NOTICE!

The Weatherzone forum has now closed and is in read-only mode until the 1st of November when it will close permanently. We would like to thank everyone who has contributed over the past 18 years.

If you would like to continue the discussion you can follow us on Facebook and Twitter or participate in discussions at AusWeather or Ski.com.au forums.

Page 36 of 47 < 1 2 ... 34 35 36 37 38 ... 46 47 >
Topic Options
#1473328 - 13/10/2018 10:34 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
retired weather man Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 01/07/2007
Posts: 5161
Loc: Wynnum
Was watching this circulation on Gladstone/Gympie radars last night. It became noticeable about 2030 yesterday in Monto area as increasing semi circular clockwise banding NE to SSW and has been tracking steadily ESE since.

Using TC principles - with the strongest convergence areas usually ahead of the system, this generally indicates the wanted direction of movement of the system. And this circulation so far has followed these principles.

Top
#1473329 - 13/10/2018 10:40 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Lani]
Kazz63 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/01/2011
Posts: 1546
Loc: Kingaroy
Originally Posted By: Lani
Another 65mm to this morning, showering again now. Our 3 day total is measured at 113mm, I added 12mm as a very conservative addition to the storm deluge, so I’ve recorded it is 125mm and I think I could easily add another 20mm that just couldn’t be recorded but I’m staying at the more conservative total. Just incredible based on where we were at last week.
Great news Lani.
Have you noticed that most has soaked in rather than flooded? I'm seeing a lot of tt around here, which is to be expected as long as it doesn't fall too fast.
The earlier rain would have primed the soil & 'opened it up' somewhat to accept the moisture - not a total waste as some people whinged about back then. There was time for a lot of growth to start on grasses etc which also would have helped the stability of the surface. Well that's what has happened here; hope for you guys it did also.

And all this means anything in the coming months will have an even greater effect; hopefully more people will put their minds to storing future falls as well!.
_________________________
Also, please note that sentences can also end in full stops. The exclamation mark can be overused.
Sherlock Holmes 28 March 13:08

Top
#1473330 - 13/10/2018 10:43 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Ken Kato Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 6090
Even if one or more of the smaller low pressure centres does wobble back towards the coast, it’d have to do so just to our north so we can get a moist onshore flow rather than a more southerly flow flicking up its backside.
If it does come close enough, there’d also be strong winds just near its southern and western side.

The possible multi centred nature of the system always makes things a bit unpredictable in terms of intensity, extent and timing of rainfall.


Edited by Ken Kato (13/10/2018 10:44)

Top
#1473331 - 13/10/2018 10:49 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
LightningGus Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/05/2012
Posts: 1253
Loc: Kingaroy QLD 434m ASL
35.0mm in the gauge from overnight, best single fall since February. Fantastic!
_________________________
2016 Rainfall: 604mm
2017 Rainfall: 715mm
2018 Rainfall: 660mm

Top
#1473332 - 13/10/2018 11:19 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Namarrkun Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/11/2012
Posts: 571
Loc: Salisbury
Event total for Salisbury sitting at 39.5mm.....be nice to get some of those bigger falls others have been getting, but the grass is green again and i'm seeing new stuff shooting up where the bare dirt patches are, so can't complain.

Top
#1473333 - 13/10/2018 11:21 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
retired weather man Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 01/07/2007
Posts: 5161
Loc: Wynnum
At 1010 - 25.8S 154.8E.

Top
#1473334 - 13/10/2018 11:48 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Blowin' Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/08/2014
Posts: 1009
Loc: Diamond Valley, Sunshine Coast
79 to 9am for us.
Extraordinary for this time of year here
Will be interesting to see how the rivers respond to today’s forecast rain.

Top
#1473339 - 13/10/2018 12:05 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
pabloako Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 30/03/2007
Posts: 1664
Loc: Ocean View, Queensland
Just about to reach 100mm for the month of October which is great to see. Just light rain and fog up here now.
_________________________
Ocean View, QLD. (Alt. 412m)

FV3 GFS + Long Range - http://www.OceanViewWeather.com.au/GFS

Top
#1473345 - 13/10/2018 12:46 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Mega Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/02/2003
Posts: 7899
Loc: Maryborough, Wide Bay, QLD
Just had the most random of storms come through here, absolutely chucked it down for a good 10-15min. Not sure how much rain we've had this week (will check tonight) but it'd have to be around the 150-200mm mark.

Top
#1473346 - 13/10/2018 13:00 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
CirrusFibratus Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/09/2015
Posts: 477
Loc: Strathpine, QLD
22mm to 9am here, this is the best rain we have had in about a year here, in terms of consistent days.

It was getting to the point where even the council trees in the median strips were starting to call it quits eek
_________________________
Wunderground station ID: IQUEENSL296

Top
#1473347 - 13/10/2018 13:06 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
gberg Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 14/08/2015
Posts: 91
Loc: noosaville
116mm all up overnight, takes my total this week to 290mm. I've just seen they have updated the forecast and a big downgrade for the sunny coast, now only expecting 5-15mm today instead of 50-70mm. Not that we need any more...

Top
#1473348 - 13/10/2018 13:13 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Blowin']
Ken Kato Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 6090
Originally Posted By: Blowin'
79 to 9am for us.
Extraordinary for this time of year here

Reminds me of this event about this time last year:
https://scontent.fsyd4-1.fna.fbcdn.net/v...f20&oe=5C41D76D

Top
#1473354 - 13/10/2018 13:24 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Ken Kato]
Mega Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/02/2003
Posts: 7899
Loc: Maryborough, Wide Bay, QLD
Originally Posted By: Ken Kato
Originally Posted By: Blowin'
79 to 9am for us.
Extraordinary for this time of year here

Reminds me of this event about this time last year:
https://scontent.fsyd4-1.fna.fbcdn.net/v...f20&oe=5C41D76D


Me too. I hope it doesn't dry out again like it did from November last year.

Top
#1473369 - 13/10/2018 14:58 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
one drop Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/04/2014
Posts: 117
Loc: maryborough
to me, the latest access c still wants the weak low to re/form near tin can bay, cross at sunshine coast and bring in up to 100 mm along the coast down to the border.


Edited by one drop (13/10/2018 15:01)
Edit Reason: along the coast

Top
#1473371 - 13/10/2018 15:06 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Mad Elf #1.5 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 3859
Loc: Mt Hallen QLD
Is this it for us out here? Only dripping since 9am.

Top
#1473372 - 13/10/2018 15:10 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Pharbelle Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 29/04/2013
Posts: 140
Loc: Burrum Heads , Qld
A couple of little cells forming to the south-west of me now might bring another drop or two if they maintain that line.

Top
#1473374 - 13/10/2018 15:21 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Taylsy Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 31/12/2007
Posts: 1249
Loc: Pacific Pines, Gold Coast
Just one model, but latest Access-R has persisted with a small low sitting offshore from the Sunshine Coast with very gradual movement/quasi-stationary (if anything, back to the southwest). Good rain along the coast south of Noosa tapering off further inland. Places like Springbrook normally pick up large precip in these situations.
_________________________
Between the bush and the beach.
2019 YTD: 221 mm; 2018: 1,078 mm; 2017: 1,495 mm; 2016: 812 mm; 2015: 1,932 mm; 2014: 943 mm; 2013: 1,501 mm; 2012 1,682 mm; 2011 1,032 mm; 2010 2,151 mm; 2009 1,447 mm.

Top
#1473377 - 13/10/2018 15:42 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Taylsy]
Nature's Fury Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/11/2009
Posts: 2545
Loc: Brisbane Western Suburbs
As others have said, this event is far from over. When it comes to low formation, embedded lows, low movement, it's so unpredictable. There still isn't model agreement and we're in real-time. It's going to be an interesting next 24-48 hours.

Top
#1473392 - 13/10/2018 17:21 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Lani Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/01/2011
Posts: 1268
Loc: Jimbour, QLD
Thanks Kazz, our bridge down the road was over this morning. All the catchments to Dalby are now full. Were we to get another big event in the next week we’ll see more widespread flooding which is incredible given how dry it was a week ago. We had just finished saying how much we liked the smaller falls as opposed to those nasty supercells when we got smashed. Glad you’ve had some good rain too!
_________________________
Jimbour rain: 2019 - 182mm Jan - .5 Feb - 1.5, Mar - 143, Apr - 0, May - 8, June - 29

2018 - 508.2
2017 - 559
2016 - 563.5
2015 - 702.5
2014 - 418.5

Top
#1473409 - 13/10/2018 18:42 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Rain & Thunderstorms (including the Tansey Tornado) - 4th to 16th October 2018 [Re: Seabreeze]
Mad Elf #1.5 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 3859
Loc: Mt Hallen QLD
Lovely constant heavy drizzle, interestingly Stapy not showing anything.

Top
Page 36 of 47 < 1 2 ... 34 35 36 37 38 ... 46 47 >


Who's Online
0 registered (), 43 Guests and 3 Spiders online.
Key: Admin, Global Mod, Mod
Today's Birthdays
Ansgar Berling, Instability, Krightlane, lynkim1
Forum Stats
29947 Members
32 Forums
24194 Topics
1529243 Posts

Max Online: 2985 @ 26/01/2019 12:05
Satellite Image