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#1488310 - 01/02/2019 07:54 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2019 [Re: exodus]
Neata Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 30/01/2016
Posts: 3
Thanks Exodus, these are a really interesting read.

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#1488321 - 01/02/2019 08:29 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
SBT Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 07/02/2007
Posts: 14286
Loc: Townsville Dry Tropics
Some good questions.

From the top of Aplin's Weir to street level is about 3 or possibly 4 metres above the weir wall. So there is no real need to worry about flooding from that respect.

Went up to the circus that was the dam yesterday afternoon. Couldn't get a parking spot but saw the sign that said it was at 154,9% capacity. If water was going to run over the top of the wall of the dam it won't collapse the dam walls. They are engineered to withstand that much force and more.

If and its a bloody huge if, the dam was to over top then the run off will follow the old Bohle River bed and out to sea. Yes that will cause local flooding but its not going to destroy Kelso or anything.

Yesterdays tale of the Nylex.
1.30pm emptied 81mm out of Nylex,
6.30 this morning emptied another 110mm
so at 6.30 I had recorded 191mm
Heavy rain still falling.
_________________________
785mm Jan
799mm Feb
130 March
2019 Total 1714mm
2018 Total 822mm






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#1488322 - 01/02/2019 08:31 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
exodus Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/12/2007
Posts: 629
Loc: Mount Louisa, Townsville
Aplinís Weir now exceeded previous 1.77 flood record

1/02/2019 07:06 2.11
01/02/2019 07:12 2.06

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#1488327 - 01/02/2019 08:44 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
SBT Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 07/02/2007
Posts: 14286
Loc: Townsville Dry Tropics
Now predicting a possible cyclone forming in the Coral Sea late Sunday. Now if that happens even if its just a piddling little Cat 1 the amount of vegetation damage is going to be huge. Soil is obviously waterlogged so that means a hell of a lot of trees (Mango, Mahogany rain trees etc) will suddenly find themselves falling over. Flood wise yes it will increase the problems we are currently experiencing.

People will start panic buying groceries if the cyclone is declared so it may be an idea to stock up on canned food before the hordes descend. the 3 super market chains do have around 7 days worth of canned/frozen and dry foods stored in warehouses. But with the roads cut fresh food becomes scarce pretty quickly. Meh I have everything we need for a week minimum. Might get another jerry can of fuel for the generator.

The council is going to have a huge road works bill once this is over.
_________________________
785mm Jan
799mm Feb
130 March
2019 Total 1714mm
2018 Total 822mm






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#1488328 - 01/02/2019 08:48 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
bartholomu Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/01/2011
Posts: 101
Flood inundation maps for the dam failure event show otherwise SBT, the dam wall is 6km from bohle at kelso, kelso is in its path, the earthen walls could not withstand a breach and keep form they would erode from water flow.

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#1488330 - 01/02/2019 09:18 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
bartholomu Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/01/2011
Posts: 101
Earthen dams have concrete spillways or concrete spillways with gates to safely release water, history shows earthen breaches have occurred to many dams all over the world all have had massive erosion from massive water flows at the breach point. A big if is caused by a big if rain event, hopefully all ends well with this rain event, but risk is raised when inflows reach beyond historically high known rainfall events. Let us all hope this forecast future rain for the week does not eventuate.

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#1488334 - 01/02/2019 09:56 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
Sunny Showers Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 08/01/2010
Posts: 267
Loc: Townsville.
Fairfield Swamp Idalia, another 123mm since 5pm yesterday arvo, last 24hrs to 8 am today- 261mm.
Total for this event, last 5 days - 692mm.

Forecasting has been spot on!

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#1488335 - 01/02/2019 10:00 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
Sunny Showers Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 08/01/2010
Posts: 267
Loc: Townsville.
The Dam is not going anywhere.
Sun Water are all over it and following the Operating Manual as required.

The work experience kid has been told to keep his hands in his pocket!

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#1488336 - 01/02/2019 10:07 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
ColdFront Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/06/2008
Posts: 19046
Loc: The Beach.
Woolshed 286mm yesterday to 9 am and 286.4mm today. That's what you call consistent.
_________________________


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#1488338 - 01/02/2019 10:13 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
SBT Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 07/02/2007
Posts: 14286
Loc: Townsville Dry Tropics
218mm yesterday.
_________________________
785mm Jan
799mm Feb
130 March
2019 Total 1714mm
2018 Total 822mm






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#1488340 - 01/02/2019 10:37 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
ol mate Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/03/2010
Posts: 1232
Loc: Ingham, North Qld
Will the monsoon ever move north? we've been waiting for days up here! we get the bands as they come down from cairns area but the quickly pass over. Having said that we got 100mm in 3 hrs last night. We'll keep playing the waiting game i guess.
_________________________
Ingham - Golden Gumboot holder of the Northern Region - cuz we steal Townsville's Rain!

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#1488342 - 01/02/2019 10:44 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
exodus Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/12/2007
Posts: 629
Loc: Mount Louisa, Townsville
Ross river dam now above 41

01/02/2019 09:36 41.05

So next gateopening sequence should of just been triggered.


Edited by exodus (01/02/2019 10:44)

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#1488344 - 01/02/2019 10:56 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2019 [Re: exodus]
Smallfry Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 25/12/2010
Posts: 33
Loc: Alligator Creek, Townsville
Hi Exodus. Where are you getting this info? All I could find was the Council website with 140%, but not the elevation level. thanks.

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#1488346 - 01/02/2019 11:03 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
exodus Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/12/2007
Posts: 629
Loc: Mount Louisa, Townsville

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#1488347 - 01/02/2019 11:04 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 13367
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
219mm at BG to 9am.
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1488348 - 01/02/2019 11:16 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2019 [Re: exodus]
Smallfry Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 25/12/2010
Posts: 33
Loc: Alligator Creek, Townsville
thanks so much!

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#1488349 - 01/02/2019 11:16 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
PVW Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 28/12/2010
Posts: 2412
Loc: Thuringowa, Townsville QLD
For anyone interested in the Ross River Dam level, I have this page setup on my weather site that receives dam level data quite regularly.

It is currently reporting the dam at 41.05m, which is equivalent to 167%

http://aspgweather.com/new/rossdam

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#1488356 - 01/02/2019 11:46 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
Chookie Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/03/2009
Posts: 1961
Loc: Kirwan
ok so reading everywhere and what people say can be a bit scary. Could i please ask a question. With all this rain still coming and the dam still filling, and the ross river still rising what are the chances of it flooding?

Also has the monsoon trough started to move north again yet?

thanks you

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#1488361 - 01/02/2019 12:09 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2019 [Re: PVW]
Ollieo Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 07/03/2014
Posts: 19
Loc: Mundingburra
Great work PVW - I'd just been looking for your link smile

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#1488364 - 01/02/2019 12:12 Re: North Queensland Wet Season - Cardwell to Bowen - January 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
exodus Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/12/2007
Posts: 629
Loc: Mount Louisa, Townsville
TCC finally updated

Date:
01/02/2019 10:00:00
Percent Full:
175%
Volume:
408459 ML

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