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#1486304 - 22/01/2019 10:29 Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2807
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
New tread, as Northern Country into 40c Today and heatwave last until Saturday 26th weak cool change with less rain likely.

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#1486341 - 22/01/2019 18:49 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7820
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Another day hotter than forecast here, got to 35C vs 32C forecast.

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#1486343 - 22/01/2019 19:14 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 6429
Loc: Woodend VIC 579m ASL - where w...
34.7 yesterday and 37.1 today, 7th day above 32 this month and 5th day above 37
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Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and even some snow

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#1486345 - 22/01/2019 19:22 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1479
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
31c up at twofold bay today. Lucky to be
Up here next to a beach and pool over being
Back down working in 37c heat in the valley!!

Friday still starring down the barrel of 43c
And nor wester blowing 25-40km

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#1486355 - 22/01/2019 20:15 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2807
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Reach 40.2c at 5pm and clam no winds.

Bendigo slowly ghost town from 12pm to 6pm.

Jan 1st to 22nd average 33c to 44c

Days over 40c

4th 44.3c
12th 40.3c
15th 42c
16th 42.9c

This Friday looking is dangerous wind in morning to change about 12pm reach central Victoria.

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#1486358 - 22/01/2019 20:27 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1336
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
Know this event is only just starting but looks like it'll only be a short break before the never ending heat returns

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Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

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#1486361 - 22/01/2019 21:03 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7820
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Hopefully cyclone remnants arrive late next week to put out the "issues Vic is about to face".

Without rain, there will be many tired folk in Vic (not putting down more-tired farmers out there around Aus) - I'm alluding to fires down this end of Aus.

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#1486497 - 23/01/2019 20:51 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 6429
Loc: Woodend VIC 579m ASL - where w...
25.9 for a high today
_________________________
Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and even some snow

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#1486534 - 24/01/2019 09:08 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
balmz Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/11/2012
Posts: 793
Loc: Ferntree Gully, Melbourne, VIC
Melbourne's minimum temperature forecast for tonight into Friday of 29 degrees will surely give some records a shake.

It's going to be absolutely oppressive trying to sleep in that if you don't have A/C.

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#1486542 - 24/01/2019 10:01 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 2146
Loc: Sale, Central Gippsland, S/E V...
Easterly keeping temp down in Sale today, max29C forecast.

Currently 21.5C with E of 17kph grin

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#1486545 - 24/01/2019 10:25 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7820
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Heard Lily Amb. on radio this morning telling us that despite the temporary emergency diesel generators being removed from Morwell, that the Vic Gov's investment in more renewable generation installed "and contracted to be installed" over the past year, will, according to AEMO, ensure the power stays on.

Here's what AEMO forecast for Victoria's available generation versus expected load demand for today and tomorrow:



Note the heavy reliance on the interconnectors to deliver power from the other states, we are now totally dependant on 1,000MW of "someone elses" generation to see Vic through on high demand days. We'd better hope that no bushfire passes below one of these lines, .....or perhaps Lily believes today and tomorrow might be sunnier and windier than what AEMO's models portray?

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#1486577 - 24/01/2019 13:47 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1336
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
40.1C here in Portland and still going up
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Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

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#1486601 - 24/01/2019 14:49 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1336
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
41C here now, 3 above forecast, many places in central and western areas have already exceeded forecast temperatures including Melbourne currently on 37.7, Fire Danger Index also above forecast with much of SW currently well above Severe.
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Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

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#1486622 - 24/01/2019 16:21 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Tom Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 26/06/2004
Posts: 75
Loc: Elwood, Victoria
Melbourne now over 40C. Forecast for tomorrow now 43C. A lot depends on timing of cooler change I guess.

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#1486625 - 24/01/2019 16:26 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2807
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
41c at 4PM clam

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#1486626 - 24/01/2019 16:27 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: Tom]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1336
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
Originally Posted By: Tom
Melbourne now over 40C. Forecast for tomorrow now 43C. A lot depends on timing of cooler change I guess.


Forecast is now up to 44 for Melbourne tomorrow, cool change looks slightly slower.
_________________________
Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

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#1486669 - 24/01/2019 18:36 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Weather_Viewer Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/09/2012
Posts: 297
Loc: Tarneit, VIC
South Western suburbs of Melbourne failing to hit the 40 C mark today, definitely unusual for this side of the bay to lag behind on horrible days like this. Was this purely down to the South Easterly winds sweeping off the bay today?

The most trusted site out my way, is the nearby Truganina weather station (Run by a former BOM Meteorologist) it hit a top of 37.8 C but the humidity was up compared to suburbs nudging 40 C.
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Wunderground

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#1486678 - 24/01/2019 19:10 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1336
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
If Melbourne hits 44 tomorrow is that its highest since Black Saturday??

Also reached 42.5C here in Portland (Portland Airport station), which breaks our January record of 42.1 from 2013. Still below our all time high of 43.1 in Feb 1983


Edited by logansi (24/01/2019 19:12)
_________________________
Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

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#1486679 - 24/01/2019 19:10 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7820
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Unremarkable day out this way, a sunny 32C with seabreeze arriving around lunchtime.

...but the electrical system SA/Vic/NSW has been in chaos for several hours. Market intervention pricing now invoked for all three states, meaning that all available generators, despite being mandated ("directed") to generate at full load, will only be paid the average of the (normal) prices in place this time over the past 2 weeks. Means peaking plants (expensive fuel costs), and hydro schemes ("wasting" water reserves allocated for high price events) - all getting a canning financially, despite saving us from the lack of wind and currently declining solar generation presently underway.

If you were say, a hydro electric dam operator, with say, 100 hours of water available to generate to support the electrical system in these typical summer peak periods, only to find you've HAD to let your water go for low electrical price returns (circa $100/MWHr instead of the "advertised" $14,500/MWHr technically now on offer). After this haircut, wouldnt you be motivated to tell AEMO that there is a breakdown happened tonight, and the generator is not available for operation tomorrow (when we will really really need that power) - so save themselves from taking another financial haircut. The system is broken, flooded by unreliable renewable energy "generators", paid by our taxes, only to create blackouts!

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#1486687 - 24/01/2019 19:45 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 6429
Loc: Woodend VIC 579m ASL - where w...
38.6 at 415 today, low of 13. Incredible fog around Gisborne just before 7am.

Current temp is 34.3 DP 12.1. Yuck
_________________________
Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and even some snow

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