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#1490059 - 12/02/2019 14:05 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: crikey]
NotsohopefulPete Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 24/12/2008
Posts: 1405
Loc: Toowoomba
Looks like the dry air has reached Warwick and Toowoomba.

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#1490060 - 12/02/2019 14:06 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: Mega]
RC Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/09/2007
Posts: 2601
Loc: near Rockhampton, Qld
Originally Posted By: Mega


The point I was making was that you can get good rain events along the east coast even when there is a 'H' in the Tasman Sea. A good 'H' can help inject moisture from the Coral Sea into coastal troughs and sometimes even anchor them through our region. They can also play a role in blocking such low pressure systems (like Oswald) from escaping off the east coast and out into the graveyard.

I agree with your second statement for sure but I still think it's important to remember that there is a difference between say January's ridge and the ridge that set up last week. January's ridge was bone dry because it had no depth and it kept being re-enforced by highs coming across the bight. Last week's ridge was a more traditional summer high that set-up across the southern Tasman Sea and actually gave us some moisture...it's just a shame there were no real upper level troughs for it to feed into. Obviously, even those highs can be serial pests if they just sit there for weeks as you say, but my point is that they aren't all bad as it also depends on the other dynamics surrounding them.


Well I am going to launch a crusade to teach those butterflies to flap their wings at the correct time. They are flapping at the wrong time at the moment.


Edited by RC (12/02/2019 14:06)

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#1490066 - 12/02/2019 14:56 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: crikey]
Colin Maitland Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/09/2009
Posts: 2705
Loc: North Brisbane ( Bracken Ridge...
Those cells are throwing out a few bolts of lightning now. Showing up on Storm Tracker.

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#1490073 - 12/02/2019 15:55 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: crikey]
Foehn Correspondent Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 01/11/2001
Posts: 675
Loc: Bardon 4065
Hearing a bit of thunder from the cell NW of Brisbane. Don't think it will be a drought breaker though!
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#1490075 - 12/02/2019 16:09 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: crikey]
retired weather man Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 01/07/2007
Posts: 5161
Loc: Wynnum
Thunder to west of Wynnum North 1503K.

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#1490078 - 12/02/2019 16:19 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: crikey]
TrentG Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 26/01/2015
Posts: 23
Loc: Everton Park, QLD
Not much to speak of from that at Woolloongabba - bit of thunder, just enough rain to push the dust around a bit.

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#1490079 - 12/02/2019 16:20 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: crikey]
retired weather man Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 01/07/2007
Posts: 5161
Loc: Wynnum
Looks like my comment about lunch time about needing a temp of 36 deg to MAINTAIN a TS locally is ringing true. Thunder reported 10 mins ago has stopped and radar has verified this - the seabreeze wins again.

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#1490080 - 12/02/2019 16:28 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: TrentG]
Foehn Correspondent Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 01/11/2001
Posts: 675
Loc: Bardon 4065
Originally Posted By: TrentG
Not much to speak of from that at Woolloongabba - bit of thunder, just enough rain to push the dust around a bit.


Same here couple of mm at best. Sun out again here now.
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#1490081 - 12/02/2019 16:29 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: crikey]
Ahab Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 31/01/2011
Posts: 251
Loc: Brisbane, Indooroopilly
Just drove through that "thunderstorm". Very heavy rain and bright sunshine at the same time. The reflections were blinding.

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#1490083 - 12/02/2019 16:32 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: crikey]
james1977 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2009
Posts: 2946
Loc: collingwood park
And my lawn continues to smoulder, currently 37.1
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#1490084 - 12/02/2019 16:36 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: crikey]
StormyAndy Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 21/02/2014
Posts: 6
Just emptied my rain gauge and 13mm from that thunderstorm at Indooroopilly. Part of the time there was still sunshine.


Edited by StormyAndy (12/02/2019 16:36)

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#1490085 - 12/02/2019 16:45 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: crikey]
AnnerleyX1 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 26/01/2013
Posts: 84
Temperature has barely budged under that storm, but the DP has rocketed up to 25. Feels like FNQ here right now, absolutely tropical.

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#1490087 - 12/02/2019 16:54 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: crikey]
Mad Elf #1.5 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 3859
Loc: Mt Hallen QLD
39.5C atm Damn hot & dry!
I dont wanna know about tomorrow :-(

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#1490092 - 12/02/2019 17:37 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: crikey]
Namarrkun Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/11/2012
Posts: 571
Loc: Salisbury
we got zilch at Salisbury from the “storm” being mentioned... i’ve been digging post holes in the backyard this afternoon and didn’t even realise a storm was passing through Brisbane, let alone dropping 13mm at a location 10 minutes drive away. I saw a patch of grey in the sky, but nothing heard and the sky didn’t even look storm like where I could see.

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#1490094 - 12/02/2019 17:52 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: crikey]
Colin Maitland Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/09/2009
Posts: 2705
Loc: North Brisbane ( Bracken Ridge...
Just had a few rumbles, a sprinkle of rain and some very cooling wind here at Bracken Ridge. Awesome stuff.

Sorry you missed out Namarrkun. You probably lost a couple of kilos in sweat.

I just mowed the front lawn ( dust bowl with weeds) and that was hot enough.

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#1490095 - 12/02/2019 18:12 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: crikey]
wetdreams Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 25/10/2010
Posts: 111
Loc: Mooloolah Valley QLD
Looks like this one has enough north/south path in it to get past that storm killing area for us behind Bald Knob.
Fingers crossed...

I just drove from Toowoomba to the Sunny Coast via Esk and Kilcoy. Got a few snaps of this cell in the very early stages of development.
Had planed to sit up at Bald Knob Rd and watch it build a die before my eyes, but all the parking spots where already taken at 4:15.
Lot of eyes up on the ridge this afternoon... wink
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#1490096 - 12/02/2019 18:20 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: crikey]
Inclement Weather Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 07/03/2006
Posts: 5373
Loc: Diamond Valley
Good one wetdreams, it's coming down here in our Diamond Valley - oh, wait a minute, it just stopped. laugh

Edit: we just caught the edge of that first one from the south, which looks like it's giving the village a fair whack. The Kilcoy one behind it looks better for us, but it hasn't gone over the 'storm killer' that is Bald Knob. wink


Edited by Inclement Weather (12/02/2019 18:30)
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#1490101 - 12/02/2019 18:51 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: crikey]
Ken Kato Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 6090



I hope the inland dust thins out a bit by the time it gets close to our region tomorrow.

The smoke plumes from the big out of control fires near Tenterfield, Inverell, etc have been pretty noticeable on satpics and radar too... lots of photos of big pyrocumulus building up over the fires as well.

Latest multiweek EC ensemble is in and it's still suggesting high probabilities of drier than normal conditions covering the majority of Australia during the next 2 to 3 weeks although the lower east coast (including us) is more undecided (could be wet, dry, or neutral).

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#1490103 - 12/02/2019 18:53 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: crikey]
gleno71 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 09/11/2007
Posts: 1868
Loc: Australia
Thanks for the maps Ken, be interesting to see if that dust makes SEQLD

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#1490105 - 12/02/2019 18:57 Re: SEQLD/NENSW Troughing bringing Heat and Possible Thunderstorms - 9th to 14th Feb 2019 [Re: crikey]
Mega Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/02/2003
Posts: 7899
Loc: Maryborough, Wide Bay, QLD
dust in Feb lol

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