Page 313 of 315 < 1 2 ... 311 312 313 314 315 >
Topic Options
#1499063 - 17/05/2019 10:47 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Eigerwand Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/05/2012
Posts: 523
Id be hesitant to draw any parallels between then and now. Im unaware of any reason to not take the position that heat and heat related events in Tas or anywhere else for that matter, wont continue to be the dominant weather feature for decades to come.

Top
#1499082 - 17/05/2019 18:48 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
crikey Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/02/2011
Posts: 3184
Loc: Tweed Heads
If you look at the SOI time series, there are some parallels .
2012 to 2018 has been predominantly negative..6 yrs
1976 to 1982 ..6 years, was also predominately negative .
Although '76 to '82 was very strong negative trend.
(Negative trending is an El Nino dominant period)
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/influences/timeline/



Edited by crikey (17/05/2019 18:50)
_________________________
http://weathercycles.wordpress.com/

Top
#1499205 - 21/05/2019 10:24 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 2065
Loc: Westbury
18mm of rain, mostly after 4pm yesterday, had a bit of lightning etc just before 10pm. Took the monthly total to 60mm.

Top
#1499226 - 21/05/2019 22:03 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 2065
Loc: Westbury
EC and GFS hinting at a biggish end to May, significant rain the western half and finally some colder air and the possibility of snowfalls below 600m early next week. EC has upwards of 80cm falling on the western plateau in the next 10 days. Will see how it develops.

Top
#1499274 - 22/05/2019 19:59 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
crikey Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/02/2011
Posts: 3184
Loc: Tweed Heads
Sunday night (26th may 2019),into monday morning look to be the best .
532 thickness right across the state. But as you say the moisture and plenty of it is in the western half of Tasmania.

sunday about 10am. ACC has rain rates of 20-60mm / 6hr
more so closer to the coast.
What cams do you suggest for the west coast and western plateau.?

mslp is about 1024hpa today and will continue dropping as the westerly belt and associated low transits north
mslp troughs out at a low of 996hpa on sunday
Winds don't look that bad on ACC?
Westerly winds from westerly belt look to commence about friday night
ACC g giving another rain dump next tuesday as well from this very moist sub polar belt
http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/v...it=Refresh+View
_________________________
http://weathercycles.wordpress.com/

Top
#1499281 - 22/05/2019 21:34 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 2065
Loc: Westbury
Thickness goes much lower later next week, with 525 possible (assuming the models are any good), Hobart has forecast Max temps of 10 for tues and wed which is low for May. Looks a bit dry away from the west coast and plateau regions. Could see some ripper late May frosts towards the end of next week.

Some good cams here: https://anglersalliance.org.au/web-cams/

Usual cams on Mount Mawson, Ben Lomond and the Rose Bay school cam looking back at Mount Wellington.

Top
#1499287 - 23/05/2019 00:51 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Stale fish Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/06/2001
Posts: 2207
Loc: Leslie vale 310m asl
Morning all,
Does look interesting, considering what we have had of late.
Might be up st Great Lake over the weekend so fingers crossed it snows.
Bare root trees arrive Tuesday so that always bring bad weather. This time looks miserable when healing in fruit trees, into aged sawdust in the rain and sleet

Top
#1499318 - 23/05/2019 18:54 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
crikey Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/02/2011
Posts: 3184
Loc: Tweed Heads
ACC g downgrading a tad for Sunday. I think the peak in cold pool arrives at at 4pm which is toning things down a tad. Still 536 thickness.
The heavier rain ACC is sending a tad northward into the Bass strait.
Sunday through until monday morning and then that blast ' is gone.
However Tasmania remains in the westerly belt.
The next cold pool coming through on Tuesday. Only 24or so hours apart and yes agreed . This second blast looks colder.
ACC g giving Tasmania at 150hrs forecast next wednesday a 524thickness
and some stronger southerlies coming up from polar region

This sub polar low influencing Tasmania weather all this week, is packed with moisture. I am used to thinking that sub polar lows/westerly belts
are dry creatures.
There is a precipitation signal of varying intensities over Tasmania all this week , whilst bathing in this sub polar low

http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/v...it=Refresh+View
........
Thanks for the web cam links 'snowies' . I forgot to ask. Which are best for the western region of Tasmania?
_________________________
http://weathercycles.wordpress.com/

Top
#1499619 - 28/05/2019 19:24 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
TonyO Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 08/04/2012
Posts: 51
Looking great on Sat pic with some very active moist airfield.
We have picked up 18.6mm today so expect some good totals in next 24hrs here.
I'm sure good snowfalls accumulations above 600m so far!
_________________________
60m Above sea level Huon Valley GROVE http://www.weatherlink.com/user/groveblueberries/index.php?view

Top
#1499633 - 28/05/2019 21:15 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
crikey Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/02/2011
Posts: 3184
Loc: Tweed Heads
geez.. mslp down to 988 hpa in most of the state tonight.
Hobart a pleasant 5deg c currently at 9pm

...
snow on mt wellington and mount field
https://twitter.com/today_tasmania/status/1133254279232274432
tomorrows forecast Hobart
Wednesday 29 May

Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of showers, most likely from the late morning. Snow falling above 500 metres. The chance of a thunderstorm in the evening. Possible hail. Winds west to northwesterly 20 to 30 km/h turning southwesterly 30 to 45 km/h in the late morning then increasing to 35 to 55 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between zero and 3 with daytime temperatures reaching between 5 and 10.
http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts/southeast.shtml


Edited by crikey (28/05/2019 21:24)
_________________________
http://weathercycles.wordpress.com/

Top
#1499642 - 28/05/2019 22:51 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Stale fish Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/06/2001
Posts: 2207
Loc: Leslie vale 310m asl
Cold night tonight, 1.8 degrees between showers with the cars frozen.
Moderate showers at times.
As you said Tony the Mt will look great tomorrow.
Had some sleet at times this afternoon.

Top
#1499722 - 29/05/2019 20:16 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
WANDJINA G'vale Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 22/03/2006
Posts: 2522
Loc: Gordonvale - Qld
Mighty fresh forecast there in Hobart
_________________________
Wandjina - Cloud and rain spirits from Australian Aboriginal dreaming

Daisey Bates - The passing of the aborigines

YouTube - Coppertropicals - earthquake prediction

Top
#1499955 - 02/06/2019 22:08 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Stale fish Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/06/2001
Posts: 2207
Loc: Leslie vale 310m asl
Hi all,

Snowing here at Great Lake. Very wet snow though. When it freezes overnight the roads will be a nightmare.
Had 5.6mm today up on the hill.

Top
#1500177 - 05/06/2019 01:27 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Winter_lover Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/01/2016
Posts: 97
Loc: Tasmania, Hobart
Just a question i had for the more knowledgeable people than me here.

What conditions would need to be present for Hobart to beat or match it's record minimum for June and July of -2.8 degrees ??

Thanks.



Edited by Winter_lover (05/06/2019 01:27)

Top
#1500192 - 05/06/2019 09:09 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 2065
Loc: Westbury
-4.1 this morning, went below 0 around 8/830 last night and kept going. Cold enough to freeze the hot water pipes in the bathroom (cleared after several minutes and turning taps on/off)

Was similarly cold early the night before but cloud between 1am and 5am kept a lid on the min which ended up being -2.4 at 8am yesterday.

If Hobart ever beats the record of -2.8 then a lot of sites around the state will set new records. The July 81 record looks like an extended run of cold days, 5 days up to and including the 11th averaged a max of 8.9, the min the night before was 0.9 and the night after -1. Was wet around the 7th and 8th, a cold change dropped the 850T's below -5. It then rapidly stabilised and presumably clear skies and calm weather lead to a cold night. The key was probably the run of cold days in the lead up (4 were under 10).

Top
#1500196 - 05/06/2019 09:30 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 2065
Loc: Westbury
Other aspect of the weather is we appear likely to swap frost for rain next week - possibly a fairly substantial amount of it as well (Sun/Mon).

Top
#1500292 - 07/06/2019 10:01 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 2065
Loc: Westbury
Using the BOM's 9am-9am rules, we've only had 1 min above 0 in the first 7 days and given this mornings reset temp at 9am was -0.3 that's extend to 8 days.

Looks like it's going to turn very wet next week, possible 40-80mm up this way, possibly more on higher ground.

Top
#1500345 - 08/06/2019 10:35 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: Snowies]
pwa54 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 29/01/2009
Posts: 53
Loc: Kingston, Tasmania
-9.5 at Liawenee this morning.

That's the coldest in Tasmania since July 2017.

Top
#1500456 - 11/06/2019 21:33 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
MOUNTAIN h2o Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/03/2012
Posts: 789
Loc: Hobart Lenah Valley Tas 198 as...
Hi all just got back from a few weeks at the Gold Coast. Also had nights that felt cooler and where cooler than here in Hobart which is still 13.5c at 9:30 pm.
Also looks like the drab dry warm crap down here is going nowhere (not that I'd expect it ) , Monthly temp running a massive 2.2c over and breaking the old highest monthly record by 0.1 c at the moment.
So Much for Winter it will be like the past 5 years two weeks out of three months that actually produce something worthy.
Also where is the big rain event hahaha?

Top
#1500502 - 12/06/2019 15:15 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
boxingkoala Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/06/2011
Posts: 66
could certainly do we a decent rain event to get flows into my dam
_________________________
Cradoc 110m asl

Top
Page 313 of 315 < 1 2 ... 311 312 313 314 315 >


Who's Online
0 registered (), 42 Guests and 3 Spiders online.
Key: Admin, Global Mod, Mod
Today's Birthdays
Cloudmaster_dup1, Floodhunta, floody, Xavo
Forum Stats
29947 Members
32 Forums
24189 Topics
1528929 Posts

Max Online: 2985 @ 26/01/2019 12:05
Satellite Image