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#1484606 - 08/01/2019 11:19 NSW Severe Storm Outbreak - Tues 8/1 - Fri 11/1/2019
Kino Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 3505
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Started a thread as it looks likely there'll be plenty of storm action over the next few days.

Approaching short-wave trough pushes into a decent moist e/ne feed & lingers. Gorilla hail a real possibility with storms.


Edited by Seabreeze (13/01/2019 21:06)
Edit Reason: shortened by a day

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#1484610 - 08/01/2019 11:33 Re: NSW Severe Storm Outbreak - Tues 8/1 - Fri 11/1/2019 [Re: Kino]
Kino Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 3505
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus

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#1484615 - 08/01/2019 11:48 Re: NSW Severe Storm Outbreak - Tues 8/1 - Fri 11/1/2019 [Re: Kino]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 7365
Looks like steering winds will be pretty good for this area so they should reach the coast easily enough. They will come from the NW so it's the kind of day where I reckon Kiama will get the most action.
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

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#1484616 - 08/01/2019 11:53 Re: NSW Severe Storm Outbreak - Tues 8/1 - Fri 11/1/2019 [Re: Wave Rider]
Kino Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 3505
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Originally Posted By: Wave Rider
Looks like steering winds will be pretty good for this area so they should reach the coast easily enough. They will come from the NW so it's the kind of day where I reckon Kiama will get the most action.


Sounding looks interesting - plenty of moisture, add some heat and it should explode.

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#1484621 - 08/01/2019 12:19 Re: NSW Severe Storm Outbreak - Tues 8/1 - Fri 11/1/2019 [Re: Kino]
Stormy3 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/06/2013
Posts: 1988
Loc: Ellalong,10kms SW of Cessnock ...
Kiama Dont be greedy you had over 50 mms only 2 days ago.
_________________________
https://www.facebook.com/supercell1
Click here for Ellalong weathercam,The camera is facing west towards the Wollombi,Putty area,the video live stream will be online longer, if any storms or severe weather.

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#1484627 - 08/01/2019 13:17 Re: NSW Severe Storm Outbreak - Tues 8/1 - Fri 11/1/2019 [Re: Kino]
Steve777 Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 5027
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
Media reporting (Sydney Morning Herald) on expected storms over the next few days: https://www.smh.com.au/environment/weath...108-p50q3n.html

There's nothing on the radar yet, but today's action is likely to focus on the Illawarra. That band on the map Kino posted above will likely shift further North over the next couple of days.

Fine, sunny, humid and sea breezy here, with small patches of blowing low cloud and a more substantial cloud band to the South West.


Edited by Steve777 (08/01/2019 13:18)

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#1484635 - 08/01/2019 13:44 Re: NSW Severe Storm Outbreak - Tues 8/1 - Fri 11/1/2019 [Re: Kino]
Kino Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 3505
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Already a decent band of severe storms inland and heading east. Plenty of ACCA's here but no real development as yet.

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#1484640 - 08/01/2019 14:07 Re: NSW Severe Storm Outbreak - Tues 8/1 - Fri 11/1/2019 [Re: Kino]
Stormy3 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/06/2013
Posts: 1988
Loc: Ellalong,10kms SW of Cessnock ...
Storms are developing near Kandos moving SE,Toward Sydney,they will get larger soon,my area here in the Hunter to be in the path of any action,they will have to fire up more out to the north northwest of me.
_________________________
https://www.facebook.com/supercell1
Click here for Ellalong weathercam,The camera is facing west towards the Wollombi,Putty area,the video live stream will be online longer, if any storms or severe weather.

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#1484643 - 08/01/2019 14:23 Re: NSW Severe Storm Outbreak - Tues 8/1 - Fri 11/1/2019 [Re: Kino]
Ben K Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 22/06/2012
Posts: 164
Loc: Central Coast, NSW
Nice and sunny here now, after the gloomfest of the past few days. The seagale is pretty strong though.

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#1484650 - 08/01/2019 15:03 Re: NSW Severe Storm Outbreak - Tues 8/1 - Fri 11/1/2019 [Re: Stormy3]
Kino Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 3505
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Originally Posted By: Stormy3
Storms are developing near Kandos moving SE,Toward Sydney,they will get larger soon,my area here in the Hunter to be in the path of any action,they will have to fire up more out to the north northwest of me.


Hey Stormy - yeah that cluster of storms warrants definite attention - isolated ahead of the trough, moving into clear air. Plenty of fuel = potential. Meanwhile in SW NSW a pretty strong squall line is moving through at rapid pace = damaging wind gusts likely.

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#1484653 - 08/01/2019 15:10 Re: NSW Severe Storm Outbreak - Tues 8/1 - Fri 11/1/2019 [Re: Kino]
Steve777 Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 5027
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
Issued at 2:37PM: "Severe Thunderstorm Warning
for LARGE HAILSTONES, HEAVY RAINFALL and DAMAGING WINDS".

Warning area includes the South Coast, inland parts of the Illawarra, the Southern half of the Central Tablelands, stretching NW'wards to the far NW of the State.

Still clear blue skies here, 28-29 on the car thermometer.

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#1484654 - 08/01/2019 15:16 Re: NSW Severe Storm Outbreak - Tues 8/1 - Fri 11/1/2019 [Re: Kino]
Stormy3 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/06/2013
Posts: 1988
Loc: Ellalong,10kms SW of Cessnock ...
A large cell near Putty now,it looks to be heading east this one, towards my area,I am just 2kms east of Paxton, weatherzone radar.


Edited by Stormy3 (08/01/2019 15:17)
_________________________
https://www.facebook.com/supercell1
Click here for Ellalong weathercam,The camera is facing west towards the Wollombi,Putty area,the video live stream will be online longer, if any storms or severe weather.

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#1484656 - 08/01/2019 15:30 Re: NSW Severe Storm Outbreak - Tues 8/1 - Fri 11/1/2019 [Re: Kino]
jackwilliam Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 23/03/2012
Posts: 36
Loc: Kellyville
At Razorback near Picton right now.

There's a bit of cumulus development between the Northwest and Southwest of my location. Nothing too big yet.

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#1484660 - 08/01/2019 15:52 Re: NSW Severe Storm Outbreak - Tues 8/1 - Fri 11/1/2019 [Re: Kino]
Long Road Home Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 08/10/2007
Posts: 8802
Loc: Northern Beaches Syd
It's really exploding behind Canberra now, dark red core on the Syd radar (280km away) must be some serious rain/hail under it.

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#1484662 - 08/01/2019 15:55 Re: NSW Severe Storm Outbreak - Tues 8/1 - Fri 11/1/2019 [Re: Kino]
Adaminaby Angler Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 26/03/2018
Posts: 375
Loc: Anglers Reach NSW; 1,290 m AMS...
Looks promising! laugh
_________________________
“Below 40 degrees South, there is no law; below 50 degrees South, there is no rescue; below 60 degrees South, there is no hope; below 70 degrees South, there is no God.”

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#1484674 - 08/01/2019 16:36 Re: NSW Severe Storm Outbreak - Tues 8/1 - Fri 11/1/2019 [Re: Kino]
Farmer Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 11/06/2004
Posts: 562
We just had an 88 km gust come through as the first storm front arrived
_________________________
-----------Near Sutton, NSW

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#1484683 - 08/01/2019 17:03 Re: NSW Severe Storm Outbreak - Tues 8/1 - Fri 11/1/2019 [Re: Kino]
Crimson_Tide_ Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 06/06/2007
Posts: 513
Loc: Northern Sydney storm shield (...
Picking up some static on the lightening detector (ie ABC Radio), some activity coming in from the NW.


Edited by Crimson_Tide_ (08/01/2019 17:03)

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#1484684 - 08/01/2019 17:06 Re: NSW Severe Storm Outbreak - Tues 8/1 - Fri 11/1/2019 [Re: Kino]
Steve777 Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 5027
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
The Sydney forecast is now showing an early Southerly tomorrow, which doesn't seem good for storm chances. It might be a 'warm Southerly' like we sometimes get, in which case Sydney will be a bit warmer than the forecast 25 and the scud cloud might hold off, allowing a bit of heating. It should still be good for the Hunter in any case.

Thursday on the charts looks like a rerun of yesterday, although that's not what was forecast.

A severe warning has just been issued (damaging winds) for the line just hitting Canberra.

P.S. a couple of sites around Sydney received 0.2 mm today, including OH, out of fairly clear skies, when drizzle lasting most of the day on Tuesday didn't register. Strange.

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#1484685 - 08/01/2019 17:29 Re: NSW Severe Storm Outbreak - Tues 8/1 - Fri 11/1/2019 [Re: Kino]
Quagmelson Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 15/11/2001
Posts: 1009
Loc: Glenorie NSW
NE breeze blowing strongly now here. Very choppy sea, lots of white caps in the little bay here at south durras. Cumulus formations going up strongly ahead of a darkening skyline west over the ranges. Has blue bottles washing up yesterday. Cooking the bbq is a challenge

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#1484686 - 08/01/2019 17:48 Re: NSW Severe Storm Outbreak - Tues 8/1 - Fri 11/1/2019 [Re: Kino]
Funkyseefunkydo Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/04/2007
Posts: 906
Loc: East Lake Macquarie
What’s going on with radar over Merriwa? Both Sydney and Newcastle have it. But no cloud and no rain in the gauge???.

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