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#1483774 - 02/01/2019 20:37 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
Brett Guy Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/10/2010
Posts: 5159
Loc: Bently Park, Cairns
They always go poleward unless there is something to steer them elsewhere. I get the feeling you mean they don't normally travel toward the equator.

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#1483781 - 02/01/2019 22:07 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2019 [Re: Weary]
drivenunder Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/02/2010
Posts: 2139
Loc: Smithfield, Cairns
Originally Posted By: Weary
Originally Posted By: drivenunder
Its pretty unusual for cyclones to travel poleward right? So can we assume that that counts out the far north if and when a recurve occurs? Surely it will continue in a south direction (even if it was WSW?)

Thatís the thing, they usually donít go poleward BUT sometimes they do....



Sorry... meant towards the equator... Dud moment for me.
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#1483788 - 03/01/2019 05:09 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
hickory Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/01/2006
Posts: 1656
Loc: Holloways Beach QLD
It's a bit of a stretch even calling it a cyclone at the moment, with a central pressure of 996 hPa.

Looks a bit of a mess on the sat images.

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#1483793 - 03/01/2019 07:31 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
Simmo FNQ Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 08/08/2012
Posts: 2187
Loc: Mareeba
992hPa as of 5:08am hickory.

Hopefully she washes out a lot more before she hits the coast. Might stand a chance getting some rain then.

Looks like beautiful weather for the next few days though. Will be able to see the grass grow.
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#1483796 - 03/01/2019 07:54 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
slipperyfish Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 28/11/2011
Posts: 1470
Loc: South Mission Beach QLD
Yes looks messy. Also has moved in a more easterly direction rather than SE. Perhaps this is why the coastal crossing is gradually moving north. Nobody seems to know when this thing is likely to turn and it seems to be moving a lot slower than they anticipated. Today will tell us a lot.

Stunning morning walk along the beach this morning. Can not complain about the weather right now.

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#1483797 - 03/01/2019 08:10 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2019 [Re: drivenunder]
Weary Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/03/2014
Posts: 1185
Loc: Edge Hill, Cairns
Originally Posted By: drivenunder
Originally Posted By: Weary
Originally Posted By: drivenunder
Its pretty unusual for cyclones to travel poleward right? So can we assume that that counts out the far north if and when a recurve occurs? Surely it will continue in a south direction (even if it was WSW?)

Thatís the thing, they usually donít go poleward BUT sometimes they do....



Sorry... meant towards the equator... Dud moment for me.

What he said eek
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#1483840 - 03/01/2019 13:23 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
Simmo FNQ Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 08/08/2012
Posts: 2187
Loc: Mareeba
Wow Penny is scooting a long faster than predicted. At 10am today she was already where they were forecasting, yesterday, for her to be at 4pm today. Wonder how this will affect things
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#1483852 - 03/01/2019 15:02 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2019 [Re: slipperyfish]
hickory Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/01/2006
Posts: 1656
Loc: Holloways Beach QLD
Originally Posted By: slipperyfish
Nobody seems to know when this thing is likely to turn and it seems to be moving a lot slower than they anticipated. Today will tell us a lot.

Maybe it's not going to turn,SF.
Nothing is 100% certain with TC's, or any weather for that matter. The weather doesn't play by any rule book, but in another day we'll all know.

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#1483881 - 03/01/2019 17:10 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
Simmo FNQ Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 08/08/2012
Posts: 2187
Loc: Mareeba
Got pretty hot today maxing at 35.3c
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#1483892 - 03/01/2019 17:41 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
cold@28 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/02/2011
Posts: 3036
Loc: Chillagoe
Made it to 36 point something here, then forgot to look again. Didn't think it got much hotter, but my mandarin and lemon trees are looking a bit sad. Might have to water them by hand tonight with the trigger action thingy on my hose, and hope there's no march flies around.

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#1483947 - 04/01/2019 04:06 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2019 [Re: cold@28]
hickory Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/01/2006
Posts: 1656
Loc: Holloways Beach QLD
Originally Posted By: cold@28
..... and hope there's no march flies around.

Don't wear anything blue. crazy

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#1483952 - 04/01/2019 08:16 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
Simmo FNQ Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 08/08/2012
Posts: 2187
Loc: Mareeba
18c this morning, loving this weather.

Looks like things could start being a little stormy. It has been a while since we have had a storm now.

Models are all over the place with TC Penny this morning but the general consensus is a move north. I think it will be another 24-48 hours before we start to see some good agreement again.

GFS has Penny out in the CS the longest then crossing her as maybe a cat 1 around 12/13th between Innisfail and Ingham.
EC has her at a cat 1 crossing on the 10/11th between Port and Cairns.
CMC as a cat 1 just north of Cooktown on the 11th.
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#1483955 - 04/01/2019 08:35 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
WANDJINA G'vale Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 22/03/2006
Posts: 2525
Loc: Gordonvale - Qld
Cool this morning for sure
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#1483961 - 04/01/2019 09:44 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
cold@28 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/02/2011
Posts: 3036
Loc: Chillagoe
Well it's a bright sunny day here,
Clear blue skies.

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#1484030 - 04/01/2019 16:56 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
WANDJINA G'vale Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 22/03/2006
Posts: 2525
Loc: Gordonvale - Qld
Storm birds calling without stopping this afternoon at Gvale

Was in Airlie Beach for 4 days, storm birds calling the entire time
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Wandjina - Cloud and rain spirits from Australian Aboriginal dreaming

Daisey Bates - The passing of the aborigines

YouTube - Coppertropicals - earthquake prediction

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#1484088 - 04/01/2019 20:38 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
cold@28 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/02/2011
Posts: 3036
Loc: Chillagoe
It just tried to rain! But failed... frown

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#1484140 - 05/01/2019 02:43 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2019 [Re: Simmo FNQ]
hickory Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/01/2006
Posts: 1656
Loc: Holloways Beach QLD
Originally Posted By: Simmo FNQ
GFS has Penny out in the CS the longest then crossing her as maybe a cat 1 around 12/13th between Innisfail and Ingham.
EC has her at a cat 1 crossing on the 10/11th between Port and Cairns.
CMC as a cat 1 just north of Cooktown on the 11th.

It's looking more and more likely that TC Penny is going to be a Cat Nothing fairly soon.

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#1484152 - 05/01/2019 07:22 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2019 [Re: hickory]
WANDJINA G'vale Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 22/03/2006
Posts: 2525
Loc: Gordonvale - Qld
Originally Posted By: hickory
Originally Posted By: Simmo FNQ
GFS has Penny out in the CS the longest then crossing her as maybe a cat 1 around 12/13th between Innisfail and Ingham.
EC has her at a cat 1 crossing on the 10/11th between Port and Cairns.
CMC as a cat 1 just north of Cooktown on the 11th.

It's looking more and more likely that TC Penny is going to be a Cat Nothing fairly soon.


Just a wet Cat
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Wandjina - Cloud and rain spirits from Australian Aboriginal dreaming

Daisey Bates - The passing of the aborigines

YouTube - Coppertropicals - earthquake prediction

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#1484154 - 05/01/2019 07:57 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
Simmo FNQ Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 08/08/2012
Posts: 2187
Loc: Mareeba
Good agreement with EC and GFS this morning. Both have her crossing as a TL on Wednesday night - Thursday morning. If this does happen I wonder if we will get a repeat of Owen when he crossed. Two zombie cyclones in one year. crazy
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#1484156 - 05/01/2019 08:10 Re: Far North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell Northwards - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
Weary Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/03/2014
Posts: 1185
Loc: Edge Hill, Cairns
I was thinking the same thing Simmo, but hopefully this time it will keep heading west and go and annoy Popeye and co
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