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#1492148 - 22/02/2019 20:42 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
Vinnie Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 17/05/2006
Posts: 6821
Loc: Mulambin , Yeppoon Central Qld
Nice rain coming through here at the moment

https://imgur.com/a/HqmLn0x

Forecast said : Mostly clear. Slight (30%) chance of a shower, becoming less likely later this evening



Edited by Vinnie (22/02/2019 20:44)
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#1492155 - 22/02/2019 22:22 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
ColdFront Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/06/2008
Posts: 19046
Loc: The Beach.
So the forecast said you might get some rain and you got some rain. Amazing. Yeppoon obs reveal it was mostly clear today.
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#1492156 - 22/02/2019 22:30 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
bundybear Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 28/12/2010
Posts: 2366
Loc: Between Bundy and Gladstone
Dry here. Only dampness we are getting is some salt spray from the ocean.

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#1492157 - 22/02/2019 22:36 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
mysteriousbrad Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/10/2007
Posts: 1879
Loc: Rockhampton QLD
Brief shower earlier, bloody humid out there

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#1492171 - 23/02/2019 07:00 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2019 [Re: ColdFront]
Vinnie Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 17/05/2006
Posts: 6821
Loc: Mulambin , Yeppoon Central Qld
Originally Posted By: ColdFront
So the forecast said you might get some rain and you got some rain. Amazing. Yeppoon obs reveal it was mostly clear today.


I thought 30 percent chance meant a 70 percent chance of not getting anything ?

---

Think this cyclone will really just mean lots of wind/cooler temps for Rocky/Yeppoon, doubt we will see much rain from it.
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#1492188 - 23/02/2019 08:59 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
RC Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/09/2007
Posts: 2601
Loc: near Rockhampton, Qld
Looks like everything was against us getting rain this season.

Stagnant high's in the Tasman. Stagnant monsoon trough's and now cyclones hanging around the coral sea like a bad smell.

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#1492189 - 23/02/2019 09:04 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
ColdFront Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/06/2008
Posts: 19046
Loc: The Beach.
Is that what you got from it? If it had said "100% chance of no rain" you'd have a leg to stand on. But you don't because the forecast proved to be accurate. They said there was a chance of showers and you got showers. The forecast was never the issue. Your lack of understanding of the forecast is !! That and your seemingly endless need to bash the BoM.
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#1492198 - 23/02/2019 09:45 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
Vinnie Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 17/05/2006
Posts: 6821
Loc: Mulambin , Yeppoon Central Qld
I have more dislike for Higgins than the BOM.

I just find the forecasts confusing since they changed the format I don't know how many years back . Eg today it says Yeppoon 20 percent chance of any rain then to the right under Capricornia Area it says 30 percent chance of a shower in the north. So a different percentage and also says "in the north" where do they mean north ? Yeppoon is north isn't it or do they mean Byfield ?


Edited by Vinnie (23/02/2019 09:46)
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#1492201 - 23/02/2019 10:11 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
ColdFront Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/06/2008
Posts: 19046
Loc: The Beach.
The forecasting system isn't perfect. Nothing is. But it was right yesterday in Yeppoon. Shoot Ken Kato a PM and ask him how it works. He'll help you a lot. Continually complaining in here is tiresome. In fact Ken has decided to stop posting in the cyclone threads which is a loss to the people in there that want to learn but I fully understand why he has gotten fed up with it.

Send him a PM and ask him to explain it. He'll be happy to help.
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#1492259 - 23/02/2019 17:27 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2019 [Re: ColdFront]
Hailin Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/12/2010
Posts: 1018
Loc: Moranbah/Glenella
14mm out here in Moranbah at lunch time. Bit of thunder but nothing too crazy. Lovely!

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#1492340 - 24/02/2019 12:32 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
Vinnie Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 17/05/2006
Posts: 6821
Loc: Mulambin , Yeppoon Central Qld
Geez Rocky will be a tinderbox if we didn't get any good rains in the next couple of months. I mean normally in the dry season it is low humidity ... if the vegetation is super dry. Going to be a winter full of smoke ?

Quite breezy and pleasant here in Yeppoon 28 deg with only 56 percent humidity .



Edited by Vinnie (24/02/2019 12:33)
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#1492381 - 24/02/2019 18:07 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
RC Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/09/2007
Posts: 2601
Loc: near Rockhampton, Qld
Looking at the BOM 4 day chart. Back to a stagnant high in the Tasman sea. Cooler south easterly winds but no rain.

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#1492383 - 24/02/2019 18:45 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
bundybear Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 28/12/2010
Posts: 2366
Loc: Between Bundy and Gladstone
Any one seen my brown dog? I left it on the chain but now it is gone...……….

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#1492508 - 26/02/2019 11:05 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
ifishcq Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 31/01/2018
Posts: 134
Loc: Rockhampton - Xtra Dry Dust La...
So it's just about time to talk about the possibilities of winter rainfall.

In many of the previous dry years, we have often picked up a cutoff upper low or cold pool that drifts up through the interior through NSW & Western Qld to park over Capricornia or the Sth Tropical Coast, very occasionally creating an ECL as it moves over the sea. Early June 2007 was a good example.

So that's what I'm hoping for now. Something like that during May/June/July. Otherwise were in for a very bad extremely difficult drought for the rest of the year and possibly into 2020 as well if this dry pattern continues.
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“It's so dry the trees are bribing the dogs.”
Charles Martin

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#1492515 - 26/02/2019 13:06 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
bundybear Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 28/12/2010
Posts: 2366
Loc: Between Bundy and Gladstone
I hope it rains. Never seen our place so dry in 25 years.

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#1492568 - 27/02/2019 09:57 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2019 [Re: bundybear]
ifishcq Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 31/01/2018
Posts: 134
Loc: Rockhampton - Xtra Dry Dust La...
Originally Posted By: bundybear
I hope it rains. Never seen our place so dry in 25 years.


Wow, thats bad.
Talking to my Grandfather yesterday who is 96 this year, and lived most of his life on the land west of Rockhampton. He reckons this is the driest he's seen it since the great drought of 1943/44. And if we dont get rain within 2-3 months it will be driest in his lifetime.
_________________________
“It's so dry the trees are bribing the dogs.”
Charles Martin

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#1492570 - 27/02/2019 10:54 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
Vinnie Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 17/05/2006
Posts: 6821
Loc: Mulambin , Yeppoon Central Qld
This summer has been dry, December started off well but that was it . What gets me is the temperatures, if you look at how "hot " it was , Rocky had

December 31.7 (0.5 deg below average ) Nights 1.3deg above
January 31.2 (0.8 deg beloe average) Nights 0.5 deg above

February obviously above average...

Seems Rocky doesn't have a stinking hot summer if the southern part of the country does . Or if it is stinking hot up here they aren't.

It seems to have been a milder dry summer dominated by SE winds, with the only real heat in early November to mid December then a cool spell from Christmas to early February. Now another cool spell

Now we're back to SE winds and cooler again..

I guess we could have been worse with a hot dry summer like no rain at all and several deg above normal.

GFS is hinting at some decent rain next Thursday for Rocky and Yeppoon around 40-50mm . Fingers crossed !


Edited by Vinnie (27/02/2019 10:55)
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#1492571 - 27/02/2019 11:14 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2019 [Re: ifishcq]
bundybear Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 28/12/2010
Posts: 2366
Loc: Between Bundy and Gladstone
Originally Posted By: ifishcq
Originally Posted By: bundybear
I hope it rains. Never seen our place so dry in 25 years.


Wow, thats bad.
Talking to my Grandfather yesterday who is 96 this year, and lived most of his life on the land west of Rockhampton. He reckons this is the driest he's seen it since the great drought of 1943/44. And if we dont get rain within 2-3 months it will be driest in his lifetime.


It is so dry that our original stock dam had all of a foot of water in it. Was talking to an older resident last night who agreed they hadn't seen it so dry.

We have been lucky to get maybe 2 good rains from storms this season but it has all just run off as the ground is so dry. By good I mean about 20ml. Very disappointing when you hear of people a k or so away getting 70ml.

The dry will end. One day.

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#1492578 - 27/02/2019 13:02 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
Vinnie Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 17/05/2006
Posts: 6821
Loc: Mulambin , Yeppoon Central Qld
Some showers coming through this morning in Yeppoon.
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#1492579 - 27/02/2019 13:19 Re: Central Queensland Wet Season - February 2019 [Re: Raindammit]
mysteriousbrad Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/10/2007
Posts: 1879
Loc: Rockhampton QLD
Sounds like some bad grass fires around Rosedale the past few days - listening to the fireys

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