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#246756 - 20/12/2006 21:16 Sydney to Hobart 2006
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 25465
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
looking intresting this year with a deep tasman low forecast from boxing day onwards. bit early or are the yachties already getting out the wet weather gear?
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Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
June 2019 total - 27.8mm (21.2mm)
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2019 Yearly total to date - 2049.9mm (1129mm)

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#246757 - 21/12/2006 11:01 Re: Sydney to Hobart 2006
Inclement Weather Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 07/03/2006
Posts: 5373
Loc: Diamond Valley
Yes, I agree Mick. Indeed, an earlier model even had a nasty ECL off Sydney at the start of the race. Thankfully, any developing low is now further east. Let's hope they encounter nothing like 1998 again. By the way, I believe this is my first marine weather post! I'm not much of a boatie.
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The original donut hole

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#246758 - 21/12/2006 12:12 Re: Sydney to Hobart 2006
eternal rain Offline
Member

Registered: 10/07/2004
Posts: 5685
Loc: the great sydney desert
So they wouldnt cancel the race even if there was a 98-like ECL about? if not then thats just stupid and theyre just asking for trouble. not trying to be overly critical or anything but thats just common sense.

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#246759 - 22/12/2006 22:36 Re: Sydney to Hobart 2006
Thunderstruck Offline
Lightning man

Registered: 10/05/2001
Posts: 15024
Loc: Seaford Meadows, SA
Won't be anything like 98 and won't be cancelled.

Will be rough later on the first day and the first night but ease up after that and by the time they get to Hobart assuming they so safely, should be fairly light winds around.

Looks like Wild Oats/Skandia/Maximus for line honours for this one.

TS cool

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#246760 - 26/12/2006 16:45 Re: Sydney to Hobart 2006
Fu Manchu Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 05/11/2006
Posts: 208
Loc: Lower West, Western Australia
just looking at the race as it is now. Noticed that the yachts chooseing to sail out further to catch the current have a much slower speed. some good boats out there so it's not like they can't get the speed. 13 knots for Wild Oats 11. most others getting some 2 or 3 knots slower out deeper.
Will the ones out deeper be likely to get a stronger breeze later?

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#246761 - 26/12/2006 22:23 Re: Sydney to Hobart 2006
Thunderstruck Offline
Lightning man

Registered: 10/05/2001
Posts: 15024
Loc: Seaford Meadows, SA
Interesting that Maximus and Wild Oats have made a beeline for deeper water but Skandia kept closer. An hour ago it looked like Skandia would take the lead but now, the former two have picked up the pace again further offshore while Skandia is down to 5.9knots. Must have torn a sail or hit a sunfish or just be in bad wind. ABN Amro is catching it. The should pick up tho.

TS cool

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#246762 - 26/12/2006 23:09 Re: Sydney to Hobart 2006
Fu Manchu Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 05/11/2006
Posts: 208
Loc: Lower West, Western Australia
well the plan for several teams was to head out to sea and catch the currents to gain an advantage when the heavy seas hit. Most have changed this tack with the calmer but still rough seas on the way. i was just curious weather the wind out further looked like developing more strength than the winds closer in shore?

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#246763 - 26/12/2006 23:54 Re: Sydney to Hobart 2006
Lob Offline
Junior Member

Registered: 27/10/2006
Posts: 2
Loc: Mornington Peninsula, Vic
As the wind shifted more into the east, the port tack became more favoured for following the rhumbline to hobart, hence most of the fleet have tacked over onto this course, which also takes them towards the coast. if they were to continue heading offshore on starboard tack, they would be be 'headed' away from the mark and lose ground. stronger current and winds are good to chase offshore (if they are actually there) but needs to be weighed up with how much ground is going to be lost getting over there.

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#246764 - 27/12/2006 00:38 Re: Sydney to Hobart 2006
Fu Manchu Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 05/11/2006
Posts: 208
Loc: Lower West, Western Australia

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#246765 - 27/12/2006 10:24 Re: Sydney to Hobart 2006
seaeagle2323 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 13/11/2006
Posts: 461
Loc: Melbourne
What a joke masts breaking! they build the boats to light, i rather a nice old compass 38 smile

:cheers:

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#246766 - 28/12/2006 11:40 Re: Sydney to Hobart 2006
Thunderstruck Offline
Lightning man

Registered: 10/05/2001
Posts: 15024
Loc: Seaford Meadows, SA
Be a lot of force on the huge sail area, lots of pressure on the mast.

Wild Oats and Skandia still fighting it out, the latter doing pretty well considering it can't steer well due to equipment failure. Could be a tight finish as get closer to the Derwent. Ichi Ban also a chance to perhaps sneak 2nd if Skandia suffers a hiccup.

TS cool

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