NOTICE!

The Weatherzone forum has now closed and is in read-only mode until the 1st of November when it will close permanently. We would like to thank everyone who has contributed over the past 18 years.

If you would like to continue the discussion you can follow us on Facebook and Twitter or participate in discussions at AusWeather or Ski.com.au forums.

Page 71 of 138 < 1 2 ... 69 70 71 72 73 ... 137 138 >
Topic Options
#1493527 - 08/03/2019 14:37 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 [Re: Seabreeze]
Tuntable Crook Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 23/02/2013
Posts: 22
Yes, NSHP, I too think the The Channon gauge must have been malfunctioning. Earlier this year, 1.2mm was officially recorded for (I believe) 31 Jan, when I'm sure there was nary a cloud in the sky for all of that day and night - and no drop fell nearby. That one also made the official record read wrongly - in my opinion, at least - since January 2019 should have had an equal-record low of 0.0mm, and not 1.2mm. Anyway, the rain is welcome, recorded accurately or not!

Top
#1493530 - 08/03/2019 15:16 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 [Re: Seabreeze]
Mega Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/02/2003
Posts: 7899
Loc: Maryborough, Wide Bay, QLD
Hot garbage being dished up by GFS this afternoon for next week. Hot hot hot, dry dry dry. Too much westerly component for my liking. Just bring on winter already and be done with it.

Top
#1493534 - 08/03/2019 15:55 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 [Re: Seabreeze]
Mad Elf #1.5 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 3859
Loc: Mt Hallen QLD
On the other hand Mega, AccessG has some lovely colour in central C.S. end of next week just to tease people.

Top
#1493536 - 08/03/2019 15:56 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 [Re: Mega]
planet x Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 20/02/2015
Posts: 70
Loc: Brisbane
Originally Posted By: Mega
Hot garbage being dished up by GFS this afternoon for next week. Hot hot hot, dry dry dry. Too much westerly component for my liking. Just bring on winter already and be done with it.


I really really understand your sentiments!! Big time!!

I feel like I just can't breathe this air anymore. So unbearably, unrelentlessly HOT - and so humid.

Is this a record or something?

I can never remember it so oppressive for so long.

I would like to just jump on a plane and go somewhere cool for few days - but where???

Top
#1493537 - 08/03/2019 16:04 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 [Re: Seabreeze]
Sandbank Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/03/2017
Posts: 71
Hobart looks pretty pleasant Planet X

http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts/hobart.shtml

Top
#1493538 - 08/03/2019 16:09 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 [Re: Sandbank]
planet x Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 20/02/2015
Posts: 70
Loc: Brisbane
Originally Posted By: Sandbank
Hobart looks pretty pleasant Planet X

http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts/hobart.shtml


Thanks Sandbank. Hobart is a lovely city.

Top
#1493539 - 08/03/2019 16:12 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 [Re: Seabreeze]
Ken Kato Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 6090
Yeah I love Hobart. Even when it does get hot there (e.g. temps over 35C), it's normally a very dry heat and doesn't often last for long before the next cold front.

Can also take a quick drive from the Hobart suburbs up to the top of the > 1200m summit of Mt Wellington and go from mild sunny conditions to horizontally driven snow and wild winds in the space of a 20min drive, even in summer. Plus they get blasted with good fronts.

Top
#1493540 - 08/03/2019 16:17 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 [Re: Sandbank]
planet x Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 20/02/2015
Posts: 70
Loc: Brisbane
Originally Posted By: Sandbank
Hobart looks pretty pleasant Planet X

http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts/hobart.shtml


Friday 15th March on Windy.com looks good for Brisbane.

Ho hum :-( IF it actually happens.

What is that red patch over Brisbane on that map?

Heavy rain?? I hope so.

https://www.windy.com/-Rain-thunder-rain?rain,2019-03-15-06,-27.481,153.044,5

Top
#1493541 - 08/03/2019 16:20 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 [Re: Ken Kato]
planet x Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 20/02/2015
Posts: 70
Loc: Brisbane
Originally Posted By: Ken Kato
Yeah I love Hobart. Even when it does get hot there (e.g. temps over 35C), it's normally a very dry heat and doesn't often last for long before the next cold front.

Can also take a quick drive from the Hobart suburbs up to the top of the > 1200m summit of Mt Wellington and go from mild sunny conditions to horizontally driven snow and wild winds in the space of a 20min drive, even in summer. Plus they get blasted with good fronts.


The only time I have EVER had heat stroke was in Hobart. :-)
It was a horribly hot day and I was in my thermals AND not drinking enough.

Top
#1493543 - 08/03/2019 16:27 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 [Re: planet x]
Ken Kato Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 6090
Originally Posted By: planet x
Originally Posted By: Sandbank
Hobart looks pretty pleasant Planet X

http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts/hobart.shtml


Friday 15th March on Windy.com looks good for Brisbane.

Ho hum :-( IF it actually happens.

What is that red patch over Brisbane on that map?

Heavy rain?? I hope so.

https://www.windy.com/-Rain-thunder-rain?rain,2019-03-15-06,-27.481,153.044,5


Yeah, the ECMWF model (the model that Windy initially defaults to when you load it up) is trying to cause heavy rain on the eastern side of an inland low and trough that extends up into the upper levels but currently not supported by other models as per the below post from this morning:


Originally Posted By: Ken Kato



Latest EC (dark blue) is trying to put large rainfall amounts on parts of SE QLD towards the end of next week due to an inland low/trough that extends into the upper levels with a moist onshore flow but it isn't currently supported by any other models apart from CMC (which does that all the time anyway).

Top
#1493546 - 08/03/2019 16:37 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 [Re: Ken Kato]
planet x Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 20/02/2015
Posts: 70
Loc: Brisbane
Originally Posted By: Ken Kato
Originally Posted By: planet x
Originally Posted By: Sandbank
Hobart looks pretty pleasant Planet X

http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts/hobart.shtml


Friday 15th March on Windy.com looks good for Brisbane.

Ho hum :-( IF it actually happens.

What is that red patch over Brisbane on that map?

Heavy rain?? I hope so.

https://www.windy.com/-Rain-thunder-rain?rain,2019-03-15-06,-27.481,153.044,5


Yeah, the ECMWF model (the model that Windy initially defaults to when you load it up) is trying to cause heavy rain on the eastern side of an inland low and trough that extends up into the upper levels but currently not supported by other models as per the below post from this morning:


Originally Posted By: Ken Kato



Latest EC (dark blue) is trying to put large rainfall amounts on parts of SE QLD towards the end of next week due to an inland low/trough that extends into the upper levels with a moist onshore flow but it isn't currently supported by any other models apart from CMC (which does that all the time anyway).


Oh dear!!
Is there any hope in sight Ken??

Top
#1493548 - 08/03/2019 17:05 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 [Re: Seabreeze]
signalman Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/03/2010
Posts: 116
Loc: Warwick (Qld)
Well well - out of the blue, 16mm here in north-east Warwick over the past half hour or so. Wonderful. A small patch of radar colour from the South East finally reaches the eastern Downs in our patch. I can't remember the last time it actually rained here.

Top
#1493549 - 08/03/2019 17:19 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 [Re: Seabreeze]
Warwick Eye2Sky Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 31/08/2010
Posts: 1254
Loc: Warwick, QLD
Oh wow, signalman. Great little dump you had. Only the smell of rain here on the west end of town, nothing more. Good onya mate.
_________________________
Michael - your eyes to the west.

Top
#1493551 - 08/03/2019 17:20 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 [Re: Seabreeze]
Sandbank Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/03/2017
Posts: 71
Strangest thing....distinctly Warwick and that's about it.

Top
#1493552 - 08/03/2019 17:24 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 [Re: Seabreeze]
signalman Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/03/2010
Posts: 116
Loc: Warwick (Qld)
Sorrows Warwick Eye and yes Sandbank - strange indeed and extremely rare. I am still in shock (and awe).

Top
#1493556 - 08/03/2019 18:10 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 [Re: Ken Kato]
gleno71 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 09/11/2007
Posts: 1868
Loc: Australia
Originally Posted By: Ken Kato
Yeah I love Hobart. Even when it does get hot there (e.g. temps over 35C), it's normally a very dry heat and doesn't often last for long before the next cold front.

Can also take a quick drive from the Hobart suburbs up to the top of the > 1200m summit of Mt Wellington and go from mild sunny conditions to horizontally driven snow and wild winds in the space of a 20min drive, even in summer. Plus they get blasted with good fronts.



And probably you could rely on a Barometer for accurate forecasting down that way.

Top
#1493560 - 08/03/2019 18:42 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 [Re: planet x]
TWEEDSTORM Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 08/01/2012
Posts: 1044
Loc: Tweed Heads NSW
Originally Posted By: planet x
Originally Posted By: Mega
Hot garbage being dished up by GFS this afternoon for next week. Hot hot hot, dry dry dry. Too much westerly component for my liking. Just bring on winter already and be done with it.


I really really understand your sentiments!! Big time!!

I feel like I just can't breathe this air anymore. So unbearably, unrelentlessly HOT - and so humid.

Is this a record or something?

I can never remember it so oppressive for so long.

I would like to just jump on a plane and go somewhere cool for few days - but where???

Go for a drive down to the mid North coast of NSW or catch a plane to Fiji if you can afford it.There you will see some normal weather 😎

Top
#1493562 - 08/03/2019 18:53 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 [Re: Seabreeze]
TWEEDSTORM Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 08/01/2012
Posts: 1044
Loc: Tweed Heads NSW
Fiji is great this time of the year they get some heavy thunderstorms and downpours of an afternoon.

Top
#1493568 - 08/03/2019 19:44 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 [Re: Seabreeze]
crikey Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/02/2011
Posts: 3184
Loc: Tweed Heads
Hi all. Sorry this is a long post but wanted to share the current surface synoptic pattern dynamics with you.
-------------------
The surface synoptic is quite dynamic currently as is the upper 200hpa.
. The overall pattern is on the move and changing quite quickly.

Some features to note . There is a see saw pattern of tropical dip in isobars and then westerly belt long wave troughing well into the sub tropics this week.
and of note is
that the tropical dip in isobars is not confined to the west of the divide but transits to the east and pops out along the coast.
This occurs because the trough is NW/SE aligned instead of N/S aligned.
The synoptic was so dynamic that l had to take some notes to decipher and look for a current pattern.

When l watched the ch 9 weather news they had an animated synoptic of the greater Australian region and you could see the synoptic pulsating and 'excited' .

Sorry this is long winded but couldn't find a static synoptic capture that explains the situation.
The models have to deal with all this fast synoptic change.!!
---------
Here tis.' for this week for the east quadrant of OZ' from ACC g
-------------------------
East quadrant Australia ..synoptic pattern this week

friday night 8th March> high pressure ridging up to 20s..High 1026hpa centred west of NZ.

Tropical dip in isobars inland qld and NSW 20 to 33s!!

saturday morning ridging contracts to the SE and is replaced with a deep tropical dip in isobars to 39s!off the coast of sth NSW by 2pm
The tropical dip axis running NW/SE 8pm by 11pm tropical dip axis weak N/S aligned with weak ridge up the east coast and a cut of low has formed off east gippy' from a tropical dip in isobars.

I have never seen a cut off from a tropical dip in isobars myself but maybe l have never looked.

Low pressure over all Australia everywhere less than < 1016hpa saturday midnight.

Sunday morning. 11am High pressure in Tasman weakens further at 1021hpa and ridging up the east coast . Gone.

Sunday morning an incursion of the westerly belt emerges up into east NSW and QLD. Closed isobar up to 26s!!

By sunday afternoon this contracts south and leaves a weak but very brief triple low complex embedded in the troughing.

Monday morning .weak trough with another incursion of the westerly belt isobars this time right up to 22s on the qld /NT border
This low pressure westerly belt protrusion as weak as it is, lasts all monday and into tuesday morning up the east quadrant of OZ'
This troughing deepens tuesday afternoon and affects our area
wednesday.
High pressure moving into NSW from the west.
but Brisbane and surrounds still in the trough with some precip'

wednesday arvo a tropical dip in isobars emerges again ,down the qld ranges with some precip on the east flank.

wednesday evening . tropical dip extends right down to Albury Victoria and is west of the divide.

Thursday.. tropical dip in isobars generally covers all of the mainland as we pass through a temporary weakening of the mid altitude high pressure belt.
--------------------------------
Do you se what l am saying.
At latitude 28s and surrounds ( our thread area)
. WE are one day having a tropical dip in isobars and then the next day we are having a mid latitude protrusion of isobars. and then over again.

So we will have to keep abreast of the quick changes

http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/v...it=Refresh+View


Edited by crikey (08/03/2019 19:46)
_________________________
http://weathercycles.wordpress.com/

Top
#1493572 - 08/03/2019 20:38 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - January to July 2019 [Re: Seabreeze]
DDstorm Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 13/05/2010
Posts: 388
Loc: Tallai, QLD
Crikey. that is an awesome explanation of the up coming synoptic's. Will be following with baited breath. Thx heaps
DD
_________________________
Just here for the weather

Top
Page 71 of 138 < 1 2 ... 69 70 71 72 73 ... 137 138 >


Who's Online
0 registered (), 36 Guests and 3 Spiders online.
Key: Admin, Global Mod, Mod
Today's Birthdays
aussie_thunder, Davem29, Joidy, kymm, Pinhead, Steveo1, tramar
Forum Stats
29947 Members
32 Forums
24194 Topics
1529247 Posts

Max Online: 2985 @ 26/01/2019 12:05
Satellite Image