Good mornin' all

WTF!

0.5° minimum overnight with a light frost this morning!

Surely the last one for the year.

Liawenee had a minimum of -2.6°

Big rain event shaping up for Tuesday to Friday. Could be our first decent East Coast LOW for quite a while.

Yep, bit of a downpour being forecast for the next few days - EC really liking heavy rain in the east and SE on Friday, but the models are changing with every run, but not hard to envisage at least 30-60mm for most places and quite possibly totals well over 100mm in parts of the east if current forecasts hold.

Rained all night here.

69mm in the gauge.
My total rainfall for November last year was 82mm.

Strahan recorded 63.4mm. A new record for the highest daily rainfall for November. Old record was 47mm on the 20th of November 1987.

69mm is a good effort! 30mm at home for us.

Not sure what the weather's next move is, good for the rest of today, some rain about the north coast - heavier in the NE tomorrow. Heavy rain in the east and SE on Friday? BOM10 day and GFS like it, but BOM3 day and the more important EC favour good but not spectacular falls.

Decent rain for some it seems - enjoy it 😁

I wish I could work out how to post photos on here but I took a few pics of 2 large funnel clouds, one of which looked to make contact with the ground, looking east from Launceston airport today. The died within 10-15 minutes before a few more funnel clouds formed and died in the same area for the next 30 minutes. Amazing to see in person and great timing considering I was flying back home to Sydney today

Yeah, it was confirmed in the local paper that funnel clouds were observed from Launceston. Apparently located over Blessington, which is just east of the more notable Evandale.

After threatening for two days, the skies opened after 9pm last night, recorded 26mm in about 90min. Very isolated in our area, but came down hard at times (not as hard as it came down in Sydney this morning). There were other good totals scattered through the west and north - mainly over the plateau and the tiers + a few sites in the NE.

After just 20mm in the first 20 days of Nov, its now the 2nd wettest month of the year behind July, 90+mm. Also finally gone past the total rainfall for 2017.

Some decent figures for once 👍

Indeed DM - same out your way I see.

Another 10mm or so of showery drizzle. Had 3mm of rain up unto 10pm. I was surprised to open the blinds this morning and see that drizzle had set in overnight for another 7mm. Took the monthly total past 100mm (80mm in 9 days). Might have got another couple of mm after I left. Cloud was so low the rain wasn't detected by radar. November had as much rain as August, September and October combined in the end.

Hi all

First day of Summer today. For some perhaps. Off to an interesting start here...


Western District Forecast

Weather Situation
A ridge to the east of Tasmania coupled with a deep low to the southwest are directing a warm northerly flow over the state, that will continue to freshen ahead of a cold front early Sunday morning, with a cooler, stronger westerly flow to then follow throughout Sunday. A small, deepening low will then circle the main low, well to the south of Tasmania, bringing a strong westerly flow and statewide showers as it passes near the south coast on Monday, with the flow to shift southwesterly in the evening as the low moves to the east. This southwesterly flow will then moderate on Tuesday, as a high moves over Victoria and extends a ridge over the state, then expected to continue east over the Tasman Sea on Wednesday.

Forecast for the rest of Saturday
Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of rain. Winds northwest to northeasterly 25 to 35 km/h.

Sunday 2 December
Partly cloudy. Very high (95%) chance of rain, tending to showers in the morning with possible hail in the early afternoon. Snow above 1100 metres. The chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon and early evening. Winds north to northwesterly 20 to 30 km/h turning westerly 25 to 40 km/h early morning then tending west to northwesterly 35 to 50 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 15.

Monday 3 December
Cloudy. Very high (near 100%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Snow falling above 900 metres. Possible hail in the late afternoon and evening. The chance of thunderstorms in the morning and early afternoon. Winds west to northwesterly 25 to 35 km/h becoming northwesterly 35 to 50 km/h in the morning then turning west to southwesterly 40 to 60 km/h in the late morning and early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 15.

Tuesday 4 December
Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers in the morning and afternoon. Winds west to southwesterly 25 to 35 km/h decreasing to 15 to 25 km/h during the morning then tending west to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 12 and 16.

Wednesday 5 December
Mostly sunny. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.


Then just for a change, forecast maximum of 30° on Thursday and then a minimum of 20° overnight into Friday morning.

Weather has been a bit crazy - saw it snowed on Ben Lomond the other day - although nothing like the fall they had this time last year.

Rained down south yesterday with Mt Wellington reaching -1.8, dropped to a low of 2.5 here last night.

GFS suggests the CN could get 4 days over 25 from Thurs to Sun. But most of the state will be north of 25 for 2 days, with a least 1 day over 30 for a number of places.

Summer in Tasmania...

Hi all,
Had another week up the lakes working on the block, came home last Tuesday night after a day of heavy rain at Tods Corner.
Had 9.6mm till Tuesday morning and a further 24.4mm till 6pm.
Down home we had 100.8mm for the month with 25mm so far this month.
So looking ok re rain.
There was a light dusting of snow on the very top of the Mt this morning with 12.6mm in the gauge.

Looking dry from here on.
Maybe a storm later in the week.

Forecast has done a 180, only had 1 day over 25 so far this season, now facing a whole week of it from today.... already a warm 20 in Hobart.

30.2 degrees here today and a lovely day to get the grass growing.
Looking like another warm day tomorrow.

Hit 33.5° late afternoon yesterday.
Overnight minimum of 21°
Currently 23° and rising.

Another 30.2 degrees here today. Nearly a low intensity heat wave.
Min of 17 last night before midnight then only a min of 22.9 after.
Max of 25.9 degrees at 6am

Haven't had a 30 degree day yet, but last 4 have reached or exceeded 25, 26.1, 29.7, 27.4, and 25.0. May reach close to 25 today.

Looks like a potentially wet end to the week/weekend. BOM model predicting some heavy falls - but will probably end up being more reasonable totals. Either way, probably not going to end up a dry month unless the models change their 'mind'.

Keep an eye out all, bit of a thundery arvo!


TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Severe Thunderstorm Warning - Hobart and Surrounds
for LARGE HAILSTONES and HEAVY RAINFALL
For people in parts of Hobart and Surrounds area.

Issued at 3:56 pm Sunday, 16 December 2018.

The Bureau of Meteorology warns that, at 4:00 pm, severe thunderstorms were detected on the weather radar. Thunderstorms are moving towards the south to southeast. They are forecast to affect Kettering, New Norfolk and the Wellington Range by 4:30 pm and Huonville, Adventure Bay and Franklin by 5:00 pm.
Large hailstones and heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding are likely.
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Move your car under cover.
* Avoid driving, walking or riding through flood waters.
* Seek shelter, preferably indoors and never under trees.
* Avoid using the telephone during a thunderstorm.
* Beware of fallen trees and powerlines.
* For emergency assistance contact the SES on 132500.

The next warning is due to be issued by 5:00 pm.
A more general severe thunderstorm warning is also current for the Western, Upper Derwent Valley, South East, East Coast, Central Plateau, Midlands and parts of the Central North districts.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Severe Thunderstorm Warning - Hobart and Surrounds
for LARGE HAILSTONES and HEAVY RAINFALL
For people in parts of Hobart and Surrounds area.

Issued at 5:30 pm Sunday, 16 December 2018.

The Bureau of Meteorology warns that, at 5:30 pm, severe thunderstorms were detected on the weather radar near Glenorchy and Kettering. These thunderstorms are moving towards the south to southeast. They are forecast to affect Hobart, Bellerive and Mount Field by 6:00 pm and Kingston, Opossum Bay and Margate by 6:30 pm.
Large hailstones and heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding are likely.

2 cm hail and 9 mm of rainfall in 10 minutes was observed at Brighton.

16 mm of rainfall in 7 minutes was recently observed at Leslie Vale.

The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Move your car under cover.
* Avoid driving, walking or riding through flood waters.
* Seek shelter, preferably indoors and never under trees.
* Avoid using the telephone during a thunderstorm.
* Beware of fallen trees and powerlines.
* For emergency assistance contact the SES on 132500.

The next warning is due to be issued by 6:30 pm.
A more general severe thunderstorm warning is also current for the Western, Upper Derwent Valley, South East, East Coast, Central Plateau, Midlands and parts of the North East, North West Coast and Central North districts.

Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 216.

The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.