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#1474519 - 23/10/2018 12:39 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Stormy3 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/06/2013
Posts: 1783
Loc: Ellalong,10kms SW of Cessnock ...
Yes,Rob G,lovely and green here,but no water in creeks or cattle dams,the cattle farmers have dug out there dams waiting for heavy rains to fill them,but not half enough here yet to do any good.
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#1474523 - 23/10/2018 15:01 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Mcbobbings Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 22/06/2018
Posts: 57
Looks like OH is going no where near its forecast maximum today. From 28c forecast yesterday, downgraded to 26 today. It seems to have maxed out at around 23.9c with an easterly established all day.

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#1474524 - 23/10/2018 15:30 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Antarctic Whaler Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 26/03/2018
Posts: 118
Loc: Black Springs NSW; 1,277 m AMS...
22.8° C high today!
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#1474525 - 23/10/2018 16:07 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Long Road Home Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 08/10/2007
Posts: 8597
Loc: Northern Beaches Syd
Ah the automated forecast strikes again, 28C with a NE'er at obs hill. Wonder if it's ever happened in the history of the site laugh

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#1474526 - 23/10/2018 16:20 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Kino Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 2689
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Such a gorgeous day!

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#1474527 - 23/10/2018 16:25 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Mcbobbings]
ozthunder Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/09/2001
Posts: 3209
Loc: Mt Warrigal, NSW, Australia
Same in Illawarra, struggle town with the maximuns today.

The sea inshore temperature has dipped again, may not be so by official measures, but last weekend my body said its fallen again, maybe 17C.
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#1474531 - 23/10/2018 18:06 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: ozthunder]
Kino Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 2689
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Originally Posted By: ozthunder
Same in Illawarra, struggle town with the maximuns today.

The sea inshore temperature has dipped again, may not be so by official measures, but last weekend my body said its fallen again, maybe 17C.


Yeah today’s forecast was a pretty big failure - went for above average 27, ended with a below average 21. FAIL.

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#1474533 - 23/10/2018 18:29 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Kino Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 2689
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Seems the change is a while off, too, still pushing through Merimbula.

Btw anyone else finding the forums sluggish today?

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#1474535 - 23/10/2018 18:31 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
petethemoskeet Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 13/08/2003
Posts: 1323
Loc: toowoomba
Yep has been having its moments all day.

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#1474537 - 23/10/2018 18:40 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 7003
Also slow for me too.
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#1474540 - 23/10/2018 18:55 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4441
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
Yes, the site is very slow today. Haven't had problems on other sites or other parts of WZ so it must be something with the Forum.

------

I find that the forecast often underestimates the strength of the seabreeze for exposed locations. So OH was never going to make 28 nor the revised 26 today. In fact, it hasn't reached 26 there since Sept 28. The general NW circulation today was so weak that the sea breeze had cut off OH by 10:00, after which it rose by just another half a degree.

I get the impression that the automatically generated forecast applied to a location about 7 km inland, not taking account of site characteristics. It got to 29 at the Airport, just 8 km inland.

---

Pretty boring weather coming up, alternating between cool, overcast and windy from the South and cool, partly cloudy and windy from the NE. The only rain seems to be light and coastal. The models are hinting at some heat from the end of the month. NAEFS has a warm signal for nearly the whole continent 8-14 days from now, including our area.


Edited by Steve777 (23/10/2018 18:56)

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#1474542 - 23/10/2018 19:31 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Kino Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 2689
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Some warmth would be nice but if I recall NAFS had a similar outlook some weeks ago and didn’t eventuate (other than a day or 2).

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#1474550 - 23/10/2018 21:07 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4441
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
I saw the first blossoms on my favourite Jacaranda today. I've been on the lookout. The Jacarandas are late this year, likely delayed by the cool, cloudy Spring.

Just checked maxima in our part of the World. Penrith and Richmond just pipped their forecasts, reaching 33.5. Nowra reached 32.8 and Maitland and other lower Hunter locations reached 32+.

Latest Access has wound back the Halloween Heatwave. It now sees warmth at the end of the month but seems to be presaging a continuation / return of the unstable, wet pattern.


Edited by Steve777 (23/10/2018 21:10)

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#1474555 - 23/10/2018 22:56 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Kino Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 2689
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
The change is pushing into Nowra, will be here after midnight you’d think, much later than forecast. Looks to be some very strong winds with it too.

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#1474558 - 24/10/2018 08:41 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4441
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
I was woken by the wind around 2:30 AM. That change had quite a punch. Peak wind gusts were over 80 km/h in exposed locations. The highest looks to be 93 at Wattamolla, with 82 at Kurnell and the Airport. It didn't have a big impact on temperatures as it passed through, but today looks likely to be cool, mostly cloudy and pretty windy, although with little if any rain.

Right now it's windy with blowing low cloud and sunny breaks. It's about 17-18 across Sydney, with yesterday's cold pole, Sydney OH, today's hot spot at 19.

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#1474574 - 24/10/2018 14:40 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
ozthunder Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/09/2001
Posts: 3209
Loc: Mt Warrigal, NSW, Australia
Absolute CC fest over Liverpool Ranges/Plains ATM - hundreds, but appears only 5 or 6 CG's. Would be frustrating chasing that.

Forming on a convergance of SE winds south of Liverpool ranges and NW winds north of same ranges.
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#1474585 - 24/10/2018 19:24 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 7003
Pretty lame temps for late October with maximums of 16-18°C this region today. And not a second of sunshine but also no rain.

Looks like this time next week it will start getting very warm though.


Edited by Wave Rider (24/10/2018 19:31)
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#1474599 - 24/10/2018 22:10 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Kino Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 2689
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
A massive 0.3 variance in today’s min & max temps. Pathetic for late Oct really,

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#1474615 - 25/10/2018 09:00 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
ozthunder Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/09/2001
Posts: 3209
Loc: Mt Warrigal, NSW, Australia
Nice 'porridge skin' stratus this morning over Illawarra, hopefully it will burn off.
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Michael Thompson
http://ozthunder.com

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#1474625 - 25/10/2018 10:56 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: ozthunder]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 7003
Originally Posted By: ozthunder
Nice 'porridge skin' stratus this morning over Illawarra, hopefully it will burn off.


The stratus was burning off but unfortunately it has just built up into cumulus or StratoCu instead.


Edited by Wave Rider (25/10/2018 10:57)
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