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#1489827 - 09/02/2019 21:21 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: crikey]
Tuntable Crook Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 23/02/2013
Posts: 22
Aaaand it's gone ... knew I shouldn't have posted.

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#1489829 - 09/02/2019 21:24 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: Seabreeze]
Ahab Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 31/01/2011
Posts: 251
Loc: Brisbane, Indooroopilly
Lots of lightning visible already. Please make it to us.

And severe thunderstorm warning is out.

Severe Thunderstorm Warning
for DAMAGING WINDS

For people in parts of Darling Downs and Granite Belt and Southeast Coast Forecast Districts.

Issued at 8:04 pm Saturday, 9 February 2019.

Damaging wind gusts possible across southeast Queensland.

Weather Situation:An intensifying squall line is currently moving into the Southeast Coast district. Although there are no indications of severity, it may, however produce an isolated damaging wind gust.

Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce damaging winds in the warning area over the next several hours. Locations which may be affected include Boonah, Beaudesert, Laidley and Springbrook.


Edited by Ahab (09/02/2019 21:25)

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#1489830 - 09/02/2019 21:27 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: crikey]
Foehn Correspondent Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 01/11/2001
Posts: 675
Loc: Bardon 4065
Warwick has had a couple of 69kph wind gusts from the SW as that storm went through only 3mm of rain though.
_________________________
My Flickr Page

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#1489831 - 09/02/2019 21:32 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: crikey]
Namarrkun Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/11/2012
Posts: 571
Loc: Salisbury
It's nice seeing all the lightning from this storm in the distance,as I sit here watching tv and looking out the front door at the same time.

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#1489832 - 09/02/2019 21:33 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: crikey]
Mad Elf #1.5 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 3859
Loc: Mt Hallen QLD
Good looking lightshow, someonez gona have a smile!
AND a STW as well, amazing!


Edited by Mad Elf #1.5 (09/02/2019 21:40)

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#1489834 - 09/02/2019 22:11 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: Seabreeze]
paulcirrus Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 08/08/2011
Posts: 1669
Loc: Brisbane - Windsor
There you go BOM forecasting by radar, updated 9pm but they reckon in the west, what ever that means. West as in the first couple of k's of the western suburbs ?
_________________________
If it's Flooded - FORGET IT

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#1489835 - 09/02/2019 22:17 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: Seabreeze]
Mad Elf #1.5 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 3859
Loc: Mt Hallen QLD
Amazing forecasting isnt it?
Saw high cloud gathering way to the SW late this arvo & thought, oh, wont get to us, too far away! Not too far from most now?
We still gona miss out though!


Edited by Mad Elf #1.5 (09/02/2019 22:19)

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#1489837 - 09/02/2019 22:58 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: crikey]
Seabreeze Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 18/09/2005
Posts: 10670
Loc: SWR
Cheers Foehn.

Two thunderstorms moved through here this afternoon and evening. The afternoon storm brought a flang less than 200 metres away, quickly scurried back inside after that, lol. Photo after the first storm cleared away.


A couple of lightning pics taken on my mobile associated with the second storm.



Just a slight, lingering chance of a storm here over the next couple of hours until the change moves through.


A stormy afternoon/evening elsewhere on the Mid North Coast too. Very frequent lightning in some of the storms today. A hailstorm moved through Wauchope and Port Macquarie early this evening. There was also a 96km/h wind gust at Coffs Harbour this evening.
Port Macquarie - https://www.instagram.com/p/Btp_NwaHVXH/
Port Macquarie - https://www.instagram.com/p/Btpz6TCHZmZ/
Wauchope - https://www.facebook.com/groups/996409443828246/permalink/1449889945146858/
Wauchope - https://www.instagram.com/p/BtpzsnOnCik/
Nambucca Heads - https://www.instagram.com/p/BtpatDTgFZy/
Nambucca Heads - https://www.instagram.com/p/BtpcXnOj3p5/
Macksville - https://www.instagram.com/p/BtplkuaAZz8/

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#1489838 - 09/02/2019 22:59 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: crikey]
Aussiestormguy Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/08/2010
Posts: 63
Loc: Allora
Got 5mm here and not complaining. The wind gusts were quite incredible and we had to hold the lattice gate in our undercover area for a while because it bowed and threatened to break free. Weather station is down and has been faulty for ages. Wish I could comment on the wind accurately. ASG.

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#1489839 - 09/02/2019 23:00 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: Seabreeze]
Stormwalker Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 13/11/2013
Posts: 96
Nice band of storms coming through.

Lots of lightning and the occasional rumble.

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#1489840 - 09/02/2019 23:04 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: crikey]
TWEEDSTORM Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 08/01/2012
Posts: 1044
Loc: Tweed Heads NSW
Wow what a surprise.Nice lightshow and lots of booming thunder with steady rain .AccessR missed that happning

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#1489847 - 10/02/2019 07:39 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: crikey]
mammatus meestrus Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 20/11/2008
Posts: 80
Loc: lennox head
I'd much rather see a strong high with a deep mean easterly flow driving stream showers onto the coast(typical Feb) then this pseudo-spring storm pattern.

I see very little moisture flow into these troughs and hence, a repeat if anything of last nights storm where about 50 heavy drops fell and it barely registered in the gauge.

Whats was noteworthy about last weeks pattern was the paltry incursion of the showers south of the border.
Normally reliable high summer rainfall locations like Cape Byron barely broke 10mm over the week, Ballina didn't make 5mm.

Thats the second strong MJO phase, and in this case monster monsoonal surge that has resulted in a total failure of the normal summer moisture incursion into the sub-tropics.

I see no break in that pattern. Worse, if anything.

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#1489850 - 10/02/2019 08:43 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: crikey]
retired weather man Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 01/07/2007
Posts: 5161
Loc: Wynnum
WYNNUM NORTH - WEATHER

DATE..10 FEB 2019 TIME..0740

CURRENT TEMPERATURE......26.1C
CURRENT HUMIDITY...........77%
CURRENT DEW POINT......... 22C
CURRENT WIND DIR/SPEED... W 9kph
CURRENT MSLP PRESSURE....1004.7Hpa
CURRENT VISIBILITY........30KM
CURRENT WEATHER...........1/8 cloud, decreasing.
RAIN SINCE 0900 SATURDAY...0.0mm

LAST 24 HOURS -
YESTERDAY'S MAX TEMP.......31.6C
THIS MORNING'S MIN TEMP....21.8C
THIS MORNING'S GRASS MIN...21.2C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR DEW POINT....22C
AVERAGE 24 HOUR MSLP.......1003.5Hpa
LAST 24 HOUR MAX WIND GUST..E 31kph at 1245
PAST 24 WEATHER SUMMARY... Overnight lightning to SW, but storms dissipated.

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#1489855 - 10/02/2019 09:22 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: TWEEDSTORM]
gleno71 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 09/11/2007
Posts: 1868
Loc: Australia
Originally Posted By: TWEEDSTORM
Wow what a surprise.Nice lightshow and lots of booming thunder with steady rain .AccessR missed that happning



I find Access C more accurate when it comes to forecasting severe weather.

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#1489856 - 10/02/2019 09:22 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: mammatus meestrus]
gleno71 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 09/11/2007
Posts: 1868
Loc: Australia
Originally Posted By: mammatus meestrus
I'd much rather see a strong high with a deep mean easterly flow driving stream showers onto the coast(typical Feb) then this pseudo-spring storm pattern.

I see very little moisture flow into these troughs and hence, a repeat if anything of last nights storm where about 50 heavy drops fell and it barely registered in the gauge.

Whats was noteworthy about last weeks pattern was the paltry incursion of the showers south of the border.
Normally reliable high summer rainfall locations like Cape Byron barely broke 10mm over the week, Ballina didn't make 5mm.

Thats the second strong MJO phase, and in this case monster monsoonal surge that has resulted in a total failure of the normal summer moisture incursion into the sub-tropics.

I see no break in that pattern. Worse, if anything.


Strong highs usually give settled weather though smile

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#1489858 - 10/02/2019 09:37 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: crikey]
mammatus meestrus Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 20/11/2008
Posts: 80
Loc: lennox head
Yes, and the settled weather for Feb is strong highs with deep E'ly flows distributing tropical moisture onto SEQLD and NENSW.

It elongates the convergence zone from the monsoonal flow.

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#1489859 - 10/02/2019 09:47 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: mammatus meestrus]
gleno71 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 09/11/2007
Posts: 1868
Loc: Australia
Originally Posted By: mammatus meestrus
Yes, and the settled weather for Feb is strong highs with deep E'ly flows distributing tropical moisture onto SEQLD and NENSW.

It elongates the convergence zone from the monsoonal flow.


Yes this time of year the highs are generally well south.

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#1489861 - 10/02/2019 09:49 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: crikey]
gleno71 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 09/11/2007
Posts: 1868
Loc: Australia
I haven't been looking at the charts. Looks like a southerly is moving thru today? Yet the forecast temps are still rather high.

What changed in the forecast with the storms? Tomorrow was meant to be a very good day from what South Brisbane storms posted a few days back . Now nothing ?

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#1489862 - 10/02/2019 09:56 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: crikey]
NotsohopefulPete Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 24/12/2008
Posts: 1405
Loc: Toowoomba
Wow, Mammatus metestrus, your understanding of the weather and climate for the mostly unrepresented Northern Rivers(and applies considerably to the others areas as well) is amazing. I read an article called Drought on Steroids. The main point was that the outstanding feature of this drought is the persistent well above to record high temps far beyond any other known drought and the extra damage it does. Just look at the coming weeks' temps.

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#1489872 - 10/02/2019 13:20 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: crikey]
Ahab Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 31/01/2011
Posts: 251
Loc: Brisbane, Indooroopilly
Not looking good. The showers from last week were enough to keep the grass green but did nothing to creeks and groundwater. I heard before the term "green drought". Think this would apply here.


Edited by Ahab (10/02/2019 13:20)

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