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#1475377 - 06/11/2018 09:48 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1173
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
If weatherzone would let me edit my post I would - sorry I Posted from my phone so wasn't showing up as big.
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Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

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#1475378 - 06/11/2018 09:50 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7551
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
18.5C/87% RH and calm/cloudy here. Waiting, waiting.[carriage return for Samboz]
GFS (unusually) remains the stingiest of all models for parched N Gippsland.
Went for a ride this morning, all the farmers are irrigating flat out - sceptics!


Better off with the big picture than none at all Logansi.


Edited by Petros (06/11/2018 09:51)

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#1475379 - 06/11/2018 09:55 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2701
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Looks like awful overcast for Melbourne Cup...

My Town loop hole missed out any rain and hope something between Front and West build some rain or not.

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#1475381 - 06/11/2018 11:03 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
balmz Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/11/2012
Posts: 769
Loc: Ferntree Gully, Melbourne, VIC
That sound of heavy rain on the roof is just glorious right now. Some steady heavy falls moving through the metro this morning.

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#1475385 - 06/11/2018 11:17 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2701
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Had good 7mm rain just then.

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#1475389 - 06/11/2018 11:51 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
balmz Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/11/2012
Posts: 769
Loc: Ferntree Gully, Melbourne, VIC
Metro totals building quickly smile Been torrential for a good 45 mins or so now here.

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#1475390 - 06/11/2018 11:52 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1173
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
Airport now upto 34mm since 9am, everyone needs the rain but did it really have to happen today.
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Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

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#1475391 - 06/11/2018 12:09 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 6388
Loc: Woodend VIC 579m ASL - where w...
Tulla and Essendon over 40mm in a few hours. 15.8mm here at home and sun coming out now, wind still NNW. Over 21mm this month and after 65mm last month doing ok.

Lawn mower men around town will be really doing ok.
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Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and even some snow

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#1475392 - 06/11/2018 12:15 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
balmz Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/11/2012
Posts: 769
Loc: Ferntree Gully, Melbourne, VIC
Lot's of local flash flooding around Melbourne. VIC Emergency website shows lots of requests for assistance.

This is Ashburton train station a short time ago too.

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#1475393 - 06/11/2018 12:22 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 6388
Loc: Woodend VIC 579m ASL - where w...
Nice hosing! Sun disappeared and drizzle/mist commenced here
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Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and even some snow

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#1475398 - 06/11/2018 14:29 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1323
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Been down in Torquay since Friday morning for
The long weekend.
Just got home and emptied 31mm out so that
Not a bad start to November!
Some flash flooding and very heavy rain around
Southeast suburbs Melb

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#1475400 - 06/11/2018 15:47 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7551
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
After spending the day in "N/W to S/E the dry slot", green with envy at other locations, maybe we get a catch up as a chain of storms/rain seems to be looming along the previously dry path?:



Great photo Balmz smile


Edited by Petros (06/11/2018 15:48)

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#1475401 - 06/11/2018 15:54 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 6388
Loc: Woodend VIC 579m ASL - where w...
The north end of that line going thru Melbourne atm has a lot of interesting motion on it. Didn't produce a drop here as the northern tip was just to our south. Perfect chasers view without having to move.
_________________________
Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and even some snow

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#1475404 - 06/11/2018 16:19 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Ruckle]
Lindsay Knowles Offline
Moderator

Registered: 18/01/2003
Posts: 3972
Loc: Bayles / Toorloo Arm
40.8mm at home in Bayles this morning. Haven't seen rain like that in a long time.

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#1475409 - 06/11/2018 17:27 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
liberator Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/11/2010
Posts: 319
Loc: Kyabram
copped a nice small thunderstorm that managed to dump about 10 mm in 10 mins. nice reminder for me to clear out my gutters. Im also going to have to put in a larger drain pit for my sump pump to stop these heavy rainfalls flooding under the house. Idiots when they built the driveway all those years ago made it slope towards the house not to the street so big rains run up the drive and then under the house.

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#1475410 - 06/11/2018 17:56 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7551
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
So far Maffra's "catch-up" has yielded a stormless 2.5mm frown

A last chance storm that looked promising 20 mins ago is heading this way just Nth of Moe, but now decaying as it approaches Nth Gippsland.

.....but did just hear a distant rumble of thunder smile

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#1475421 - 06/11/2018 19:33 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 2119
Loc: Sale, Central Gippsland, S/E V...
Beaut pic Balmz, the waterfall makes it!!

My independent weather reporter in Maffra reported 0.5mm total a couple of hours back, then 1/2hr got to 16.5MM for this event, needless to say he is pretty happy with that.

In urban Sale total 19mm, with 15mm of that after 5pm.

Just what we also needed here and better than WATL forecast (5to10mm).

Outcome also better than ACCESS indicated this AM on my (rough) interpretation of the maps.

65mm @ Sunbury, wow.


Edited by samboz (06/11/2018 19:36)

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#1475425 - 06/11/2018 19:48 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7551
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
The distant thunder ended up with Maffra sitting under a convergence of two weak storm cells, leaving us with a bit of tame thunder and much appreciated spring storm rain boosting our tally to a handy 15.5mm for today smile

If this system is over, then (this time miserly) GFS was again most accurate for N Gippy.

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#1475434 - 06/11/2018 22:30 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 2119
Loc: Sale, Central Gippsland, S/E V...
Did OK then P.

Lightning strike today very, very close to the Valencia Ck Church and CFA shed, would have been LOUD !

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#1475440 - 06/11/2018 23:22 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
Daniel Hayward Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 19/11/2013
Posts: 47
Loc: Wantirna South, VIC
So what a eventful day of rain and storms, copped a good amount of HEAVY RAINFALL and above what the BoM where expecting of 30mm. Got 34.4mm out here in Wantirna South according to the Scoresby AWS. 37mm down the road at the Knox Retarding Basin. Unfortunately as said in this thread throughout the event it was HIT and MISS for some as models jostled for where the best falls were going to occur. Originally it looked to be to the north of Melbourne but then was the other way around and in the Melbourne Metro area that saw the HEAVY RAINFALL leading to chaos and FLASH FLOODING and some structural damage. While parts of Northern VIC and mainly parts of North central VIC missed out. A few Thunderstorms some severe this afternoon may have also produced HEAVY FALLS over parts of Northern VIC and parts of North central VIC and moved out over the ranges which then picked up close to the 30-50mm as forecasted. As noted well done to the BoM for putting trust into there own Hi-res ACCESS-C model and issuing the SWW for HEAVY RAINFALL and ACCESS-R model. If this is to go by anything then it looks like some parts of drought ravaged far western NSW may see some decent rain with the ACCESS-R indicating 40mm in Bourke which to some farmers would be hugely welcomed rain. This likely to unfold into the afternoon tomorrow and starting as early as a few hours time. Anyway I off to bed. Looks to be some scattered coldies tommorow with local thunder and small hail nothing more then a typical winter day in Melbourne. So unless anything interesting happens. It all eyes on the next weather event which is likely sometime early next week. In the meantime it is goodnight everyone grin
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Daniel Hayward

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