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#1480247 - 14/12/2018 09:56 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - December 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 13345
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
Latest GFS is still looking good for Townsville, in fact the best it has for days:



Will just have to wait and see what happens now I guess Mick. At least we should see some good storm activity over the next couple of days.
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1480477 - 14/12/2018 17:56 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - December 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
ol mate Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/03/2010
Posts: 1232
Loc: Ingham, North Qld
Queensland
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Severe Weather Warning
for DAMAGING WINDS and HEAVY RAINFALL
For people in North Tropical Coast and Tablelands and parts of Peninsula, Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders and Herbert and Lower Burdekin Forecast Districts.

Issued at 4:53 pm Friday, 14 December 2018.
Severe Tropical Cyclone Owen will move into the tropical interior on Saturday with heavy rainfall and damaging winds developing.


Weather Situation:
Severe Tropical Cyclone Owen lies over the central Gulf of Carpentaria approximately 190km north of Mornington Island. Tropical Cyclone Owen is expected to continue moving in a easterly track and is forecast to cross the southeast Gulf coast Saturday morning as a category 4 system. The tropical cyclone will move inland and transition into an ex-tropical cyclone by Saturday afternoon. Damaging winds and heavy rainfall are likely to develop in the warning area during Saturday afternoon and evening. The most significant impacts are likely with the passage of the low, however there remains some uncertainty with the movement and strength of the system.
Note a tropical cyclone warning or watch is current for central and western parts of Cape York Peninsula.
Heavy rain, which may lead to flash flooding, is expected to develop within the warning area tomorrow.
6 hour totals of between 100-200mm are possible with locally higher falls in thunderstorms and in vicinity of the ex-tropical cyclone.
Damaging winds, with peak gusts in excess of 90km/h, are likely to develop near the ex-tropical cyclone in the tropical interior during Saturday morning or afternoon, and possibly develop in the North Tropical Coast and Tablelands, and northern Herbert and Lower Burdekin, during Saturday afternoon or evening.
Locations which may be affected include Cairns, Innisfail, Tully, Chillagoe, Port Douglas, Cardwell and Mareeba.
_________________________
Ingham - Golden Gumboot holder of the Northern Region - cuz we steal Townsville's Rain!

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#1480512 - 14/12/2018 19:03 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - December 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25455
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
Tsv is going to get bugger all, will cross to our north so showery on sunday but low will continue to head east and give all the good juice to the NTC yet again, same areas that did well from it last weekend.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
Marach 2019 total - 310.6mm (192mm)
April 2019 total - 0.0mm (65.8mm)
2019 Yearly total to date - 1973.4mm (1129mm)

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#1480531 - 14/12/2018 19:38 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - December 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 13345
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
Yup seems that way Mick.

Maybe Townsville will see something if he approaches the coast again as forecast?
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1480655 - 15/12/2018 05:35 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - December 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25455
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
the SWW has been extended south to include Townsville (just)

Severe Weather Warning
for DAMAGING WINDS and HEAVY RAINFALL
For people in North Tropical Coast and Tablelands and parts of Peninsula, Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders and Herbert and Lower Burdekin Forecast Districts.

Issued at 4:17 am Saturday, 15 December 2018.
Tropical Cyclone Owen will move east over the northern interior today with heavy rainfall and damaging winds developing.
Weather Situation:
Tropical Cyclone Owen crossed the southeast Gulf of Carpentaria coast between Kowanyama and Gilbert River Mouth in the early hours of today. Tropical Cyclone Owen is expected to continue moving east southeastwards over the northern interior of Queensland through today while gradually transitioning to a tropical low.
Heavy rainfall, which may lead to flash flooding, is expected to develop over the warning area through this afternoon and evening. 6 hour totals of between 100-200mm are possible, particularly with thunderstorms. The heavy rainfall may persist into Sunday, particularly about the coast, as the system moves further east or southeast towards the Coral Sea.
Damaging winds, with peak gusts in excess of 90km/h, are likely near the system as it moves east over the northern interior during today, and may extend to the North Tropical Coast and Tablelands district through this afternoon and evening.
There is some possibility the low will move offshore of the east tropical coast during Sunday. At this point the system is deemed to have a low to moderate chance of reforming off the east tropical coast during Sunday or Monday. The situation will be monitored carefully and tropical cyclone advisories issued if the risk increases.
Note a tropical cyclone warning remains current for the northern Gulf Country and southern parts of the Peninsula district.
Locations which may be affected include Chillagoe, Port Douglas, Cairns, Mareeba, Innisfail, Tully, Cardwell, Ingham, Palm Island and Townsville.
Queensland Fire and Emergency Services advises that people should:
* Move your car under cover or away from trees.
* Secure loose outdoor items.
* Seek shelter, preferably indoors and never under trees.
* Beware of fallen trees and powerlines.
* Never drive, walk or ride through flood waters. If it's flooded, forget it.
* Keep clear of creeks and storm drains.
* For emergency assistance contact the SES on 132 500.

The next Severe Weather Warning will be issued by 11:00 am AEST Saturday.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
Marach 2019 total - 310.6mm (192mm)
April 2019 total - 0.0mm (65.8mm)
2019 Yearly total to date - 1973.4mm (1129mm)

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#1480657 - 15/12/2018 06:44 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - December 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 13345
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
Yup, looks like Owen took quite a sharp (and unexpected) SE turn overnight. Hopefully he'll commence a more ESE track as the day goes on.

Despite this, some models (such as GFS) aren't showing any significant rainfall for the NTC or Herbie Burdie from this system.
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1480663 - 15/12/2018 07:10 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - December 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
JMac Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 16/12/2010
Posts: 363
Light showers just kicking in at Nelly Bay this morning.

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#1480767 - 15/12/2018 12:02 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - December 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 13345
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Severe Weather Warning
for DAMAGING WINDS and HEAVY RAINFALL
For people in North Tropical Coast and Tablelands and parts of Peninsula, Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders and Herbert and Lower Burdekin Forecast Districts.

Issued at 10:31 am Saturday, 15 December 2018.
Tropical Cyclone Owen will move east over the northern interior today with heavy rainfall and damaging winds developing.

Plan Image
Weather Situation:
Tropical Cyclone Owen crossed the southeast Gulf of Carpentaria coast between Kowanyama and Gilbert River Mouth in the early hours of today. Tropical Cyclone Owen is expected to continue moving east southeastwards over the northern interior of Queensland through today while gradually transitioning to a tropical low.
Heavy rainfall, which may lead to flash flooding, is expected to develop over the warning area through this afternoon and evening. 6 hour totals of between 100-200mm are possible, particularly with thunderstorms. The heavy rainfall may persist into Sunday, particularly about the coast, as the system moves further east or southeast towards the Coral Sea.
Damaging winds, with peak gusts in excess of 90km/h, are likely near the system as it moves east over the northern interior during today, and may extend to the North Tropical Coast and Tablelands district through this afternoon and evening.
Damaging wind gusts will also be possible about the northern beaches of Cairns during Sunday morning.
There is some possibility the low will move offshore of the east tropical coast during Sunday. At this point the system is deemed to have a low to moderate chance of reforming off the east tropical coast during Sunday or Monday. The situation will be monitored carefully and tropical cyclone advisories issued if the risk increases.
Note a tropical cyclone warning remains current for the northern Gulf Country and southern parts of the Peninsula district.
Locations which may be affected include Chillagoe, Port Douglas, Cairns, Mareeba, Innisfail, Tully, Cardwell, Ingham, Palm Island and Townsville.
Queensland Fire and Emergency Services advises that people should:
* Move your car under cover or away from trees.
* Secure loose outdoor items.
* Seek shelter, preferably indoors and never under trees.
* Beware of fallen trees and powerlines.
* Never drive, walk or ride through flood waters. If it's flooded, forget it.
* Keep clear of creeks and storm drains.
* For emergency assistance contact the SES on 132 500.

The next Severe Weather Warning will be issued by 5:00 pm AEST Saturday.
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1480795 - 15/12/2018 13:34 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - December 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
SBT Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 07/02/2007
Posts: 14286
Loc: Townsville Dry Tropics
32mm to 0900 Friday morning December totals are looking good.
Cyclone prep all done (I made the bed). Quick yard check and gutter check and fed all the animals.
Hopefully we will see some decent rain tonight, maybe some thunder and more than a love puff of wind.
_________________________
785mm Jan
799mm Feb
130 March
2019 Total 1714mm
2018 Total 822mm






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#1480798 - 15/12/2018 13:45 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - December 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 13345
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
Flood Watch for south Cape York Peninsula and coastal catchments from Cape Tribulation to St Lawrence
Issued at 12:25 pm EST on Saturday 15 December 2018

Flood Watch Number: 8

Flooding is likely across parts of the Flood Watch area during the weekend and into next week.

As Tropical Cyclone Owen crosses the Cape York, heavy rainfall is expected to develop over the North Tropical Coast from late Saturday and extend southeast through coastal catchments over the weekend.

Recent rainfall across the Flood Watch area has primed some catchments ahead of the expected rainfall.

Minor flooding is likely across parts of the Flood Watch area, with moderate to major flooding possible in catchments that receive the heaviest rainfall.

Heavy rainfall may also lead to local flooding.

The situation will be closely monitored and Flood Warnings issued when required.

Catchments likely to be affected include:

Coleman and Edward Rivers
Mitchell River
Staaten River
Daintree River
Mossman River
Barron River
Mulgrave and Russell Rivers
Johnstone River
Tully River
Murray River
Herbert River
Black River
Ross and Bohle Rivers
Haughton River
Cape River to Burdekin Falls Dam
Burdekin River to Burdekin Falls Dam
Burdekin River downstream of Burdekin Falls Dam
Don and Proserpine Rivers
Pioneer River
Connors, Isaac and Styx Rivers and Plane Creek

Flooding is no longer expected in the Gulf Rivers catchments, with recent heavy rainfall small rises are possible into next week. With changes to the forecast cyclone track, flooding is no longer expected in the Belyando and Suttor Rivers and catchments south of St Lawrence to Rainbow Beach.

See www.bom.gov.au/qld/warnings to view the current flood warnings for Queensland.

For more information on the Flood Watch Service: http://www.bom.gov.au/water/floods/floodWarningServices.shtml

Flood Safety Advice:
This Flood Watch means that people living or working along rivers and creeks should monitor the latest weather forecasts and warnings.

Remember: If it's flooded, forget it.

For flood emergency assistance contact the SES on 132 500.

For life threatening emergencies, call Triple Zero (000) immediately.

Current emergency information is available at www.qld.gov.au/alerts.

This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 219 at a low call cost of 27.5 cents, more from mobile, public and satellite phones.

Warning, rainfall and river information are available at www.bom.gov.au/qld/flood/

Next Issue:
The next Flood Watch will be issued by 01:00 pm EST on Sunday 16 December 2018.
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1480811 - 15/12/2018 14:39 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - December 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
CuNimJim Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 21/12/2005
Posts: 475
Loc: Whitfield, Cairns
Cheer up TSV team - coming your way...
_________________________
2017 - 1,809mm
2018 - 3,151mm
MTD: - 265.0mm (Mar)
YTD: - 1,442mm

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#1480834 - 15/12/2018 15:58 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - December 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Rusty Mango Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 21/02/2016
Posts: 8
Loc: Forrest Beach, North QLD
Just had a healthy 30+mm here at Forrest Beach.

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#1480864 - 15/12/2018 16:46 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - December 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 13345
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
Just got back from Bilyana, was VERY wet South of Ingham.
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1480905 - 15/12/2018 17:46 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - December 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 13345
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
Lovely steady rain!! Should be a very wet night.
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1480918 - 15/12/2018 17:58 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - December 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 13345
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Severe Weather Warning
for DAMAGING WINDS and HEAVY RAINFALL
For people in North Tropical Coast and Tablelands and parts of Peninsula, Gulf Country, Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders and Herbert and Lower Burdekin Forecast Districts.

Issued at 4:57 pm Saturday, 15 December 2018.
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Owen to produce heavy rainfall and damaging winds over the northeast tropical coast.

Plan Image
Weather Situation:
Tropical cyclone Owen crossed the southeast Gulf of Carpentaria coast between Kowanyama and the Gilbert River Mouth as a low-end Category 3 system at approximately 3am AEST this morning. Since then, the system has gradually weakened over the northern interior and has now officially been downgraded to a tropical low. The system is forecast to continue tracking towards the northeast tropical coast overnight tonight and into Sunday.
Heavy rainfall, which may lead to flash flooding, is expected to develop over the warning area overnight tonight and into Sunday. 6 hourly rainfall totals between 100-200mm are possible, particularly with thunderstorms.
Damaging wind gusts in excess of 90km/h are also possible near the system as it moves towards the North Tropical Coast and Tablelands district overnight tonight and into Sunday. Damaging wind gusts will also be possible near the base of the coastal ranges, including the Cairns area during Sunday morning.
It's possible that the tropical low will move off the northeast tropical coast during Sunday. It currently deemed to have a low to very low chance of reforming into a tropical cyclone during Sunday or Monday. The situation will be monitored carefully and warnings and advisories will be issued if necessary.
Locations which may be affected include Townsville, Cairns, Chillagoe, Port Douglas, Mareeba, Innisfail, Tully, Cardwell, Ingham and Palm Island.
In the 6 hours to 4pm Cowley Beach has recorded 100mm
Queensland Fire and Emergency Services advises that people should:
* Move your car under cover or away from trees.
* Secure loose outdoor items.
* Seek shelter, preferably indoors and never under trees.
* Beware of fallen trees and powerlines.
* Never drive, walk or ride through flood waters. If it's flooded, forget it.
* Keep clear of creeks and storm drains.
* For emergency assistance contact the SES on 132 500.

The next Severe Weather Warning will be issued by 11:00 pm AEST Saturday.
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1480938 - 15/12/2018 18:47 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - December 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
crikey Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/02/2011
Posts: 3149
Loc: Tweed Heads
rainfall totals climbing in the obs for north coast and tablelands
http://www.bom.gov.au/qld/observations/qldall.shtml

106mm since 9am for cowley beach and 14 hrs left to count
low isles dew point 27.6 deg c
_________________________
http://weathercycles.wordpress.com/

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#1481054 - 16/12/2018 00:39 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - December 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Oriolus Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 25/12/2010
Posts: 39
Loc: Mundingburra
Townsville couldn't have asked for much better than this tonight. Solid concentration of rain centered right over the city. The original BOM forecast from a few days ago of 120-200ml might turn out to be right by morning.

Forum seems a bit quiet these days though? Expect a bit more chatter for rain like this.

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#1481055 - 16/12/2018 00:41 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - December 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
ol mate Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/03/2010
Posts: 1232
Loc: Ingham, North Qld
Massive rainfall up my way.

I drove back from cairns to Ingham early tonight. Water on the road everywhere between Cardwell and Ingham. 5 mile creek was over the road. When I got to the Seymour it was also full, and several other spots between there and Ingham had plenty of surface water. Ingham itself had many streets under. Spoke to someone in Halifax and they are swamped.

I've never seen a situation before where an area that's under severe weather warning also ends up with a severe thunderstorm warning.

Flood warning also issued for the Herbert.
_________________________
Ingham - Golden Gumboot holder of the Northern Region - cuz we steal Townsville's Rain!

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#1481060 - 16/12/2018 02:18 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - December 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
exodus Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/12/2007
Posts: 629
Loc: Mount Louisa, Townsville
378mm for Halifax in 6hours in last ewn alert.

Bluewater 150mm since 9am, most of townsvillle around 90mm sure to break 100 or more by the morning.


Edited by exodus (16/12/2018 02:19)

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#1481061 - 16/12/2018 04:40 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - December 2018 [Re: Raindammit]
Mega Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/02/2003
Posts: 7859
Loc: Maryborough, Wide Bay, QLD
about friggin time North QLD copped it instead of North WA. Let's hope it continues further into the wet season.

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