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#1475222 - 03/11/2018 18:19 Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7540
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Despite us not wanting to moz this potential rain next week, this arvo's model runs still maintain decent totals across many Vic regions:



My area (N Gippsland) missed out on last Fridays change, so (like us all) hanging out from some decent rain next week.

To me looks good, great tropical moisture from the Indian Ocean (even though IOD is supposedly positive?), interacts with decent cold air from the bight, ....and relatively slow moving system this time???

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#1475280 - 04/11/2018 17:58 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7540
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
What a set up! - check out the water vapour accumulated over SA/NSW/VIC and S Qld atm:



....and check out the perfectly timed southern maritime cold front racing up from deep south (note the southerly tilted isobars) to interact with this mass of humid air over next 48 hrs or so:



Perfect set up for rain (or even more if a cut-off low forms as a result of the interaction) over SE Aus?

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#1475284 - 04/11/2018 18:56 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2688
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Clouds starting get trapped to thicken up in central Victoria as Cold Front will push hard kick humid air out to NE NSW.

Lucky we have humid rains and cold rains is good thing.

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#1475285 - 04/11/2018 19:12 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 2116
Loc: Sale, Central Gippsland, S/E V...
Looking OK at this stage, anything will be an improvement on-

SALE AP YEAR TO DATE
Average Rainfall To Nov 542.0mm 145.9 Day(s)
Total For 2018 251.2mm94 Day(s)

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#1475295 - 04/11/2018 21:52 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
balmz Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/11/2012
Posts: 762
Loc: Ferntree Gully, Melbourne, VIC
Fingers crossed this one actually produces the goods! Hoping for some bolts too smile

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#1475297 - 04/11/2018 23:29 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
Daniel Hayward Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 19/11/2013
Posts: 47
Loc: Wantirna South, VIC
From my run of all available models it don't look that good unless your called the ACCESS-G! Who thinks 80mm+ is possible on Monday followed by another 23mm on Tuesday. But all other models are around the 5-25mm mark. This been said it might be possible some models have picked up some storm activity in their accumulated totals. But more then anything OVERALL this system looks fantastic but that will only eventuate if you get a few thunderstorms. It looks real ugly stripped back. If we get rain we all hope we see the results the ACCESS-G is showing at the moment. But i can't see it pulling off! So looks to be little rainfall. But a few thunderstorms on top of the 5-25mm and well then it will look really nice. THE QUESTION: Thunderstorms? Most likely ISOLATED throughout Monday, come Tuesday they will be more WIDESPREAD. So we most likely will see between 30-60mm including if you get a thunderstorm or two. If unlucky don't be surprised if you get as little as 5-25mm smile THIS IS FOR THE MELBOURNE METRO AREA. As the NORTH EAST looks to get the best falls over 60mm+ among most models.
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Daniel Hayward

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#1475314 - 05/11/2018 09:08 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 2116
Loc: Sale, Central Gippsland, S/E V...
While a very nice low trough is funnelling it all down to Gippsland, looking its best tomorrow, ACCESS could see us with
maybe 5 or 6mm whereas GFS 10MM'ish and EC double that.

Had enough rain this morning to wet the pahs and roads, just a slight breeze and very overcast.

Little hard to imagine today clearing and max 28C.

Sat. pics show it clearing up a bit but still with showers, probably get steamy.

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#1475321 - 05/11/2018 10:57 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7540
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Yep 1mm here from a series of misty showers so far this morning. Very overcast and calm, might ruin any chance of an arvo storm.

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#1475322 - 05/11/2018 11:11 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1162
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
This mornings models have all downgraded this event, access now looking at 5-10 other than the blob over Melbourne’s north.

Going to be really annoyed if nothing happens in terms of high rainfall, it will be the 3rd event in the last month or which has had all the right conditions yet only delivers enough rain to wet everything till the next warm day.
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Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

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#1475324 - 05/11/2018 11:52 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2688
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
logansi , Yeah shocked clouds band in North did not bring something good, Now there is clear slot from West Victoria to SA/WA boarder is Front still long way out.

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#1475337 - 05/11/2018 18:22 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7540
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
See a storms developed after the back end of the moisture plume clearing from Otways just now.

0.75mm rain here this morning, after an overcast mild humid'ish day, can see it clearing from the West atm.

Nice BBQ evening here (if rain wasnt your prime motive).

GFS remains stingy for tomorrows rain, hopefully AccR is closer (only because it delivers circa 15mm for N Gippy, ....showing my greedy self interest).

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#1475339 - 05/11/2018 18:34 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1162
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
Said storm nearly Colac from train near in Geelong was hoping for a bit more action during my trip out of the city but nothing forthcoming
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#1475340 - 05/11/2018 18:35 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7540
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Nice view of it Logansi. Good to see something is possible to brew up this evening, at least in that region.

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#1475343 - 05/11/2018 19:22 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
balmz Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/11/2012
Posts: 762
Loc: Ferntree Gully, Melbourne, VIC
It's a beautiful evening out there. Nice high bases on those Cu. Hopefully it comes alive overnight with some bolts smile View looking West/SW from Ferntree Gully.


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#1475350 - 05/11/2018 21:34 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7540
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Lightning visible along the Strezleckiis atm.

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#1475354 - 06/11/2018 00:27 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
balmz Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/11/2012
Posts: 762
Loc: Ferntree Gully, Melbourne, VIC
Currently very misty and sticky outside. 91% humidity!! Feels like the atmosphere is primed to blow.

For comparison, Darwin AP is currently at 79% humidity.

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#1475358 - 06/11/2018 07:08 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
Daniel Hayward Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 19/11/2013
Posts: 47
Loc: Wantirna South, VIC
Storms now firing up all over western VIC and should add some nice rains to parts of parched western VIC. Should see a few reach Melbourne over the next 3 hours or so before the action heads North. Looks though as the steady rainband misses to the North but before we all complain let's hope it goes to Western NSW and other places that need it most for the farmers sake. But would be nice to get a good rain event soon here in Melbourne. See what these storms bring shorty look nice for Heavy Rain and Damaging Winds smile Humidity at 95% felt like something had to come of it!!! smile
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Daniel Hayward

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#1475365 - 06/11/2018 08:23 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 6382
Loc: Woodend VIC 579m ASL - where w...
Wow this page is off centre ha ha. Just on 5mm in about 10 mins at 630 this morning, Hope for a bit more from the next line
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#1475368 - 06/11/2018 08:28 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 2116
Loc: Sale, Central Gippsland, S/E V...
Ripping rain over Yarrawonga/Rutherglen atm on radar,
in the trough coming down from the NW as forecast, now
if it can maintain its present trajectory we might do
alright @ Sale.

ACCESS (this morn.) has it fairly quick moving and pretty
much all over by midnight.

Talking to farmer from N of Maffra y'day, reckons it is one
of the worst droughts he'd experienced.



Edited by samboz (06/11/2018 08:29)

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#1475370 - 06/11/2018 08:30 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 2116
Loc: Sale, Central Gippsland, S/E V...
If the poster puts in his own short line
"enters" to go to the next line more
accesible reading can be had grin

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#1475377 - 06/11/2018 09:48 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1162
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
If weatherzone would let me edit my post I would - sorry I Posted from my phone so wasn't showing up as big.
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Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

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#1475378 - 06/11/2018 09:50 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7540
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
18.5C/87% RH and calm/cloudy here. Waiting, waiting.[carriage return for Samboz]
GFS (unusually) remains the stingiest of all models for parched N Gippsland.
Went for a ride this morning, all the farmers are irrigating flat out - sceptics!


Better off with the big picture than none at all Logansi.


Edited by Petros (06/11/2018 09:51)

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#1475379 - 06/11/2018 09:55 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2688
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Looks like awful overcast for Melbourne Cup...

My Town loop hole missed out any rain and hope something between Front and West build some rain or not.

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#1475381 - 06/11/2018 11:03 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
balmz Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/11/2012
Posts: 762
Loc: Ferntree Gully, Melbourne, VIC
That sound of heavy rain on the roof is just glorious right now. Some steady heavy falls moving through the metro this morning.

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#1475385 - 06/11/2018 11:17 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2688
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Had good 7mm rain just then.

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#1475389 - 06/11/2018 11:51 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
balmz Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/11/2012
Posts: 762
Loc: Ferntree Gully, Melbourne, VIC
Metro totals building quickly smile Been torrential for a good 45 mins or so now here.

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#1475390 - 06/11/2018 11:52 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1162
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
Airport now upto 34mm since 9am, everyone needs the rain but did it really have to happen today.
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Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

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#1475391 - 06/11/2018 12:09 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 6382
Loc: Woodend VIC 579m ASL - where w...
Tulla and Essendon over 40mm in a few hours. 15.8mm here at home and sun coming out now, wind still NNW. Over 21mm this month and after 65mm last month doing ok.

Lawn mower men around town will be really doing ok.
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Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and even some snow

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#1475392 - 06/11/2018 12:15 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
balmz Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/11/2012
Posts: 762
Loc: Ferntree Gully, Melbourne, VIC
Lot's of local flash flooding around Melbourne. VIC Emergency website shows lots of requests for assistance.

This is Ashburton train station a short time ago too.

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#1475393 - 06/11/2018 12:22 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 6382
Loc: Woodend VIC 579m ASL - where w...
Nice hosing! Sun disappeared and drizzle/mist commenced here
_________________________
Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and even some snow

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#1475398 - 06/11/2018 14:29 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1321
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Been down in Torquay since Friday morning for
The long weekend.
Just got home and emptied 31mm out so that
Not a bad start to November!
Some flash flooding and very heavy rain around
Southeast suburbs Melb

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#1475400 - 06/11/2018 15:47 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7540
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
After spending the day in "N/W to S/E the dry slot", green with envy at other locations, maybe we get a catch up as a chain of storms/rain seems to be looming along the previously dry path?:



Great photo Balmz smile


Edited by Petros (06/11/2018 15:48)

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#1475401 - 06/11/2018 15:54 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 6382
Loc: Woodend VIC 579m ASL - where w...
The north end of that line going thru Melbourne atm has a lot of interesting motion on it. Didn't produce a drop here as the northern tip was just to our south. Perfect chasers view without having to move.
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Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and even some snow

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#1475404 - 06/11/2018 16:19 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Ruckle]
Lindsay Knowles Offline
Moderator

Registered: 18/01/2003
Posts: 3971
Loc: Bayles / Toorloo Arm
40.8mm at home in Bayles this morning. Haven't seen rain like that in a long time.

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#1475409 - 06/11/2018 17:27 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
liberator Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/11/2010
Posts: 319
Loc: Kyabram
copped a nice small thunderstorm that managed to dump about 10 mm in 10 mins. nice reminder for me to clear out my gutters. Im also going to have to put in a larger drain pit for my sump pump to stop these heavy rainfalls flooding under the house. Idiots when they built the driveway all those years ago made it slope towards the house not to the street so big rains run up the drive and then under the house.

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#1475410 - 06/11/2018 17:56 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7540
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
So far Maffra's "catch-up" has yielded a stormless 2.5mm frown

A last chance storm that looked promising 20 mins ago is heading this way just Nth of Moe, but now decaying as it approaches Nth Gippsland.

.....but did just hear a distant rumble of thunder smile

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#1475421 - 06/11/2018 19:33 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 2116
Loc: Sale, Central Gippsland, S/E V...
Beaut pic Balmz, the waterfall makes it!!

My independent weather reporter in Maffra reported 0.5mm total a couple of hours back, then 1/2hr got to 16.5MM for this event, needless to say he is pretty happy with that.

In urban Sale total 19mm, with 15mm of that after 5pm.

Just what we also needed here and better than WATL forecast (5to10mm).

Outcome also better than ACCESS indicated this AM on my (rough) interpretation of the maps.

65mm @ Sunbury, wow.


Edited by samboz (06/11/2018 19:36)

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#1475425 - 06/11/2018 19:48 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7540
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
The distant thunder ended up with Maffra sitting under a convergence of two weak storm cells, leaving us with a bit of tame thunder and much appreciated spring storm rain boosting our tally to a handy 15.5mm for today smile

If this system is over, then (this time miserly) GFS was again most accurate for N Gippy.

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#1475434 - 06/11/2018 22:30 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 2116
Loc: Sale, Central Gippsland, S/E V...
Did OK then P.

Lightning strike today very, very close to the Valencia Ck Church and CFA shed, would have been LOUD !

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#1475440 - 06/11/2018 23:22 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
Daniel Hayward Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 19/11/2013
Posts: 47
Loc: Wantirna South, VIC
So what a eventful day of rain and storms, copped a good amount of HEAVY RAINFALL and above what the BoM where expecting of 30mm. Got 34.4mm out here in Wantirna South according to the Scoresby AWS. 37mm down the road at the Knox Retarding Basin. Unfortunately as said in this thread throughout the event it was HIT and MISS for some as models jostled for where the best falls were going to occur. Originally it looked to be to the north of Melbourne but then was the other way around and in the Melbourne Metro area that saw the HEAVY RAINFALL leading to chaos and FLASH FLOODING and some structural damage. While parts of Northern VIC and mainly parts of North central VIC missed out. A few Thunderstorms some severe this afternoon may have also produced HEAVY FALLS over parts of Northern VIC and parts of North central VIC and moved out over the ranges which then picked up close to the 30-50mm as forecasted. As noted well done to the BoM for putting trust into there own Hi-res ACCESS-C model and issuing the SWW for HEAVY RAINFALL and ACCESS-R model. If this is to go by anything then it looks like some parts of drought ravaged far western NSW may see some decent rain with the ACCESS-R indicating 40mm in Bourke which to some farmers would be hugely welcomed rain. This likely to unfold into the afternoon tomorrow and starting as early as a few hours time. Anyway I off to bed. Looks to be some scattered coldies tommorow with local thunder and small hail nothing more then a typical winter day in Melbourne. So unless anything interesting happens. It all eyes on the next weather event which is likely sometime early next week. In the meantime it is goodnight everyone grin
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Daniel Hayward

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#1475460 - 07/11/2018 10:28 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
HigherPerspectiv Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 07/11/2015
Posts: 30
Chased around northern Vic yesterday.

Initially started up near Nathalia (around 15:00), watching cells develop the the W and NW, along the trough line (that was very visible on satellite).

There were already some good storms moving off to the SE along the same line, but most were fairly low topped, but were showing signs of good shear interaction and good convection. Upper level winds were strong and dragging the anvil a long way down wind. This was also limiting updraft height.



The cell the approached Nathalia began to show a fibrous anvil and seemed to be weakening, so we decided to head south to intercept cells now rapidly building along the trough line south of Echuca. Good convection was going and a flanking line formed, feeding into a rapidly intensifying cell near Kyabram.

This cell began to show two separate updraft regions (around 16:00), and then split into a left and right mover. We caught up with these cells just NW of Shepparton, with both cells showing wall clouds, and the left mover showing some small funnels.



The right mover looked stronger on radar, so we decided go south to follow that. Within 15-20 minutes we realised we should have stayed with the left mover, which was now showing interesting doppler returns, and some hook patterns on rain radar.

We turned east to follow it but it had already passed our position and we struggled to catch up to it. Convection was going nuts and huge pulses were boiling over into a large domed overshooting top.



Around this time doppler was showing a velocity couplet that persisted for 30 minutes or so, with one very intense frame at 16:49 just east of Dookie. I believe there may have been a weak tornado at this point.



We couldn't see anything on the ground, as we were on the SW side of the inflow region. Hail shafts and heavy rain were visible and obscuring the view, and there were definite lowerings, but couldn't confirm anything.



After Dookie, the cell seemed to slow its pace and weaken slightly, and we were able to get back on the northern side of it.



We watched it from Mount Major as it moved towards Wangaratta and began back building again, with more large overshooting pulses. Radar suggests perhaps another weak tornado east of Wangaratta, but nothing visible from our position. A large flanking line was feeding into the main storm.



As the storm began to encounter terrain, more large towers formed along the flanking line, with some very large pulses that merged into the main cell, with huge domed overshoots. Doppler shows further tornado potential about this time.



We watched this cell slow right down and seem almost stationary (it really wasn't) for around an hour as it slowly tracked NE. The anvil was huge and stretched to the SE over 100km away from the updraft region. Some of the updraft pulses at this point were overshooting 20% or so of the height of the storm above the rest of the anvil.



The right mover we'd followed earlier was still going and was now near Mt Buller. It still had a large anvil, but had weakened significantly by this stage.



Interestingly, the cell we'd initially been watching at Nathalia did weaken, but then reintensified near Tocumwal and tracked east for quite a distance (well east of Holbrook).




Overall a great chase day (apart from our rookie mistake chasing the right mover). Heaps of amazing timelapse footage to process!



Radar data here:

Rain Radar

Doppler


Edited by HigherPerspectiv (07/11/2018 10:29)

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#1475467 - 07/11/2018 12:47 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2688
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
The Northern Country not much rain so I only had 14mm for November.

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#1475480 - 07/11/2018 14:48 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: HigherPerspectiv]
balmz Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/11/2012
Posts: 762
Loc: Ferntree Gully, Melbourne, VIC
Originally Posted By: HigherPerspectiv
Chased around northern Vic yesterday.

Initially started up near Nathalia (around 15:00), watching cells develop the the W and NW, along the trough line (that was very visible on satellite).

Overall a great chase day (apart from our rookie mistake chasing the right mover). Heaps of amazing timelapse footage to process!

Radar data here:

Rain Radar

Doppler


Great detailed summary, thank you!

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#1475494 - 07/11/2018 16:05 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
Spectreman Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 15/09/2018
Posts: 4
Loc: Melbourne
Got a whopping 40mm of rain in Box Hill yesterday, most amount of rain here for some time.
The local flood retarding basin that doubles as an oval was fully flooded, huge amount of water flowing into it yesterday.
I managed to get some good audio recordings of thunder, first time in many months, was great !

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#1475499 - 07/11/2018 17:18 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2688
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
isolated showers and cold of 12.7c.

NSW Lucky lots rain.

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#1475513 - 07/11/2018 20:00 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
balmz Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/11/2012
Posts: 762
Loc: Ferntree Gully, Melbourne, VIC
Nice little cold Thunderstorm moving through the Eastern suburbs. smile

Ironically seeing more bolts now with this than through yesterdays downpour!!! (I saw none.. lol)

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#1475520 - 07/11/2018 21:18 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
balmz Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/11/2012
Posts: 762
Loc: Ferntree Gully, Melbourne, VIC
So that little storm formed a bit of a cold convergence line and dumped a fair amount of small hail! My friend in Chadstone just posted this!

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#1475540 - 08/11/2018 07:22 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
Alexia Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 14/12/2002
Posts: 599
Loc: Corryong
This system we have had 44mm rain just amazing it is hard to tell you how good it is here we are just a sea of grass everyone is flat out trying to get silage made and just starting on hay.


Edited by Alexia (08/11/2018 07:23)

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#1475543 - 08/11/2018 08:45 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 2116
Loc: Sale, Central Gippsland, S/E V...
Excellent Alexia, takes a lot of pressure off. grin

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#1475672 - 10/11/2018 11:46 Re: Vic - cold front to expected to provide good rain 5-7/11/18 [Re: Petros]
stormygirl Offline
Weather Babe and Moderator

Registered: 21/12/2004
Posts: 4045
Loc: Melbourne, SE Burbs
Great pic from your friend in Chadstone, balmz! My street looked exactly the same smile

Prior to this event, my YTD rainfall hadn't reached 300mm, and I needed 150mm both in November and December to reach my average. I received 52.2mm for the week, which is exceptional, but I doubt I will still reach my average.

It's shaping up to be one of (if not) the lowest rainfall since I began taking records in 2006 frown
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