it, you're not really "in drought" down there are you?
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#1472214 - 06/10/2018 13:29 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Mad Elf #1.5]
Namarrkun Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/11/2012
Posts: 571
Loc: Salisbury
Originally Posted By: Mad Elf #1.5
Good heavy shower earlier. Nice looking dark clouds building as well to the NW, more to come I think.
we just add 4.9mm to our total from this lot of dark clouds


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#1472215 - 06/10/2018 13:31 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Ahab Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 31/01/2011
Posts: 251
Loc: Brisbane, Indooroopilly
Heavy shower just went through. Now the Sun is out. Humid and conductive conditions IMO.

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#1472216 - 06/10/2018 14:02 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Ken Kato]
Colin Maitland Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/09/2009
Posts: 2705
Loc: North Brisbane ( Bracken Ridge...
Originally Posted By: Ken Kato
Yep exactly Colin, cloud cover isnít always the be-all and end-all.
Although it can reduce the extent and severity of thunderstorms, it usually has to be pretty thick and last all through the day to prevent all storms from forming. If the atmosphereís unstable enough (especially when high moisture levels increase the instability), all it takes is a few breaks in the cloud or a partial clearance by early afternoon for storms to fire up.
There was one particularly memorable case I still remember to this day like it was yesterday was one very cool (barely reached 20C) day back in around 2013 when thick gloomy overcast conditions lasted all day with drizzle... yet the dynamical forcing from an approaching shortwave caused a huge squall line to sweep across our region with spectacular lightning, thunder and heavy rain.
On the other hand, if instability and moisture isnít enough, persistent thick cloud cover can win the day and prevent storms.
Not sure if thatíll be the case today (I havenít looked at the setup yet) but there already has been a few storms in northern parts this morning.



Not sure if this is the day you were referring to Ken. It was a humdinger for sure .

See : 128km Radar Loop for Brisbane, 09:00 15/09/2013 to 04:00 17/09/2013 UTC

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#1472218 - 06/10/2018 14:11 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
TWEEDSTORM Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 08/01/2012
Posts: 1044
Loc: Tweed Heads NSW
Thanks Kazz63 ,we'll all subscribe to your gospels in future then

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#1472219 - 06/10/2018 14:23 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
DNO Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/02/2003
Posts: 502
Loc: Ellesmere, Qld
I just got 5mm from a downpour at lunchtime. 17mm yesterday and a total of 71mm for the last fortnight. smile

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