Lovely fresh calm sunny morning out this way after yesterdays rainless change.

MSLP chart shows the low pressure system about to cut off and establish over SE WA today, then to begin its long trip to who knows where (the models dont agree on much).

Suffice to say there will be plenty of moisture available in central Aus as the week progresses, for Vic, at this stage most models foretell a weak high pressure area to develop over SE Aus over the weekend to make this more a SA/NSW/QLD event.

But things could change, this system looks to be a slow mover.

Lovely flood of moisture pluming into Aus interior via NW WA at the moment:

This event may not be for Victoria, but good rains over large areas of Aus look likely over coming days.

Wow at the prognosed slow traverse/linger of this low pressure system. This arvo's model runs hint that we might be still experiencing the moisture from this system at this time next week (...or even longer?)

I would say its best described as a large scale thundery environment for most of Aus increasing over the looming week, IMO will end up looking like a summer easterly dip over East Aus?

Models have been all over the shop, so time will tell. In the meantime watch the water vapour images I reckon.

Fine day here, 24C. The low pressure system has now evolved and is spinning over in central WA.

Blustery cool westerly here, partly sunny, but not ideal conditions for the Maffra Show.

Today nice cool with clouds and its Bendigo Show of 18c with light SW winds.

Cool with light shower falling here atm, strong WNW'ly winds have finally abated.

Here's the current state of the low pressure system:

Latest MSLP chart shows this system will become general moist and thundery weather over inland Aus over coming days.

Vic will be left sitting under a weak summer-like high pressure ridge for the coming few days?: