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#1486304 - 22/01/2019 10:29 Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2807
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
New tread, as Northern Country into 40c Today and heatwave last until Saturday 26th weak cool change with less rain likely.

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#1486341 - 22/01/2019 18:49 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7820
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Another day hotter than forecast here, got to 35C vs 32C forecast.

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#1486343 - 22/01/2019 19:14 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 6429
Loc: Woodend VIC 579m ASL - where w...
34.7 yesterday and 37.1 today, 7th day above 32 this month and 5th day above 37
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#1486345 - 22/01/2019 19:22 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1479
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
31c up at twofold bay today. Lucky to be
Up here next to a beach and pool over being
Back down working in 37c heat in the valley!!

Friday still starring down the barrel of 43c
And nor wester blowing 25-40km

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#1486355 - 22/01/2019 20:15 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2807
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Reach 40.2c at 5pm and clam no winds.

Bendigo slowly ghost town from 12pm to 6pm.

Jan 1st to 22nd average 33c to 44c

Days over 40c

4th 44.3c
12th 40.3c
15th 42c
16th 42.9c

This Friday looking is dangerous wind in morning to change about 12pm reach central Victoria.

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#1486358 - 22/01/2019 20:27 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1336
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
Know this event is only just starting but looks like it'll only be a short break before the never ending heat returns

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Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

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#1486361 - 22/01/2019 21:03 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7820
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Hopefully cyclone remnants arrive late next week to put out the "issues Vic is about to face".

Without rain, there will be many tired folk in Vic (not putting down more-tired farmers out there around Aus) - I'm alluding to fires down this end of Aus.

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#1486497 - 23/01/2019 20:51 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 6429
Loc: Woodend VIC 579m ASL - where w...
25.9 for a high today
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Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and even some snow

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#1486534 - 24/01/2019 09:08 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
balmz Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/11/2012
Posts: 793
Loc: Ferntree Gully, Melbourne, VIC
Melbourne's minimum temperature forecast for tonight into Friday of 29 degrees will surely give some records a shake.

It's going to be absolutely oppressive trying to sleep in that if you don't have A/C.

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#1486542 - 24/01/2019 10:01 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 2146
Loc: Sale, Central Gippsland, S/E V...
Easterly keeping temp down in Sale today, max29C forecast.

Currently 21.5C with E of 17kph grin

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#1486545 - 24/01/2019 10:25 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7820
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Heard Lily Amb. on radio this morning telling us that despite the temporary emergency diesel generators being removed from Morwell, that the Vic Gov's investment in more renewable generation installed "and contracted to be installed" over the past year, will, according to AEMO, ensure the power stays on.

Here's what AEMO forecast for Victoria's available generation versus expected load demand for today and tomorrow:



Note the heavy reliance on the interconnectors to deliver power from the other states, we are now totally dependant on 1,000MW of "someone elses" generation to see Vic through on high demand days. We'd better hope that no bushfire passes below one of these lines, .....or perhaps Lily believes today and tomorrow might be sunnier and windier than what AEMO's models portray?

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#1486577 - 24/01/2019 13:47 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1336
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
40.1C here in Portland and still going up
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#1486601 - 24/01/2019 14:49 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1336
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
41C here now, 3 above forecast, many places in central and western areas have already exceeded forecast temperatures including Melbourne currently on 37.7, Fire Danger Index also above forecast with much of SW currently well above Severe.
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#1486622 - 24/01/2019 16:21 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Tom Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 26/06/2004
Posts: 75
Loc: Elwood, Victoria
Melbourne now over 40C. Forecast for tomorrow now 43C. A lot depends on timing of cooler change I guess.

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#1486625 - 24/01/2019 16:26 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2807
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
41c at 4PM clam

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#1486626 - 24/01/2019 16:27 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: Tom]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1336
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
Originally Posted By: Tom
Melbourne now over 40C. Forecast for tomorrow now 43C. A lot depends on timing of cooler change I guess.


Forecast is now up to 44 for Melbourne tomorrow, cool change looks slightly slower.
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Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

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#1486669 - 24/01/2019 18:36 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Weather_Viewer Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/09/2012
Posts: 297
Loc: Tarneit, VIC
South Western suburbs of Melbourne failing to hit the 40 C mark today, definitely unusual for this side of the bay to lag behind on horrible days like this. Was this purely down to the South Easterly winds sweeping off the bay today?

The most trusted site out my way, is the nearby Truganina weather station (Run by a former BOM Meteorologist) it hit a top of 37.8 C but the humidity was up compared to suburbs nudging 40 C.
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#1486678 - 24/01/2019 19:10 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1336
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
If Melbourne hits 44 tomorrow is that its highest since Black Saturday??

Also reached 42.5C here in Portland (Portland Airport station), which breaks our January record of 42.1 from 2013. Still below our all time high of 43.1 in Feb 1983


Edited by logansi (24/01/2019 19:12)
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Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

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#1486679 - 24/01/2019 19:10 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7820
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Unremarkable day out this way, a sunny 32C with seabreeze arriving around lunchtime.

...but the electrical system SA/Vic/NSW has been in chaos for several hours. Market intervention pricing now invoked for all three states, meaning that all available generators, despite being mandated ("directed") to generate at full load, will only be paid the average of the (normal) prices in place this time over the past 2 weeks. Means peaking plants (expensive fuel costs), and hydro schemes ("wasting" water reserves allocated for high price events) - all getting a canning financially, despite saving us from the lack of wind and currently declining solar generation presently underway.

If you were say, a hydro electric dam operator, with say, 100 hours of water available to generate to support the electrical system in these typical summer peak periods, only to find you've HAD to let your water go for low electrical price returns (circa $100/MWHr instead of the "advertised" $14,500/MWHr technically now on offer). After this haircut, wouldnt you be motivated to tell AEMO that there is a breakdown happened tonight, and the generator is not available for operation tomorrow (when we will really really need that power) - so save themselves from taking another financial haircut. The system is broken, flooded by unreliable renewable energy "generators", paid by our taxes, only to create blackouts!

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#1486687 - 24/01/2019 19:45 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 6429
Loc: Woodend VIC 579m ASL - where w...
38.6 at 415 today, low of 13. Incredible fog around Gisborne just before 7am.

Current temp is 34.3 DP 12.1. Yuck
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Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and even some snow

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#1486691 - 24/01/2019 20:03 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: Petros]
SEAN888 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/09/2007
Posts: 1074
Loc: Mel
Originally Posted By: Petros
Unremarkable day out this way, a sunny 32C with seabreeze arriving around lunchtime.

...but the electrical system SA/Vic/NSW has been in chaos for several hours. Market intervention pricing now invoked for all three states, meaning that all available generators, despite being mandated ("directed") to generate at full load, will only be paid the average of the (normal) prices in place this time over the past 2 weeks. Means peaking plants (expensive fuel costs), and hydro schemes ("wasting" water reserves allocated for high price events) - all getting a canning financially, despite saving us from the lack of wind and currently declining solar generation presently underway.

If you were say, a hydro electric dam operator, with say, 100 hours of water available to generate to support the electrical system in these typical summer peak periods, only to find you've HAD to let your water go for low electrical price returns (circa $100/MWHr instead of the "advertised" $14,500/MWHr technically now on offer). After this haircut, wouldnt you be motivated to tell AEMO that there is a breakdown happened tonight, and the generator is not available for operation tomorrow (when we will really really need that power) - so save themselves from taking another financial haircut. The system is broken, flooded by unreliable renewable energy "generators", paid by our taxes, only to create blackouts!


And what's the answer? Coal, I presume? If we can capture the emissions, fine. But there's no use fixing a problem with the actual problem.

We are having above average, record-breaking summers year after year. This month will be the hottest month in recorded history but it's not surprising given that this is a concurrent trend, one which is wreaking havoc across this nation.

Hopefully this ecological disaster of a month ends tomorrow afternoon. BOM forecasting a top of 44 now, which is in line with what some models have been suggesting for over a week.

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#1486697 - 24/01/2019 20:33 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7820
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Sean, the "actual problem" ....that is causing chaos in the SA/Vic/NSW electrical system, is due to too much CO2 in the atmosphere?

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#1486710 - 24/01/2019 21:01 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1336
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
Any transition must ensure a stable network which can provide reliable power including at peak demand. People from all sides need to understand that Australia has massive demand spikes on hot days, far more than Europe or America meaning there must be massive surplus capacity in the network - something which is far easier with coal and the likes than wind or solar.

If the urgency to stop using coal is as much as experts say then we must atleast consider alternatives like nuclear.

Anyway back to the weather.....
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#1486720 - 24/01/2019 21:23 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7820
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Emergency situation right now, SA has no battery input (all cashed in for $$ hours before, ...not held in reserve for a full lights off scenario), zero solar input, and only 100MW (way less than 5% of the installed propeller generation we all paid for in our taxes). SA is reliant right now on 430MW of generation from Vic to keep the lights on.

BUT Vic, itself, is reliant on 600MW imported from NSW(coal)/Tas(hydro), hence circa 150MW to keep our own lights on, as we pass this power to SA.

....all this with no bushfires under the vital state-state power lines. God help us if fires are added into the (the already basket case) equation for the power system in SE Aus tomorrow.


Edited by Petros (24/01/2019 21:24)

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#1486721 - 24/01/2019 21:23 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1479
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Big day of weather/heat Tommoz. Obviously
Going to be a trying day for everybody especially
Emergency services.
Stay safe everyone and hopefully we get through
Without any major fires ect happening!
Obviously big chance to see plenty of
Towns/cities breaking temp records Tommoz

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#1486722 - 24/01/2019 21:24 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Tom Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 26/06/2004
Posts: 75
Loc: Elwood, Victoria
Yes, back to the weather, please :-)

So, how hot could it get tomorrow in Vic? In Melbourne?

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#1486723 - 24/01/2019 21:28 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7820
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Originally Posted By: Petros
Emergency situation right now, SA has no battery input (all cashed in for $$ hours before, ...not held in reserve for a full lights off scenario), zero solar input, and only 100MW (way less than 5% of the installed propeller generation we all paid for in our taxes). SA is reliant right now on 430MW of generation from Vic to keep the lights on.

BUT Vic, itself, is reliant on 600MW imported from NSW(coal)/Tas(hydro), hence circa 150MW to keep our own lights on, as we pass this power to SA.

....all this with no bushfires under the vital state-state power lines. God help us if fires are added into the (the already basket case) equation for the power system in SE Aus tomorrow.



Re SA battery, I should correct this and say the tradeable portion (30% of the battery has been depleted to make $$, ..there is still 70 MW (for only one hour - against a SA state load of 2,862 MW per hour, for many hours tonight) left in reserve to wave a limp feather at an event such as the trip of the Victorian tie line (currently supporting SA with 310MW sustainable power)

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#1486724 - 24/01/2019 21:31 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17642
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
Petros not sure where you have your info from, but our Diesel generators were actually turned on late today to prevent Victoria from suffering massive blackouts. SA are currently supporting VIC not the other way around.

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#1486727 - 24/01/2019 21:53 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17642
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
in fact sounds like both states are relying a fair bit on Tassie atm.

Quote:
South Australia's fleet of diesel generators were fired up for the first time, amid tight power supplies here and in Victoria.

The State Government was directed by the Australian Energy Market Operator to make the move about 5.30pm, on the grounds that the generators were required to prop up Victoria.

At the time, SA was meeting its own energy demand of 2985M from local supplies including wind and gas power and exporting a small amount into Victoria. Victoria had a significant shortfall from local generation, and was calling on significant supplies from Tasmania and NSW.

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#1486730 - 24/01/2019 22:08 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7820
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Teckert, my post #....23 was fully correct at the time posted. My data from NEOMobile, but is verifiable (and comes from) AEMO. Look at AEMO website to verify.

I did hear your emergency generators were dispatched this arvo, ....to "save Victoria", that message emanated from ABC news ("cant let a renewables story go bad").

Lets wait for the inevitable AEMO report in months to come to see why the direction was made, .....(because tomorrows turmoil will create the Armageddon of report overload).


SA generators "saving us or not" .....the lights went out in Vic this evening due to AEMO directed load shedding request to Ausnet.

So much for the value of $$$$$$ Vic's Govt has invested in renewables to save us all from ........what?:



Edited by Petros (24/01/2019 22:10)

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#1486731 - 24/01/2019 22:13 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17642
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
yep you will struggle tomorrow, hopefully with it being cooler here the demand wont be as bad, and I'm aware of the load shedding issues. Thankfully we dont have those issues here anymore.
My point was correcting the bit about VIC supporting SA - which wasn't correct.

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#1486732 - 24/01/2019 22:17 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: teckert]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7820
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Originally Posted By: teckert
yep you will struggle tomorrow, hopefully with it being cooler here the demand wont be as bad, and I'm aware of the load shedding issues. Thankfully we dont have those issues here anymore.
My point was correcting the bit about VIC supporting SA - which wasn't correct.


You have "those issues" there in SA worse than Vic Teckert, you will get a couple of repeat doses of the power issues you experienced before last years mild summer (in electrical load terms). A fire under the SA interconnector on a very hot day and your black. Get to March, then breathe a sigh of relief imo.

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#1486733 - 24/01/2019 22:19 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7820
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
....and at the time of my post #..20, I WAS correct, Vic was sending power to SA as I posted. Go check Teckert.

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#1486734 - 24/01/2019 22:20 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 2146
Loc: Sale, Central Gippsland, S/E V...
45C for Sale tomorrow P, might have to turn on the A/C for one of its rare runs.

Better get than ride in early, 41C by 1100hrs eek

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#1486737 - 24/01/2019 22:22 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2807
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Australia cope how run power management from all states and this is really good test.

Heatwave for population using Solar Panels. I think its not doing anything becasue A/C use more power sucking as no power return to the grid.

Hope no fires tomorrow.

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#1486739 - 24/01/2019 22:25 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: samboz]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7820
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Will be into it at 7am Samboz, thanks for the heads up.

Heyfield copped a share of this evenings electrical load shedding, so freeze some ice etc. for tomorrow, might be our turn for power off!

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#1486740 - 24/01/2019 22:30 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2807
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...

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#1486741 - 24/01/2019 22:33 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7820
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
I'd advise you to get your electricity data from the AEMO website CA.

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#1486743 - 24/01/2019 22:37 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 2146
Loc: Sale, Central Gippsland, S/E V...
Agree, 7AM is the way to go !

Have a solar powered 73L refrig/freezer in ute P, very handy with 100W panel on canopy roof.

Could leave and forget for a month++ and it would be fine (particularly in summer light conditions). smile



Edited by samboz (24/01/2019 22:39)

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#1486745 - 24/01/2019 22:45 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Spectreman Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 15/09/2018
Posts: 6
Loc: Melbourne
43 Deg for Mt Dandenong tomorrow which is a bit above average for up there for sure, with plenty of Northerly wind. Hope we get through with no fires there tomorrow, I am on the late shift too....

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#1486746 - 24/01/2019 22:45 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: samboz]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7820
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Originally Posted By: samboz
Agree, 7AM is the way to go !

Have a solar powered 73L refrig/freezer in ute P, very handy with 100W panel on canopy roof.

Could leave and forget for a month++ and it would be fine (particularly in summer light conditions). smile




Good advice, must admit I rely more on the reliability of electrical supply (which was the major role I did when employed in the electrical system), need to get my head around this "new electrical supply reliability world".

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#1486747 - 24/01/2019 22:47 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17642
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
Petros, If you can link to the particular evidence I'll be grateful.
tbh I dont think you quite a have a correct understanding of both what has happened today or what the situation is here in SA now. NSW and VIC have so much more problems than SA now in terms of power.
I apologise for setting foot in the VIC thread but i saw a comment that was incorrect so thought I should at least try and make it known.
I'll head back to SA now.

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#1486748 - 24/01/2019 22:49 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7820
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Send me your concerns via PM, Teckert. If you have the patience, I'll provide any evidence you request. But dont insult me with lack of understanding of the electrical system please.

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#1486749 - 24/01/2019 22:51 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
smeagols_ghost Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 11/12/2011
Posts: 137
Loc: Melbourne Victoria.
Vic shed smelter pot lines, not exactly as dire as you make out. They are expected to go out at times of extreme load.

Outages were mostly local distribution failures, not lack of generation. I was watching the scada on the vic transmission network through the afternoon.

Power flows between states are a common occurrence, not chaos or an emergency. System and market worked as intended and designed.


Edited by smeagols_ghost (24/01/2019 22:57)

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#1486750 - 24/01/2019 23:11 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2807
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Stormcast charts forecast for thunderstorms tomorrow.






Edited by chasers addict (24/01/2019 23:13)

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#1486769 - 25/01/2019 01:04 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Twister1 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 575
Loc: Chadstone Vic
WOW amazing day in SA just INSANE so many records and SO MANY places in the the 46-49c unherad off like 10 years ago just amazing heat

Today was great, hit 40c here spent hours at the beach and did a solid 10k walk light to mod E SE winds not a cloud LOVING this heat.

The evenings with the wind just prefect back to around 30c atm so nice out there, outside right now

Tomorrow wow if only change was 3 hours later we break so many records

Watch the murray espec Mildura but maybe more so Swan hill all time records could fall there and SW NSw could get 50c sliight chance if no cloud and not to windy Pooncarie ivanhoe those kinda places.

What a summer we are having, this really will become the norm i feel, wet stormy Nov Dec then hot dry mostly ] SE winds with odd mid 40s day in S vic mamy more in N Vic Jan and Feb aprat from odd tropical intrusion

Prob be last massive record samshing heat wave of summer but much more heat and dry yet to come

Stay cool for 6 or so hours tomorrow will be all over in 24 hours
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Bring on the STORMS

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#1486774 - 25/01/2019 03:36 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
vjknight Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 20/12/2012
Posts: 197
Loc: AscotVale, Inner NW Melb

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#1486782 - 25/01/2019 07:45 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
balmz Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/11/2012
Posts: 793
Loc: Ferntree Gully, Melbourne, VIC
32.6 degrees when I got up at 530 this morning just felt like pure insanity.

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#1486798 - 25/01/2019 09:13 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: balmz]
Tom Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 26/06/2004
Posts: 75
Loc: Elwood, Victoria
Originally Posted By: balmz
32.6 degrees when I got up at 530 this morning just felt like pure insanity.

Getting up at 5:30 is pure insanity 😄

37.4 at Morrabin airport close to where I am. Strong northerly outside.


Edited by Tom (25/01/2019 09:14)

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#1486799 - 25/01/2019 09:16 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: Tom]
balmz Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/11/2012
Posts: 793
Loc: Ferntree Gully, Melbourne, VIC
Originally Posted By: Tom
Getting up at 5:30 is pure insanity 😄

37.4 at Morrabin airport close to where I am. Strong northerly outside.


Touche! Bit of a necessity unfortunately!

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#1486801 - 25/01/2019 09:24 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1336
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
Latest Wind Change chart with updated timings. Lovely and cool around 22 here in Portland behind it - sorry guys but at least you know its coming!



Edited by logansi (25/01/2019 09:24)
_________________________
Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

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#1486808 - 25/01/2019 09:52 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: smeagols_ghost]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7820
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Originally Posted By: smeagols_ghost
Vic shed smelter pot lines, not exactly as dire as you make out. They are expected to go out at times of extreme load.

Outages were mostly local distribution failures, not lack of generation. I was watching the scada on the vic transmission network through the afternoon.

Power flows between states are a common occurrence, not chaos or an emergency. System and market worked as intended and designed.


Agree with the contracted loads. But you are wrong, Victoria experienced involuntary load shedding for 2 1/4 hours yesterday.

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#1486810 - 25/01/2019 09:54 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7820
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
19C minimum here overnight, but with the arrival of the odd puff of northerly, is now 41C. BOM has upped our expected max to 45C today I see.

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#1486814 - 25/01/2019 10:07 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 897
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
38C at Bairnsdale Airport. Odd puff, like you Petros, of nthly.

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#1486823 - 25/01/2019 10:58 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7820
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
AEMO have advised that without a generator somewhere making an unavailable generator available again, then commencing at 2:30pm, up to 360MW of load will have to be turned off in Vic, similar to last evening, just a lot more folk with power off.

....and if they follow the same pattern as they did last evening, it will be again, the country folk (the ones less likely to write into the papers) who have to sit the afternoon out with no power.

[edit] - AEMO Emergency Reserve Trader has again directed a generator to commence generation despite being marked unavailable. My bet is that it is again, the SA emergency generators as per yesterday, only much earlier.

This means the wholesale price of electricity in SA/Vic will revert to the lower values (potentially making revenue far less than operating cost for many generating plants) that they were at this time past 2 weeks.

No peaking plant generator will want to again, loose money for the honor of supporting a failing electrical system for the second day in a row.


Edited by Petros (25/01/2019 11:05)

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#1486824 - 25/01/2019 11:10 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7820
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
NNW'ly well and truly arrived here, currently 42.7C 18%RH.

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#1486827 - 25/01/2019 11:13 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2807
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Thats early at 11am 39.5c very windy with light dust can seen in NW

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#1486837 - 25/01/2019 11:35 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 2146
Loc: Sale, Central Gippsland, S/E V...
Got 32km's in with 0715 start P, went for a 1.5km walk around 11am, temp sky rocketed over 3C in that 20 minutes.

BOM East Sale - "42.4C @ 11:18 am" and "42.7C @ 11.23 am"

Interesting discussion P re power suppliers being bent over the barrel, while I have no idea of the overall profitabilty of generating elec. for us masses, I know I will be mightily P'd off if my power goes off because of some bean counter playing god with his calculator!!


Edited by samboz (25/01/2019 11:40)

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#1486851 - 25/01/2019 12:12 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: samboz]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2807
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Very funny Samboz "bean counter playing god with his calculator!!" I think power controller pick isolated small town turn off power.

41.8c at 12pm Horrible winds

How does NBN FTTN green cabinet handle high heat could outrage internet...Never heard of it yet.

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#1486859 - 25/01/2019 12:29 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7820
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Spare a thought for those poor folk now without power in Victoria, 100MW of customer load (real folk out of power, not including those "meant to shed load" during hot days) now sitting it out.



Very windy and 43.1C 15% RH here atm.

[edit] - for those in denial:




[edit] - note that AEMO dont use daylight saving time, so the 11:03am = 12:03pm DLST.


Edited by Petros (25/01/2019 12:33)

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#1486863 - 25/01/2019 12:34 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2807
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Very nice Adelaide is 24.4C now..will not be long for SW Victoria to Melbourne next few hours.

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#1486865 - 25/01/2019 12:42 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
RandomGuy Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 27/02/2012
Posts: 72
Loc: Melbourne (Northern Suburbs)
Last night was the worst night ever. Was 31 deg inside, A/C not working and the fan just recirculating the hot air. Need this cool change to arrive because my house is like an oven atm!!

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#1486872 - 25/01/2019 12:53 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Tom Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 26/06/2004
Posts: 75
Loc: Elwood, Victoria
Originally Posted By: chasers addict
Very nice Adelaide is 24.4C now..will not be long for SW Victoria to Melbourne next few hours.


Yep - Geelong just hit by southerly change. From 43.9 to 32.5 in 20 minutes. Must be blowing towards us up and across the bay right now smile

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#1486881 - 25/01/2019 13:31 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 2146
Loc: Sale, Central Gippsland, S/E V...
Glad you liked that CA, lol, grin

Haven't used A/C, just a small fan so far, opened house up early and it's still OK inside.

Meanwhile we might(?) have peaked, BOM at East Sale- "44.2 @ 12:50 pm"

Currently 43.8C.

Nice to know Geelong has the change.

Don't want to think how hot it must be at the Timbarra fire, it'd be a
shocker today. PyroCumulus reported to be about 38,000ft.

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#1486887 - 25/01/2019 13:46 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
RandomGuy Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 27/02/2012
Posts: 72
Loc: Melbourne (Northern Suburbs)
Currently 43.3 outside and 35 inside, probably a few deg warmer in my room with all the electronics surrounding me.

Can see the cool change slowly creeping towards my area, estimate maybe another hour until it reaches here.

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#1486894 - 25/01/2019 13:58 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Tom Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 26/06/2004
Posts: 75
Loc: Elwood, Victoria
Cool change just came through Elwood, according to my expert, going out on balcony and feeling the wind and temperature, weather station :-)

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#1486897 - 25/01/2019 14:00 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1479
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Looks like all clear so far regarding any lightning
On the change which is good

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#1486898 - 25/01/2019 14:02 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2807
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Very dusty in uppers, 42.7c at 2pm

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#1486899 - 25/01/2019 14:04 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 2146
Loc: Sale, Central Gippsland, S/E V...
A bit of heat left for East Sale BOM - "Highest 45 C @ 1:47 pm"

http://www.bom.gov.au/places/vic/sale/observations/east-sale-airport/

Yarram warm - "Highest 45.7 C @ 1:44 pm"

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#1486903 - 25/01/2019 14:16 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
RandomGuy Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 27/02/2012
Posts: 72
Loc: Melbourne (Northern Suburbs)
Got a call from a friend in Craigieburn apparently power went out there not long ago and not far from here. Still got power at my house but lost internet connection. Wonder if that's linked.

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#1486904 - 25/01/2019 14:21 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Dawoodman Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 14/03/2010
Posts: 1266
Loc: Thoopara; Prossie/ Bayswater
it will be if you are on the NBN
_________________________
The storms are always beyond the horizon, behind the trees or parting above your head

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#1486905 - 25/01/2019 14:22 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: RandomGuy]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7820
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Originally Posted By: RandomGuy
Got a call from a friend in Craigieburn apparently power went out there not long ago and not far from here. Still got power at my house but lost internet connection. Wonder if that's linked.


Power out in multiple areas of Vic (but guess what, none in inner suburbs!), see below and note those marked "Generation Restrictions":

https://www.outagetracker.com.au/outagelist



45.4C here, windy, 13% RH.

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#1486907 - 25/01/2019 14:27 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: Petros]
forrester Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 23/01/2019
Posts: 5
Originally Posted By: Petros

Power out in multiple areas of Vic (but guess what, none in inner suburbs!), see below and note those marked "Generation Restrictions":

https://www.outagetracker.com.au/outagelist



That's because another electricity distributor (powercor/CitiPower) and several other distributors cover the rest of Victoria, not just Ausnet.

Change now through the Melbourne CBD - 27.8 at 2:20pm at Olympic Park.


Edited by forrester (25/01/2019 14:29)

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#1486908 - 25/01/2019 14:31 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7820
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Good point Forrester - didnt think of that.

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#1486909 - 25/01/2019 14:42 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2807
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Soon power management back normal for Melbourne is 27.4C falling.


Edited by chasers addict (25/01/2019 14:43)

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#1486910 - 25/01/2019 14:43 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
RandomGuy Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 27/02/2012
Posts: 72
Loc: Melbourne (Northern Suburbs)
Change finally here grin

What. A. Relief!

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#1486911 - 25/01/2019 14:46 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7820
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
45.7C here.

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#1486912 - 25/01/2019 14:49 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1479
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Some decent numbers, 45c at lv airport
43c Nilma

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#1486913 - 25/01/2019 14:49 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2807
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
44.1C now up here

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#1486916 - 25/01/2019 14:55 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7820
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Originally Posted By: chasers addict
Soon power management back normal for Melbourne is 27.4C falling.


Power restoration commencing right now.

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#1486917 - 25/01/2019 15:00 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 6429
Loc: Woodend VIC 579m ASL - where w...
41.1 here for a high, 39.4 here atm sun been in for quite awhile.

As CA said very red dusty sky. Impressive DP's today as well
_________________________
Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and even some snow

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#1486924 - 25/01/2019 15:27 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
yep Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/07/2013
Posts: 455
Loc: Hobart
Swan Hill 47.5c . Looks like a Victoria state record for January. Interestingly other places in the Mallee didn't even get close.

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#1486925 - 25/01/2019 15:29 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1479
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Here comes the lightning out east of Melbourne!!
Please have rain or if this hits the hills there
Could be all sorts

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#1486926 - 25/01/2019 15:30 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1479
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Can anyone confirm much rain with these storms

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#1486928 - 25/01/2019 15:32 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: yep]
Blair Trewin Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 13/07/2001
Posts: 3907
Loc: Melbourne, Australia
Originally Posted By: yep
Swan Hill 47.5c . Looks like a Victoria state record for January. Interestingly other places in the Mallee didn't even get close.


Probably a bit far west. Kerang's come in with 47.0 at 3pm but haven't seen a max yet. Wouldn't surprise me if they went even higher.

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#1486937 - 25/01/2019 16:18 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Blair Trewin Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 13/07/2001
Posts: 3907
Loc: Melbourne, Australia
Kerang max (to 3pm) of 47.4. Might have warmed up further later but we won't know until tomorrow.

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#1486938 - 25/01/2019 16:23 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: yep]
Rigger Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/11/2008
Posts: 140
Loc: Leanyer,NT (suburb of Darwin)
Originally Posted By: yep
Swan Hill 47.5c . Looks like a Victoria state record for January. Interestingly other places in the Mallee didn't even get close.

I read somewhere that Boort recorded a 48.2c during the Black Friday event in Jan 1939. Doesn't pop up in Records as the data hasn't been digitized yet.

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#1486939 - 25/01/2019 16:23 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Sidney Online   content
Weather Freak

Registered: 20/12/2013
Posts: 699
Loc: Macquarie fields ( South west ...
Lightning tracker showing heaps of lightning strikes on the butchers ridge fires. Hope it settles down. Would probably cause a lot of spot fires.

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#1486941 - 25/01/2019 16:31 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 897
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
You're correct Sidney ... not good at all.

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#1486946 - 25/01/2019 16:37 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 6429
Loc: Woodend VIC 579m ASL - where w...
Suns been out and wind lightened near the shift, now sitting at 41.6 as a high at 432pm. Temp retreating as I type with shift to SW
_________________________
Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and even some snow

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#1486958 - 25/01/2019 17:22 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 897
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
45C atm at Bairnsdale AWS. Maximum, I think, was 45.2C. Moderate NWly. Huge cloud from Buchan fire to the NE.

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#1486959 - 25/01/2019 17:22 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2807
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...

Never felt 45c in my life.

The gauge is always in shade

Now Victorians think 30s not hot any more.


Edited by chasers addict (25/01/2019 17:28)

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#1486963 - 25/01/2019 17:39 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: ThunderBob]
Sidney Online   content
Weather Freak

Registered: 20/12/2013
Posts: 699
Loc: Macquarie fields ( South west ...
Originally Posted By: ThunderBob
45C atm at Bairnsdale AWS. Maximum, I think, was 45.2C. Moderate NWly. Huge cloud from Buchan fire to the NE.


Bairnsdale got to 45.8c.

Would be interesting to see the plume directions as the southerly pushes through.

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#1486966 - 25/01/2019 17:45 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 897
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
Thanks Sidney. Must be close to record.

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#1486969 - 25/01/2019 17:49 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1479
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Lightning causing grief around the rangers
Of Latrobe Valley

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#1486970 - 25/01/2019 17:50 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 897
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
Change going through here atm.

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#1486987 - 25/01/2019 19:03 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7820
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
We had a 45 second dusty gusty change pass through here around 5.45pm. No storms or rain.

Now circa 31C with light SW'ly, interestingly a weak storm (had two rumbles just now) is trying to establish itself as it passes over.

Commiserations to those who got load shed today, but overall (especially fire-wise) - I reckon Vic got out of this "one day heat event" not too badly.

But will the past 2 days of load shedding convince enough doubters that the investment put into Aus electrical system over the past 7 years has been effective? .....after all we are all told ad nauseum that the climate is going to get hotter. Was our money well spent?

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#1486989 - 25/01/2019 19:14 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7820
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Fired up bbq, calm with thunder rumbles about. Nice.

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#1486994 - 25/01/2019 19:29 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
gleno01 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/03/2010
Posts: 125
Loc: Shepparton
still 42.6 c here 37 tomorrow wish I was near the coast
_________________________
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#1487018 - 25/01/2019 21:34 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 2146
Loc: Sale, Central Gippsland, S/E V...
East Sale BOM - Highest 45.5C @ 4:29 pm

7mm of very handy rain out of the narrow storm belt.

Heap of rumbles to our S/East & East.

Cooling of nicely to current 22.6C after Max wind gust 61kph earlier during the breezy day.


Edited by samboz (25/01/2019 21:41)

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#1487110 - 26/01/2019 11:28 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7820
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Ended up with 6mm from last evenings storm. Very lucky.

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#1487127 - 26/01/2019 12:49 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Blair Trewin Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 13/07/2001
Posts: 3907
Loc: Melbourne, Australia
One late one from yesterday: 47.6 at Kerang (all-time site record, Victorian record for January).

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#1487130 - 26/01/2019 12:52 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2807
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Looks like trough rain next week downgrade unless isolated thundery cells.

Cant wait good early cool breeze tonight for Northern Country

33c at 12.45pm Sunny no clouds.

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#1487177 - 26/01/2019 18:23 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 6429
Loc: Woodend VIC 579m ASL - where w...
33.1 for a high today DP this arvo down as low as 1 to 2 degrees.
_________________________
Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and even some snow

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#1487182 - 26/01/2019 18:31 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Blackacubra Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/04/2004
Posts: 789
Loc: Sunraysia, Victoria
45.5 degrees for Red Cliffs yesterday. 37.2 degrees today.

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#1487207 - 26/01/2019 21:18 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
liberator Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/11/2010
Posts: 327
Loc: Kyabram
So officially(Kyabram) had a maximum of 47.1 yesterday yet when I look at the AWS 30 min data the highest reported temperature was at 6.30 pm and was 45.4. So why is the reported temperature so different to what I can see on the AWS data?

I thought where a peak is reached, no matter where in the reporting time it gets reported. i.e. if it was 45.4 at 6.30 and then peaked at 47.1 at say 6.38 then this would have been recorded in the data table but there is no 47.1 reported in this table.

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#1487324 - 27/01/2019 11:11 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Blackacubra Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/04/2004
Posts: 789
Loc: Sunraysia, Victoria
We normally have or have close to, 40 degrees at 11am, in the morning. Today it's only 19 degrees.


Edited by Blackacubra (27/01/2019 11:20)

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#1487334 - 27/01/2019 12:19 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2807
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Wonderful break Today only 24c and easy sleep temp drop to 19c last midnight.

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#1487336 - 27/01/2019 12:29 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: Blackacubra]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 2146
Loc: Sale, Central Gippsland, S/E V...
Originally Posted By: Blackacubra
We normally have or have close to, 40 degrees at 11am, in the morning. Today it's only 19 degrees.


Better turn the heater on blacky smile

A balmy 21.3C in Sale....very nice!

2.5mm in the earlier hours this A.M.


Edited by samboz (27/01/2019 12:32)

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#1487383 - 27/01/2019 17:52 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 897
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
We got 4.5mm overnight. Cloudy most of day. Currently 25C 58%RH Light smoke haze.

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#1487391 - 27/01/2019 18:47 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7820
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
We got 1.75mm from a weak storm in the early hours of the morning here too, ...boosted by a couple of pre-dawn showers.

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#1487420 - 27/01/2019 20:29 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
logansi Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 1336
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
whole sum of 0 here in Portland, although we did ave a few 2 second showers. 1.2mm for the month so far and without much chance of more here in the SW looks like it will be our driest Jan on record.
_________________________
Located in Moorabbin Vic or Portland Vic smile

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#1487476 - 28/01/2019 09:29 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1479
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
On this mornings run, gfs now showing some
Decent storms and rain out around Gippsland
Rangers Wednesday afternoon evening.
Would be good if this senario came off

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#1487477 - 28/01/2019 09:30 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1479
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Only received 1mm up here over the last couple
Of days. Back from holidays yesterday and
Its bone dry around here now

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#1487511 - 28/01/2019 13:28 Re: Vic - Repeat Heatwave 22/01/19 - 26/01/19 [Re: chasers addict]
Dawoodman Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 14/03/2010
Posts: 1266
Loc: Thoopara; Prossie/ Bayswater
I know we got at least a sprinkle in Bayswater Yesterday or the day before as my car is covered in rain dust....
Shes warming up again. 37 on wednesday!
_________________________
The storms are always beyond the horizon, behind the trees or parting above your head

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