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#1484763 - 09/01/2019 00:18 Re: Tropical Cyclone Penny - GOC/Coral Sea - Dec 18/Jan 19 [Re: Mathew]
ol mate Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/03/2010
Posts: 1217
Loc: Ingham, North Qld
Latest track map ... LOL. Back to a Tully crossing. Having said that looks like it will be more of a trough system than a defined low.
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Ingham - Golden Gumboot holder of the Northern Region - cuz we steal Townsville's Rain!

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#1484765 - 09/01/2019 05:32 Re: Tropical Cyclone Penny - GOC/Coral Sea - Dec 18/Jan 19 [Re: Mathew]
Kowree Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 26/03/2012
Posts: 106
Loc: Marian near Mackay, Qld.
105mms here at Marian, west of Mackay for the last two days.
And I reckon Penny is about 15kms north of Airlie.

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#1484767 - 09/01/2019 06:06 Re: Tropical Cyclone Penny - GOC/Coral Sea - Dec 18/Jan 19 [Re: Mathew]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25412
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
Details of Ex-Tropical Cyclone Penny at 4:00 am AEST:

Intensity: tropical low, sustained winds near the centre of 55 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 85 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 35 kilometres of 19.9 degrees South, 149.3 degrees East , 115 kilometres east of Bowen and 275 kilometres east southeast of Townsville .
Movement: west at 6 kilometres per hour .

Ex-tropical cyclone Penny has moved slowly to the west in the past few hours, and is expected to drift onto a slow west northwesterly track through today and Thursday. Based on the current forecast track, Penny is set to move roughly parallel to the Burdekin coast during today. Penny is rated a very low chance of reforming into a tropical cyclone as it approaches the Queensland east coast.

Hazards:

Although Penny remains as a tropical low, it is still expected to produce heavy rain about areas of the central and tropical east coast of Queensland, including the Whitsunday Islands, during today and Thursday. A Severe Weather Warning is current and can be viewed at http://www.bom.gov.au/qld/warnings/. A Flood Watch is current for coastal catchments between Gladstone and Cape Tribulation extending inland over parts of the Central Highlands and Coalfields.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
January 2019 total - 539.8mm (269mm)
February 2019 total - 1111.8mm (297mm)
2019 Yearly total to date - 1651.6mm (1129mm)

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#1484775 - 09/01/2019 07:47 Re: Tropical Cyclone Penny - GOC/Coral Sea - Dec 18/Jan 19 [Re: Mathew]
Tempest Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2001
Posts: 3617
Shes sitting directly over Bowen atm

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#1484777 - 09/01/2019 08:17 Re: Tropical Cyclone Penny - GOC/Coral Sea - Dec 18/Jan 19 [Re: Mathew]
crikey Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/02/2011
Posts: 2854
Loc: Tweed Heads
147mm for St Lawrence currently.
ACCESS takes her remaining circulation up north along the coast today

Thursday some weak circulation at 146 e 17s,centred a little north of the BOM tracking map
with the southern flank at 18-21 s.. cardwell > Bowen
If you look at the BOM tracking map line which tracks the centre of the low. You will note that the southern more severe flank is south of that line.




By Thursday night the weak low is over GOC and peninsula
Friday the low tracks west and looks to be absorbed by troughing near the top end . However the circulation persists to strengthen on 13th -14th jan, near the top end

source
http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/v...it=Refresh+View





Edited by crikey (09/01/2019 08:17)
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#1484788 - 09/01/2019 09:00 Re: Tropical Cyclone Penny - GOC/Coral Sea - Dec 18/Jan 19 [Re: Tempest]
Doomadgee Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 13/01/2011
Posts: 64
Loc: The Camel Humps, Mt Crosby
A week ago she flew right over the Weipa radar. With a penchant for 'look at me' Penny must be a Millenial. cool

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#1484793 - 09/01/2019 09:27 Re: Tropical Cyclone Penny - GOC/Coral Sea - Dec 18/Jan 19 [Re: Learjet]
CuNimJim Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 21/12/2005
Posts: 469
Loc: Whitfield, Cairns
Fantastic images Learjet - pls keep them coming!


Edited by CuNimJim (09/01/2019 09:27)
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2017 - 1,809mm
2018 - 3,151mm
MTD: - 273.0mm (Feb)
YTD: - 1,109.5mm

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#1484810 - 09/01/2019 11:28 Re: Tropical Cyclone Penny - GOC/Coral Sea - Dec 18/Jan 19 [Re: Mathew]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 13328
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
Marine wind warnings for this system have been cancelled.
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Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1484814 - 09/01/2019 11:47 Re: Tropical Cyclone Penny - GOC/Coral Sea - Dec 18/Jan 19 [Re: Raindammit]
BongWater Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 25/01/2015
Posts: 498
Loc: Redlynch Valley
Originally Posted By: Raindammit
Marine wind warnings for this system have been cancelled.

SWW to be cancelled next??
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Cairns Born, Cairns Bred, When I die I will be Cairns Dead

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#1484823 - 09/01/2019 12:32 Re: Tropical Cyclone Penny - GOC/Coral Sea - Dec 18/Jan 19 [Re: Mathew]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 13328
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
The SWW doesn't mention winds, so it should still be issued for rainfall.
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Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1484834 - 09/01/2019 13:53 Re: Tropical Cyclone Penny - GOC/Coral Sea - Dec 18/Jan 19 [Re: Mathew]
Tempest Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2001
Posts: 3617
She's very slow moving, its been sitting over Bowen since this morning. Forecast to be near Tvle by late today though.

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#1484856 - 09/01/2019 16:53 Re: Tropical Cyclone Penny - GOC/Coral Sea - Dec 18/Jan 19 [Re: Mathew]
Ken Kato Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 5825
I made a post on fb yesterday that my best estimate of expected landfall position was "somewhere near Bowen but the exact landfall position could vary by up to 100km or more due to erratic wobbles in its path".... but didn't realise it ended up being directly over Bowen itself lol

Some good rainfall amounts so far with many locations in the Central Coast district recording well in excess of 100mm in the 48hrs up to 9am this morning.

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#1484863 - 09/01/2019 17:41 Re: Tropical Cyclone Penny - GOC/Coral Sea - Dec 18/Jan 19 [Re: Mathew]
Tempest Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2001
Posts: 3617
Spot on Ken, we received approx 150mm

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#1484864 - 09/01/2019 17:54 Re: Tropical Cyclone Penny - GOC/Coral Sea - Dec 18/Jan 19 [Re: Mathew]
crikey Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/02/2011
Posts: 2854
Loc: Tweed Heads
Some nice banding has developed as seen on the sat pic' posted by Ben D of weatherzone
and his report

http://www.weatherzone.com.au/news/ex-tropical-cyclone-penny-soaks-central-queensland/529037

Shows up rain embedded in the arms nicely and the strong NE infeed from the coral sea.
and the shear from the sub tropical jet l believe

I haven't seen this color scheme on the BOM site. With the green denoting rain.What type of sat pic' is this.
Can the public access this
Another thing l like about this sat pic map is thatit shows key towns. Very handy






Edited by crikey (09/01/2019 17:56)
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#1484867 - 09/01/2019 18:11 Re: Tropical Cyclone Penny - GOC/Coral Sea - Dec 18/Jan 19 [Re: Mathew]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 13328
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
Looks similar to the image that is available to Weatherzone Pro members, can be animated as well and it updates every 10 minutes. Here's a current image:


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Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1484868 - 09/01/2019 18:12 Re: Tropical Cyclone Penny - GOC/Coral Sea - Dec 18/Jan 19 [Re: Mathew]
Ken Kato Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 5825
It's from Weatherzone Layers: https://www.weatherzone.com.au/layers/

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#1484870 - 09/01/2019 18:15 Re: Tropical Cyclone Penny - GOC/Coral Sea - Dec 18/Jan 19 [Re: Mathew]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 13328
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
Yup, that's the one!
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Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1484872 - 09/01/2019 18:18 Re: Tropical Cyclone Penny - GOC/Coral Sea - Dec 18/Jan 19 [Re: Mathew]
Salty Online   content
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 15/12/2018
Posts: 38
Loc: Belgian Gardens
Poor old Bowen. 4mm of rain, gusting 11kts NNW. I fear Townsville is in for more of the same.

I hope to be proved incorrect.
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Weather Sceptic

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#1484873 - 09/01/2019 18:18 Re: Tropical Cyclone Penny - GOC/Coral Sea - Dec 18/Jan 19 [Re: Mathew]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 13328
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
Zoomed in shot:

_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1484874 - 09/01/2019 19:00 Re: Tropical Cyclone Penny - GOC/Coral Sea - Dec 18/Jan 19 [Re: Mathew]
iluvrain Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 02/03/2011
Posts: 425
Loc: Forrest Beach/Allingham
Any sage advice

I have followed Penny Up and Down and around for days now ..

Sorry this post is not Technical!

Have to make a decision now.

Its my BirthdayThursday

Months ago I booked an expensive night in Cairns for Thursday y night

So do I leave Forrest Beach tomorrow for Cairns ..or is Met eye 👁 Correct and Ingham may get. 200mls + over next two days ..and if they do could I potentially be cut off .
The answer probably is if I go we will flood with Torrential rain and if I give up my night we will get zippo.
Anyone have a better answer??


Edited by iluvrain (09/01/2019 19:18)
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Luv Stormy Rainy nights .. more like the Adams family than the Brady bunch

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