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#246494 - 05/06/2002 23:27 Huge seas likely for the southeast
gustfront Offline
Thundergod

Registered: 19/05/2001
Posts: 3393
Loc: North Balgowlah, Sydney, 33.79...
The wave models are pumping out some impressive wave heights across the southeast over the next few days. 72 hour NOGAPS has 24 foot waves affecting the SA coast. Be interested to hear reports from anyone down that way over the next few days.

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#246495 - 06/06/2002 14:15 Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast
thermalben Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/04/2001
Posts: 769
Loc: Tweed Coast
Hi GF,
I have been watching this developing system very closely since last Wednesday - it's a very complex arrangement, with a large SW component advancing towards the coastline during Friday. The arrival of the SW groundswell front isn't due into the SA coast until Friday night, however there's some pretty large windswell ahead of that. AVN is also progging a small area around 55S 125E that should assist in the development of a more SSW swell, which will help the southerly facing beaches (including Victoria) pick up some big surf.

Adelaide forecasts (covering this event in detail) are at Swellnet .

Cheers, Ben

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#246496 - 06/06/2002 20:50 Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast
350rat Offline
Junior Member

Registered: 19/03/2002
Posts: 33
Loc: maitland
Bells beach willhandle the size of the swell if they get a northerly wind the surf will be epic.

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#246497 - 07/06/2002 10:22 Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast
Thunderstruck Offline
Lightning man

Registered: 10/05/2001
Posts: 15023
Loc: Seaford Meadows, SA
Yeah looking great...seeing that its the long weekend I might head down to Bullies - one of my fav bodyboarding spots. But i guess ill have to be careful...last time I went there I got smashed to bits and peices just about....hope they are clean lines will have the time of my life!!!!

TS cool

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#246498 - 07/06/2002 11:21 Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast
liz Offline
Wind Speed Queen

Registered: 02/12/2001
Posts: 1919
Loc: Near Victor Harbor S.A.
Hi thunderstruck, where is the spot Bullies that you refer to. It is a bit draughty around the drawers down this way at the moment so be careful if you venture out, I dont want to have to carve Lennie was here on the rocks. Anyway, enjoy your long weekend, if the surf is not good the Port Elliot Bakery is always a good place to visit. Liz.

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#246499 - 07/06/2002 11:29 Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast
Thunderstruck Offline
Lightning man

Registered: 10/05/2001
Posts: 15023
Loc: Seaford Meadows, SA
LOL Liz no need for that im a careful fella smile

Pt. Elliott fish and chips shop sells the best whiting since the earth was born. Ill be having that for sure but better not go in water to soon after because the sharks will be after me...terrific sense of smell they have.

Bullies is just along to the east of Chiton rocks near Boomer but not quite that far...I go in that spot between Chiton and Boomer all the time.....it can get very rough and dangerous due to steep beach and killer shories....

TS cool

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#246500 - 07/06/2002 11:48 Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast
liz Offline
Wind Speed Queen

Registered: 02/12/2001
Posts: 1919
Loc: Near Victor Harbor S.A.
Gustfront,to get back on to your topic,the Transport S.A. website www.transport.sa.gov.au/webcams.asp has a webcam on Granite Island(which is off Victor Harbor). The camera shows the sea, but it is not a picture to rave about. I can see this area from home, ATM with a strong NW blowing,the sea is full of white caps,an ugly day to be in a boat. Liz.

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#246501 - 07/06/2002 11:55 Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast
Thunderstruck Offline
Lightning man

Registered: 10/05/2001
Posts: 15023
Loc: Seaford Meadows, SA
There is another site that has got cams for middleton, Bullies, dump, mid coast etc etc.... I thinks its something like southcam...great site with a load of cams smile

TS cool

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#246502 - 07/06/2002 12:41 Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast
thermalben Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/04/2001
Posts: 769
Loc: Tweed Coast
Gulf St Vincent is starting to feel the effects of the increasing groundswell and windswell. Surf size is currently a foot or so overhead, which is quite respectable for this stretch of coastline. The tide is coming in until 2:30pm, but the surf should rise all day as the winds veer WNW. Metro beaches already have small surf, which should increase later aswell. (non-SA people should be made aware at the irregularity of this kind of swell event! head high waves along the Mid Coast are quite infrequent)

The Victor Harbour stretch is, by comparison, flat. The current approaching swell is too W in direction to wrap into Encounter bay, however a more SSW swell will arrive during Saturday which looks like being on the large size smile .

Model data is still going for a decaying westerly stream late Sunday and through Monday; in these circumstances the South Coast's terrestrial influences tends to affect the wind flow, and I'm hoping for light NW winds along the coast.

waiting...waiting... smile

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#246503 - 07/06/2002 12:49 Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast
thermalben Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/04/2001
Posts: 769
Loc: Tweed Coast
Quote:

There is another site that has got cams...something like southcam
'Southcam' is now 'Wavewatch', Lennie, and unfortunately you are required to be a member to access the cam images - at $55.

Alternately, try the Adelaide Sailing Club at West Beach, Glenelg Jetty cam (with links at the bottom to other SA beaches - although they only update once or twice a day max), and the Granite Island and North Haven cams as mentioned by Liz.

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#246504 - 07/06/2002 13:41 Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast
thermalben Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/04/2001
Posts: 769
Loc: Tweed Coast
Neptune Island is currently recording W winds at 49kts, gusting to 60 (!)

BoM have issued a SWA for almost all SA waters smile

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#246505 - 07/06/2002 13:48 Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast
thermalben Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/04/2001
Posts: 769
Loc: Tweed Coast
Surf is increasing quickly on metro beaches; around shoulder to head high now but very northerly and wind-affected at Glenelg.

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#246506 - 07/06/2002 15:44 Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast
Thunderstruck Offline
Lightning man

Registered: 10/05/2001
Posts: 15023
Loc: Seaford Meadows, SA
Ben u had a chance to stroll down along the foreshore down at Glenelg? U live close to there ive heard...from up here at Uni Brighton looks like a froth and a grey couldron. Must be some huge waves crashing against the rock wall and jetty's....bye bye embryo dunes....

TS cool

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#246507 - 07/06/2002 18:09 Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast
thermalben Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/04/2001
Posts: 769
Loc: Tweed Coast
Just got in from a great surf out the front of my house (I live on the foreshore at Glenelg, Lennie :p ). The surf picked up quickly behind the change - sets weeellll overhead at the Jetty towards dark, with plenty of stinging rain when the wind gusted up around 30kts+ (ouch!). Pity about the crowd though - I was on my own for 45 mins, then around 20 people decided it looked alright aswell.

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#246508 - 08/06/2002 13:49 Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast
thermalben Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/04/2001
Posts: 769
Loc: Tweed Coast
Victor Harbour has seen the swell increase steadily all morning, with wave heights at some of the exposed beaches now around double overhead (some of the biggest surf we have had here in about 4 months). Winds were NW earlier this morning, but gusts appear to be tending W with passing showers. Ecellent waves to be had!

The Mid Coast still has plenty of swell overhead high, but is affected by onshore winds.

Vic has seen a steadily increasing swell all morning, and it won't stop here either - I am expecting another swell surge later Sunday/Monday which should see some really large waves on the Surf Coast. With predominantly NW winds, there will be some epic sessions going down over the next few days.

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#246509 - 09/06/2002 22:05 Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast
Thunderstruck Offline
Lightning man

Registered: 10/05/2001
Posts: 15023
Loc: Seaford Meadows, SA
I didnt go to Bullies today or Victor...I thought the better of it lol but went to Southport just near north of Rivermouth. I didnt have a lot of time on my hands but still enjoyed my 1 hour bodyboard and the waves were pretty big but messy. Lotta wind coming in onshore the waves were head high. Got a sweet rip each time that helped my journey back out to the back against a barrage of waves smile so i had some fun.

TS cool

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#246510 - 12/06/2002 10:47 Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast
thermalben Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/04/2001
Posts: 769
Loc: Tweed Coast
It's a real shame there's such little interest in marine weather.....*sigh*...biggest swell in months and only a handful of postees - yet a tiny bit of convection and the thread gets 300 replies...

Headed to western Victoria Mon/Tues to chase the swell, and witnessed some of the largest waves I've seen in years - a few 'unnamed' protected reefs were around the double overhead mark, and a visit to a few of the exposed areas had mammoth amounts of water moving through - perhaps 15'-20'? Who knows. I usually just classify anything above 10' into the 'too big' category smile

And as seen via the Bells pics on surfshop.com.au, the 'surf coast' saw some hefty waves - even some tow-ins throughout Tuesday when the swell was at it's peak.

Plenty more on the way for SA this week too.

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#246511 - 12/06/2002 10:57 Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast
Thunderstruck Offline
Lightning man

Registered: 10/05/2001
Posts: 15023
Loc: Seaford Meadows, SA
Cool....yeah I reckon later todday the swell should start to arrive and then by sat with that intense low some serious waves will be around with cleaner ones for sun and mon. 5ft for Mid today and sat and also for sotuh coast....BRING IT ON I SAY!!!

TS cool

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#246512 - 12/06/2002 12:15 Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast
liz Offline
Wind Speed Queen

Registered: 02/12/2001
Posts: 1919
Loc: Near Victor Harbor S.A.
Hi Thermalben,just to try to cheer you up, the chicken run looked to be magic yesterday early morning, but I couldn't tell you the wave height. I haven't seen it like that for a while. Looked a good spot to put the board in. Liz.

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#246513 - 12/06/2002 14:24 Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast
Thunderstruck Offline
Lightning man

Registered: 10/05/2001
Posts: 15023
Loc: Seaford Meadows, SA
WHOA!!!! CG sorry bit excited!!!

anyway, I go to Chicken Run sometimes....I like Horseshoe bay....it can turn on some heavy shories....did u check it out? Also how was Freeman Knob looking? Nice spot that is!!

TS cool

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#246514 - 13/06/2002 09:05 Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast
thermalben Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/04/2001
Posts: 769
Loc: Tweed Coast
Cheers Liz, thanks for that smile

The main swell event from this discussion has now passed (unless NZ counts...) but it's looking like the next week and a half will see continual surf along both local SA coasts with a series of lows expected to pass through the upper Bight region.

Ahh, winter! Love it smile

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#246515 - 13/06/2002 10:18 Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast
Thunderstruck Offline
Lightning man

Registered: 10/05/2001
Posts: 15023
Loc: Seaford Meadows, SA
Ben surely this cut off low will generate some pretty hefty swell along the mid and metro coastline?? like 6ft on the mid and 3ft on the metro? or is it because the low is a cut-off and the fetch distance wont be as great?

TS cool

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#246516 - 13/06/2002 10:21 Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast
Alex Zadnik Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 13/11/2001
Posts: 152
Loc: VIC
It's a real shame there's such little interest in marine weather.....*sigh*...biggest swell in months and only a handful of postees - yet a tiny bit of convection and the thread gets 300 replies...
I agree Ben!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Although I have not been posting myself this week I have been keeping an eye on the swell all week. Surfshop photo's of Bells have looked epic!
I have had reports from a freind who surfed deep inside Western Port on Tuesday, and was calling the sets 5ft..........it must of been huge out to sea (sounds like you're 15ft-20ft estimation would have been reasonable!).
Where in VIC did you go Ben? Did you make the west coast or did you stay out Portland way.
I'm heading down to Victoria tonight, alas a week too late! hopefully well see some sort of a wave while I'm down there though- it's dead flat here in Sydney!
At first glance, the wind looks like it will swing northwest late Fri in VIC and tend more Northerly on Saturday. So hopefully I will get some nice clean waves (and I'll also get to wear my steamer for the first time this year!)
Alex

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#246517 - 13/06/2002 11:07 Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast
liz Offline
Wind Speed Queen

Registered: 02/12/2001
Posts: 1919
Loc: Near Victor Harbor S.A.
Hi guys,I think the reason for my lack of reporting is that because we are living close to the sea we take it for granted when a big sea is working. It is a bit like the whale watching at the moment, with all the whales sighted I have lost interest. I dont go surfing(used to)therefore wouldn't be good at wave height reporting. I would gladly report our times out in the boat,during summer, but that is off the thread a bit. Liz.

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#246518 - 13/06/2002 11:54 Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast
thermalben Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/04/2001
Posts: 769
Loc: Tweed Coast
Quote:
Johnny Utah:
Where in VIC did you go Ben?
G'day Alex
Generally not too keen to blow locations, but yep, in the Portland vicinity. Ventured back to Pt MacDonnell on Tuesday (SA) aswell.

Not looking as nice in the Vic area for this weekend though; there will still be swell (just not as big) but with blustery offshore winds throughout Sat and Sun with this low parking itself in the Bight.

Quote:
TS
surely this cut off low will generate some pretty hefty swell along the mid and metro coastline
I'm still watching it closely, Lennie - the low is progging to be large, but the associated fetch isn't as desirable as I would like.
The metro beaches need a combination of factors to ensure rideable surf, but even the latest AVN run is showing 20-25kt NW winds Sat veering SSW later Sun (winds from the WNW thru' SW are a much needed parameter - wind directions outside of these boundaries will limit swell development severely).

Most of the groundswell generated in the Bight will arrive throughout Saturday, but the low looks like stalling and dissapating a little just as it nears Pt Lincoln. SSW winds are most unfavourable (with regard for pushing swell into the gulf).

I'm still going for possible 4ft surf along the Mid for later Sat and thru' Sunday, however this is something not to be sneered at - 4ft surf is not a regular occurence. The 00Z update will shed a little more light on how this low develops.

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#246519 - 13/06/2002 14:53 Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast
Thunderstruck Offline
Lightning man

Registered: 10/05/2001
Posts: 15023
Loc: Seaford Meadows, SA
I might check out 3-poles on sat or sun - depends which day Im free.....more so sun cos I cant bear to miss the state footy match! Havent been to the pole for a while - 3months now. might give it a go...

TS cool

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#246520 - 13/06/2002 16:02 Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast
thermalben Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/04/2001
Posts: 769
Loc: Tweed Coast
Looking unlikely for large storm surf along the Mid Coast this weekend now; Sat will have 15-20kt NW winds during the day, with groundswell in the 2-3' mark. AVN is now progging calm conditions over the region for Sunday morning! Could see some small glassy waves along the Mid before the winds picks up from the south later on in the day and strengthens.

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#246521 - 13/06/2002 20:29 Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast
Thunderstruck Offline
Lightning man

Registered: 10/05/2001
Posts: 15023
Loc: Seaford Meadows, SA
Darn with that low ud think that there would be some sort of swell around on sunday!!!! hrmmm u reckon its worth goin out on sunday arvo?? or should I give it a miss and save me some petrol?

TS cool

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#246522 - 13/06/2002 22:26 Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast
Rainlover Offline
Member

Registered: 12/02/2002
Posts: 4421
Thermalben, would that secret surfing spot of yours be Cape Bridgewater just out of Portland :rolleyes: wink wink :rolleyes: :rolleyes: wink

Rainlover laugh

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#246523 - 14/06/2002 08:37 Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast
thermalben Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/04/2001
Posts: 769
Loc: Tweed Coast
nup.
keep guessing

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#246524 - 14/06/2002 10:08 Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast
Thunderstruck Offline
Lightning man

Registered: 10/05/2001
Posts: 15023
Loc: Seaford Meadows, SA
I reckon Ive got a good idea...hehehe but cant remember the name of the place.....its well known for monster waves anyway....

TS cool

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#246525 - 14/06/2002 21:10 Re: Huge seas likely for the southeast
Rainlover Offline
Member

Registered: 12/02/2002
Posts: 4421
Is it west or east of Portland. Is it the area around the duck's head (on Mt Gambier if you face your head to the left you can see a duck's head. Last year for camp i had to walk round this duck's head, then canoe (sp?) over the lake. anyway we went surfing in Cape Bridgewater.

Is it near Cape Nelson?

Rainlover laugh

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