Page 2 of 2 < 1 2
Topic Options
#1474564 - 24/10/2018 09:45 Re: Vic - arrival of a long travelled low pressure system 26-29/10/18 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7551
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Lovely fresh calm sunny morning out this way after yesterdays rainless change.

MSLP chart shows the low pressure system about to cut off and establish over SE WA today, then to begin its long trip to who knows where (the models dont agree on much).

Suffice to say there will be plenty of moisture available in central Aus as the week progresses, for Vic, at this stage most models foretell a weak high pressure area to develop over SE Aus over the weekend to make this more a SA/NSW/QLD event.

But things could change, this system looks to be a slow mover.

Top
#1474619 - 25/10/2018 09:33 Re: Vic - arrival of a long travelled low pressure system 26-29/10/18 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7551
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Lovely flood of moisture pluming into Aus interior via NW WA at the moment:



This event may not be for Victoria, but good rains over large areas of Aus look likely over coming days.

Top
#1474664 - 25/10/2018 19:00 Re: Vic - arrival of a long travelled low pressure system 26-29/10/18 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7551
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Wow at the prognosed slow traverse/linger of this low pressure system. This arvo's model runs hint that we might be still experiencing the moisture from this system at this time next week (...or even longer?)

I would say its best described as a large scale thundery environment for most of Aus increasing over the looming week, IMO will end up looking like a summer easterly dip over East Aus?

Models have been all over the shop, so time will tell. In the meantime watch the water vapour images I reckon.

Top
#1474733 - 26/10/2018 18:54 Re: Vic - arrival of a long travelled low pressure system 26-29/10/18 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7551
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Fine day here, 24C. The low pressure system has now evolved and is spinning over in central WA.

Top
#1474750 - 27/10/2018 11:05 Re: Vic - arrival of a long travelled low pressure system 26-29/10/18 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7551
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Blustery cool westerly here, partly sunny, but not ideal conditions for the Maffra Show.

Top
#1474753 - 27/10/2018 13:08 Re: Vic - arrival of a long travelled low pressure system 26-29/10/18 [Re: Petros]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2701
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Today nice cool with clouds and its Bendigo Show of 18c with light SW winds.

Top
#1474767 - 27/10/2018 19:09 Re: Vic - arrival of a long travelled low pressure system 26-29/10/18 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7551
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Cool with light shower falling here atm, strong WNW'ly winds have finally abated.

Here's the current state of the low pressure system:


Top
#1474784 - 28/10/2018 12:24 Re: Vic - arrival of a long travelled low pressure system 26-29/10/18 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7551
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Latest MSLP chart shows this system will become general moist and thundery weather over inland Aus over coming days.

Vic will be left sitting under a weak summer-like high pressure ridge for the coming few days?:


Top
Page 2 of 2 < 1 2


Who's Online
30 registered (davidg, RC, Pacman, Dipole, FNQ Bunyip, avinet, Flowin, Mcbobbings, mysteriousbrad, MattS, Mike Hauber, GrayHorseRanch, paul71, Werdna, DNO, Colin Maitland, Synoptic, roves, woodhouse, Rod H, slipperyfish, shannonpace, kizz, GringosRain, scott12, Jimi, red earth, 3 invisible), 179 Guests and 4 Spiders online.
Key: Admin, Global Mod, Mod
Today's Birthdays
Bernd_Northrhine-Westfalia_Germany, lobione, Robbie
Forum Stats
29733 Members
32 Forums
24028 Topics
1506761 Posts

Max Online: 2925 @ 02/02/2011 22:23
Satellite Image